Market Watch | Public Macro Temperature Dashboard v6

Desk brief

Biggest score impulses Calibration anchor 21 Sep 2026

Score points, latest print versus the prior print.

Newest prints flagged on country pages

Flagged on the country page. Score inputs last ingested 13 Nov 2026. Chips show whether each print's reference period is in the current score.

Largest market moves

Basis points and percent changes are ranked separately.

Rates (bp)

These official closes fall on different dates; they are not the same move window.

13 Nov 2026

1 observation, prior official close. Change versus the prior official close (one observation).

DE 10Y Bund↑ +8.0 bp13 Nov 2026
DE 5Y Bund↑ +7.0 bp13 Nov 2026
DE 2Y Bund↑ +5.0 bp13 Nov 2026

12 Nov 2026

1 observation, prior official close. Change versus the prior official close (one observation).

US 5Y↑ +14.0 bp12 Nov 2026
US 2Y↑ +13.0 bp12 Nov 2026
US 10Y↑ +12.0 bp12 Nov 2026

11 Nov 2026

1 observation, prior official close. Change versus the prior official close (one observation).

AU 5Y↑ +6.6 bp11 Nov 2026
AU 2Y↑ +6.4 bp11 Nov 2026
AU 10Y↑ +5.5 bp11 Nov 2026

FX and commodities (%)

AUD/USD↓ -0.52 %13 Nov 2026
NZD/USD↓ -0.44 %13 Nov 2026
USD/CAD↑ +0.07 %13 Nov 2026

Caveats

Calibration anchor 21 Sep 2026. Score inputs last ingested 13 Nov 2026. Market packet 13 Nov 2026, same day as the latest score-input ingestion.

Unavailable tape series

NZ 10Y RBNZ official B2 workbook was blocked or unusable

Next 7 days

13 Nov 2026 EA · GDP and employment flash estimate · time TBA
15 Nov 2026 JP · Quarterly GDP first preliminary
16 Nov 2026 CA · Consumer Price Index
17 Nov 2026 AU · Wage Price Index
18 Nov 2026 AU · Employed persons + 12 more
18 Nov 2026 EA · Euro area HICP · time TBA
19 Nov 2026 JP · Consumer Price Index

Releases

Global Tape · dated official observations

USD/CAD

1.42581

↑ +0.07 %

13 Nov 2026

Official close

Source

ECB euro reference cross, observation 2026-11-13. Not an intraday market quote. +0.07% vs prior ECB fixing. ECB euro foreign exchange reference rates

AUD/USD

0.67854

↓ -0.52 %

13 Nov 2026

Official close

Source

ECB euro reference cross, observation 2026-11-13. Not an intraday market quote. -0.52% vs prior ECB fixing. ECB euro foreign exchange reference rates

NZD/USD

0.55321

↓ -0.44 %

13 Nov 2026

Official close

Source

ECB euro reference cross, observation 2026-11-13. Not an intraday market quote. -0.44% vs prior ECB fixing. ECB euro foreign exchange reference rates

US 10Y Treasury

5.10%

↑ +12.0 bp

12 Nov 2026

Official close

Source

U.S. Treasury daily par yield. Observation 2026-11-12. Prior official close, daily par yield, not a zero or forward, not an intraday quote. +12.0 bp vs prior official close. U.S. Treasury daily par yield curve

CA 10Y

3.78%

↑ +6.0 bp

12 Nov 2026

Official close

Source

Bank of Canada benchmark yield. Observation 2026-11-12. Prior official close, daily par yield, not a zero or forward, not an intraday quote. +6.0 bp vs prior official close. Bank of Canada Valet benchmark bonds

AU 10Y

5.044%

↑ +5.5 bp

11 Nov 2026

Official close

Source

RBA F2 government-bond yield. Observation 2026-11-11. Prior official close, daily par yield, not a zero or forward, not an intraday quote. +5.5 bp vs prior official close. Reserve Bank of Australia F2 government-bond yields

NZ 10Y

Unavailable

RBNZ official B2 workbook was blocked or unusable

date unavailable

Unavailable

Source

RBNZ official B2 workbook was blocked or unusable (browser-ua: RBNZ official B2 workbook returned HTTP 403 from https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/-/media/project/sites/rbnz/files/statistics/series/b/b2/hb2-daily-close.xlsx. Refusing to substitute a third-party or vendor feed.; default-ua: RBNZ official B2 workbook returned HTTP 403 from https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/-/media/project/sites/rbnz/files/statistics/series/b/b2/hb2-daily-close.xlsx. Refusing to substitute a third-party or vendor feed.; curl_cffi: official B2 workbook still blocked). Refusing to substitute a third-party or vendor feed.; official RBNZ HTML fallback also failed: RBNZ official B2 HTML table was blocked or unusable (urllib: RBNZ official page returned HTTP 403 from https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/statistics/series/exchange-and-interest-rates/wholesale-interest-rates. Refusing to substitute a third-party or vendor feed.; curl_cffi: official B2 page still blocked). Refusing to substitute a third-party or vendor feed. No preselected distributor was verified to republish the same RBNZ B2 government-bond closing yields (2Y/5Y/10Y); packet NZ rates stay unavailable.

DE 10Y Bund

3.37%

↑ +8.0 bp

13 Nov 2026

Official close

Source

Bundesbank Bund par yield; not an euro-area composite. Observation 2026-11-13. Prior official close, daily par yield, not a zero or forward, not an intraday quote. +8.0 bp vs prior official close. Deutsche Bundesbank BBSSY German Bund par yields

JP 10Y

2.841%

↑ +0.1 bp

12 Nov 2026

Official close

Source

MOF JGB par yield. Observation 2026-11-12. Prior official close, daily par yield, not a zero or forward, not an intraday quote. +0.1 bp vs prior official close. Ministry of Finance Japan JGB benchmark par yields

WTI

$88.74/bbl

Change not in packet

12 Nov 2026

Official close

Source

WTI futures. Completed daily observation 2026-11-12. Source Yahoo Finance CL=F. Not a quote feed. Yahoo Finance

Brent

$95.82/bbl

Change not in packet

12 Nov 2026

Official close

Source

Brent futures. Completed daily observation 2026-11-12. Source Yahoo Finance BZ=F. Not a quote feed. Yahoo Finance

S&P 500

7,619.38 index

Change not in packet

11 Nov 2026

Official close

Source

S&P 500. Completed daily observation 2026-11-11. Source FRED / original series publisher SP500. Not a quote feed. FRED / original series publisher

Copper

$6.1825/lb

Change not in packet

12 Nov 2026

Official close

Source

Copper futures. Completed daily observation 2026-11-12. Source Yahoo Finance HG=F. Not a quote feed. Yahoo Finance

Broad USD index

121.88 index

Change not in packet

6 Nov 2026

Official close

Source

Broad trade-weighted USD. Completed daily observation 2026-11-06. Source FRED / original series publisher DTWEXBGS. Not a quote feed. FRED / original series publisher

MARKET NEWS · 7-DAY WINDOW

Falling US Bond Futures Offer No Relief as Fed Hike Bets Grow

Falling US Bond Futures Offer No Relief as Fed Hike Bets Grow: Derivatives trading suggests a retreat in US Treasuries is set to continue as faster-than-expected inflation data cemented the prospects for more aggressive interest-rate hikes from the Federal ... Bonds reel as hot inflation fuels jumbo Fed hike fears: Global bonds tumbled and the dollar stayed firm after a hot US inflation print and hawkish central bank rhetoric raised the risk of an outsized half-point rate hike from the Federal Reserve next ... Top Pension Fund to Buy More India State Bonds on High Yields: India’s largest pension fund plans to step up purchases of state debt, expecting their yield premium over the federal government bonds will widen further.

6 qualifying events in the current 6–13 November 2026 digest · Last scanned 13 Nov 2026.

Open News & Research

Proposed temperature composite

40/40/10/10 proposed weights. Not the equal-weight production mean. 50 is a structural reference, not a policy-balance claim.

United States

Nov 2026

56.26/100

Proposed composite

1-month: +0.08
3-month: +4.47

Inflation − Labor +7.47

Inflation 61.28; Labor 53.81; Activity 56.77; Consumer 45.42

Higher over 1 month

Reconstructed monthly replay

Canada

Nov 2026

47.34/100

Proposed composite

1-month: +0.00
3-month: -2.09

Inflation − Labor +16.93

Inflation 54.34; Labor 37.41; Activity 49.40; Consumer 57.03

Unchanged over 1 month

Opposing pressure

Reconstructed monthly replay

Australia

Nov 2026

54.69/100

Proposed composite

1-month: +0.00
3-month: -1.89

Inflation − Labor +21.51

Inflation 67.25; Labor 45.74; Activity 45.79; Consumer 49.10

Unchanged over 1 month

Opposing pressure

Reconstructed monthly replay

New Zealand

Nov 2026

50.32/100

Proposed composite

1-month: +0.00
3-month: +0.00

Inflation − Labor +27.74

Inflation 64.25; Labor 36.51; Activity 51.87; Consumer 48.26

Unchanged over 1 month

Opposing pressure

Reconstructed monthly replay

Euro Area

Nov 2026

54.96/100

Proposed composite

1-month: +0.00
3-month: +2.40

Inflation − Labor +15.48

Inflation 64.50; Labor 49.02; Activity 54.57; Consumer 40.92

Unchanged over 1 month

Opposing pressure

Reconstructed monthly replay

Japan

Nov 2026

51.58/100

Proposed composite

1-month: +0.00
3-month: +3.51

Inflation − Labor -1.28

Inflation 52.50; Labor 53.78; Activity 57.46; Consumer 33.22

Unchanged over 1 month

Reconstructed monthly replay

Detailed calibrated scores (equal-weight view)

1–100 Score BoardPublished scores: calibration anchor 21 Sep 2026 · inputs last ingested 13 Nov 2026 · latest scored component period Nov 2026 · Coverage counts scored components only and is not a freshness claim.

LEVEL is the 1–100 score (50 = structural/policy neutral). IMPULSE is the latest print versus the prior print, in score points. Equal-weight summary is the simple mean of the published dimension levels, not a separate weighted aggregate.

Economy	Inflation	Labor	Activity	Consumer	Equal-weight
UNITED STATES	Inflation Level61.3 warm/100 Impulse↑ warming +9.37vs prior print Latest component Sep 2026Largest impulse	Labor Level53.8 neutral/100 Impulse↑ warming +2.55vs prior print Latest component Oct 2026	Activity Level56.8 neutral/100 Impulse↑ warming +7.21vs prior print Latest component Oct 2026	Consumer Level45.4 neutral/100 Impulse↑ warming +1.19vs prior print Latest component Nov 2026	Equal-weight54.3 neutral/100
CANADA	Inflation Level54.3 neutral/100 Impulse→ static -0.44vs prior print Latest component Sep 2026	Labor Level37.4 cool/100 Impulse↓ cooling -3.53vs prior print Latest component Oct 2026	Activity Level49.4 neutral/100 Impulse↑ warming +16.79vs prior print Latest component Oct 2026Largest impulse	Consumer Level57 neutral/100 Impulse↑ warming +6.61vs prior print Latest component Aug 2026Coverage 75%	Equal-weight49.5 neutral/100 Partial
AUSTRALIA	Inflation Level67.2 warm/100 Impulse↑ warming +1.50vs prior print Latest component Sep 2026	Labor Level45.7 neutral/100 Impulse↓ cooling -4.39vs prior print Latest component Sep 2026Largest impulse	Activity Level45.8 neutral/100 Impulse↑ warming +2.23vs prior print Latest component Aug 2026	Consumer Level49.1 neutral/100 Impulse↓ cooling -1.87vs prior print Latest component Sep 2026Coverage 75%	Equal-weight52 neutral/100 Partial
NEW ZEALAND	Inflation Level64.2 warm/100 Impulse↑ warming +4.25vs prior print Latest component 2026 Q2	Labor Level36.5 cool/100 Impulse↓ cooling -2.19vs prior print Latest component 2026 Q2	Activity Level51.9 neutral/100 Impulse↓ cooling -16.88vs prior print Latest component Aug 2026Largest impulse	Consumer Level48.3 neutral/100 Impulse↓ cooling -4.65vs prior print Latest component Aug 2026	Equal-weight50.2 neutral/100
EURO AREA	Inflation Level64.5 warm/100 Impulse↑ warming +1.75vs prior print Latest component Oct 2026	Labor Level49 neutral/100 Impulse→ static +0.16vs prior print Latest component Sep 2026	Activity Level54.6 neutral/100 Impulse↓ cooling -4.31vs prior print Latest component 2026 Q3Largest impulse	Consumer Level40.9 neutral/100 Impulse↓ cooling -2.72vs prior print Latest component Oct 2026	Equal-weight52.3 neutral/100
JAPAN	Inflation Level52.5 neutral/100 Impulse↑ warming +4.75vs prior print Latest component Sep 2026Largest impulse	Labor Level53.8 neutral/100 Impulse↑ warming +2.93vs prior print Latest component Sep 2026	Activity Level57.5 neutral/100 Impulse↓ cooling -2.68vs prior print Latest component Aug 2026	Consumer Level33.2 cool/100 Impulse↑ warming +3.66vs prior print Latest component Sep 2026	Equal-weight49.2 neutral/100

September base-page country snapshot — not refreshed; figures may be superseded

Macro Snapshot

UNITED STATES

Fed 3.75%-4.00%

NEUTRALWARMING

Consumer: resilient. Labor bounced in August; core inflation is cooler than headline, while Core PCE remains above target.

Core PCE3.3% y/y

Payrolls / UR+162k / 4.1%

Q2 private final demand+4.2% saar

Core PCE run rate

3M3.0%6M3.5%9M3.6%12M3.3%

CANADA

BoC 2.50%

NEUTRALWARMING

Consumer: softening. Employment fell in August and wages slowed; Q2 activity was stronger than the labor impulse.

CPI trim / median1.9% / 2.0%

Jobs / UR-42k / 6.4%

Monthly GDP Jun+0.3%

Unemployment trailing avg

3M6.5%6M6.6%9M6.6%12M6.7%

AUSTRALIA

RBA 4.85%

NEUTRALSTATIC

Consumer: losing momentum. Inflation remains high, unemployment is 4.5%, and Q2 growth stayed modest.

CPI / Trimmed3.5% / 3.6%

Employment / UR-15.8k / 4.5%

Q2 GDP+0.4% q/q

Trimmed mean y/y average

3M3.57%6M3.45%9M3.39%12M3.34%

NEW ZEALAND

RBNZ unavailable

NEUTRALCOOLING

Consumer: still weak. Unemployment is high, but the recovery has likely restarted; fuel explains much of the CPI shock.

CPI / ex-fuel4.1% / 2.9%

Unemployment5.6%

OCR2.75%

Unemployment avg · quarterly

3M5.60%6M5.45%9M5.43%12M5.40%

EURO AREA

ECB

NEUTRALCOOLING

Euro area: scored euro-area macro/policy. German Bunds are the EUR cash-rates benchmark only; peripheral spreads are fragmentation context.

HICP / core4% / 2.6%

Unemployment6.5%

Business surveys52.2

JAPAN

BOJ

NEUTRALWARMING

Japan: scored Japan macro/policy with MOF JGB cash yields and TONA policy context.

CPI / core2.2% / 2.2%

Unemployment2.4%

Business surveys52.9

data-momentum="removed">The static multi-horizon run-rate table was removed. It was a September base-page snapshot, not a score-ledger or market-state series. Current dimension levels are on the scoreboard. Dated releases are on the Releases tab.

Country Detail

United StatesCanadaAustraliaNew ZealandEuro AreaJapan

Scores: calibration anchor 21 Sep 2026 · inputs last ingested 13 Nov 2026 · latest scored component period Nov 2026 · Coverage counts scored components only and is not a freshness claim.

LEVEL is the 1–100 score, where 50 is the structural/policy neutral point. IMPULSE is the latest print versus the prior print, in score points.

United States: historical temperature trends

Nov 2026

Actual stored monthly dimension scores through Nov 2026.
Aggregate uses proposed 40/40/10/10 weights; not the existing production mean.

Aggregate56.26

Inflation61.28

Labor53.81

Activity56.77

Consumer45.42

Aggregate trajectory

Inflation

Labor

Activity

Consumer

The line at 50 is a structural neutral reference, not a claim of policy balance.

Reconstructed monthly replay of stored scores. Not a historical real-time published snapshot. A published snapshot is stored separately for cutoff Nov 2026 and is not drawn as the line.

InflationLevel 61.3/100 warmImpulse ↑ warming +9.37vs prior printCore PCE through Sep 2026 LaborLevel 53.8/100 neutralImpulse ↑ warming +2.55vs prior printInputs through Oct 2026 ActivityLevel 56.8/100 neutralImpulse ↑ warming +7.21vs prior printDomestic demand through 2026 Q3 · Services surveys through Oct 2026 · Manufacturing surveys through Oct 2026 ConsumerLevel 45.4/100 neutralImpulse ↑ warming +1.19vs prior printRetail through Sep 2026 · Income through Sep 2026 · Spending through Sep 2026 · Confidence through Nov 2026

Monetary policy

Decision	Implied rate	Step bp	Cumulative bp	1d	1w	Method
2026-12-09	4.19%	+31.78	+31.78	+1.3	+20.15	identified
2027-01-27	4.36%	+17.02	+48.81	+3.18	+31.81	estimated
2027-03-17	4.56%	+19.38	+68.18	+5.39	+41.77	identified
2027-04-28	4.62%	+6.37	+74.56	+5.93	+45.31	estimated
2027-06-09	4.71%	+9.29	+83.84	+6.64	+47.09	identified

Fed target midpoint 3.88%; futures as of 2026-11-13; basis +2.5 bp; SR1 step is the implied SOFR change versus the pre-meeting forward baseline. It is not the monthly-average gap, the spot SOFR fixing, or the Fed target lower bound.; Fed target range 3.75–4.00% (midpoint 3.88%); calendar retrieved 2026-11-13.

What Matters Now

InterestingQ3 2026Released 29 Oct 2026Ingested 13 Nov 2026

Real GDP · annualised

Real GDP rose 3.40% annualised in Q3 2026, after +2.20% in Q2 2026.

+3.40% annualised+1.20 pp vs Q2 2026

Q3 2026+3.40%29 Oct 2026Ingested 13 Nov 2026
Q2 2026+2.20%no recorded release datefirst recorded +1.50%
Q1 2026+2.50%no recorded release datefirst recorded +2.10%

Acceleration: a bigger increase than the quarter before.

Feeds the Activity score · +4.80 points in Activity

History, source and limits

Q3 2025Q3 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Q3 2026	+3.40%	29 Oct 2026	Ingested 13 Nov 2026
Q2 2026	+2.20%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +1.50%
Q1 2026	+2.50%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +2.10%
Q4 2025	+0.20%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.50%
Q3 2025	+3.90%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +4.40%

Only 5 quarters of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 8.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BEA

Technical details

Official title: Real Gross Domestic Product, Percent Change from Preceding Period, Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate (saar pct)
What it measures: How fast the economy is growing.
Series: A191RL1Q225SBEA
Transformation: saar_pct · saar pct
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-10-29
Observation id: bbb83702cd91f2f4265354e6135b51bc2a1da81ea9af5ec50c7d5a66f0a45d37

Acceleration: saar pct ran +0.2, +2.5, +2.2, and +3.4. The latest +3.4 is larger in the same direction than the prior +2.2. A historical percentile badge is not claimed (insufficient_history).

saar pct 3.4

InterestingSep 2026Released 29 Oct 2026Ingested 13 Nov 2026

Real Personal Consumption Expenditures · m/m

Real Personal Consumption Expenditures rose 0.02% m/m in Sep 2026, after +0.55% in Aug 2026.

+0.02% m/m-0.53 pp vs Aug 2026

Sep 2026+0.02%29 Oct 2026Ingested 13 Nov 2026
Aug 2026+0.55%no recorded release date
Jul 2026+0.17%no recorded release datefirst recorded +0.01%

Slowdown: a much smaller increase than the month before; 7 straight months of increases.

Feeds the Consumer score · +0.78 points in Consumer

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Sep 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Sep 2026	+0.02%	29 Oct 2026	Ingested 13 Nov 2026
Aug 2026	+0.55%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	+0.17%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.01%
Jun 2026	+0.41%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.44%
May 2026	+0.34%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.37%
Apr 2026	+0.32%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.20%
Mar 2026	+0.26%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.27%
Feb 2026	+0.21%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.22%
Jan 2026	-0.08%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded -0.19%
Dec 2025	-0.03%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.09%
Nov 2025	+0.17%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.10%
Oct 2025	+0.18%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.21%
Sep 2025	+0.17%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.11%

Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BEA

Technical details

Official title: Real Personal Consumption Expenditures (monthly percent change)
What it measures: How fast household spending is growing.
Series: PCEC96
Transformation: mom_sa_pct · monthly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-10-29
Observation id: fe684212ba3e94ebb4299a5adb4954616a5b71d5e597518a39fcc2c1425ccf59

Deceleration: monthly percent change ran +0.41342629784948404, +0.16737269078612727, +0.5493829511569404, and +0.015434497905464362. The latest +0.015434497905464362 materially slows the prior direction of travel. A historical percentile badge is not claimed (insufficient_history).

monthly percent change 0.015434497905464362

InterestingSep 2026Released 29 Oct 2026Ingested 13 Nov 2026

Core PCE · m/m

Core PCE was 0.32% m/m in Sep 2026, up from 0.26% in Aug 2026.

+0.32% m/m+0.05 pp vs Aug 2026

Sep 2026+0.32%29 Oct 2026Ingested 13 Nov 2026
Aug 2026+0.26%no recorded release date
Jul 2026+0.14%no recorded release datefirst recorded +0.25%

Persistence: 13 straight months of increases.

Feeds the Inflation score · +11.28 points in Inflation

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Sep 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Sep 2026	+0.32%	29 Oct 2026	Ingested 13 Nov 2026
Aug 2026	+0.26%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	+0.14%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.25%
Jun 2026	+0.13%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.15%
May 2026	+0.31%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.36%
Apr 2026	+0.28%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.26%
Mar 2026	+0.26%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.30%
Feb 2026	+0.34%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.39%
Jan 2026	+0.40%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.44%
Dec 2025	+0.32%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.33%
Nov 2025	+0.16%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.18%
Oct 2025	+0.18%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.23%
Sep 2025	+0.23%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.19%

Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BEA

Technical details

Official title: Personal Consumption Expenditures: Chain-type Price Index, Excluding Food and Energy (monthly percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: PCEPILFE
Transformation: mom_sa_pct · monthly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-10-29
Observation id: 41583885183ddeee26fae68ceceecf65b596c9db3dc7f792ea50bc67121c8558

Persistence: monthly percent change kept the same direction for 13 periods, ending +0.13328607969429473, +0.1377251498434262, +0.26200940467775435, and +0.31650177409587865. A historical percentile badge is not claimed (insufficient_history).

monthly percent change 0.31650177409587865

InflationLevel 61.3/100 warm

Impulse↑ warming +9.37vs prior print

Core PCE through Sep 2026

Level 61.3 is driven by Core PCE (+11.28 points, warming impulse +9.37); dimension impulse is warming (+9.37 vs prior print).

Hard score inputs

How the level adds up 61.28 = 50 +11.28 core pce

Core PCE · m/m +11.28 points in Inflation

Score uses +2.90%: 3-month annualised rate, Jul–Sep 2026 (m/m +0.14%, +0.26%, +0.32%).

Latest print +0.32% · Sep 2026 · Released 29 Oct 2026.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 61.28
Component weight: 1.00
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Personal Consumption Expenditures: Chain-type Price Index, Excluding Food and Energy (monthly percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: PCEPILFE
Transformation: mom_sa_pct · monthly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-10-29
Observation id: 41583885183ddeee26fae68ceceecf65b596c9db3dc7f792ea50bc67121c8558
Scored series: PCEPILFE

How to read: 50 = structural/policy neutral anchor. Points show how far each input pulls the stored level away from 50. Context rows below do not feed the score.

Context / corroboration · not score inputs

CPI All Items, seasonally adjusted · level 337.48 index 1982-84=100 · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: CPI All Items, seasonally adjusted (index level)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: CPIAUCSL
Transformation: index_level · index level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 55ab2e7aa74b6265644fb5224aa8593beedeb44d2cb025859239e0900571917a

Core PCE · level 130.66 index 2017=100 · Jul 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Personal Consumption Expenditures: Chain-type Price Index, Excluding Food and Energy (index level)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: PCEPILFE
Transformation: index_level · index level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 63a216dc8611db33d6094899edd0d47e600717733f4b6729ac13a4febe7ddb68

PPI Final Demand · level 287.45 index 2009-11=100 · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: PPI Final Demand (index level)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: WPSFD49207
Transformation: index_level · index level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 6f59f0df73792719d137fd36b514e2bff0d7b43d68ca834eea207aee38d6a05a

CPI less food and energy, SA · level 339.90 index 1982-84=100 · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: CPI less food and energy, SA (index level)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: CPILFESL
Transformation: index_level · index level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: b0d3efb852cd7ddef0c4c3bbfefa3e7d3673689099371e963a9ae8a3772f0e75

Export Price Index (End Use): All commodities · level 170.80 · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Export Price Index (End Use): All commodities (index level)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: IQ
Transformation: index_level · index level
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: cb5691188158595a0407c5cb6c5680de568280fa2b43edb1c410172b3df13bac

Core PCE · y/y +3.34% · Jul 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Personal Consumption Expenditures: Chain-type Price Index, Excluding Food and Energy (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: PCEPILFE
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: eef3d694e54b2b5837d94c25637d4245751981655dc43006a8183fcbbabc500a

Import Price Index (End Use): All commodities · level 152.20 · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Import Price Index (End Use): All commodities (index level)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: IR
Transformation: index_level · index level
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: f647081b641a31193588cf7e59c97a4c19635b34967e9b7f0c289c935a40b4cd

Core PCE PPI bridge (mapped) +0.20% · Aug 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: BEA-mapped Core PCE PPI bridge component table (Aug 2026 documentation) (ppi component mom pct)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: US.Inflation.mapped_bridge
Transformation: ppi_component_mom_pct · ppi component mom pct
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: ffc31c1694a5a0599571bc9087de5d7aab4475fee2830d1cfd88ae1871c6d3f8

LaborLevel 53.8/100 neutral

Impulse↑ warming +2.55vs prior print

Inputs through Oct 2026

Level 53.8 is driven mainly by Payrolls (+2.17 points, warming impulse +9.60) and Unemployment (+1.40 points, warming impulse +2.00); dimension impulse is warming (+2.55 vs prior print).

Hard score inputs

How the level adds up 53.81 = 50 +1.40 unemployment +0.24 wages +2.17 payrolls

Unemployment Rate · level +1.40 points in Labor

Score uses 4.10%: the Oct 2026 print.

Latest print 4.10% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 52.00
Component weight: 0.70
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Unemployment Rate
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: UNRATE
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 4d44dd112b01c2006ae28073dc836bc5ebf3cc66b3334c67181af895bf91f918
Scored series: UNRATE

Nonfarm payrolls · monthly change +2.17 points in Labor

Score uses +118.67k: average of 3 months, Aug–Oct 2026: +162k, +29k, +165k.

Latest print +165k · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 71.73
Component weight: 0.10
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: All Employees, Total Nonfarm (mm change thousands sa)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: PAYEMS
Transformation: mm_change_thousands_sa · mm change thousands sa
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: preliminary
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 9608b854f2be5a1c6b72228d2d1e56d461e0351b712180c41b1e15206a519ef5
Scored series: PAYEMS

Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private · y/y +0.24 points in Labor

Score uses +3.12%: the Oct 2026 print.

Latest print +3.12% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 51.21
Component weight: 0.20
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast pay is growing.
Series: CES0500000003
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: preliminary
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: e3b71ceda2da5ca38bdb5d7876333873292988c5f1e8700973add8e9d0bdbead
Scored series: CES0500000003

How to read: 50 = structural/policy neutral anchor. Points show how far each input pulls the stored level away from 50. Context rows below do not feed the score.

Context / corroboration · not score inputs

Revised initial claims as a percent of UI-covered employment · level Revised 0.13% · 2026-10-17 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Revised initial claims as a percent of UI-covered employment
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: INITIAL_CLAIMS_NORMALIZED
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: revised
Vintage: derived
Observation id: 019ec3622b285894233ff36f3d9e6b46697a0e9d490f7dde7213ef20bcdc7f3f

Initial claims · level 195,250 · 2026-11-07 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Initial claims, 4-week moving average, seasonally adjusted, advance
What it measures: This series measures Initial claims · level.
Series: ETA538_INITIAL_CLAIMS_SA4WK
Transformation: level · level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: advance
Vintage: 2026-11-12
Observation id: 04e2a3fa2921bfe70dd85be88f094dd365ba6d002c8eb4be98d3ea061301bfde

Employment level, native born · level 132,121 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Employment level, native born (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNU02073413
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 070acb72c2c2abdb1a584b3e66f26fa5c5bc5d8232b8914b711ca5bcba49d49e

Unemployed job leavers · level 766 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Unemployed job leavers (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNS13023653
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 100c16c76d83c908716bcc1e595850acc94b49c6f02cf982b8df0b107e00e913

JOLTS layoffs and discharges, total nonfarm · level 1,641 thousand · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: JOLTS layoffs and discharges, total nonfarm (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: JTS000000000000000LDL
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 1beb2a1595334d2a53b36d2c9ce63bb50b9996c3d07c067fff6590601f84527f

Continued unemployment insurance claims · level 1,697,000 · 2026-10-31 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Continued unemployment insurance claims, seasonally adjusted, advance
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: ETA538_CONTINUED_CLAIMS_SA
Transformation: level · level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: advance
Vintage: 2026-11-12
Observation id: 20cb765b5c4cbe1fa0198bb5e49a1bb435ad0b662c0b3181139d2d22a4b7e174

CPS gross flow not in labor force to employed · level 5,026 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: CPS gross flow not in labor force to employed (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNS17200000
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 21d22ea169ffcec5a1e76984dca105b2589f89ae67df42028a24252bfc8262a2

Nonfarm payrolls · monthly change Due 159,075 thousand · Aug 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: All Employees, Total Nonfarm (thousands sa)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: PAYEMS
Transformation: thousands_sa · thousands sa
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 21e9412c3235b3a07a69b0550f27cf93d45b0986efce070d28e892942dff9260

Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private Due 36.62 USD per hour · Aug 2025 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private
What it measures: How fast pay is growing.
Series: CES0500000003
Transformation: USD per hour · USD per hour
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 28911a71b782d1b8c2928ea31d0747fab5327ee994b5a0b5294b8e83519a27cb

Civilian labor force, foreign born · level 33,121 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Civilian labor force, foreign born (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNU01073395
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 292fddca4aa2c6655e951c573241743f882b3271351a8084e7b74289d74f1ca9

Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private · level Due 37.75 USD per hour · Aug 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private (index level)
What it measures: How fast pay is growing.
Series: CES0500000003
Transformation: index_level · index level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 2b3d4fba3078b8fa3132fd4b41c42f51da15f1f5820c653324b680b1fc0065f4

CPS gross flow unemployed to not in labor force · level 1,559 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: CPS gross flow unemployed to not in labor force (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNS17900000
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 2b6639a022db4098d2860267320d98a78f2bc5c5b1328fb950e4260d78fcfa03

JOLTS hires rate, total nonfarm · level 3.40% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: JOLTS hires rate, total nonfarm
What it measures: This series measures JOLTS hires rate, total nonfarm · level.
Series: JTS000000000000000HIR
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 2e49a5da812a841a8a278677de7fea8f9ca0a17f1d886d172ffa8eefd24017eb

Chicago Fed hiring rate for unemployed workers (job-finding rate) · level 46.18% · Oct 2026 · Released 5 Nov 2026 View print

Technical details

Official title: Chicago Fed hiring rate for unemployed workers (job-finding rate)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: CFLMIHIRINGRATEUW
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: 2026-11-04 11:56:34
Release date on committed row: 2026-11-05
Observation id: 312f1203a0ae899fb087b8e40c573bdf4be5dc83fdb4a0579dd339bd2351d04f

JOLTS quits, total nonfarm · level 3,365 thousand · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: JOLTS quits, total nonfarm (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: JTS000000000000000QUL
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 37828c201342b2f80d429dc2014c799999728a05b6ec1c47ea7b14f59d464596

Monthly change in the labor force (supply) · m/m +421k · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Monthly change in the labor force (supply) (mom change thousands)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: LABOR_FORCE_CHANGE
Transformation: mom_change_thousands · mom change thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: derived
Observation id: 394d6952397a93b94c4a6abef68a6e9437cb16466d161f34c195f148056370d5

Diagnostic: weak job finding · m/m -7k · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Diagnostic: weak job finding (mom change thousands)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: ATTR_WEAK_JOB_FINDING
Transformation: mom_change_thousands · mom change thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: derived
Observation id: 433569193a6b3fc0010ebebcc48d25c30b167e22fd8c90b47a9986f712c54f07

Unemployment identity residual · m/m +1k · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Unemployment identity residual (mom change thousands)
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: ATTR_LABOR_FORCE_EXIT
Transformation: mom_change_thousands · mom change thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: derived
Observation id: 4370665911ac56c62f1681f4c45ba5ba1302cc7f0b9e2957064b55f96da58e14

Chicago Fed real-time unemployment rate forecast · level 4.19% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Chicago Fed real-time unemployment rate forecast, advance 50th percentile
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: CFLMIFORECASTADV50
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: advance
Vintage: 2026-10-28 12:50:04
Release date on committed row: 2026-10-29
Observation id: 442fdb4b8af3e99d2f393c6205743b885caff50e8d995eece3864dcdab85e44b

JOLTS job openings rate, total nonfarm · level 4.50% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: JOLTS job openings rate, total nonfarm
What it measures: This series measures JOLTS job openings rate, total nonfarm · level.
Series: JTS000000000000000JOR
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 4a18143f083d59a5bd06b7e04fe8db677d871b7d4c3a0d871d919d9f06086566

JOLTS hires, total nonfarm · level 5,402 thousand · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: JOLTS hires, total nonfarm (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: JTS000000000000000HIL
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 4b2cc2efc9a5420ebe7a41336ded9ab2fe6223840a498e804732e6f707423850

Civilian noninstitutional population, foreign born · level 49,786 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Civilian noninstitutional population, foreign born (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNU00073395
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 4e76ba5d7ffb60d7b0845d2880a5c3c2be709383041aef222f5dc74dd2ded59d

Initial claims · level Revised 198,000 · 2026-10-17 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Initial claims, 4-week moving average, seasonally adjusted, revised
What it measures: This series measures Initial claims · level.
Series: ETA539_INITIAL_CLAIMS_SA4WK
Transformation: level · level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: revised
Vintage: 2026-11-12
Observation id: 548ad27c2f41862bd1b944250ca99ef6458ee5b58c32ff19d81cbc0365588b4f

ISM manufacturing employment index · diffusion 52.4 · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: ISM manufacturing employment index (diffusion index)
What it measures: A business survey of activity. Readings above 50 mean more firms report expansion than contraction.
Series: ISM_MANUFACTURING_EMPLOYMENT
Transformation: diffusion_index · diffusion index
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 555ad00fce44e2ab052e5cbeacd75bac6d098aa890ddffaead245d77df775f0d

Diagnostic: change in job losers · m/m -34k · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Diagnostic: change in job losers (mom change thousands)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: ATTR_JOB_LOSS
Transformation: mom_change_thousands · mom change thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: derived
Observation id: 559ad2e979728c1c91bbd6b1be07044c531fa536c7fb69527452b7ce02ba4b77

JOLTS quits rate, total nonfarm · level 2.10% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: JOLTS quits rate, total nonfarm
What it measures: This series measures JOLTS quits rate, total nonfarm · level.
Series: JTS000000000000000QUR
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 5c1ca05e0c930b46d587c05e5d34f011f92cfbcf55dc33e741c3e146ea8cfac1

Monthly change in civilian noninstitutional population · m/m +128k · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Monthly change in civilian noninstitutional population (mom change thousands)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: POPULATION_CHANGE
Transformation: mom_change_thousands · mom change thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: derived
Observation id: 5e858f57aefdb304cba7dbbf7dd6e8a579559756367c98cd9dbc424fe6b9eeda

Civilian employment (household survey) · level 163,615 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Civilian employment (household survey) (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNS12000000
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 69966781b5a081a004b7c231dbdaaacfb1203ec944d8e2ff828b69387d05e5e8

Chicago Fed layoffs and other separations rate · level 2.01% · Oct 2026 · Released 5 Nov 2026 View print

Technical details

Official title: Chicago Fed layoffs and other separations rate
What it measures: This series measures Chicago Fed layoffs and other separations rate · level.
Series: CFLMILAYOFFSOTHERSEPSRATE
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: 2026-11-04 11:56:34
Release date on committed row: 2026-11-05
Observation id: 6d061467e4bab49f30d0d903f7cacb9d3b79875c2ef0992501eb1b00612db0fb

Monthly change in the unemployed level · m/m -41k · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Monthly change in the unemployed level (mom change thousands)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: DELTA_UNEMPLOYED
Transformation: mom_change_thousands · mom change thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: derived
Observation id: 71bb8adb8cee936820b5fe2c035540a7f5a5e070e049f184eb6b43d5b36f1300

CPS gross flow employed to unemployed · level 1,561 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: CPS gross flow employed to unemployed (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNS17400000
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 7223991e28de9ec98d43c12a2ca47ae3deb7c83d2674fe168a757f18121d109d

All employees, total nonfarm (CES level) · level 159,293 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: All employees, total nonfarm (CES level) (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: CES0000000001
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 7a741ab9421773b81310cc731bde671cd249b309b8ec0dfdb66911b557d11676

Unemployed reentrants · level 2,297 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Unemployed reentrants (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNS13023557
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 7ebd1d8206ac41fb20eb5a8d9950a91ce74be58d61e58fa4f2d7c990adef54f3

Initial unemployment insurance claims · level 200,000 · 2026-11-07 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Initial unemployment insurance claims, seasonally adjusted, advance
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: ETA538_INITIAL_CLAIMS_SA
Transformation: level · level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: advance
Vintage: 2026-11-12
Observation id: 8273657734a83027ad1317a54fdfdb90a12ab0131059b24743cce25be9220485

Diagnostic: entrants and reentrants · m/m -32k · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Diagnostic: entrants and reentrants (mom change thousands)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: ATTR_ENTRANT_REENTRANT
Transformation: mom_change_thousands · mom change thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: derived
Observation id: 848e0a56e2a77040e5dc78a35695445af71f41aa452370bcb0c87b142202ef2d

Unemployed job losers and persons who completed temporary jobs · level 3,166 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Unemployed job losers and persons who completed temporary jobs (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNS13023621
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 96f7851f90e0b34e9a47567b3c7fab8e0af57f0548f1d9e84f42c9413058d1da

Prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate · level 83.70% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate
What it measures: This series measures Prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate · level.
Series: LNS11300060
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 9af4e4303bed37b0e3a05bf27f656c8396daf6bdd1f8e160869e80f0ac89c7d0

Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private · m/m Due +0.27% · Aug 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private (monthly percent change)
What it measures: How fast pay is growing.
Series: CES0500000003
Transformation: mom_sa_pct · monthly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 9dec1804f7886d9278502e5f65f561c955ca20fc65f9a847af631debbb2e303b

CPS gross flow not in labor force to unemployed · level 1,811 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: CPS gross flow not in labor force to unemployed (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNS17600000
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: a2b385b9e7bce366a2a0bf0a5ab96a3659428d6d54addb3998d1c1e4833538e3

Insured unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted, advance · level 1.10% · 2026-10-31 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Insured unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted, advance
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: ETA538_IUR_SA
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: advance
Vintage: 2026-11-12
Observation id: a7c16652569e97de9ddf1a393ed0f6cfe98f54a5d2649523f02c7089c49517ac

Accounting imbalance (employment change minus labor-force change) · m/m +42k · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Accounting imbalance (employment change minus labor-force change) (mom change thousands)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: ATTR_LABOR_FORCE_EXPANSION
Transformation: mom_change_thousands · mom change thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: derived
Observation id: a89c4778aad01b2424d0a81b37deaca7651bb98cb31ff541eab05b43b5b238d7

CPS gross flow unemployed to employed · level 1,865 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: CPS gross flow unemployed to employed (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNS17100000
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: a98bbe6ae2c42dc0a62c5541d53f87e730388e502f3a935d7f9d06f88cc2803a

Labor force participation rate · level 61.90% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Labor force participation rate
What it measures: This series measures Labor force participation rate · level.
Series: LNS11300000
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: aab52f88b3a7ae93ea4a9fb8d5d4158025799ebaddf51a6524606a6bc4926fdc

Unrounded U-3 unemployment rate · level 4.14% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Unrounded U-3 unemployment rate
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: UNROUNDED_U3
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: derived
Observation id: abd27bb6b657ea61b1263d9b33bff4ca33611743a59e60a659e432927c83de99

Civilian noninstitutional population, native born · level 225,896 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Civilian noninstitutional population, native born (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNU00073413
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: ad43d076bfa16f9e447d4339e38203896869e738d8984fd77d6adf9a9930a7c0

Unemployed level (household survey) · level 7,068 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Unemployed level (household survey) (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNS13000000
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: af09c1de0dd4a51cb6b7df6f236a4e8d5a7aac85484fe201d76a7ad1f848ae43

Chicago Fed real-time unemployment rate forecast · level 4.14% · Oct 2026 · Released 5 Nov 2026 View print

Technical details

Official title: Chicago Fed real-time unemployment rate forecast, final 50th percentile
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: CFLMIFORECASTFIN50
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: 2026-11-04 11:56:34
Release date on committed row: 2026-11-05
Observation id: b276da2a7279e60b6d728d2f6b812948380e9f7967daf8ec3964d85a2716c29f

Unemployed job losers on temporary layoff · level 766 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Unemployed job losers on temporary layoff (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNS13023705
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: c004570a8620b3f1d8367d5491212392deaddb212559444ae5f2042e9f0197c8

Civilian labor force · level 170,683 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Civilian labor force (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNS11000000
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: c2da67c198563b89a3780a60915586833ca22d760b1b0387fe2dfa3a86ba9a6b

Unrounded U-3 minus final Chicago Fed nowcast 0.00 percentage points · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Unrounded U-3 minus final Chicago Fed nowcast (percentage points)
What it measures: This series measures Unrounded U-3 minus final Chicago Fed nowcast.
Series: CHICAGO_FED_ERROR
Transformation: percentage_points · percentage points
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: 2026-11-04 11:56:34
Observation id: c42b4b7875529a807d8eab2f672ae21702ca4c89034a8863c1346c4b26acd355

Civilian labor force, native born · level 137,785 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Civilian labor force, native born (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNU01073413
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: c4f41fe6402e4c11f4ee50981ac6ed97415bf01c419a4fc3057ab0d8f7f0e500

Continued unemployment insurance claims · level Revised 1,695,000 · 2026-10-17 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Continued unemployment insurance claims, seasonally adjusted, revised
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: ETA539_CONTINUED_CLAIMS_SA
Transformation: level · level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: revised
Vintage: 2026-11-12
Observation id: c88aeb76e8216bb38155118f5f9297754fa945a0428c8311f40c327d21aecedc

Civilian noninstitutional population · level 275,682 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Civilian noninstitutional population (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNU00000000
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: cbb73a9796c5b108673fa2cccf754e5c68bb16dfcfecbca7e5de74733a9c7b00

Chicago Fed flow-consistent unemployment rate · level 4.17% · Oct 2026 · Released 5 Nov 2026 View print

Technical details

Official title: Chicago Fed flow-consistent unemployment rate
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: CFLMIFCR
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: 2026-11-04 11:56:34
Release date on committed row: 2026-11-05
Observation id: cf4cb93386882406447966fa573830c039d55dc5b764f745871412e8f16f1966

JOLTS layoffs and discharges rate, total nonfarm · level 1.00% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: JOLTS layoffs and discharges rate, total nonfarm
What it measures: This series measures JOLTS layoffs and discharges rate, total nonfarm · level.
Series: JTS000000000000000LDR
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: d2e029bb26724983575f885daea719ea57dd4ee26fc9a5a1fd2a257ea5c1774d

Unemployed new entrants · level 778 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Unemployed new entrants (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNS13023569
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: d4962f75e4cb897f4648418d99ba55305997e57eedbe9ddae4c53d0d910c6c09

Monthly change in the civilian labor force · m/m +421k · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Monthly change in the civilian labor force (mom change thousands)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: DELTA_LABOR_FORCE
Transformation: mom_change_thousands · mom change thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: derived
Observation id: db6d116e8dab443d378b36cb28228a9b93811451818e80dd94217d1f756d0e57

Structural breakeven employment, Board FEDS Note upper bound 10 thousand · Apr 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Structural breakeven employment, Board FEDS Note upper bound (thousands per month)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: FEDS_2026_04_02_BREAKEVEN_UPPER_BOUND
Transformation: thousands_per_month · thousands per month
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: 2026-04-02
Release date on committed row: 2026-04-02
Observation id: dd7ac741e025ccd63f367ccfa9f0078ec85684404b8aed355658d0240e00af23

Labor-force absorption · m/m +42k · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Labor-force absorption (mom change thousands)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: LABOR_FORCE_ABSORPTION
Transformation: mom_change_thousands · mom change thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: derived
Observation id: e56e504c19f1b3490dcb2c2fd9abfdae8e3d7fc9388b5f6185afc51f0b4809a2

JOLTS job openings, total nonfarm · level 7,523 thousand · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: JOLTS job openings, total nonfarm (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: JTS000000000000000JOL
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: ea1f8fd9d5fd34f447c5c65ee0ad33dc1ecb3a3f13b007e9c3c532bce3f96c58

Chicago Fed unemployment nowcast, advance-to-final revision -0.05 percentage points · Oct 2026 · Released 5 Nov 2026 View print

Technical details

Official title: Chicago Fed unemployment nowcast, advance-to-final revision (percentage points)
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: CFLMI_NOWCAST_ADVANCE_TO_FINAL
Transformation: percentage_points · percentage points
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: 2026-11-04 11:56:34
Release date on committed row: 2026-11-05
Observation id: ea76dd3a8a520e515aecf241e60eddd9e33b4c70b7c529a5a52a64ae5bbc27ed

Insured unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted, revised · level Revised 1.10% · 2026-10-17 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Insured unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted, revised
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: ETA539_IUR_SA
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: revised
Vintage: 2026-11-12
Observation id: eb3c199cd55ff303055671f0aef30962aa92760b53af546174f1941dc80b362b

Employment level, foreign born · level 32,062 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Employment level, foreign born (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNU02073395
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: efc8f5f86f00fb70a3e83c6cd1b270ac2821a2a2d7ffe9dfd0b56883222ecef3

CPS gross flow employed to not in labor force · level 4,872 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: CPS gross flow employed to not in labor force (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNS17800000
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: f3a0efd287e97c0cbbc63a05103cfc2be72b8e04e4bf04bae90185e78ebeedef

Initial unemployment insurance claims · level Revised 195,000 · 2026-10-17 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Initial unemployment insurance claims, seasonally adjusted, revised
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: ETA539_INITIAL_CLAIMS_SA
Transformation: level · level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: revised
Vintage: 2026-11-12
Observation id: fad682aca237231790107fb4c76e2ca1c42dfd02d8ce50b07cd25409455763bf

Monthly change in household employment · m/m +463k · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Monthly change in household employment (mom change thousands)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: DELTA_HOUSEHOLD_EMPLOYMENT
Transformation: mom_change_thousands · mom change thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: derived
Observation id: fb4c082bb0783d8f9ee827e9f56f816f99cce202af21629d0d3471e363c52d2c

Payroll change minus sourced structural breakeven 155 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Payroll change minus sourced structural breakeven
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: PAYROLL_VS_BREAKEVEN
Transformation: thousands · thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: derived
Observation id: fce2535cca2328dc8cc9f88508d2815edc6ead43fc05fa7fcd7e8a03be81366f

Employment-population ratio · level 59.30% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Employment-population ratio
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNS12300000
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: ff03213c46ff762c955e9d2b3e77959febcab56323c7493e8c52b9126c0c72e9

US employment context

Context only. Weight 0. Does not change the calibrated US Labor score.

Forecast

Chicago Fed flow-consistent unemployment rate · 4.17 · 2026-10

Chicago Fed hiring rate for unemployed workers (job-finding rate) · 46.18 · 2026-10

Chicago Fed unemployment nowcast, advance-to-final revision · -0.05 · 2026-10

Chicago Fed layoffs and other separations rate · 2.01 · 2026-10

Chicago Fed real-time unemployment rate forecast, advance 50th percentile · 4.19 · 2026-10

Chicago Fed real-time unemployment rate forecast, final 50th percentile · 4.14 · 2026-10

Current labor-market flows

Continued unemployment insurance claims, seasonally adjusted, advance · 1697000.00 · 2026-10-31

Continued unemployment insurance claims, seasonally adjusted, revised · 1695000.00 · 2026-10-17

Employment-population ratio · 59.30 · 2026-10

CPS gross flow employed to not in labor force · 4872.00 · 2026-10

CPS gross flow employed to unemployed · 1561.00 · 2026-10

CPS gross flow not in labor force to employed · 5026.00 · 2026-10

CPS gross flow not in labor force to unemployed · 1811.00 · 2026-10

CPS gross flow unemployed to employed · 1865.00 · 2026-10

CPS gross flow unemployed to not in labor force · 1559.00 · 2026-10

Civilian employment (household survey) · 163615.00 · 2026-10

Initial unemployment insurance claims, seasonally adjusted, advance · 200000.00 · 2026-11-07

Initial claims, 4-week moving average, seasonally adjusted, advance · 195250.00 · 2026-11-07

Initial claims, 4-week moving average, seasonally adjusted, revised · 198000.00 · 2026-10-17

Revised initial claims as a percent of UI-covered employment · 0.13 · 2026-10-17

Initial unemployment insurance claims, seasonally adjusted, revised · 195000.00 · 2026-10-17

Insured unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted, advance · 1.10 · 2026-10-31

Insured unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted, revised · 1.10 · 2026-10-17

JOLTS hires, total nonfarm · 5402.00 · 2026-09

JOLTS hires rate, total nonfarm · 3.40 · 2026-09

JOLTS layoffs and discharges, total nonfarm · 1641.00 · 2026-09

JOLTS layoffs and discharges rate, total nonfarm · 1.00 · 2026-09

JOLTS job openings, total nonfarm · 7523.00 · 2026-09

JOLTS job openings rate, total nonfarm · 4.50 · 2026-09

JOLTS quits, total nonfarm · 3365.00 · 2026-09

JOLTS quits rate, total nonfarm · 2.10 · 2026-09

Civilian labor force · 170683.00 · 2026-10

Prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate · 83.70 · 2026-10

Unemployed level (household survey) · 7068.00 · 2026-10

Unemployed job leavers · 766.00 · 2026-10

Unemployed job losers and persons who completed temporary jobs · 3166.00 · 2026-10

Unemployed new entrants · 778.00 · 2026-10

Unemployed job losers on temporary layoff · 766.00 · 2026-10

Unemployed reentrants · 2297.00 · 2026-10

Unrounded U-3 unemployment rate · 4.14 · 2026-10

Labor-supply regime

Structural breakeven employment, Board FEDS Note upper bound · 10.00 · 2026-04

Employment level, foreign born · 32062.00 · 2026-10

Employment level, native born · 132121.00 · 2026-10

Monthly change in the labor force (supply) · 421.00 · 2026-10

Civilian labor force, foreign born · 33121.00 · 2026-10

Civilian labor force, native born · 137785.00 · 2026-10

Labor force participation rate · 61.90 · 2026-10

Civilian noninstitutional population · 275682.00 · 2026-10

Monthly change in civilian noninstitutional population · 128.00 · 2026-10

Civilian noninstitutional population, foreign born · 49786.00 · 2026-10

Civilian noninstitutional population, native born · 225896.00 · 2026-10

Corroborating data

ADP national employment: license gap. ADP National Employment Report is not available on a stable public redistribution. FRED ADP series are not treated as a substitute.

Challenger job-cut announcements: license gap. Challenger, Gray & Christmas announcements are not available on a stable official machine-readable feed.

Conference Board jobs hard to get: license gap. Conference Board jobs-hard-to-get share is licensed. No production feed is configured.

Conference Board jobs plentiful: license gap. Conference Board jobs-plentiful share is licensed. No production feed is configured.

Conference Board labor differential: license gap. Conference Board labor differential (plentiful minus hard to get) is licensed. No production feed is configured.

ISM manufacturing employment index · 52.40 · 2026-10

Post-print attribution

Accounting: the change in unemployment equals labor-force change minus household-employment change (unemployment change -41 (thousands); labor force 421; household employment 463; absorption 42; identity residual 1). Diagnostic channels are not an additive decomposition.

Diagnostic: entrants and reentrants · -32.00 · 2026-10

Diagnostic: change in job losers · -34.00 · 2026-10

Unemployment identity residual · 1.00 · 2026-10

Accounting imbalance (employment change minus labor-force change) · 42.00 · 2026-10

Diagnostic: weak job finding · -7.00 · 2026-10

Unrounded U-3 minus final Chicago Fed nowcast · 0.00 · 2026-10

Monthly change in household employment · 463.00 · 2026-10

Monthly change in the civilian labor force · 421.00 · 2026-10

Monthly change in the unemployed level · -41.00 · 2026-10

Labor-force absorption · 42.00 · 2026-10

All employees, total nonfarm (CES level) · 159293.00 · 2026-10

Payroll change minus sourced structural breakeven · 155.00 · 2026-10

ActivityLevel 56.8/100 neutral

Impulse↑ warming +7.21vs prior print

Domestic demand through 2026 Q3 · Services surveys through Oct 2026 · Manufacturing surveys through Oct 2026

Level 56.8 is driven mainly by Domestic demand (+4.80 points, warming impulse +12.00) and Services surveys (+1.38 points, cooling impulse -0.40); dimension impulse is warming (+7.21 vs prior print).

Hard score inputs

How the level adds up 56.77 = 50 +4.80 domestic demand +1.38 services surveys +0.58 manufacturing surveys

ISM Services PMI · diffusion +1.38 points in Activity

Score uses 54.9: average of 3 months, Aug–Oct 2026: 55.4, 54.9, 54.5.

Latest print 54.5 · Oct 2026 · Released 4 Nov 2026.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 54.93
Component weight: 0.28
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: ISM Services PMI (diffusion index)
What it measures: A business survey of activity. Readings above 50 mean more firms report expansion than contraction.
Series: NMFBAI
Transformation: diffusion_index · diffusion index
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-11-04
Observation id: 1f52a75e7963ab9f370ef1ee4274debd5786ca102b9cf6c96c7016052552a444

ISM Manufacturing PMI · diffusion +0.58 points in Activity

Score uses 54.9: average of 3 months, Aug–Oct 2026: 54.6, 54.5, 55.5.

Latest print 55.5 · Oct 2026 · Released 2 Nov 2026.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 54.87
Component weight: 0.12
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: ISM Manufacturing PMI (diffusion index)
What it measures: A business survey of activity. Readings above 50 mean more firms report expansion than contraction.
Series: NAPM
Transformation: diffusion_index · diffusion index
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-11-02
Observation id: 7609bc28b0351dbd878adee0dc35e9ddfd439f6a508293a193afc14abb838a72

Real GDP · annualised +4.80 points in Activity

Score uses +2.80%: average of 2 quarters, Q2–Q3 2026: +2.20%, +3.40%.

Latest print +3.40% · Q3 2026 · Released 29 Oct 2026.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 58.00
Component weight: 0.60
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Real Gross Domestic Product, Percent Change from Preceding Period, Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate (saar pct)
What it measures: How fast the economy is growing.
Series: A191RL1Q225SBEA
Transformation: saar_pct · saar pct
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-10-29
Observation id: bbb83702cd91f2f4265354e6135b51bc2a1da81ea9af5ec50c7d5a66f0a45d37
Scored series: A191RL1Q225SBEA

How to read: 50 = structural/policy neutral anchor. Points show how far each input pulls the stored level away from 50. Context rows below do not feed the score.

Context / corroboration · not score inputs

No context rows for this topic.

ConsumerLevel 45.4/100 neutral

Impulse↑ warming +1.19vs prior print

Retail through Sep 2026 · Income through Sep 2026 · Spending through Sep 2026 · Confidence through Nov 2026

Level 45.4 is driven mainly by Confidence (-7.25 points, warming impulse +3.00) and Retail (+2.18 points, warming impulse +7.57); dimension impulse is warming (+1.19 vs prior print).

Hard score inputs

How the level adds up 45.42 = 50 +2.18 retail -0.28 income +0.78 spending -7.25 confidence

Advance Retail Sales: Retail Trade and Food Services, Total · m/m +2.18 points in Consumer

Score uses +0.55%: average of 3 months, Jul–Sep 2026: -0.41%, +1.29%, +0.77%.

Latest print +0.77% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 58.70
Component weight: 0.25
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Advance Retail Sales: Retail Trade and Food Services, Total (monthly percent change)
What it measures: How fast retail sales are growing.
Series: RSAFS
Transformation: mom_sa_pct · monthly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 18f7c1d6707b311fd01d62b2edef8644c3410f0b50befb597c0b0680de9ed81e
Scored series: RSAFS

Disposable Personal Income · m/m -0.28 points in Consumer

Score uses +0.31%: average of 3 months, Jul–Sep 2026: +0.36%, +0.33%, +0.22%.

Latest print +0.22% · Sep 2026 · Released 29 Oct 2026.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 48.89
Component weight: 0.25
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Disposable Personal Income (monthly percent change)
What it measures: How fast household income is growing.
Series: DSPI
Transformation: mom_sa_pct · monthly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-10-29
Observation id: 3103199af599cbd1aabd9a7cc8b367462e7ed17e9937b2d621fc7ef0e71dfcda
Scored series: DSPI

Consumer sentiment -7.25 points in Consumer

Score uses 51.0: the Nov 2026 print.

Latest print 51.0 · Nov 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 21.00
Component weight: 0.25
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (index level)
What it measures: How households say they feel about the economy.
Series: UMCSENT
Transformation: index_level · index level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: preliminary
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 3884fe1a1311b84d47ef2c1fc26196f9dfd382e2e3b85a81123dce23ae6a360b
Scored series: UMCSENT

Real Personal Consumption Expenditures · m/m +0.78 points in Consumer

Score uses +0.24%: average of 3 months, Jul–Sep 2026: +0.17%, +0.55%, +0.02%.

Latest print +0.02% · Sep 2026 · Released 29 Oct 2026.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 53.10
Component weight: 0.25
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Real Personal Consumption Expenditures (monthly percent change)
What it measures: How fast household spending is growing.
Series: PCEC96
Transformation: mom_sa_pct · monthly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-10-29
Observation id: fe684212ba3e94ebb4299a5adb4954616a5b71d5e597518a39fcc2c1425ccf59
Scored series: PCEC96

How to read: 50 = structural/policy neutral anchor. Points show how far each input pulls the stored level away from 50. Context rows below do not feed the score.

Context / corroboration · not score inputs

Consumer sentiment +11.52% · Jul 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (monthly percent change)
What it measures: How households say they feel about the economy.
Series: UMCSENT
Transformation: mom_sa_pct · monthly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 3431a6405b2291fd78209c1dfd9b7fa7662713b01267bbede8fdb153d166d423

September base-page snapshot — not refreshed; figures may be superseded by the dated evidence above

Temperature

UNITED STATES

NEUTRAL

WARMING

ColdCoolNeutralWarmHot

Consumer / Demand

Labor remains firm enough to sustain demand. Core PCE is still above target, though the most recent 3-month run rate is cooler than the 6- and 9-month pace. Private domestic demand was materially stronger than headline Q2 GDP.

Core PCE

3.3%

Core CPI

2.4%

Payrolls

+162k

Unemployment

4.1%

Core PCE momentum · annualized

3.0%

3.5%

3.6%

12m

3.3%

Labor Momentum

	3m	6m	9m	12m
Unemployment avg	4.1%	4.2%	4.3%	4.3%
Payroll avg / month	+71k	+107k	+70k	+50k

Policy / Transmission

Fed target range: 3.75%-4.00% (Federal Reserve policy decision, 28 Oct 2026, effective 29 Oct 2026). The mix is still restrictive, but the dashboard should distinguish a cooling short-run core-inflation pace from a labor market that has not rolled over.

Remaining Country Evidence

Revised initial claims as a percent of UI-covered employment · level

Revised · 0.13% · 2026-10-17 · no recorded release date · Context only · Revised · Ingested 12 Nov 2026

Revised initial claims as a percent of UI-covered employment was 0.13% in 2026-10-17, unchanged from 2026-10-10.

0.13% level-0.00 pp vs 2026-10-10

2026-10-170.13%no recorded release dateIngested 12 Nov 2026
2026-10-100.13%no recorded release date
2026-10-030.13%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

2026-08-012026-10-17

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
2026-10-17	0.13%	no recorded release date	Ingested 12 Nov 2026
2026-10-10	0.13%	no recorded release date	—
2026-10-03	0.13%	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-26	0.13%	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-19	0.13%	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-12	0.13%	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-05	0.13%	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-29	0.13%	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-22	0.13%	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-15	0.13%	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-08	0.14%	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-01	0.13%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.

Source: Market Watch

Technical details

Official title: Revised initial claims as a percent of UI-covered employment
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: INITIAL_CLAIMS_NORMALIZED
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: revised
Vintage: derived
Observation id: 019ec3622b285894233ff36f3d9e6b46697a0e9d490f7dde7213ef20bcdc7f3f

Initial claims · level

195,250 · 2026-11-07 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 13 Nov 2026

Initial claims was 195,250 in 2026-11-07, +0.26% from 2026-10-31.

195,250 level+0.26% vs 2026-10-31

2026-11-07195,250no recorded release dateIngested 13 Nov 2026
2026-10-31194,750no recorded release date
2026-10-24196,750no recorded release date

History, source and limits

2026-08-082026-11-07

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
2026-11-07	195,250	no recorded release date	Ingested 13 Nov 2026
2026-10-31	194,750	no recorded release date	—
2026-10-24	196,750	no recorded release date	—
2026-10-10	198,500	no recorded release date	—
2026-10-03	198,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-26	200,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-12	203,250	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-05	206,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-29	207,250	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-22	205,500	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-15	204,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-08	199,000	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.

Source: U.S. Department of Labor

Technical details

Official title: Initial claims, 4-week moving average, seasonally adjusted, advance
What it measures: This series measures Initial claims · level.
Series: ETA538_INITIAL_CLAIMS_SA4WK
Transformation: level · level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: advance
Vintage: 2026-11-12
Observation id: 04e2a3fa2921bfe70dd85be88f094dd365ba6d002c8eb4be98d3ea061301bfde

Employment level, native born · level

132,121 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Employment level, native born was 132,121 thousand in Oct 2026, -0.05% from Sep 2026.

132,121 thousand level-0.05% vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026132,121 thousandno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026132,185 thousandno recorded release date
Aug 2026131,887 thousandno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	132,121 thousand	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	132,185 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	131,887 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	132,315 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	131,997 thousand	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	131,426 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	131,132 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	130,791 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	130,985 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	130,108 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	132,608 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	133,264 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	133,150 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	132,474 thousand	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: Employment level, native born (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNU02073413
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 070acb72c2c2abdb1a584b3e66f26fa5c5bc5d8232b8914b711ca5bcba49d49e

Unemployed job leavers · level

766 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Unemployed job leavers was 766 thousand in Oct 2026, -9.35% from Sep 2026.

766 thousand level-9.35% vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026766 thousandno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026845 thousandno recorded release date
Aug 2026839 thousandno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	766 thousand	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	845 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	839 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	921 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	768 thousand	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	778 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	917 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	877 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	925 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	839 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	929 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	1,002 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	844 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	890 thousand	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: Unemployed job leavers (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNS13023653
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 100c16c76d83c908716bcc1e595850acc94b49c6f02cf982b8df0b107e00e913

Advance Retail Sales: Retail Trade and Food Services, Total · m/m

+0.77% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date · Consumer · Ingested 13 Nov 2026

Advance Retail Sales: Retail Trade and Food Services, Total rose 0.77% m/m in Sep 2026, after +1.29% in Aug 2026.

+0.77% m/m-0.52 pp vs Aug 2026

Sep 2026+0.77%no recorded release dateIngested 13 Nov 2026
Aug 2026+1.29%no recorded release datefirst recorded +1.24%
Jul 2026-0.41%no recorded release datefirst recorded -0.54%

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Sep 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Sep 2026	+0.77%	no recorded release date	Ingested 13 Nov 2026
Aug 2026	+1.29%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +1.24%
Jul 2026	-0.41%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded -0.54%
Jun 2026	+0.20%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.31%
May 2026	+1.04%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.93%
Apr 2026	+0.59%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.67%
Mar 2026	+1.66%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +1.72%
Feb 2026	+0.87%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.92%
Jan 2026	-0.62%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded -0.03%
Dec 2025	+0.11%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded -0.00%
Nov 2025	+0.67%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.50%
Oct 2025	-0.02%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded -0.16%
Sep 2025	+0.08%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.30%

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Technical details

Official title: Advance Retail Sales: Retail Trade and Food Services, Total (monthly percent change)
What it measures: How fast retail sales are growing.
Series: RSAFS
Transformation: mom_sa_pct · monthly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 18f7c1d6707b311fd01d62b2edef8644c3410f0b50befb597c0b0680de9ed81e

JOLTS layoffs and discharges, total nonfarm · level

1,641 thousand · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 4 Nov 2026

JOLTS layoffs and discharges, total nonfarm was 1,641 thousand in Sep 2026, -7.18% from Aug 2026.

1,641 thousand level-7.18% vs Aug 2026

Sep 20261,641 thousandno recorded release dateIngested 4 Nov 2026
Aug 20261,768 thousandno recorded release datefirst recorded 1,641 thousand
Jul 20261,702 thousandno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Sep 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Sep 2026	1,641 thousand	no recorded release date	Ingested 4 Nov 2026
Aug 2026	1,768 thousand	no recorded release date	—	first recorded 1,641 thousand
Jul 2026	1,702 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	1,785 thousand	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	1,761 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	1,667 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	1,884 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	1,714 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	1,660 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	1,666 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	1,660 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	1,891 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	1,816 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	1,832 thousand	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: JOLTS layoffs and discharges, total nonfarm (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: JTS000000000000000LDL
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 1beb2a1595334d2a53b36d2c9ce63bb50b9996c3d07c067fff6590601f84527f

ISM Services PMI · diffusion

54.5 · Oct 2026 · Released 4 Nov 2026 · Activity · Ingested 5 Nov 2026

ISM Services PMI was 54.5 in Oct 2026, above the 50 no-change line: more respondents report increases than decreases; down 0.4 pts from Sep 2026.

54.5 diffusion-0.4 pts vs Sep 2026

Oct 202654.54 Nov 2026Ingested 5 Nov 2026
Sep 202654.95 Oct 2026
Aug 202655.4no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Sep 2025line = 50Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	54.5	4 Nov 2026	Ingested 5 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	54.9	5 Oct 2026	—
Aug 2026	55.4	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	54.1	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	54.0	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	54.5	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	53.6	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	54.0	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	56.1	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	53.8	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	54.4	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	52.6	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	52.4	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	50.0	no recorded release date	—

Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: ISM

Technical details

Official title: ISM Services PMI (diffusion index)
What it measures: A business survey of activity. Readings above 50 mean more firms report expansion than contraction.
Series: NMFBAI
Transformation: diffusion_index · diffusion index
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-11-04
Observation id: 1f52a75e7963ab9f370ef1ee4274debd5786ca102b9cf6c96c7016052552a444

Continued unemployment insurance claims · level

1,697,000 · 2026-10-31 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 13 Nov 2026

Continued unemployment insurance claims was 1,697,000 in 2026-10-31, -1.22% from 2026-10-24.

1,697,000 level-1.22% vs 2026-10-24

2026-10-311,697,000no recorded release dateIngested 13 Nov 2026
2026-10-241,718,000no recorded release date
2026-10-171,701,000no recorded release date

History, source and limits

2026-08-152026-10-31

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
2026-10-31	1,697,000	no recorded release date	Ingested 13 Nov 2026
2026-10-24	1,718,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-10-17	1,701,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-10-10	1,728,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-10-03	1,710,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-26	1,716,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-19	1,701,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-12	1,719,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-05	1,730,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-29	1,774,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-22	1,779,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-15	1,778,000	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.

Source: U.S. Department of Labor

Technical details

Official title: Continued unemployment insurance claims, seasonally adjusted, advance
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: ETA538_CONTINUED_CLAIMS_SA
Transformation: level · level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: advance
Vintage: 2026-11-12
Observation id: 20cb765b5c4cbe1fa0198bb5e49a1bb435ad0b662c0b3181139d2d22a4b7e174

CPS gross flow not in labor force to employed · level

5,026 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

CPS gross flow not in labor force to employed was 5,026 thousand in Oct 2026, +10.10% from Sep 2026.

5,026 thousand level+10.10% vs Sep 2026

Oct 20265,026 thousandno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 20264,565 thousandno recorded release date
Aug 20264,905 thousandno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Jul 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	5,026 thousand	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	4,565 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	4,905 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	4,600 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	4,315 thousand	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	4,696 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	4,597 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	4,529 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	4,380 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	4,150 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	4,757 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	4,890 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	4,714 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2025	4,385 thousand	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: CPS gross flow not in labor force to employed (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNS17200000
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 21d22ea169ffcec5a1e76984dca105b2589f89ae67df42028a24252bfc8262a2

Nonfarm payrolls · monthly change

Due · 159,075 thousand · Aug 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

Nonfarm payrolls was 159,075 thousand in Aug 2026, +0.10% from Jul 2026.

159,075 thousand+0.10% vs Jul 2026

Aug 2026159,075 thousandno recorded release dateIngested 21 Sep 2026
Jul 2026158,913 thousandno recorded release date
Jun 2026158,892 thousandno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Aug 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Aug 2026	159,075 thousand	no recorded release date	Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Jul 2026	158,913 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	158,892 thousand	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	158,861 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	158,798 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	158,650 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	158,436 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	158,592 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	158,432 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	158,449 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	158,408 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	158,548 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	158,472 thousand	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: All Employees, Total Nonfarm (thousands sa)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: PAYEMS
Transformation: thousands_sa · thousands sa
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 21e9412c3235b3a07a69b0550f27cf93d45b0986efce070d28e892942dff9260

Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private

Due · 36.62 USD per hour · Aug 2025 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private was 36.62 USD per hour in Aug 2025.

36.62 USD per hour

History, source and limits

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Aug 2025	36.62 USD per hour	no recorded release date	Ingested 21 Sep 2026

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 1 month of this series is committed; the chart would normally show 12.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private
What it measures: How fast pay is growing.
Series: CES0500000003
Transformation: USD per hour · USD per hour
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 28911a71b782d1b8c2928ea31d0747fab5327ee994b5a0b5294b8e83519a27cb

Civilian labor force, foreign born · level

33,121 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Civilian labor force, foreign born was 33,121 thousand in Oct 2026, +2.61% from Sep 2026.

33,121 thousand level+2.61% vs Sep 2026

Oct 202633,121 thousandno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 202632,279 thousandno recorded release date
Aug 202631,860 thousandno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	33,121 thousand	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	32,279 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	31,860 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	31,516 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	31,872 thousand	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	32,612 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	32,851 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	33,401 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	32,711 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	33,058 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	32,426 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	32,205 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	32,073 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	32,239 thousand	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: Civilian labor force, foreign born (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNU01073395
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 292fddca4aa2c6655e951c573241743f882b3271351a8084e7b74289d74f1ca9

Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private · level

Due · 37.75 USD per hour · Aug 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private was 37.75 USD per hour in Aug 2026, +0.27% from Jul 2026.

37.75 USD per hour level+0.27% vs Jul 2026

Aug 202637.75 USD per hourno recorded release dateIngested 21 Sep 2026
Jul 202637.65 USD per hourno recorded release date
Jun 202637.59 USD per hourno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Aug 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Aug 2026	37.75 USD per hour	no recorded release date	Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Jul 2026	37.65 USD per hour	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	37.59 USD per hour	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	37.49 USD per hour	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	37.41 USD per hour	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	37.35 USD per hour	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	37.27 USD per hour	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	37.15 USD per hour	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	37.02 USD per hour	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	37.00 USD per hour	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	36.85 USD per hour	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	36.70 USD per hour	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private (index level)
What it measures: How fast pay is growing.
Series: CES0500000003
Transformation: index_level · index level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 2b3d4fba3078b8fa3132fd4b41c42f51da15f1f5820c653324b680b1fc0065f4

CPS gross flow unemployed to not in labor force · level

1,559 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

CPS gross flow unemployed to not in labor force was 1,559 thousand in Oct 2026, +11.52% from Sep 2026.

1,559 thousand level+11.52% vs Sep 2026

Oct 20261,559 thousandno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 20261,398 thousandno recorded release date
Aug 20261,521 thousandno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Jul 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	1,559 thousand	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	1,398 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	1,521 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	1,712 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	1,839 thousand	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	1,613 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	1,750 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	1,768 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	1,647 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	1,734 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	1,740 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	1,705 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	1,711 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2025	1,644 thousand	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: CPS gross flow unemployed to not in labor force (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNS17900000
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 2b6639a022db4098d2860267320d98a78f2bc5c5b1328fb950e4260d78fcfa03

JOLTS hires rate, total nonfarm · level

3.40% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 4 Nov 2026

JOLTS hires rate, total nonfarm was 3.40% in Sep 2026, up 0.10 pp from Aug 2026.

3.40% level+0.10 pp vs Aug 2026

Sep 20263.40%no recorded release dateIngested 4 Nov 2026
Aug 20263.30%no recorded release date
Jul 20263.20%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Sep 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Sep 2026	3.40%	no recorded release date	Ingested 4 Nov 2026
Aug 2026	3.30%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	3.20%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	3.40%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	3.30%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	3.30%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	3.50%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	3.10%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	3.40%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	3.30%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	3.20%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	3.30%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	3.30%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	3.20%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: JOLTS hires rate, total nonfarm
What it measures: This series measures JOLTS hires rate, total nonfarm · level.
Series: JTS000000000000000HIR
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 2e49a5da812a841a8a278677de7fea8f9ca0a17f1d886d172ffa8eefd24017eb

Disposable Personal Income · m/m

+0.22% · Sep 2026 · Released 29 Oct 2026 · Consumer · Ingested 13 Nov 2026

Disposable Personal Income rose 0.22% m/m in Sep 2026, after +0.33% in Aug 2026.

+0.22% m/m-0.12 pp vs Aug 2026

Sep 2026+0.22%29 Oct 2026Ingested 13 Nov 2026
Aug 2026+0.33%no recorded release date
Jul 2026+0.36%no recorded release datefirst recorded +0.53%

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Sep 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Sep 2026	+0.22%	29 Oct 2026	Ingested 13 Nov 2026
Aug 2026	+0.33%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	+0.36%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.53%
Jun 2026	+0.26%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.21%
May 2026	+0.77%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.72%
Apr 2026	+0.05%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.01%
Mar 2026	+0.72%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.55%
Feb 2026	+0.14%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded -0.06%
Jan 2026	+0.93%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.99%
Dec 2025	+0.36%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.24%
Nov 2025	+0.38%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.21%
Oct 2025	+0.01%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded -0.12%
Sep 2025	+0.40%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.36%

Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BEA

Technical details

Official title: Disposable Personal Income (monthly percent change)
What it measures: How fast household income is growing.
Series: DSPI
Transformation: mom_sa_pct · monthly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-10-29
Observation id: 3103199af599cbd1aabd9a7cc8b367462e7ed17e9937b2d621fc7ef0e71dfcda

Chicago Fed hiring rate for unemployed workers (job-finding rate) · level

46.18% · Oct 2026 · Released 5 Nov 2026 · Context only · Ingested 6 Nov 2026

Chicago Fed hiring rate for unemployed workers (job-finding rate) was 46.18% in Oct 2026, up 0.70 pp from Sep 2026.

46.18% level+0.70 pp vs Sep 2026

Oct 202646.18%5 Nov 2026Ingested 6 Nov 2026first recorded 45.34%
Sep 202645.48%no recorded release datefirst recorded 45.73%
Aug 202644.72%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

May 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Oct 2026	46.18%	5 Nov 2026	Ingested 6 Nov 2026	first recorded 45.34%
Sep 2026	45.48%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded 45.73%
Aug 2026	44.72%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	45.18%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	44.03%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	45.27%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	45.21%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	44.49%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	45.56%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	44.43%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	44.91%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	44.27%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	44.44%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	44.07%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	44.90%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2025	45.07%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2025	45.18%	no recorded release date	—
May 2025	45.51%	no recorded release date	—

Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Technical details

Official title: Chicago Fed hiring rate for unemployed workers (job-finding rate)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: CFLMIHIRINGRATEUW
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: 2026-11-04 11:56:34
Release date on committed row: 2026-11-05
Observation id: 312f1203a0ae899fb087b8e40c573bdf4be5dc83fdb4a0579dd339bd2351d04f

Consumer sentiment

+11.52% · Jul 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

Consumer sentiment rose 11.52% m/m in Jul 2026, after +10.49% in Jun 2026.

+11.52% m/m+1.02 pp vs Jun 2026

Jul 2026+11.52%no recorded release dateIngested 21 Sep 2026
Jun 2026+10.49%no recorded release date
May 2026-10.04%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Jul 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Jul 2026	+11.52%	no recorded release date	Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Jun 2026	+10.49%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	-10.04%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	-6.57%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	-5.83%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	+0.35%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	+6.62%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	+3.73%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	-4.85%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	-2.72%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	-5.33%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 11 months of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers

Technical details

Official title: University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (monthly percent change)
What it measures: How households say they feel about the economy.
Series: UMCSENT
Transformation: mom_sa_pct · monthly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 3431a6405b2291fd78209c1dfd9b7fa7662713b01267bbede8fdb153d166d423

JOLTS quits, total nonfarm · level

3,365 thousand · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 4 Nov 2026

JOLTS quits, total nonfarm was 3,365 thousand in Sep 2026, +10.55% from Aug 2026.

3,365 thousand level+10.55% vs Aug 2026

Sep 20263,365 thousandno recorded release dateIngested 4 Nov 2026
Aug 20263,044 thousandno recorded release datefirst recorded 3,066 thousand
Jul 20263,089 thousandno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Sep 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Sep 2026	3,365 thousand	no recorded release date	Ingested 4 Nov 2026
Aug 2026	3,044 thousand	no recorded release date	—	first recorded 3,066 thousand
Jul 2026	3,089 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	3,213 thousand	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	3,153 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	3,043 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	3,160 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	3,046 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	3,131 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	3,225 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	3,119 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	2,980 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	2,990 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	3,095 thousand	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: JOLTS quits, total nonfarm (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: JTS000000000000000QUL
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 37828c201342b2f80d429dc2014c799999728a05b6ec1c47ea7b14f59d464596

Consumer sentiment

Revised · 51.0 · Nov 2026 · no recorded release date · Consumer · Preliminary · Ingested 13 Nov 2026

Consumer sentiment was 51.0 in Nov 2026, up 3.0 pts from Oct 2026.

51.0 level+3.0 pts vs Oct 2026

Nov 202651.0no recorded release dateIngested 13 Nov 2026
Oct 202648.0no recorded release date
Sep 202648.1no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Nov 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Nov 2026	51.0	no recorded release date	Ingested 13 Nov 2026
Oct 2026	48.0	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2026	48.1	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	51.7	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	55.2	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	49.5	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	44.8	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	49.8	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	53.3	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	56.6	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	56.4	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	52.9	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	51.0	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	53.6	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	55.1	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	58.2	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers

Technical details

Official title: University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (index level)
What it measures: How households say they feel about the economy.
Series: UMCSENT
Transformation: index_level · index level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: preliminary
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 3884fe1a1311b84d47ef2c1fc26196f9dfd382e2e3b85a81123dce23ae6a360b

Monthly change in the labor force (supply) · m/m

+421k · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Monthly change in the labor force (supply) rose 421k in Oct 2026, after +485k in Sep 2026.

+421k m/m-64.00k vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026+421kno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026+485kno recorded release date
Aug 2026+683kno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	+421k	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	+485k	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	+683k	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	-264k	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	-720k	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+83k	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	-92k	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	-396k	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	+18k	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	-1030k	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	-46k	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+280k	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+511k	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	+338k	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Market Watch

Technical details

Official title: Monthly change in the labor force (supply) (mom change thousands)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: LABOR_FORCE_CHANGE
Transformation: mom_change_thousands · mom change thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: derived
Observation id: 394d6952397a93b94c4a6abef68a6e9437cb16466d161f34c195f148056370d5

Diagnostic: weak job finding · m/m

-7k · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Diagnostic: weak job finding fell 7k in Oct 2026, after -137k in Sep 2026.

-7k m/m+130.00k vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026-7kno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026-137kno recorded release date
Aug 2026-45kno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Jun 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	-7k	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	-137k	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	-45k	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	+95k	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	+58k	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	-93k	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	+146k	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	-194k	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	+144k	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	+218k	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	-34k	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	+87k	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2025	+119k	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2025	-211k	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Market Watch

Technical details

Official title: Diagnostic: weak job finding (mom change thousands)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: ATTR_WEAK_JOB_FINDING
Transformation: mom_change_thousands · mom change thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: derived
Observation id: 433569193a6b3fc0010ebebcc48d25c30b167e22fd8c90b47a9986f712c54f07

Unemployment identity residual · m/m

+1k · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Unemployment identity residual rose 1k in Oct 2026, after -1k in Sep 2026.

+1k m/m+2.00k vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026+1kno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026-1kno recorded release date
Aug 2026+1kno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	+1k	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	-1k	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	+1k	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	-1k	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	0k	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	0k	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	0k	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	0k	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	0k	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	0k	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	0k	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	0k	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	0k	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	0k	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Market Watch

Technical details

Official title: Unemployment identity residual (mom change thousands)
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: ATTR_LABOR_FORCE_EXIT
Transformation: mom_change_thousands · mom change thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: derived
Observation id: 4370665911ac56c62f1681f4c45ba5ba1302cc7f0b9e2957064b55f96da58e14

Chicago Fed real-time unemployment rate forecast · level

4.19% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 30 Oct 2026

Chicago Fed real-time unemployment rate forecast was 4.19% in Oct 2026, up 0.06 pp from Sep 2026.

4.19% level+0.06 pp vs Sep 2026

Oct 20264.19%no recorded release dateIngested 30 Oct 2026
Sep 20264.13%no recorded release date
Aug 20264.10%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	4.19%	no recorded release date	Ingested 30 Oct 2026
Sep 2026	4.13%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	4.10%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	4.13%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	4.33%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	4.32%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	4.23%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	4.46%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	4.28%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	4.35%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	4.56%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	4.44%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	4.35%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	4.32%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Technical details

Official title: Chicago Fed real-time unemployment rate forecast, advance 50th percentile
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: CFLMIFORECASTADV50
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: advance
Vintage: 2026-10-28 12:50:04
Release date on committed row: 2026-10-29
Observation id: 442fdb4b8af3e99d2f393c6205743b885caff50e8d995eece3864dcdab85e44b

JOLTS job openings rate, total nonfarm · level

4.50% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 4 Nov 2026

JOLTS job openings rate, total nonfarm was 4.50% in Sep 2026, up 0.20 pp from Aug 2026.

4.50% level+0.20 pp vs Aug 2026

Sep 20264.50%no recorded release dateIngested 4 Nov 2026
Aug 20264.30%no recorded release date
Jul 20264.40%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Sep 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Sep 2026	4.50%	no recorded release date	Ingested 4 Nov 2026
Aug 2026	4.30%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	4.40%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	4.30%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	4.50%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	4.60%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	4.20%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	4.20%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	4.40%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	4.00%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	4.10%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	4.30%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	4.30%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	4.20%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: JOLTS job openings rate, total nonfarm
What it measures: This series measures JOLTS job openings rate, total nonfarm · level.
Series: JTS000000000000000JOR
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 4a18143f083d59a5bd06b7e04fe8db677d871b7d4c3a0d871d919d9f06086566

JOLTS hires, total nonfarm · level

5,402 thousand · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 4 Nov 2026

JOLTS hires, total nonfarm was 5,402 thousand in Sep 2026, +2.49% from Aug 2026.

5,402 thousand level+2.49% vs Aug 2026

Sep 20265,402 thousandno recorded release dateIngested 4 Nov 2026
Aug 20265,271 thousandno recorded release datefirst recorded 5,192 thousand
Jul 20265,146 thousandno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Sep 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Sep 2026	5,402 thousand	no recorded release date	Ingested 4 Nov 2026
Aug 2026	5,271 thousand	no recorded release date	—	first recorded 5,192 thousand
Jul 2026	5,146 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	5,332 thousand	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	5,252 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	5,215 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	5,535 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	4,899 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	5,347 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	5,272 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	5,019 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	5,180 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	5,244 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	5,145 thousand	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: JOLTS hires, total nonfarm (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: JTS000000000000000HIL
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 4b2cc2efc9a5420ebe7a41336ded9ab2fe6223840a498e804732e6f707423850

Unemployment Rate · level

4.10% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Labor · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Unemployment Rate was 4.10% in Oct 2026, down 0.10 pp from Sep 2026.

4.10% level-0.10 pp vs Sep 2026

Oct 20264.10%no recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 20264.20%no recorded release date
Aug 20264.10%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	4.10%	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	4.20%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	4.10%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	4.10%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	4.20%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	4.30%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	4.30%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	4.30%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	4.40%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	4.30%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	4.40%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	4.50%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	4.40%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	4.30%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: Unemployment Rate
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: UNRATE
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 4d44dd112b01c2006ae28073dc836bc5ebf3cc66b3334c67181af895bf91f918

Civilian noninstitutional population, foreign born · level

49,786 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Civilian noninstitutional population, foreign born was 49,786 thousand in Oct 2026, +1.86% from Sep 2026.

49,786 thousand level+1.86% vs Sep 2026

Oct 202649,786 thousandno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 202648,875 thousandno recorded release date
Aug 202648,504 thousandno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	49,786 thousand	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	48,875 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	48,504 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	48,109 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	48,564 thousand	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	49,061 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	49,660 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	49,725 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	49,316 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	49,750 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	48,905 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	48,558 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	48,409 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	48,543 thousand	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: Civilian noninstitutional population, foreign born (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNU00073395
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 4e76ba5d7ffb60d7b0845d2880a5c3c2be709383041aef222f5dc74dd2ded59d

Initial claims · level

Revised · 198,000 · 2026-10-17 · no recorded release date · Context only · Revised · Ingested 12 Nov 2026

Initial claims was 198,000 in 2026-10-17, -0.38% from 2026-10-10.

198,000 level-0.38% vs 2026-10-10

2026-10-17198,000no recorded release dateIngested 12 Nov 2026
2026-10-10198,750no recorded release date
2026-10-03198,250no recorded release date

History, source and limits

2026-08-012026-10-17

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
2026-10-17	198,000	no recorded release date	Ingested 12 Nov 2026
2026-10-10	198,750	no recorded release date	—
2026-10-03	198,250	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-26	200,500	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-19	202,500	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-12	204,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-05	206,250	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-29	207,500	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-22	205,750	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-15	204,250	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-08	199,750	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-01	199,000	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.

Source: U.S. Department of Labor

Technical details

Official title: Initial claims, 4-week moving average, seasonally adjusted, revised
What it measures: This series measures Initial claims · level.
Series: ETA539_INITIAL_CLAIMS_SA4WK
Transformation: level · level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: revised
Vintage: 2026-11-12
Observation id: 548ad27c2f41862bd1b944250ca99ef6458ee5b58c32ff19d81cbc0365588b4f

ISM manufacturing employment index · diffusion

52.4 · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 3 Nov 2026

ISM manufacturing employment index was 52.4 in Oct 2026, above the 50 no-change line: more respondents report increases than decreases; down 0.3 pts from Sep 2026.

52.4 diffusion-0.3 pts vs Sep 2026

Oct 202652.4no recorded release dateIngested 3 Nov 2026
Sep 202652.7no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Oct 2026	52.4	no recorded release date	Ingested 3 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	52.7	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 2 months of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: ISM

Technical details

Official title: ISM manufacturing employment index (diffusion index)
What it measures: A business survey of activity. Readings above 50 mean more firms report expansion than contraction.
Series: ISM_MANUFACTURING_EMPLOYMENT
Transformation: diffusion_index · diffusion index
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 555ad00fce44e2ab052e5cbeacd75bac6d098aa890ddffaead245d77df775f0d

Diagnostic: change in job losers · m/m

-34k · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Diagnostic: change in job losers fell 34k in Oct 2026, after -45k in Sep 2026.

-34k m/m+11.00k vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026-34kno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026-45kno recorded release date
Aug 2026-64kno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	-34k	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	-45k	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	-64k	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	+31k	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	-107k	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	-126k	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	+108k	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	-217k	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	+125k	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	+22k	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	-87k	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+36k	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+77k	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	+35k	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Market Watch

Technical details

Official title: Diagnostic: change in job losers (mom change thousands)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: ATTR_JOB_LOSS
Transformation: mom_change_thousands · mom change thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: derived
Observation id: 559ad2e979728c1c91bbd6b1be07044c531fa536c7fb69527452b7ce02ba4b77

CPI All Items, seasonally adjusted · level

337.48 index 1982-84=100 · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 11 Nov 2026

CPI All Items, seasonally adjusted was 337.48 index 1982-84=100 in Oct 2026, +0.35% from Sep 2026.

337.48 index 1982-84=100 level+0.35% vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026337.48 index 1982-84=100no recorded release dateIngested 11 Nov 2026
Sep 2026336.30 index 1982-84=100no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Oct 2026	337.48 index 1982-84=100	no recorded release date	Ingested 11 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	336.30 index 1982-84=100	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 2 months of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: CPI All Items, seasonally adjusted (index level)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: CPIAUCSL
Transformation: index_level · index level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 55ab2e7aa74b6265644fb5224aa8593beedeb44d2cb025859239e0900571917a

JOLTS quits rate, total nonfarm · level

2.10% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 4 Nov 2026

JOLTS quits rate, total nonfarm was 2.10% in Sep 2026, up 0.20 pp from Aug 2026.

2.10% level+0.20 pp vs Aug 2026

Sep 20262.10%no recorded release dateIngested 4 Nov 2026
Aug 20261.90%no recorded release date
Jul 20261.90%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Sep 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Sep 2026	2.10%	no recorded release date	Ingested 4 Nov 2026
Aug 2026	1.90%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	1.90%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	2.00%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	2.00%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	1.90%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	2.00%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	1.90%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	2.00%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	2.00%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	2.00%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	1.90%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	1.90%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	2.00%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: JOLTS quits rate, total nonfarm
What it measures: This series measures JOLTS quits rate, total nonfarm · level.
Series: JTS000000000000000QUR
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 5c1ca05e0c930b46d587c05e5d34f011f92cfbcf55dc33e741c3e146ea8cfac1

Monthly change in civilian noninstitutional population · m/m

+128k · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Monthly change in civilian noninstitutional population rose 128k in Oct 2026, after +139k in Sep 2026.

+128k m/m-11.00k vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026+128kno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026+139kno recorded release date
Aug 2026+133kno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	+128k	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	+139k	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	+133k	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	+116k	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	+112k	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+99k	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	+97k	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	+92k	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	+90k	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	-140k	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	+183k	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+407k	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+225k	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	+216k	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Market Watch

Technical details

Official title: Monthly change in civilian noninstitutional population (mom change thousands)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: POPULATION_CHANGE
Transformation: mom_change_thousands · mom change thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: derived
Observation id: 5e858f57aefdb304cba7dbbf7dd6e8a579559756367c98cd9dbc424fe6b9eeda

Core PCE · level

130.66 index 2017=100 · Jul 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

Core PCE was 130.66 index 2017=100 in Jul 2026, +0.25% from Jun 2026.

130.66 index 2017=100 level+0.25% vs Jun 2026

Jul 2026130.66 index 2017=100no recorded release dateIngested 21 Sep 2026
Jun 2026130.34 index 2017=100no recorded release date
May 2026130.15 index 2017=100no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Jul 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Jul 2026	130.66 index 2017=100	no recorded release date	Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Jun 2026	130.34 index 2017=100	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	130.15 index 2017=100	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	129.68 index 2017=100	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	129.34 index 2017=100	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	128.96 index 2017=100	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	128.46 index 2017=100	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	127.89 index 2017=100	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	127.47 index 2017=100	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	127.24 index 2017=100	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	126.95 index 2017=100	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	126.71 index 2017=100	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BEA

Technical details

Official title: Personal Consumption Expenditures: Chain-type Price Index, Excluding Food and Energy (index level)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: PCEPILFE
Transformation: index_level · index level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 63a216dc8611db33d6094899edd0d47e600717733f4b6729ac13a4febe7ddb68

Civilian employment (household survey) · level

163,615 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Civilian employment (household survey) was 163,615 thousand in Oct 2026, +0.28% from Sep 2026.

163,615 thousand level+0.28% vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026163,615 thousandno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026163,152 thousandno recorded release date
Aug 2026162,746 thousandno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	163,615 thousand	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	163,152 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	162,746 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	162,177 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	162,264 thousand	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	162,771 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	162,622 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	162,848 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	162,912 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	163,097 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	163,992 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	163,760 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	163,656 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	163,370 thousand	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: Civilian employment (household survey) (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNS12000000
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 69966781b5a081a004b7c231dbdaaacfb1203ec944d8e2ff828b69387d05e5e8

Chicago Fed layoffs and other separations rate · level

2.01% · Oct 2026 · Released 5 Nov 2026 · Context only · Ingested 6 Nov 2026

Chicago Fed layoffs and other separations rate was 2.01% in Oct 2026, down 0.02 pp from Sep 2026.

2.01% level-0.02 pp vs Sep 2026

Oct 20262.01%5 Nov 2026Ingested 6 Nov 2026first recorded 2.03%
Sep 20262.03%no recorded release datefirst recorded 2.02%
Aug 20262.04%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

May 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Oct 2026	2.01%	5 Nov 2026	Ingested 6 Nov 2026	first recorded 2.03%
Sep 2026	2.03%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded 2.02%
Aug 2026	2.04%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	2.03%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	2.07%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	2.04%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	2.06%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	2.06%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	2.05%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	2.06%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	2.08%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	2.09%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	2.08%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	2.08%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	2.07%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2025	2.05%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2025	2.07%	no recorded release date	—
May 2025	2.06%	no recorded release date	—

Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Technical details

Official title: Chicago Fed layoffs and other separations rate
What it measures: This series measures Chicago Fed layoffs and other separations rate · level.
Series: CFLMILAYOFFSOTHERSEPSRATE
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: 2026-11-04 11:56:34
Release date on committed row: 2026-11-05
Observation id: 6d061467e4bab49f30d0d903f7cacb9d3b79875c2ef0992501eb1b00612db0fb

PPI Final Demand · level

287.45 index 2009-11=100 · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 30 Oct 2026

PPI Final Demand was 287.45 index 2009-11=100 in Sep 2026.

287.45 index 2009-11=100 level

History, source and limits

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Sep 2026	287.45 index 2009-11=100	no recorded release date	Ingested 30 Oct 2026

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 1 month of this series is committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: PPI Final Demand (index level)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: WPSFD49207
Transformation: index_level · index level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 6f59f0df73792719d137fd36b514e2bff0d7b43d68ca834eea207aee38d6a05a

Monthly change in the unemployed level · m/m

-41k · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Monthly change in the unemployed level fell 41k in Oct 2026, after +78k in Sep 2026.

-41k m/m-119.00k vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026-41kno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026+78kno recorded release date
Aug 2026+115kno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	-41k	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	+78k	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	+115k	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	-178k	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	-213k	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	-66k	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	+134k	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	-332k	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	+203k	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	-135k	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	-278k	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+176k	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+225k	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	+108k	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Market Watch

Technical details

Official title: Monthly change in the unemployed level (mom change thousands)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: DELTA_UNEMPLOYED
Transformation: mom_change_thousands · mom change thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: derived
Observation id: 71bb8adb8cee936820b5fe2c035540a7f5a5e070e049f184eb6b43d5b36f1300

CPS gross flow employed to unemployed · level

1,561 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

CPS gross flow employed to unemployed was 1,561 thousand in Oct 2026, +7.95% from Sep 2026.

1,561 thousand level+7.95% vs Sep 2026

Oct 20261,561 thousandno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 20261,446 thousandno recorded release date
Aug 20261,505 thousandno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Jul 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	1,561 thousand	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	1,446 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	1,505 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	1,261 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	1,599 thousand	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	1,454 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	1,715 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	1,380 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	1,623 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	1,501 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	1,651 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	1,733 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	1,596 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2025	1,730 thousand	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: CPS gross flow employed to unemployed (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNS17400000
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 7223991e28de9ec98d43c12a2ca47ae3deb7c83d2674fe168a757f18121d109d

ISM Manufacturing PMI · diffusion

55.5 · Oct 2026 · Released 2 Nov 2026 · Activity · Ingested 4 Nov 2026

ISM Manufacturing PMI was 55.5 in Oct 2026, above the 50 no-change line: more respondents report increases than decreases; up 1.0 pts from Sep 2026.

55.5 diffusion+1.0 pts vs Sep 2026

Oct 202655.52 Nov 2026Ingested 4 Nov 2026
Sep 202654.51 Oct 2026
Aug 202654.6no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Sep 2025line = 50Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	55.5	2 Nov 2026	Ingested 4 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	54.5	1 Oct 2026	—
Aug 2026	54.6	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	55.6	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	53.3	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	54.0	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	52.7	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	52.7	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	52.4	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	52.6	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	47.9	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	48.2	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	48.7	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	49.1	no recorded release date	—

Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: ISM

Technical details

Official title: ISM Manufacturing PMI (diffusion index)
What it measures: A business survey of activity. Readings above 50 mean more firms report expansion than contraction.
Series: NAPM
Transformation: diffusion_index · diffusion index
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-11-02
Observation id: 7609bc28b0351dbd878adee0dc35e9ddfd439f6a508293a193afc14abb838a72

All employees, total nonfarm (CES level) · level

159,293 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

All employees, total nonfarm (CES level) was 159,293 thousand in Oct 2026, +0.16% from Sep 2026.

159,293 thousand level+0.16% vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026159,293 thousandno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026159,044 thousandno recorded release date
Aug 2026159,015 thousandno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	159,293 thousand	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	159,044 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	159,015 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	158,882 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	158,892 thousand	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	158,861 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	158,798 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	158,650 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	158,436 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	158,592 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	158,432 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	158,449 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	158,408 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	158,548 thousand	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: All employees, total nonfarm (CES level) (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: CES0000000001
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 7a741ab9421773b81310cc731bde671cd249b309b8ec0dfdb66911b557d11676

Unemployed reentrants · level

2,297 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Unemployed reentrants was 2,297 thousand in Oct 2026, +0.35% from Sep 2026.

2,297 thousand level+0.35% vs Sep 2026

Oct 20262,297 thousandno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 20262,289 thousandno recorded release date
Aug 20262,137 thousandno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	2,297 thousand	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	2,289 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	2,137 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	2,123 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	2,237 thousand	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	2,209 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	2,282 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	2,254 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	2,320 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	2,168 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	2,337 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	2,600 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	2,336 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	2,302 thousand	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: Unemployed reentrants (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNS13023557
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 7ebd1d8206ac41fb20eb5a8d9950a91ce74be58d61e58fa4f2d7c990adef54f3

Initial unemployment insurance claims · level

200,000 · 2026-11-07 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 13 Nov 2026

Initial unemployment insurance claims was 200,000 in 2026-11-07, +5.82% from 2026-10-31.

200,000 level+5.82% vs 2026-10-31

2026-11-07200,000no recorded release dateIngested 13 Nov 2026
2026-10-31189,000no recorded release date
2026-10-24194,000no recorded release date

History, source and limits

2026-08-222026-11-07

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
2026-11-07	200,000	no recorded release date	Ingested 13 Nov 2026
2026-10-31	189,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-10-24	194,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-10-17	194,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-10-10	199,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-10-03	197,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-26	197,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-19	197,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-12	196,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-05	206,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-29	206,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-22	203,000	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.

Source: U.S. Department of Labor

Technical details

Official title: Initial unemployment insurance claims, seasonally adjusted, advance
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: ETA538_INITIAL_CLAIMS_SA
Transformation: level · level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: advance
Vintage: 2026-11-12
Observation id: 8273657734a83027ad1317a54fdfdb90a12ab0131059b24743cce25be9220485

Diagnostic: entrants and reentrants · m/m

-32k · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Diagnostic: entrants and reentrants fell 32k in Oct 2026, after +268k in Sep 2026.

-32k m/m-300.00k vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026-32kno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026+268kno recorded release date
Aug 2026-45kno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	-32k	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	+268k	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	-45k	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	-125k	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	-18k	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	-60k	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	+119k	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	-157k	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	+161k	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	-213k	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	-197k	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+225k	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+55k	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	-87k	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Market Watch

Technical details

Official title: Diagnostic: entrants and reentrants (mom change thousands)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: ATTR_ENTRANT_REENTRANT
Transformation: mom_change_thousands · mom change thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: derived
Observation id: 848e0a56e2a77040e5dc78a35695445af71f41aa452370bcb0c87b142202ef2d

Nonfarm payrolls · monthly change

Revised · +165k · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Labor · Preliminary · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Nonfarm payrolls rose 165k in Oct 2026, after +29k in Sep 2026.

+165k monthly change+136.00k vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026+165kno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026+29kno recorded release date
Aug 2026+162kno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	+165k	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	+29k	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	+162k	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	+21k	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	+31k	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+63k	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	+148k	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	+214k	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	-156k	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	+160k	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	-17k	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+41k	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	-140k	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+76k	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: All Employees, Total Nonfarm (mm change thousands sa)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: PAYEMS
Transformation: mm_change_thousands_sa · mm change thousands sa
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: preliminary
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 9608b854f2be5a1c6b72228d2d1e56d461e0351b712180c41b1e15206a519ef5

Unemployed job losers and persons who completed temporary jobs · level

3,166 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Unemployed job losers and persons who completed temporary jobs was 3,166 thousand in Oct 2026, -1.06% from Sep 2026.

3,166 thousand level-1.06% vs Sep 2026

Oct 20263,166 thousandno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 20263,200 thousandno recorded release date
Aug 20263,245 thousandno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	3,166 thousand	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	3,200 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	3,245 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	3,309 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	3,278 thousand	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	3,385 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	3,511 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	3,403 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	3,620 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	3,495 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	3,473 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	3,560 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	3,524 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	3,447 thousand	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: Unemployed job losers and persons who completed temporary jobs (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNS13023621
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 96f7851f90e0b34e9a47567b3c7fab8e0af57f0548f1d9e84f42c9413058d1da

Prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate · level

83.70% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate was 83.70% in Oct 2026, unchanged from Sep 2026.

83.70% level+0.00 pp vs Sep 2026

Oct 202683.70%no recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 202683.70%no recorded release date
Aug 202683.40%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	83.70%	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	83.70%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	83.40%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	83.40%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	83.30%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	83.90%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	83.80%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	83.80%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	83.90%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	84.00%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	83.80%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	83.80%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	83.70%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	83.70%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: Prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate
What it measures: This series measures Prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate · level.
Series: LNS11300060
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 9af4e4303bed37b0e3a05bf27f656c8396daf6bdd1f8e160869e80f0ac89c7d0

Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private · m/m

Due · +0.27% · Aug 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private rose 0.27% m/m in Aug 2026, after +0.16% in Jul 2026.

+0.27% m/m+0.11 pp vs Jul 2026

Aug 2026+0.27%no recorded release dateIngested 21 Sep 2026
Jul 2026+0.16%no recorded release date
Jun 2026+0.27%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Aug 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Aug 2026	+0.27%	no recorded release date	Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Jul 2026	+0.16%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	+0.27%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+0.21%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	+0.16%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	+0.21%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	+0.32%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	+0.35%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	+0.05%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+0.41%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	+0.41%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+0.22%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private (monthly percent change)
What it measures: How fast pay is growing.
Series: CES0500000003
Transformation: mom_sa_pct · monthly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 9dec1804f7886d9278502e5f65f561c955ca20fc65f9a847af631debbb2e303b

CPS gross flow not in labor force to unemployed · level

1,811 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

CPS gross flow not in labor force to unemployed was 1,811 thousand in Oct 2026, -4.08% from Sep 2026.

1,811 thousand level-4.08% vs Sep 2026

Oct 20261,811 thousandno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 20261,888 thousandno recorded release date
Aug 20261,834 thousandno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Jul 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	1,811 thousand	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	1,888 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	1,834 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	1,944 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	1,764 thousand	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	1,906 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	1,897 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	1,935 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	1,911 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	1,898 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	1,859 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	2,012 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	1,984 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2025	2,001 thousand	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: CPS gross flow not in labor force to unemployed (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNS17600000
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: a2b385b9e7bce366a2a0bf0a5ab96a3659428d6d54addb3998d1c1e4833538e3

Insured unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted, advance · level

1.10% · 2026-10-31 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 13 Nov 2026

Insured unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted, advance was 1.10% in 2026-10-31, unchanged from 2026-10-24.

1.10% level+0.00 pp vs 2026-10-24

2026-10-311.10%no recorded release dateIngested 13 Nov 2026
2026-10-241.10%no recorded release date
2026-10-171.10%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

2026-08-152026-10-31

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
2026-10-31	1.10%	no recorded release date	Ingested 13 Nov 2026
2026-10-24	1.10%	no recorded release date	—
2026-10-17	1.10%	no recorded release date	—
2026-10-10	1.10%	no recorded release date	—
2026-10-03	1.10%	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-26	1.10%	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-19	1.10%	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-12	1.10%	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-05	1.10%	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-29	1.20%	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-22	1.20%	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-15	1.20%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.

Source: U.S. Department of Labor

Technical details

Official title: Insured unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted, advance
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: ETA538_IUR_SA
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: advance
Vintage: 2026-11-12
Observation id: a7c16652569e97de9ddf1a393ed0f6cfe98f54a5d2649523f02c7089c49517ac

Accounting imbalance (employment change minus labor-force change) · m/m

+42k · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Accounting imbalance (employment change minus labor-force change) rose 42k in Oct 2026, after -79k in Sep 2026.

+42k m/m+121.00k vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026+42kno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026-79kno recorded release date
Aug 2026-114kno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	+42k	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	-79k	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	-114k	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	+177k	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	+213k	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+66k	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	-134k	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	+332k	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	-203k	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	+135k	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	+278k	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	-176k	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	-225k	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	-108k	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Market Watch

Technical details

Official title: Accounting imbalance (employment change minus labor-force change) (mom change thousands)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: ATTR_LABOR_FORCE_EXPANSION
Transformation: mom_change_thousands · mom change thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: derived
Observation id: a89c4778aad01b2424d0a81b37deaca7651bb98cb31ff541eab05b43b5b238d7

CPS gross flow unemployed to employed · level

1,865 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

CPS gross flow unemployed to employed was 1,865 thousand in Oct 2026, +0.38% from Sep 2026.

1,865 thousand level+0.38% vs Sep 2026

Oct 20261,865 thousandno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 20261,858 thousandno recorded release date
Aug 20261,721 thousandno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Jul 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	1,865 thousand	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	1,858 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	1,721 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	1,676 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	1,771 thousand	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	1,829 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	1,736 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	1,882 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	1,688 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	1,832 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	2,050 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	1,826 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	1,792 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2025	1,879 thousand	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: CPS gross flow unemployed to employed (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNS17100000
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: a98bbe6ae2c42dc0a62c5541d53f87e730388e502f3a935d7f9d06f88cc2803a

Labor force participation rate · level

61.90% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Labor force participation rate was 61.90% in Oct 2026, up 0.10 pp from Sep 2026.

61.90% level+0.10 pp vs Sep 2026

Oct 202661.90%no recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 202661.80%no recorded release date
Aug 202661.60%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	61.90%	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	61.80%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	61.60%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	61.40%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	61.50%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	61.80%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	61.80%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	61.90%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	62.00%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	62.10%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	62.40%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	62.50%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	62.50%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	62.30%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: Labor force participation rate
What it measures: This series measures Labor force participation rate · level.
Series: LNS11300000
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: aab52f88b3a7ae93ea4a9fb8d5d4158025799ebaddf51a6524606a6bc4926fdc

Unrounded U-3 unemployment rate · level

4.14% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Unrounded U-3 unemployment rate was 4.14% in Oct 2026, down 0.03 pp from Sep 2026.

4.14% level-0.03 pp vs Sep 2026

Oct 20264.14%no recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 20264.18%no recorded release date
Aug 20264.14%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	4.14%	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	4.18%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	4.14%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	4.09%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	4.19%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	4.30%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	4.34%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	4.26%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	4.44%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	4.32%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	4.38%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	4.54%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	4.44%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	4.32%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Market Watch

Technical details

Official title: Unrounded U-3 unemployment rate
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: UNROUNDED_U3
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: derived
Observation id: abd27bb6b657ea61b1263d9b33bff4ca33611743a59e60a659e432927c83de99

Civilian noninstitutional population, native born · level

225,896 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Civilian noninstitutional population, native born was 225,896 thousand in Oct 2026, -0.34% from Sep 2026.

225,896 thousand level-0.34% vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026225,896 thousandno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026226,678 thousandno recorded release date
Aug 2026226,911 thousandno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	225,896 thousand	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	226,678 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	226,911 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	227,173 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	226,602 thousand	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	225,993 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	225,295 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	225,133 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	225,450 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	224,925 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	225,911 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	226,075 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	225,817 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	225,458 thousand	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: Civilian noninstitutional population, native born (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNU00073413
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: ad43d076bfa16f9e447d4339e38203896869e738d8984fd77d6adf9a9930a7c0

Unemployed level (household survey) · level

7,068 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Unemployed level (household survey) was 7,068 thousand in Oct 2026, -0.58% from Sep 2026.

7,068 thousand level-0.58% vs Sep 2026

Oct 20267,068 thousandno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 20267,109 thousandno recorded release date
Aug 20267,031 thousandno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	7,068 thousand	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	7,109 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	7,031 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	6,916 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	7,094 thousand	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	7,307 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	7,373 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	7,239 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	7,571 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	7,368 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	7,503 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	7,781 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	7,605 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	7,380 thousand	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: Unemployed level (household survey) (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNS13000000
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: af09c1de0dd4a51cb6b7df6f236a4e8d5a7aac85484fe201d76a7ad1f848ae43

CPI less food and energy, SA · level

339.90 index 1982-84=100 · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 11 Nov 2026

CPI less food and energy, SA was 339.90 index 1982-84=100 in Oct 2026, +0.30% from Sep 2026.

339.90 index 1982-84=100 level+0.30% vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026339.90 index 1982-84=100no recorded release dateIngested 11 Nov 2026
Sep 2026338.90 index 1982-84=100no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Oct 2026	339.90 index 1982-84=100	no recorded release date	Ingested 11 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	338.90 index 1982-84=100	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 2 months of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: CPI less food and energy, SA (index level)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: CPILFESL
Transformation: index_level · index level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: b0d3efb852cd7ddef0c4c3bbfefa3e7d3673689099371e963a9ae8a3772f0e75

Chicago Fed real-time unemployment rate forecast · level

4.14% · Oct 2026 · Released 5 Nov 2026 · Context only · Ingested 6 Nov 2026

Chicago Fed real-time unemployment rate forecast was 4.14% in Oct 2026, up 0.04 pp from Sep 2026.

4.14% level+0.04 pp vs Sep 2026

Oct 20264.14%5 Nov 2026Ingested 6 Nov 2026
Sep 20264.10%29 Oct 2026
Aug 20264.08%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	4.14%	5 Nov 2026	Ingested 6 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	4.10%	29 Oct 2026	—
Aug 2026	4.08%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	4.11%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	4.36%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	4.34%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	4.24%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	4.49%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	4.27%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	4.36%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	4.56%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	4.44%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	4.36%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	4.34%	no recorded release date	—

Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Technical details

Official title: Chicago Fed real-time unemployment rate forecast, final 50th percentile
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: CFLMIFORECASTFIN50
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: 2026-11-04 11:56:34
Release date on committed row: 2026-11-05
Observation id: b276da2a7279e60b6d728d2f6b812948380e9f7967daf8ec3964d85a2716c29f

Unemployed job losers on temporary layoff · level

766 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Unemployed job losers on temporary layoff was 766 thousand in Oct 2026, +3.37% from Sep 2026.

766 thousand level+3.37% vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026766 thousandno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026741 thousandno recorded release date
Aug 2026914 thousandno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	766 thousand	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	741 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	914 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	793 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	776 thousand	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	916 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	844 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	898 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	867 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	1,038 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	832 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	861 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	860 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	785 thousand	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: Unemployed job losers on temporary layoff (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNS13023705
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: c004570a8620b3f1d8367d5491212392deaddb212559444ae5f2042e9f0197c8

Civilian labor force · level

170,683 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Civilian labor force was 170,683 thousand in Oct 2026, +0.25% from Sep 2026.

170,683 thousand level+0.25% vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026170,683 thousandno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026170,262 thousandno recorded release date
Aug 2026169,777 thousandno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	170,683 thousand	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	170,262 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	169,777 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	169,094 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	169,358 thousand	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	170,078 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	169,995 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	170,087 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	170,483 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	170,465 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	171,495 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	171,541 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	171,261 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	170,750 thousand	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: Civilian labor force (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNS11000000
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: c2da67c198563b89a3780a60915586833ca22d760b1b0387fe2dfa3a86ba9a6b

Unrounded U-3 minus final Chicago Fed nowcast

0.00 percentage points · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Unrounded U-3 minus final Chicago Fed nowcast was 0.00 percentage points in Oct 2026, -98.66% from Sep 2026.

0.00 percentage points-98.66% vs Sep 2026

Oct 20260.00 percentage pointsno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 20260.08 percentage pointsno recorded release date
Aug 20260.06 percentage pointsno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	0.00 percentage points	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	0.08 percentage points	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	0.06 percentage points	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	-0.02 percentage points	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	-0.17 percentage points	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	-0.04 percentage points	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	0.10 percentage points	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	-0.23 percentage points	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	0.17 percentage points	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	-0.04 percentage points	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	-0.18 percentage points	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	0.10 percentage points	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	0.10 percentage points	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Market Watch

Technical details

Official title: Unrounded U-3 minus final Chicago Fed nowcast (percentage points)
What it measures: This series measures Unrounded U-3 minus final Chicago Fed nowcast.
Series: CHICAGO_FED_ERROR
Transformation: percentage_points · percentage points
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: 2026-11-04 11:56:34
Observation id: c42b4b7875529a807d8eab2f672ae21702ca4c89034a8863c1346c4b26acd355

Civilian labor force, native born · level

137,785 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Civilian labor force, native born was 137,785 thousand in Oct 2026, -0.17% from Sep 2026.

137,785 thousand level-0.17% vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026137,785 thousandno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026138,019 thousandno recorded release date
Aug 2026138,188 thousandno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	137,785 thousand	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	138,019 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	138,188 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	138,719 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	138,326 thousand	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	137,189 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	136,697 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	136,700 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	137,495 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	136,554 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	138,297 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	139,262 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	139,144 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	138,796 thousand	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: Civilian labor force, native born (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNU01073413
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: c4f41fe6402e4c11f4ee50981ac6ed97415bf01c419a4fc3057ab0d8f7f0e500

Continued unemployment insurance claims · level

Revised · 1,695,000 · 2026-10-17 · no recorded release date · Context only · Revised · Ingested 12 Nov 2026

Continued unemployment insurance claims was 1,695,000 in 2026-10-17, -1.57% from 2026-10-10.

1,695,000 level-1.57% vs 2026-10-10

2026-10-171,695,000no recorded release dateIngested 12 Nov 2026
2026-10-101,722,000no recorded release date
2026-10-031,703,000no recorded release date

History, source and limits

2026-08-012026-10-17

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
2026-10-17	1,695,000	no recorded release date	Ingested 12 Nov 2026
2026-10-10	1,722,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-10-03	1,703,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-26	1,714,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-19	1,699,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-12	1,712,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-05	1,717,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-29	1,765,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-22	1,775,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-15	1,771,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-08	1,796,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-01	1,781,000	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.

Source: U.S. Department of Labor

Technical details

Official title: Continued unemployment insurance claims, seasonally adjusted, revised
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: ETA539_CONTINUED_CLAIMS_SA
Transformation: level · level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: revised
Vintage: 2026-11-12
Observation id: c88aeb76e8216bb38155118f5f9297754fa945a0428c8311f40c327d21aecedc

Export Price Index (End Use): All commodities · level

170.80 · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 30 Oct 2026

Export Price Index (End Use): All commodities was 170.80 in Sep 2026.

170.80 level

History, source and limits

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Sep 2026	170.80	no recorded release date	Ingested 30 Oct 2026

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 1 month of this series is committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: Export Price Index (End Use): All commodities (index level)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: IQ
Transformation: index_level · index level
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: cb5691188158595a0407c5cb6c5680de568280fa2b43edb1c410172b3df13bac

Civilian noninstitutional population · level

275,682 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Civilian noninstitutional population was 275,682 thousand in Oct 2026, +0.05% from Sep 2026.

275,682 thousand level+0.05% vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026275,682 thousandno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026275,554 thousandno recorded release date
Aug 2026275,415 thousandno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	275,682 thousand	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	275,554 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	275,415 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	275,282 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	275,166 thousand	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	275,054 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	274,955 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	274,858 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	274,766 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	274,676 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	274,816 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	274,633 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	274,226 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	274,001 thousand	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: Civilian noninstitutional population (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNU00000000
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: cbb73a9796c5b108673fa2cccf754e5c68bb16dfcfecbca7e5de74733a9c7b00

Chicago Fed flow-consistent unemployment rate · level

4.17% · Oct 2026 · Released 5 Nov 2026 · Context only · Ingested 6 Nov 2026

Chicago Fed flow-consistent unemployment rate was 4.17% in Oct 2026, down 0.10 pp from Sep 2026.

4.17% level-0.10 pp vs Sep 2026

Oct 20264.17%5 Nov 2026Ingested 6 Nov 2026first recorded 4.28%
Sep 20264.27%no recorded release datefirst recorded 4.23%
Aug 20264.36%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

May 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Oct 2026	4.17%	5 Nov 2026	Ingested 6 Nov 2026	first recorded 4.28%
Sep 2026	4.27%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded 4.23%
Aug 2026	4.36%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	4.30%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	4.49%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	4.31%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	4.35%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	4.42%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	4.30%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	4.44%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	4.42%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	4.50%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	4.47%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	4.51%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	4.40%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2025	4.36%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2025	4.38%	no recorded release date	—
May 2025	4.32%	no recorded release date	—

Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Technical details

Official title: Chicago Fed flow-consistent unemployment rate
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: CFLMIFCR
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: 2026-11-04 11:56:34
Release date on committed row: 2026-11-05
Observation id: cf4cb93386882406447966fa573830c039d55dc5b764f745871412e8f16f1966

JOLTS layoffs and discharges rate, total nonfarm · level

1.00% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 4 Nov 2026

JOLTS layoffs and discharges rate, total nonfarm was 1.00% in Sep 2026, down 0.10 pp from Aug 2026.

1.00% level-0.10 pp vs Aug 2026

Sep 20261.00%no recorded release dateIngested 4 Nov 2026
Aug 20261.10%no recorded release datefirst recorded 1.00%
Jul 20261.10%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Sep 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Sep 2026	1.00%	no recorded release date	Ingested 4 Nov 2026
Aug 2026	1.10%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded 1.00%
Jul 2026	1.10%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	1.10%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	1.10%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	1.00%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	1.20%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	1.10%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	1.00%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	1.10%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	1.00%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	1.20%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	1.10%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	1.20%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: JOLTS layoffs and discharges rate, total nonfarm
What it measures: This series measures JOLTS layoffs and discharges rate, total nonfarm · level.
Series: JTS000000000000000LDR
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: d2e029bb26724983575f885daea719ea57dd4ee26fc9a5a1fd2a257ea5c1774d

Unemployed new entrants · level

778 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Unemployed new entrants was 778 thousand in Oct 2026, -4.89% from Sep 2026.

778 thousand level-4.89% vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026778 thousandno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026818 thousandno recorded release date
Aug 2026702 thousandno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	778 thousand	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	818 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	702 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	761 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	772 thousand	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	818 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	805 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	714 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	805 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	796 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	840 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	774 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	813 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	792 thousand	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: Unemployed new entrants (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNS13023569
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: d4962f75e4cb897f4648418d99ba55305997e57eedbe9ddae4c53d0d910c6c09

Monthly change in the civilian labor force · m/m

+421k · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Monthly change in the civilian labor force rose 421k in Oct 2026, after +485k in Sep 2026.

+421k m/m-64.00k vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026+421kno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026+485kno recorded release date
Aug 2026+683kno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	+421k	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	+485k	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	+683k	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	-264k	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	-720k	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+83k	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	-92k	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	-396k	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	+18k	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	-1030k	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	-46k	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+280k	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+511k	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	+338k	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Market Watch

Technical details

Official title: Monthly change in the civilian labor force (mom change thousands)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: DELTA_LABOR_FORCE
Transformation: mom_change_thousands · mom change thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: derived
Observation id: db6d116e8dab443d378b36cb28228a9b93811451818e80dd94217d1f756d0e57

Structural breakeven employment, Board FEDS Note upper bound

10 thousand · Apr 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 30 Oct 2026

Structural breakeven employment, Board FEDS Note upper bound was 10 thousand in Apr 2026.

10 thousand

History, source and limits

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Apr 2026	10 thousand	no recorded release date	Ingested 30 Oct 2026

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 1 period of this series is committed; the chart would normally show 12.

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

Technical details

Official title: Structural breakeven employment, Board FEDS Note upper bound (thousands per month)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: FEDS_2026_04_02_BREAKEVEN_UPPER_BOUND
Transformation: thousands_per_month · thousands per month
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: 2026-04-02
Release date on committed row: 2026-04-02
Observation id: dd7ac741e025ccd63f367ccfa9f0078ec85684404b8aed355658d0240e00af23

Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private · y/y

Revised · +3.12% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Labor · Preliminary · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private rose 3.12% y/y in Oct 2026, after +3.02% in Sep 2026.

+3.12% y/y+0.10 pp vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026+3.12%no recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026+3.02%no recorded release date
Aug 2026+3.09%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	+3.12%	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	+3.02%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	+3.09%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	+3.24%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	+3.38%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+3.34%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	+3.57%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	+3.43%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	+3.70%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	+3.66%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	+3.73%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+3.93%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	+3.92%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+3.85%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast pay is growing.
Series: CES0500000003
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: preliminary
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: e3b71ceda2da5ca38bdb5d7876333873292988c5f1e8700973add8e9d0bdbead

Labor-force absorption · m/m

+42k · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Labor-force absorption rose 42k in Oct 2026, after -79k in Sep 2026.

+42k m/m+121.00k vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026+42kno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026-79kno recorded release date
Aug 2026-114kno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	+42k	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	-79k	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	-114k	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	+177k	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	+213k	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+66k	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	-134k	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	+332k	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	-203k	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	+135k	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	+278k	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	-176k	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	-225k	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	-108k	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Market Watch

Technical details

Official title: Labor-force absorption (mom change thousands)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: LABOR_FORCE_ABSORPTION
Transformation: mom_change_thousands · mom change thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: derived
Observation id: e56e504c19f1b3490dcb2c2fd9abfdae8e3d7fc9388b5f6185afc51f0b4809a2

JOLTS job openings, total nonfarm · level

7,523 thousand · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 4 Nov 2026

JOLTS job openings, total nonfarm was 7,523 thousand in Sep 2026, +4.63% from Aug 2026.

7,523 thousand level+4.63% vs Aug 2026

Sep 20267,523 thousandno recorded release dateIngested 4 Nov 2026
Aug 20267,190 thousandno recorded release datefirst recorded 7,079 thousand
Jul 20267,335 thousandno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Sep 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Sep 2026	7,523 thousand	no recorded release date	Ingested 4 Nov 2026
Aug 2026	7,190 thousand	no recorded release date	—	first recorded 7,079 thousand
Jul 2026	7,335 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	7,182 thousand	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	7,537 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	7,585 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	6,887 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	6,922 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	7,240 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	6,550 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	6,846 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	7,170 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	7,169 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	6,919 thousand	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: JOLTS job openings, total nonfarm (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: JTS000000000000000JOL
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: ea1f8fd9d5fd34f447c5c65ee0ad33dc1ecb3a3f13b007e9c3c532bce3f96c58

Chicago Fed unemployment nowcast, advance-to-final revision

-0.05 percentage points · Oct 2026 · Released 5 Nov 2026 · Context only · Ingested 6 Nov 2026

Chicago Fed unemployment nowcast, advance-to-final revision was -0.05 percentage points in Oct 2026, +66.67% from Sep 2026.

-0.05 percentage points+66.67% vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026-0.05 percentage points5 Nov 2026Ingested 6 Nov 2026
Sep 2026-0.03 percentage points29 Oct 2026
Aug 2026-0.02 percentage pointsno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	-0.05 percentage points	5 Nov 2026	Ingested 6 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	-0.03 percentage points	29 Oct 2026	—
Aug 2026	-0.02 percentage points	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	-0.02 percentage points	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	0.03 percentage points	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	0.02 percentage points	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	0.01 percentage points	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	0.03 percentage points	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	-0.01 percentage points	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	0.01 percentage points	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	0.00 percentage points	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	0.00 percentage points	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	0.01 percentage points	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	0.02 percentage points	no recorded release date	—

Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Technical details

Official title: Chicago Fed unemployment nowcast, advance-to-final revision (percentage points)
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: CFLMI_NOWCAST_ADVANCE_TO_FINAL
Transformation: percentage_points · percentage points
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: 2026-11-04 11:56:34
Release date on committed row: 2026-11-05
Observation id: ea76dd3a8a520e515aecf241e60eddd9e33b4c70b7c529a5a52a64ae5bbc27ed

Insured unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted, revised · level

Revised · 1.10% · 2026-10-17 · no recorded release date · Context only · Revised · Ingested 12 Nov 2026

Insured unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted, revised was 1.10% in 2026-10-17, unchanged from 2026-10-10.

1.10% level+0.00 pp vs 2026-10-10

2026-10-171.10%no recorded release dateIngested 12 Nov 2026
2026-10-101.10%no recorded release date
2026-10-031.10%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

2026-08-012026-10-17

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
2026-10-17	1.10%	no recorded release date	Ingested 12 Nov 2026
2026-10-10	1.10%	no recorded release date	—
2026-10-03	1.10%	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-26	1.10%	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-19	1.10%	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-12	1.10%	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-05	1.10%	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-29	1.10%	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-22	1.20%	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-15	1.20%	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-08	1.20%	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-01	1.20%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.

Source: U.S. Department of Labor

Technical details

Official title: Insured unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted, revised
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: ETA539_IUR_SA
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: revised
Vintage: 2026-11-12
Observation id: eb3c199cd55ff303055671f0aef30962aa92760b53af546174f1941dc80b362b

Core PCE · y/y

+3.34% · Jul 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

Core PCE was 3.34% y/y in Jul 2026, unchanged from Jun 2026.

+3.34% y/y+0.00 pp vs Jun 2026

Jul 2026+3.34%no recorded release dateIngested 21 Sep 2026
Jun 2026+3.34%no recorded release date
May 2026+3.46%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Jul 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Jul 2026	+3.34%	no recorded release date	Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Jun 2026	+3.34%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+3.46%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	+3.33%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	+3.25%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	+3.05%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	+3.10%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	+2.97%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+2.83%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	+2.75%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+2.83%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 11 months of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BEA

Technical details

Official title: Personal Consumption Expenditures: Chain-type Price Index, Excluding Food and Energy (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: PCEPILFE
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: eef3d694e54b2b5837d94c25637d4245751981655dc43006a8183fcbbabc500a

Employment level, foreign born · level

32,062 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Employment level, foreign born was 32,062 thousand in Oct 2026, +2.59% from Sep 2026.

32,062 thousand level+2.59% vs Sep 2026

Oct 202632,062 thousandno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 202631,253 thousandno recorded release date
Aug 202630,780 thousandno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	32,062 thousand	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	31,253 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	30,780 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	30,486 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	30,725 thousand	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	31,472 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	31,648 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	31,974 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	31,168 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	31,562 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	31,112 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	30,802 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	30,744 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	30,814 thousand	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: Employment level, foreign born (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNU02073395
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: efc8f5f86f00fb70a3e83c6cd1b270ac2821a2a2d7ffe9dfd0b56883222ecef3

CPS gross flow employed to not in labor force · level

4,872 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

CPS gross flow employed to not in labor force was 4,872 thousand in Oct 2026, +5.64% from Sep 2026.

4,872 thousand level+5.64% vs Sep 2026

Oct 20264,872 thousandno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 20264,612 thousandno recorded release date
Aug 20264,624 thousandno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Jul 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	4,872 thousand	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	4,612 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	4,624 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	4,994 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	5,034 thousand	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	4,906 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	4,860 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	5,115 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	4,602 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	5,073 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	4,997 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	4,772 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	4,759 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2025	4,597 thousand	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: CPS gross flow employed to not in labor force (level thousands)
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNS17800000
Transformation: level_thousands · level thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: f3a0efd287e97c0cbbc63a05103cfc2be72b8e04e4bf04bae90185e78ebeedef

Import Price Index (End Use): All commodities · level

152.20 · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 30 Oct 2026

Import Price Index (End Use): All commodities was 152.20 in Sep 2026.

152.20 level

History, source and limits

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Sep 2026	152.20	no recorded release date	Ingested 30 Oct 2026

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 1 month of this series is committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: Import Price Index (End Use): All commodities (index level)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: IR
Transformation: index_level · index level
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: f647081b641a31193588cf7e59c97a4c19635b34967e9b7f0c289c935a40b4cd

Initial unemployment insurance claims · level

Revised · 195,000 · 2026-10-17 · no recorded release date · Context only · Revised · Ingested 12 Nov 2026

Initial unemployment insurance claims was 195,000 in 2026-10-17, -2.50% from 2026-10-10.

195,000 level-2.50% vs 2026-10-10

2026-10-17195,000no recorded release dateIngested 12 Nov 2026
2026-10-10200,000no recorded release date
2026-10-03198,000no recorded release date

History, source and limits

2026-08-012026-10-17

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
2026-10-17	195,000	no recorded release date	Ingested 12 Nov 2026
2026-10-10	200,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-10-03	198,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-26	199,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-19	198,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-12	198,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-09-05	207,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-29	207,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-22	204,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-15	207,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-08	212,000	no recorded release date	—
2026-08-01	200,000	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.

Source: U.S. Department of Labor

Technical details

Official title: Initial unemployment insurance claims, seasonally adjusted, revised
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: ETA539_INITIAL_CLAIMS_SA
Transformation: level · level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: revised
Vintage: 2026-11-12
Observation id: fad682aca237231790107fb4c76e2ca1c42dfd02d8ce50b07cd25409455763bf

Monthly change in household employment · m/m

+463k · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Monthly change in household employment rose 463k in Oct 2026, after +406k in Sep 2026.

+463k m/m+57.00k vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026+463kno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026+406kno recorded release date
Aug 2026+569kno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	+463k	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	+406k	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	+569k	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	-87k	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	-507k	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+149k	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	-226k	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	-64k	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	-185k	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	-895k	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	+232k	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+104k	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+286k	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	+230k	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Market Watch

Technical details

Official title: Monthly change in household employment (mom change thousands)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: DELTA_HOUSEHOLD_EMPLOYMENT
Transformation: mom_change_thousands · mom change thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: derived
Observation id: fb4c082bb0783d8f9ee827e9f56f816f99cce202af21629d0d3471e363c52d2c

Payroll change minus sourced structural breakeven

155 thousand · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Payroll change minus sourced structural breakeven was 155 thousand in Oct 2026, +210.00% from Sep 2026.

155 thousand+210.00% vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026155 thousandno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 202650 thousandno recorded release datefirst recorded 19 thousand
Aug 2026176 thousandno recorded release datefirst recorded 123 thousand

History, source and limits

Apr 2026Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Oct 2026	155 thousand	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	50 thousand	no recorded release date	—	first recorded 19 thousand
Aug 2026	176 thousand	no recorded release date	—	first recorded 123 thousand
Jul 2026	-20 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	21 thousand	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	53 thousand	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	138 thousand	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 7 months of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Market Watch

Technical details

Official title: Payroll change minus sourced structural breakeven
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: PAYROLL_VS_BREAKEVEN
Transformation: thousands · thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: derived
Observation id: fce2535cca2328dc8cc9f88508d2815edc6ead43fc05fa7fcd7e8a03be81366f

Employment-population ratio · level

59.30% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Employment-population ratio was 59.30% in Oct 2026, up 0.10 pp from Sep 2026.

59.30% level+0.10 pp vs Sep 2026

Oct 202659.30%no recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 202659.20%no recorded release date
Aug 202659.10%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	59.30%	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	59.20%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	59.10%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	58.90%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	59.00%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	59.20%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	59.10%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	59.20%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	59.30%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	59.40%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	59.70%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	59.60%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	59.70%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	59.60%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BLS

Technical details

Official title: Employment-population ratio
What it measures: The number of people employed.
Series: LNS12300000
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: ff03213c46ff762c955e9d2b3e77959febcab56323c7493e8c52b9126c0c72e9

Core PCE PPI bridge (mapped)

+0.20% · Aug 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

Core PCE PPI bridge (mapped) was 0.20% m/m in Aug 2026, unchanged from Jul 2026.

+0.20% m/m+0.00 pp vs Jul 2026

Aug 2026+0.20%no recorded release dateIngested 21 Sep 2026first recorded +0.10%
Jul 2026+0.20%no recorded release datefirst recorded -0.10%

History, source and limits

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Aug 2026	+0.20%	no recorded release date	Ingested 21 Sep 2026	first recorded +0.10%
Jul 2026	+0.20%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded -0.10%

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 2 periods of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 12.

Source: BLS PPI

Technical details

Official title: BEA-mapped Core PCE PPI bridge component table (Aug 2026 documentation) (ppi component mom pct)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: US.Inflation.mapped_bridge
Transformation: ppi_component_mom_pct · ppi component mom pct
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: US
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: ffc31c1694a5a0599571bc9087de5d7aab4475fee2830d1cfd88ae1871c6d3f8

Scores: calibration anchor 21 Sep 2026 · inputs last ingested 13 Nov 2026 · latest scored component period Nov 2026 · Coverage counts scored components only and is not a freshness claim.

LEVEL is the 1–100 score, where 50 is the structural/policy neutral point. IMPULSE is the latest print versus the prior print, in score points.

Canada: historical temperature trends

Nov 2026

Actual stored monthly dimension scores through Nov 2026.
Aggregate uses proposed 40/40/10/10 weights; not the existing production mean.

Aggregate47.34

Inflation54.34

Labor37.41

Activity49.40

Consumer57.03

Aggregate trajectory

Inflation

Labor

Activity

Consumer

The line at 50 is a structural neutral reference, not a claim of policy balance.

Reconstructed monthly replay of stored scores. Not a historical real-time published snapshot. A published snapshot is stored separately for cutoff Nov 2026 and is not drawn as the line.

InflationLevel 54.3/100 neutralImpulse → static -0.44vs prior printInputs through Sep 2026 LaborLevel 37.4/100 coolImpulse ↓ cooling -3.53vs prior printInputs through Oct 2026 ActivityLevel 49.4/100 neutralImpulse ↑ warming +16.79vs prior printDomestic demand through 2026 Q2 · Business surveys through Oct 2026 ConsumerLevel 57/100 neutralImpulse ↑ warming +6.61vs prior printRetail through Aug 2026 · Income through 2026 Q2 · Spending through 2026 Q2

Monetary policy

Decision	Implied rate	Step bp	Cumulative bp	1d	1w	Method
2026-12-09	2.64%	+13.52	+13.52	+2.04	+2.95	estimated
2027-01-27	2.91%	+27.71	+41.22	+15.73	+17.72	estimated
2027-03-03	2.75%	-16.44	+24.78	-21.31	-2.99	identified
2027-04-28	3.13%	+38.52	+63.3	+20.84	+23.25	equal step
2027-06-02	3.52%	+38.52	+101.82	+62.98	+49.5	equal step

BoC target overnight rate 2.50%; basis +3 bp; COA/CRA step is the change in overnight CORRA from the compounded futures curve. It is not an arithmetic monthly average, the spot CORRA fixing, or the BoC target.; calendar retrieved 2026-11-13.

What Matters Now

No finding clears the attention rules. 28 of 28 observations were eligible latest evidence and none qualified.

InflationPressure balance −1 · oil ↓Level 54.3/100 neutral

Impulse→ static -0.44vs prior print

Inputs through Sep 2026

Level 54.3 is driven mainly by Headline (+5.46 points, warming impulse +0.78) and Underlying (-1.13 points, cooling impulse -1.25); dimension impulse is static (-0.44 vs prior print).

Hard score inputs

How the level adds up 54.34 = 50 -1.13 underlying +5.46 headline

BoC core CPI measures (CPI-trim and CPI-median) · y/y -1.13 points in Inflation

Score uses +1.85%: the Sep 2026 print; each period is the mean of 2 published measures.

Latest print +1.90% · Sep 2026 · Released 19 Oct 2026.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 48.12
Component weight: 0.60
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: BoC core CPI measures (CPI-trim and CPI-median, year-over-year) (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: CPI_median_yoy_v108785714
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available:460034077e45
Release date on committed row: 2026-10-19
Other series under this indicator: CPI_trim_yoy_v108785715
Observation id: 3647aaaf5face3fce3ebf094f75166b74793721b57d5357f1c8b7c4e182e79c0
Scored series: CPI_trim_yoy_v108785715, CPI_median_yoy_v108785714

Consumer Price Index, all-items · y/y +5.46 points in Inflation

Score uses +3.09%: the Sep 2026 print.

Latest print +3.09% · Sep 2026 · Released 19 Oct 2026.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 63.66
Component weight: 0.40
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Consumer Price Index, all-items, 12-month percent change (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: CPI_all_items_index_v41690973
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available:89ca0df93f79
Release date on committed row: 2026-10-19
Observation id: bb5667a24b2a9cb70773973d60d741e1c66f97dd497d12296a8f354c57e537f8
Scored series: CPI_all_items_index_v41690973

How to read: 50 = structural/policy neutral anchor. Points show how far each input pulls the stored level away from 50. Context rows below do not feed the score.

Inflation pressure proxy · directional balance−1/ −5 to +5Stable · Falling tilt5 of 5 channels · confidence high0 = balanced votes, not the 2% inflation target.Show history · 18 accepted runs

Accepted overnight runs (newest first)
Date	Net	Coverage	Status
13 Nov	−1	5/5	Stable
12 Nov	−1	5/5	Stable
11 Nov	−1	5/5	Stable
10 Nov	−1	5/5	Stable
9 Nov	0	5/5	Stable
6 Nov	0 (partial)	4/5	Gap · partial
5 Nov	—	4/5	Gap · invalid Brent
4 Nov	—	4/5	Gap · invalid Brent
3 Nov	—	4/5	Gap · invalid Brent
2 Nov	—	4/5	Gap · invalid Brent
30 Oct	+2	5/5	Rising
29 Oct	+2	5/5	Rising
28 Oct	+2	5/5	Rising
27 Oct	+2	5/5	Rising
26 Oct	+2	5/5	Rising
23 Oct	+2	5/5	Rising
22 Oct	+2 (partial)	2/5	Gap · partial
21 Oct	+5	5/5	Rising

Each point is one accepted overnight run. Gaps are runs with invalid Brent inputs or fewer than 5 channels; they are not shown as zero.

Canada · Inflation pressure

Oil shock: sharply lower

Brent’s decline is now evident across the front and longer-dated futures curve.

Oil channel: Falling · Brent quotes 12 Nov 2026

Front · Jan 2027
−6.9%
1m change
$95.82 · BZF27.NYM
12m · Jan 2028
−6.5%
1m change
$79.66 · BZF28.NYM
23m actual · 24m role · Dec 2028
−4.1%
1m change
$74.72 · BZZ28.NYM

Broader inflation-pressure vote: STABLE

unchanged since 6 Nov

Oil (12 Nov 2026 quotes) and raw-material prices (Sep 2026 RMPI) point lower, while consumer-price breadth (Sep 2026 CPI) points higher. The five equal votes net to −1, inside the −1 to +1 stable band. A Stable vote does not mean oil has not repriced.

Oil shockBrent Jan-28 -6.5% 1mBrent 12 Nov 2026↓ Falling

Why Falling

Model channel: Shock persistence

Rule

Rising needs Brent last-day 12m and 24m horizon roles both up at least 2.00% over one month (exact calendar month when it qualifies; otherwise the nearest viable listed contract within bounds); falling needs both down at least 2.00%; front-loaded or mixed moves stay stable. A missing exact calendar month is not read as a quiet, persistent path.

Direct input

symbol: BZF27.NYM; contract_month: 2027-01; maturity_months: 0; actual_maturity_months: 0; horizon_role_months: 0; selection: active_front; selection_reason: exact_listed_contract; observation_date: 2026-11-12; final_trade_date: 2026-11-30; change_1m_pct: -0.068895187202249

symbol: BZF28.NYM; contract_month: 2028-01; maturity_months: 12; actual_maturity_months: 12; horizon_role_months: 12; selection: exact; selection_reason: exact_listed_contract; observation_date: 2026-11-12; final_trade_date: 2027-11-30; change_1m_pct: -0.06502339770620275

symbol: BZZ28.NYM; contract_month: 2028-12; maturity_months: 24; actual_maturity_months: 23; horizon_role_months: 24; selection: nearest_listed; selection_reason: nearest_earlier_listed; observation_date: 2026-11-12; final_trade_date: 2028-10-31; change_1m_pct: -0.040698397660619376

24m horizon uses BZZ28.NYM 2028-12 (23 months after the front; target 2029-01 was missing_quote; coverage shortfall 1 month(s)). The 1m change is that listed contract's own history.

Contradicting channels

↑ Rising: Consumer price breadth

Run history

21 Oct Rising → 22 Oct Rising → 23 Oct Rising → 26 Oct Rising → 27 Oct Rising → 28 Oct Rising → 29 Oct Rising → 30 Oct Rising → 2 Nov history gap → 3 Nov history gap → 4 Nov history gap → 5 Nov history gap → 6 Nov Unavailable (producer inputs fresh; oil curve fresh) → 9 Nov Stable → 10 Nov Falling → 11 Nov Falling → 12 Nov Falling → 13 Nov Falling

Source and calculation

Rule id: brent_12m_24m_1m_persistence

Threshold: Brent 12m and 24m 1m change band ±2.00%

Stored driver (this run): BZF28.NYM Brent last-day 2028-01 1m change -6.5 percent

Stored driver (this run): BZZ28.NYM Brent last-day 2028-12 (23m listed, 24m horizon) 1m change -4.1 percent

Brent contract (this run): BZF28.NYM Brent last-day 2028-01 1m change -6.5 percent

Brent contract (this run): BZZ28.NYM Brent last-day 2028-12 (23m listed, 24m horizon) 1m change -4.1 percent

Source id: overnight-20261113/review-001

Observed at: 2026-11-13T06:22:15.706647-05:00

Raw-material pricesRMPI ex-crude-energy -0.43% m/mSep 2026 · released 22 OctMonthly↓ Falling

Why Falling

Model channel: Raw-material cost pressure

Rule

Monthly layer. Falling means StatCan raw-materials prices excluding crude energy dropped 0.40% or more month over month. Rising needs +0.40% or more; anything in between is Stable. This is not an import-price index: RMPI includes Canadian raw-material purchases. No import-price series is pinned. The stored channel id remains imported_pressure.

Direct input

frequency: monthly; mom: -0.004347826086956608; value: 183.2; period: 2026-09; prior_value: 184.0; prior_period: 2026-08; release_time: 2026-10-22T08:30; release_age_days: 22; table: 18-10-0268-01; vector_id: 1230998148; series_id: rmpi_ex_crude_energy; units: index

Context — not an input

Crude energy is excluded from this channel; oil moves enter through Shock persistence. RMPI excluding crude energy is a raw-material purchase index, including Canadian-produced materials. It is not an import-price index, and imported cost pressure is not labeled.

Contradicting channels

↑ Rising: Consumer price breadth

Run history

21 Oct Rising → 22 Oct Unavailable (producer inputs stale; oil curve fresh) → 23 Oct Falling → 26 Oct Falling → 27 Oct Falling → 28 Oct Falling → 29 Oct Falling → 30 Oct Falling → 2 Nov Falling → 3 Nov Falling → 4 Nov Falling → 5 Nov Falling → 6 Nov Falling → 9 Nov Falling → 10 Nov Falling → 11 Nov Falling → 12 Nov Falling → 13 Nov Falling

Source and calculation

Rule id: rmpi_ex_crude_energy_mom_band

Band ±0.40% m/m (RMPI ex-crude-energy)

Series title: Total, excluding crude energy products

Series id: rmpi_ex_crude_energy

Units: index

Seasonal: NSA

Table: 18-10-0268-01

Vector: 1230998148

StatCan table

Interpretation: raw-material purchase prices, not an import price index. Stored channel id: imported_pressure.

Source id: overnight-20261113/review-001

Observed at: 2026-11-13T06:22:15.706647-05:00

Consumer-price breadth62% majors positive m/mSep 2026 CPI↑ Rising

Why Rising

Model channel: Consumer price breadth

Rule

Rising needs at least 62.5% of the eight CPI majors positive month over month and CPI-trim 3m annualized acceleration above +0.20pp; falling needs at most 37.5% with acceleration below -0.20pp.

Direct input

Share of majors positive: 5/8; trim accel 0.3689516413422078pp

Contradicting channels

↓ Falling: Shock persistence, ↓ Falling: Raw-material cost pressure

Run history

21 Oct Rising → 22 Oct Unavailable (producer inputs stale; oil curve fresh) → 23 Oct Rising → 26 Oct Rising → 27 Oct Rising → 28 Oct Rising → 29 Oct Rising → 30 Oct Rising → 2 Nov Rising → 3 Nov Rising → 4 Nov Rising → 5 Nov Rising → 6 Nov Rising → 9 Nov Rising → 10 Nov Rising → 11 Nov Rising → 12 Nov Rising → 13 Nov Rising

Source and calculation

Rule id: cpi_major_share_trim_accel

Threshold: ≥62.5% majors positive m/m and trim accel >0.20pp rising; ≤37.5% and <-0.20pp falling

Source id: overnight-20261113/review-001

Observed at: 2026-11-13T06:22:15.706647-05:00

Producer prices ex-energyIPPI ex-energy +0.28% m/mSep 2026 · released 22 OctMonthly→ Stable

Why Stable

Model channel: Production network pressure

Rule

Monthly layer. Rising means IPPI excluding energy rose 0.30% or more month over month; falling means a drop of 0.30% or more; between those bands is stable. The quarterly sector PPI is shadow-only and is not an input.

Direct input

frequency: monthly; mom: 0.002795248078266921; value: 143.5; period: 2026-09; prior_value: 143.1; prior_period: 2026-08; release_time: 2026-10-22T08:30; release_age_days: 22; table: 18-10-0265-01; vector_id: 1230995984; series_id: ippi_ex_energy; units: index

Context — not an input

This channel is monthly IPPI excluding energy and petroleum products. Headline IPPI and the quarterly Energy sector include the energy shock, so oil can move those readings while this channel does not. Energy is not added to this vote.

Contradicting channels

↓ Falling: Shock persistence, ↓ Falling: Raw-material cost pressure, ↑ Rising: Consumer price breadth

Run history

21 Oct Rising → 22 Oct Unavailable (producer inputs stale; oil curve fresh) → 23 Oct Stable → 26 Oct Stable → 27 Oct Stable → 28 Oct Stable → 29 Oct Stable → 30 Oct Stable → 2 Nov Stable → 3 Nov Stable → 4 Nov Stable → 5 Nov Stable → 6 Nov Stable → 9 Nov Stable → 10 Nov Stable → 11 Nov Stable → 12 Nov Stable → 13 Nov Stable

Source and calculation

Rule id: ippi_ex_energy_mom_band

Band ±0.30% m/m (IPPI ex-energy)

Series title: Total Industrial product price index (IPPI), excluding energy and petroleum products

Series id: ippi_ex_energy

Units: index

Seasonal: NSA

Table: 18-10-0265-01

Vector: 1230995984

StatCan table

Stored driver (this run): IPPI ex-energy mom +0.28 percent

Layer: monthly. Quarterly sector PPI is not an input.

Source id: overnight-20261113/review-001

Observed at: 2026-11-13T06:22:15.706647-05:00

Demand constraintCORRA gap -0.23ppCORRA 10 Nov→ Stable

Why Stable

Model channel: Demand pass-through constraint

Rule

Uses CORRA minus the 2.75% neutral midpoint (July 2026 MPR range). Gap at or below -0.25pp is rising (less restraint); at or above +0.25pp is falling.

Direct input

gap: -0.22999999999999998; corra_rate: 2.52

Contradicting channels

↓ Falling: Shock persistence, ↓ Falling: Raw-material cost pressure, ↑ Rising: Consumer price breadth

Run history

21 Oct Rising → 22 Oct Rising → 23 Oct Rising → 26 Oct Rising → 27 Oct Rising → 28 Oct Rising → 29 Oct Rising → 30 Oct Rising → 2 Nov Rising → 3 Nov Stable → 4 Nov Stable → 5 Nov Stable → 6 Nov Stable → 9 Nov Stable → 10 Nov Stable → 11 Nov Stable → 12 Nov Stable → 13 Nov Stable

Source and calculation

Rule id: corra_neutral_gap

Threshold: CORRA gap vs 2.75% midpoint ±0.25pp

Source id: overnight-20261113/review-001

Observed at: 2026-11-13T06:22:15.706647-05:00

MPR comparison and quarterly shadow

Versus the July 2026 MPR conditioning assumptions as of 2026-07-09, brent_contract_vs_july_path is +21.29 USD per barrel versus 74.53. Observable monitoring only; not a reproduction of the Bank of Canada's Prima model.

Quarterly sector prices Shadow · not in the vote

Energy · 2026-Q2 · +19.847% q/q · age 35 days
Non-Energy · 2026-Q2 · +1.402% q/q · age 35 days
Goods · 2026-Q2 · +3.854% q/q · age 35 days
Services · 2026-Q2 · +1.996% q/q · age 35 days

Methodology, revisions and sources

The quarterly sector layer is shadow-only. It is not in the direction, strength, or net vote, and it does not replace monthly IPPI excluding energy or RMPI excluding crude energy.

Do not add Energy to Non-Energy, Goods, or Services. They are separate analytical aggregates. Goods includes total IPPI, so it is not a non-energy transmission measure and it is not added to the Energy sector.

No pass-through elasticity is estimated. These are separate observed price changes, not a structural Prima decomposition and not a reproduction of the Bank of Canada's model.

Quarterly q/q readings are not classified with the monthly IPPI or RMPI bands. The monthly bands are unchanged, and these quarterly changes are not in the scored vote. Proposed scored change: none.

Each quarterly release can revise the previous two quarters. Weight updates revise the index back to the start of the new weight reference year. This feed stores the latest vintage only, not a real-time history. Observable release vintages in this response: 1. Back history published on the first public release (2026-10-09) was not observable in earlier quarters. A scored change is not proposed: the sample is not a real-time track record, the indexes are quarterly, and no Prima weights or elasticities are published.

Energy. Official StatCan sector Energy. Bank of Canada Staff Analytical Paper 2026-46 groups NAICS 211 oil and gas extraction, 2121 coal mining, and 22 utilities. This is the direct quarterly energy producer-price aggregate.

Non-Energy. Official StatCan sector Non-Energy. SAP 2026-46 defines it as selected agriculture, forestry, fishing, metal-ore mining, and non-metallic mineral mining. It is not IPPI excluding energy and it is not a residual of all non-energy producer prices.

Goods. Official StatCan sector Goods. SAP 2026-46 includes manufacturing, whose price source is total IPPI vector 1230995983 (energy and petroleum products included), plus selected residential and non-residential building construction. It is not a non-energy goods index and must not be added to the Energy sector.

Services. Official StatCan sector Services. SAP 2026-46 covers selected wholesale, retail, rail freight, truck transportation, couriers, and commercial machinery rental and leasing. Coverage is incomplete and the index starts later than the other three sectors. This is an observed sector price, not an estimated pass-through elasticity.

StatCan table 18-10-0292-01 CSV The Daily, 9 October 2026 SAP 2026-46 sector methodology SAP 2026-47 Prima overview

5 of 5 channels available · confidence high · producer inputs fresh; oil curve fresh

Market Watch proxy · context only, not in the Inflation score · not the Bank of Canada's Prima model

Run provenance

Deterministic Market Watch proxy for observable oil-curve persistence and inflation-propagation channels. It is not a reconstruction or reproduction of the Bank of Canada's proprietary Prima model.

feeds_inflation_score: false

MPR status: partial

Conditioning date: 2026-07-09

Context / corroboration · not score inputs

No context rows for this topic.

LaborLevel 37.4/100 cool

Impulse↓ cooling -3.53vs prior print

Inputs through Oct 2026

Level 37.4 is driven mainly by Unemployment (-9.80 points, cooling impulse -4.00) and Wages (-1.52 points, cooling impulse -0.99); dimension impulse is cooling (-3.53 vs prior print).

Hard score inputs

How the level adds up 37.41 = 50 -9.80 unemployment -1.52 wages -1.26 employment

Labour force survey unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted · level -9.80 points in Labor

Score uses 6.70%: the Oct 2026 print.

Latest print 6.70% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 36.00
Component weight: 0.70
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Labour force survey unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: LFS_unemployment_rate_v2062815
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available:db1df620fa6c
Observation id: 1e5472bab389d69b520f16967e6ae3f3bcd9051015d11219982ddbdabb53e2ad
Scored series: LFS_unemployment_rate_v2062815

Average hourly wages, employees · y/y -1.52 points in Labor

Score uses +2.24%: the Oct 2026 print.

Latest print +2.24% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 42.40
Component weight: 0.20
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Average hourly wages, employees, year-over-year change (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast pay is growing.
Series: LFS_avg_hourly_wage_v105812645
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available:04d565f98e34
Observation id: 7a84a7d87cfe8bae06fae4342d052e8b318f465bda26d40895fd2cea7f15519e
Scored series: LFS_avg_hourly_wage_v105812645

Employment · monthly change -1.26 points in Labor

Score uses -38.23k: average of 3 months, Aug–Oct 2026: -41.70k, -68.30k, -4.70k.

Latest print -4.70k · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 37.35
Component weight: 0.10
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Employment monthly change, seasonally adjusted (mom sa change thousands)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: LFS_employment_level_v2062811
Transformation: mom_sa_change_thousands · mom sa change thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available:bf0c07c5f396
Observation id: 7b5dda955593b4677aec5aac5a2d7d7807a1fe31db6b8393a8a18ce015d72001
Scored series: LFS_employment_level_v2062811

How to read: 50 = structural/policy neutral anchor. Points show how far each input pulls the stored level away from 50. Context rows below do not feed the score.

Context / corroboration · not score inputs

No context rows for this topic.

ActivityLevel 49.4/100 neutral

Impulse↑ warming +16.79vs prior print

Domestic demand through 2026 Q2 · Business surveys through Oct 2026

Level 49.4 is driven mainly by Business surveys (-0.72 points, cooling impulse -0.60) and Domestic demand (+0.12 points, warming impulse +28.38); dimension impulse is warming (+16.79 vs prior print).

Hard score inputs

How the level adds up 49.40 = 50 +0.12 domestic demand -0.72 business surveys

Real GDP growth (monthly by industry and quarterly expenditure GDP) · q/q +0.12 points in Activity

Score uses +1.82%: average of Q1–Q2 2026 q/q, each at an annual rate (+0.10%, +0.80%).

Latest print +0.80% · Q2 2026 · Released 28 Aug 2026.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 50.20
Component weight: 0.60
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Real GDP growth (monthly by industry and quarterly expenditure GDP) (qoq sa pct)
What it measures: How fast the economy is growing.
Series: GDP_real_market_prices_qq_v1594571783
Transformation: qoq_sa_pct · qoq sa pct
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-28
Observation id: 299a2e0ef899fc80d8d8ee696361e472f22c898f2c642041e7f8222f65114eba
Scored series: GDP_real_market_prices_qq_v1594571783

S&P Global Canada Composite PMI -0.72 points in Activity

Score uses 48.2: average of 3 months, Aug–Oct 2026: 47.8, 48.7, 48.1.

Latest print 48.1 · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 48.20
Component weight: 0.40
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: S&P Global Canada Composite PMI Output Index (Ivey PMI conflict-only) (diffusion index)
What it measures: A business survey of activity. Readings above 50 mean more firms report expansion than contraction.
Series: SP_GLOBAL_CA_COMPOSITE
Transformation: diffusion_index · diffusion index
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available:f8e83f6c1b3d
Observation id: 7e153634f8dc8454b8cac94e3a4dfdcc3e79bd2c1d3a5458836f91991348a957
Scored series: SP_GLOBAL_CA_COMPOSITE

How to read: 50 = structural/policy neutral anchor. Points show how far each input pulls the stored level away from 50. Context rows below do not feed the score.

Context / corroboration · not score inputs

Real manufacturing sales of goods manufactured (shipments) · level 54,000 · Jul 2026 · Released 14 Sep 2026 View print

Technical details

Official title: Real manufacturing sales of goods manufactured (shipments), total, 2017 dollars, seasonally adjusted (monthly level)
What it measures: This series measures Real manufacturing sales of goods manufactured (shipments) · level.
Series: v123263908
Transformation: monthly_level · monthly level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available:58fad45e1a66
Release date on committed row: 2026-09-14
Observation id: 4f68253e5f5a6f124d4086660fd56952e64e81bea6d1889a5af718437b75852f

Investment in building construction · level 21,248,226,101 · Jul 2026 · Released 21 Sep 2026 View print

Technical details

Official title: Investment in building construction, total residential and non-residential, all work types, seasonally adjusted, constant (2017) dollars (monthly level)
What it measures: This series measures Investment in building construction · level.
Series: v1705315927
Transformation: monthly_level · monthly level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available:a06745e0403a
Release date on committed row: 2026-09-21
Observation id: 5c2a17bbec4dcd4f3cb1f79efa34db64e0302d31c08306fadfdd382a0eff39a6

Wholesale sales volume · level 111,429 · Jul 2026 · Released 15 Sep 2026 View print

Technical details

Official title: Wholesale sales volume, wholesale trade total, seasonally adjusted (WDS member 'Chained Fisher volume index', published in millions of chained 2012 dollars) (monthly level)
What it measures: This series measures Wholesale sales volume · level.
Series: v120586538
Transformation: monthly_level · monthly level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available:2ee972091da2
Release date on committed row: 2026-09-15
Observation id: 79de882cf48423719d1ab9625d9d0ce0d7e0c840baa5691d0308b43d522c8e42

Ivey PMI 64.3 · Aug 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: S&P Global Canada Composite PMI Output Index (Ivey PMI conflict-only) (ivey sa diffusion)
What it measures: A business survey of activity. Readings above 50 mean more firms report expansion than contraction.
Series: Ivey_PMI_conflict
Transformation: ivey_sa_diffusion · ivey sa diffusion
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 969c98ffa84e86e60d3b962c836a9bdda90f3dc833fc4a98719a3e6167e27760

Real GDP growth (monthly by industry and quarterly expenditure GDP) · m/m +0.26% · Jun 2026 · Released 28 Aug 2026 View print

Technical details

Official title: Real GDP growth (monthly by industry and quarterly expenditure GDP) (monthly percent change)
What it measures: How fast the economy is growing.
Series: GDP_monthly_all_industries_v65201210
Transformation: mom_sa_pct · monthly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-28
Observation id: 9f4abeaef6aa88eca3acc86e4055454d1d06fd578e95cecffcfed7a260e7ae24

Exports of crude oil and crude bitumen · level 129.70 Laspeyres volume index (2017=100) · Jul 2026 · Released 3 Sep 2026 View print

Technical details

Official title: Exports of crude oil and crude bitumen, Laspeyres fixed-weighted volume index (2017=100), balance of payments basis, seasonally adjusted (monthly level)
What it measures: Physical energy supply, kept as context beside the scores.
Series: v1566916256
Transformation: monthly_level · monthly level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available:6356f1bb9ed3
Release date on committed row: 2026-09-03
Observation id: abda52e3042881d2790ff6c0c64ebb4dea8e2d48e3a75a01a35185c2e1a27e40

Monthly industry GDP (m/m SA); quarterly expenditure GDP remains the… · m/m -0.01% · Aug 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Monthly industry GDP (m/m SA); quarterly expenditure GDP remains the scored Activity input
What it measures: How fast the economy is growing.
Series: monthly_v65201210;quarterly_v1594571783
Transformation: mom_sa_pct_and_qoq_sa_pct · mom sa pct and qoq sa pct
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available:9cf2ba4177f9
Observation id: 99541288142ed887b50b6b6a210afdb9e6f1a355d3b21728c87fe3ab0572043f

ConsumerLevel 57/100 neutral

Impulse↑ warming +6.61vs prior print

Retail through Aug 2026 · Income through 2026 Q2 · Spending through 2026 Q2

Level 57.0 is driven mainly by Income (+5.60 points, warming impulse +15.00) and Spending (+1.50 points, warming impulse +3.00); dimension impulse is warming (+6.61 vs prior print).

Hard score inputs

How the level adds up 57.03 = 50 -0.07 retail +5.60 income +1.50 spending (coverage 75%)

Household final consumption expenditure, real q/q percent change · q/q +1.50 points in Consumer

Score uses +0.80%: the Q2 2026 print.

Latest print +0.80% · Q2 2026 · Released 28 Aug 2026.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 54.50
Component weight: 0.25
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Household final consumption expenditure, real q/q percent change (qoq sa pct)
What it measures: How fast household spending is growing.
Series: household_final_consumption_qq_v1594571755
Transformation: qoq_sa_pct · qoq sa pct
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-28
Observation id: 4141b147c0455ad90106c5852c474b18e4ba9bfe44d46331c98fd9e99a0528fa
Scored series: household_final_consumption_qq_v1594571755

Total retail trade sales, seasonally adjusted · m/m -0.07 points in Consumer

Score uses +0.33%: average of 3 months, Jun–Aug 2026: +0.60%, -0.81%, +1.20%.

Latest print +1.20% · Aug 2026 · Released 23 Oct 2026.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 49.78
Component weight: 0.25
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Total retail trade sales, seasonally adjusted, month-over-month (monthly percent change)
What it measures: How fast retail sales are growing.
Series: retail_total_sa_v1446859483
Transformation: mom_sa_pct · monthly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available:73f4f6051540
Release date on committed row: 2026-10-23
Observation id: 5eec812c27b36e4cc5d62003cc6a08424746795107f27de6006495d4ea844071
Scored series: retail_total_sa_v1446859483

Household disposable income · q/q +5.60 points in Consumer

Score uses +2.12%: the Q2 2026 print.

Latest print +2.12% · Q2 2026 · Released 28 Aug 2026.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 66.80
Component weight: 0.25
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Household disposable income, quarter-over-quarter percent change (qoq sa pct)
What it measures: How fast household income is growing.
Series: household_disposable_income_v62305981
Transformation: qoq_sa_pct · qoq sa pct
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-28
Observation id: fe1949cf94552ec5c59eb312187d0549852c3a9a8baa56e77dc524a6a8b307a3
Scored series: household_disposable_income_v62305981

Confidence is not scored and its 25% weight is left out. BoC CSCE has no free numeric history; omit from LEVEL and reduce coverage.

How to read: 50 = structural/policy neutral anchor. Points show how far each input pulls the stored level away from 50. Context rows below do not feed the score.

Context / corroboration · not score inputs

Retail sales volume · level 60,501 · Jul 2026 · Released 24 Sep 2026 View print

Technical details

Official title: Retail sales volume, retail trade total, seasonally adjusted (WDS member 'Chained Fisher volume index', published in millions of chained 2017 dollars) (monthly level)
What it measures: How fast retail sales are growing.
Series: v1446870181
Transformation: monthly_level · monthly level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available:33790f822a23
Release date on committed row: 2026-09-24
Observation id: da393d98898d59cf55050414209db44513c8cbd48ba6501278101aef0ba56743

September base-page snapshot — not refreshed; figures may be superseded by the dated evidence above

Temperature

CANADA

NEUTRAL

WARMING

ColdCoolNeutralWarmHot

Consumer / Demand

Headline CPI is 3.0%, but CPI-trim is 1.9% and CPI-median 2.0%. August employment fell 42k and wage growth slowed to 2.0% y/y. June GDP grew 0.3% and Q2 industry GDP rose 0.9%, leaving a real split between activity and household/labor momentum.

CPI trim

1.9%

CPI median

2.0%

Employment

-42k

Unemployment

6.4%

Unemployment trailing average

6.5%

6.6%

12m

6.7%

Core Inflation Momentum

	Latest	3m avg	6m avg
CPI-trim	1.9%	1.93%	2.05%
CPI-median	2.0%	2.00%	2.12%
CPI-common	2.7%	2.67%	2.62%

Policy / Transmission

BoC target overnight rate: 2.50% (Bank of Canada policy decision, 12 Nov 2026, effective 12 Nov 2026). Core inflation is near target while labor is softer; the strong Q2 activity print prevents a simple “cold” classification.

Remaining Country Evidence

Alberta condensate production, monthly, cubic metres · level

452,039 · Jul 2026 · Released 27 Aug 2026 · Context only · Ingested 29 Sep 2026 · Alberta

Alberta condensate production, monthly, cubic metres was 452,039 in Jul 2026, -2.60% from Jun 2026.

452,039 level-2.60% vs Jun 2026

Jul 2026452,03927 Aug 2026Ingested 29 Sep 2026
Jun 2026464110.40 cubic metresno recorded release date
May 2026443712.90 cubic metresno recorded release date

History, source and limits

May 2026Jul 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Jul 2026	452,039	27 Aug 2026	Ingested 29 Sep 2026
Jun 2026	464110.40 cubic metres	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	443712.90 cubic metres	no recorded release date	—

Only 3 months of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Alberta Energy Regulator

Technical details

Official title: Alberta condensate production, monthly, cubic metres (monthly level)
What it measures: This series measures Alberta condensate production, monthly, cubic metres · level.
Series: AER_ST3_CONDENSATE_PRODUCTION_M3
Transformation: monthly_level · monthly level
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: AB
Revision status: latest_available
Vintage: aer_st3_run_date:2026-08-27
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-27
Observation id: 0d62124a679df5ae5456a99c569b7837f0b92029389b1313b0d60311d12b71e3

Labour force survey unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted · level

6.70% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Labor · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Labour force survey unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted was 6.70% in Oct 2026, up 0.20 pp from Sep 2026.

6.70% level+0.20 pp vs Sep 2026

Oct 20266.70%no recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 20266.50%no recorded release date
Aug 20266.40%4 Sep 2026

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	6.70%	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	6.50%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	6.40%	4 Sep 2026	—
Jul 2026	6.40%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	6.50%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	6.60%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	6.90%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	6.70%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	6.70%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	6.50%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	6.80%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	6.60%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	6.90%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	7.10%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Statistics Canada

Technical details

Official title: Labour force survey unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: LFS_unemployment_rate_v2062815
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available:db1df620fa6c
Observation id: 1e5472bab389d69b520f16967e6ae3f3bcd9051015d11219982ddbdabb53e2ad

Real GDP growth (monthly by industry and quarterly expenditure GDP) · q/q

+0.80% · Q2 2026 · Released 28 Aug 2026 · Activity · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

Real GDP growth (monthly by industry and quarterly expenditure GDP) rose 0.80% q/q in Q2 2026, after +0.10% in Q1 2026.

+0.80% q/q+0.70 pp vs Q1 2026

Q2 2026+0.80%28 Aug 2026Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026+0.10%no recorded release date
Q4 2025-0.20%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Q3 2025Q2 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Q2 2026	+0.80%	28 Aug 2026	Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026	+0.10%	no recorded release date	—
Q4 2025	-0.20%	no recorded release date	—
Q3 2025	+0.50%	no recorded release date	—

Only 4 quarters of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 8.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Statistics Canada

Technical details

Official title: Real GDP growth (monthly by industry and quarterly expenditure GDP) (qoq sa pct)
What it measures: How fast the economy is growing.
Series: GDP_real_market_prices_qq_v1594571783
Transformation: qoq_sa_pct · qoq sa pct
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-28
Observation id: 299a2e0ef899fc80d8d8ee696361e472f22c898f2c642041e7f8222f65114eba

BoC core CPI measures (CPI-trim and CPI-median) · y/y

+1.90% · Sep 2026 · Released 19 Oct 2026 · Inflation · Ingested 20 Oct 2026

BoC core CPI measures (CPI-trim and CPI-median) was 1.90% y/y in Sep 2026, down from 2.00% in Aug 2026.

+1.90% y/y-0.10 pp vs Aug 2026

Sep 2026+1.90%19 Oct 2026Ingested 20 Oct 2026
Aug 2026+2.00%14 Sep 2026
Jul 2026+2.00%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Sep 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Sep 2026	+1.90%	19 Oct 2026	Ingested 20 Oct 2026
Aug 2026	+2.00%	14 Sep 2026	—
Jul 2026	+2.00%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	+1.90%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+2.10%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	+2.10%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	+2.30%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	+2.30%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	+2.50%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	+2.60%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+2.80%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	+2.90%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+3.10%	no recorded release date	—

This card shows one published series; 1 other series is stored under the same indicator and not shown here.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Statistics Canada

Technical details

Official title: BoC core CPI measures (CPI-trim and CPI-median, year-over-year) (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: CPI_median_yoy_v108785714
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available:460034077e45
Release date on committed row: 2026-10-19
Other series under this indicator: CPI_trim_yoy_v108785715
Observation id: 3647aaaf5face3fce3ebf094f75166b74793721b57d5357f1c8b7c4e182e79c0

Household final consumption expenditure, real q/q percent change · q/q

+0.80% · Q2 2026 · Released 28 Aug 2026 · Consumer · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

Household final consumption expenditure, real q/q percent change rose 0.80% q/q in Q2 2026, after +0.60% in Q1 2026.

+0.80% q/q+0.20 pp vs Q1 2026

Q2 2026+0.80%28 Aug 2026Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026+0.60%no recorded release date
Q4 2025+0.70%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Q3 2025Q2 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Q2 2026	+0.80%	28 Aug 2026	Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026	+0.60%	no recorded release date	—
Q4 2025	+0.70%	no recorded release date	—
Q3 2025	-0.20%	no recorded release date	—

Only 4 quarters of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 8.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Statistics Canada

Technical details

Official title: Household final consumption expenditure, real q/q percent change (qoq sa pct)
What it measures: How fast household spending is growing.
Series: household_final_consumption_qq_v1594571755
Transformation: qoq_sa_pct · qoq sa pct
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-28
Observation id: 4141b147c0455ad90106c5852c474b18e4ba9bfe44d46331c98fd9e99a0528fa

Real manufacturing sales of goods manufactured (shipments) · level

54,000 · Jul 2026 · Released 14 Sep 2026 · Context only · Ingested 29 Sep 2026

Real manufacturing sales of goods manufactured (shipments) was 54,000 in Jul 2026, -1.40% from Jun 2026.

54,000 level-1.40% vs Jun 2026

Jul 202654,00014 Sep 2026Ingested 29 Sep 2026
Jun 202654,768no recorded release date
May 202653,959no recorded release date

History, source and limits

May 2026Jul 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Jul 2026	54,000	14 Sep 2026	Ingested 29 Sep 2026
Jun 2026	54,768	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	53,959	no recorded release date	—

Only 3 months of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Statistics Canada

Technical details

Official title: Real manufacturing sales of goods manufactured (shipments), total, 2017 dollars, seasonally adjusted (monthly level)
What it measures: This series measures Real manufacturing sales of goods manufactured (shipments) · level.
Series: v123263908
Transformation: monthly_level · monthly level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available:58fad45e1a66
Release date on committed row: 2026-09-14
Observation id: 4f68253e5f5a6f124d4086660fd56952e64e81bea6d1889a5af718437b75852f

Alberta total oil sands production (nonupgraded total + upgraded) · level

18,423,653 · Jul 2026 · Released 27 Aug 2026 · Context only · Ingested 29 Sep 2026 · Alberta

Alberta total oil sands production (nonupgraded total + upgraded) was 18,423,653 in Jul 2026, +11.57% from Jun 2026.

18,423,653 level+11.57% vs Jun 2026

Jul 202618,423,65327 Aug 2026Ingested 29 Sep 2026
Jun 202616513522.10 cubic metresno recorded release date
May 202616420623.90 cubic metresno recorded release date

History, source and limits

May 2026Jul 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Jul 2026	18,423,653	27 Aug 2026	Ingested 29 Sep 2026
Jun 2026	16513522.10 cubic metres	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	16420623.90 cubic metres	no recorded release date	—

Only 3 months of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Alberta Energy Regulator

Technical details

Official title: Alberta total oil sands production (nonupgraded total + upgraded), monthly, cubic metres (monthly level)
What it measures: Physical energy supply, kept as context beside the scores.
Series: AER_ST3_OIL_SANDS_TOTAL_PRODUCTION_M3
Transformation: monthly_level · monthly level
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: AB
Revision status: latest_available
Vintage: aer_st3_run_date:2026-08-27
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-27
Observation id: 59ddaf41d13cbc6904d6df33c76f4fff322ddb86fbdab8700b912788dd241e66

Investment in building construction · level

21,248,226,101 · Jul 2026 · Released 21 Sep 2026 · Context only · Ingested 29 Sep 2026

Investment in building construction was 21,248,226,101 in Jul 2026, +0.98% from Jun 2026.

21,248,226,101 level+0.98% vs Jun 2026

Jul 202621,248,226,10121 Sep 2026Ingested 29 Sep 2026
Jun 202621,043,012,237no recorded release date
May 202621,241,553,851no recorded release date

History, source and limits

May 2026Jul 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Jul 2026	21,248,226,101	21 Sep 2026	Ingested 29 Sep 2026
Jun 2026	21,043,012,237	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	21,241,553,851	no recorded release date	—

Only 3 months of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Statistics Canada

Technical details

Official title: Investment in building construction, total residential and non-residential, all work types, seasonally adjusted, constant (2017) dollars (monthly level)
What it measures: This series measures Investment in building construction · level.
Series: v1705315927
Transformation: monthly_level · monthly level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available:a06745e0403a
Release date on committed row: 2026-09-21
Observation id: 5c2a17bbec4dcd4f3cb1f79efa34db64e0302d31c08306fadfdd382a0eff39a6

Total retail trade sales, seasonally adjusted · m/m

+1.20% · Aug 2026 · Released 23 Oct 2026 · Consumer · Ingested 29 Oct 2026

Total retail trade sales, seasonally adjusted rose 1.20% m/m in Aug 2026, after -0.81% in Jul 2026.

+1.20% m/m+2.01 pp vs Jul 2026

Aug 2026+1.20%23 Oct 2026Ingested 29 Oct 2026
Jul 2026-0.81%no recorded release date
Jun 2026+0.60%21 Aug 2026

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Aug 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Aug 2026	+1.20%	23 Oct 2026	Ingested 29 Oct 2026
Jul 2026	-0.81%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	+0.60%	21 Aug 2026	—
May 2026	+1.06%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	+0.47%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	+0.93%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	+0.56%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	+1.33%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	-0.39%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+1.24%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	+0.08%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	-1.02%	no recorded release date	—

Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Statistics Canada

Technical details

Official title: Total retail trade sales, seasonally adjusted, month-over-month (monthly percent change)
What it measures: How fast retail sales are growing.
Series: retail_total_sa_v1446859483
Transformation: mom_sa_pct · monthly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available:73f4f6051540
Release date on committed row: 2026-10-23
Observation id: 5eec812c27b36e4cc5d62003cc6a08424746795107f27de6006495d4ea844071

Alberta total oil sands production (nonupgraded total + upgraded) · calendar-day rate

594311.39 cubic metres per calendar day · Jul 2026 · Released 27 Aug 2026 · Context only · Ingested 29 Sep 2026 · Alberta

Alberta total oil sands production (nonupgraded total + upgraded) was 594311.39 cubic metres per calendar day in Jul 2026, +7.97% from Jun 2026.

594311.39 cubic metres per calendar day calendar-day rate+7.97% vs Jun 2026

Jul 2026594311.39 cubic metres per calendar day27 Aug 2026Ingested 29 Sep 2026
Jun 2026550450.74 cubic metres per calendar dayno recorded release date
May 2026529697.55 cubic metres per calendar dayno recorded release date

History, source and limits

May 2026Jul 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Jul 2026	594311.39 cubic metres per calendar day	27 Aug 2026	Ingested 29 Sep 2026
Jun 2026	550450.74 cubic metres per calendar day	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	529697.55 cubic metres per calendar day	no recorded release date	—

Only 3 months of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Alberta Energy Regulator

Technical details

Official title: Alberta total oil sands production (nonupgraded total + upgraded), monthly, cubic metres (calendar-day rate)
What it measures: Physical energy supply, kept as context beside the scores.
Series: AER_ST3_OIL_SANDS_TOTAL_PRODUCTION_M3
Transformation: calendar_day_rate · calendar-day rate
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonal adjustment (calendar-day rate)
Geography: AB
Revision status: latest_available
Vintage: aer_st3_run_date:2026-08-27
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-27
Observation id: 685a5b24750b0718971d46524c0af6003ad83b9045a7d053391298fec2c5f0b6

Wholesale sales volume · level

111,429 · Jul 2026 · Released 15 Sep 2026 · Context only · Ingested 29 Sep 2026

Wholesale sales volume was 111,429 in Jul 2026, +0.42% from Jun 2026.

111,429 level+0.42% vs Jun 2026

Jul 2026111,42915 Sep 2026Ingested 29 Sep 2026
Jun 2026110,967no recorded release date
May 2026111,370no recorded release date

History, source and limits

May 2026Jul 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Jul 2026	111,429	15 Sep 2026	Ingested 29 Sep 2026
Jun 2026	110,967	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	111,370	no recorded release date	—

Only 3 months of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Statistics Canada

Technical details

Official title: Wholesale sales volume, wholesale trade total, seasonally adjusted (WDS member 'Chained Fisher volume index', published in millions of chained 2012 dollars) (monthly level)
What it measures: This series measures Wholesale sales volume · level.
Series: v120586538
Transformation: monthly_level · monthly level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available:2ee972091da2
Release date on committed row: 2026-09-15
Observation id: 79de882cf48423719d1ab9625d9d0ce0d7e0c840baa5691d0308b43d522c8e42

Average hourly wages, employees · y/y

+2.24% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Labor · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Average hourly wages, employees rose 2.24% y/y in Oct 2026, after +2.34% in Sep 2026.

+2.24% y/y-0.10 pp vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026+2.24%no recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026+2.34%no recorded release date
Aug 2026+1.96%4 Sep 2026

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	+2.24%	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	+2.34%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	+1.96%	4 Sep 2026	—
Jul 2026	+2.79%	7 Aug 2026	—
Jun 2026	+3.30%	10 Jul 2026	—
May 2026	+3.04%	5 Jun 2026	—
Apr 2026	+4.54%	8 May 2026	—
Mar 2026	+4.66%	10 Apr 2026	—
Feb 2026	+3.93%	13 Mar 2026	—
Jan 2026	+3.28%	6 Feb 2026	—
Dec 2025	+3.43%	9 Jan 2026	—
Nov 2025	+3.55%	5 Dec 2025	—
Oct 2025	+3.55%	7 Nov 2025	—
Sep 2025	+3.29%	10 Oct 2025	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Statistics Canada

Technical details

Official title: Average hourly wages, employees, year-over-year change (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast pay is growing.
Series: LFS_avg_hourly_wage_v105812645
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available:04d565f98e34
Observation id: 7a84a7d87cfe8bae06fae4342d052e8b318f465bda26d40895fd2cea7f15519e

Employment · monthly change

-4.70k · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Labor · Ingested 9 Nov 2026

Employment fell 4.70k in Oct 2026, after -68.30k in Sep 2026.

-4.70k monthly change+63.60k vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026-4.70kno recorded release dateIngested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026-68.30kno recorded release date
Aug 2026-41.70k4 Sep 2026

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	-4.70k	no recorded release date	Ingested 9 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	-68.30k	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	-41.70k	4 Sep 2026	—
Jul 2026	+75.10k	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	+18.20k	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+87.80k	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	-17.70k	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	+14.10k	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	-83.90k	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	-24.80k	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	+10.10k	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+52.30k	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	+73.70k	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+53.30k	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Statistics Canada

Technical details

Official title: Employment monthly change, seasonally adjusted (mom sa change thousands)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: LFS_employment_level_v2062811
Transformation: mom_sa_change_thousands · mom sa change thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available:bf0c07c5f396
Observation id: 7b5dda955593b4677aec5aac5a2d7d7807a1fe31db6b8393a8a18ce015d72001

S&P Global Canada Composite PMI

48.1 · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Activity · Ingested 5 Nov 2026

S&P Global Canada Composite PMI was 48.1 in Oct 2026, below the 50 no-change line: more respondents report decreases than increases; down 0.6 pts from Sep 2026.

48.1 diffusion-0.6 pts vs Sep 2026

Oct 202648.1no recorded release dateIngested 5 Nov 2026
Sep 202648.7no recorded release date
Aug 202647.83 Sep 2026

History, source and limits

Aug 2025line = 50Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	48.1	no recorded release date	Ingested 5 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	48.7	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	47.8	3 Sep 2026	—
Jul 2026	49.7	6 Aug 2026	—
Jun 2026	47.9	6 Jul 2026	—
May 2026	50.8	3 Jun 2026	—
Apr 2026	49.9	5 May 2026	—
Mar 2026	47.6	6 Apr 2026	—
Feb 2026	47.1	4 Mar 2026	—
Jan 2026	46.4	4 Feb 2026	—
Dec 2025	46.7	6 Jan 2026	—
Nov 2025	44.9	3 Dec 2025	—
Oct 2025	50.3	5 Nov 2025	—
Sep 2025	46.3	3 Oct 2025	—
Aug 2025	48.4	4 Sep 2025	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: S&P Global

Technical details

Official title: S&P Global Canada Composite PMI Output Index (Ivey PMI conflict-only) (diffusion index)
What it measures: A business survey of activity. Readings above 50 mean more firms report expansion than contraction.
Series: SP_GLOBAL_CA_COMPOSITE
Transformation: diffusion_index · diffusion index
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available:f8e83f6c1b3d
Observation id: 7e153634f8dc8454b8cac94e3a4dfdcc3e79bd2c1d3a5458836f91991348a957

Ivey PMI

64.3 · Aug 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

Ivey PMI was 64.3 in Aug 2026, above the 50 no-change line: more respondents report increases than decreases; up 9.2 pts from Jul 2026.

64.3+9.2 pts vs Jul 2026

Aug 202664.3no recorded release dateIngested 21 Sep 2026
Jul 202655.1no recorded release date
Jun 202656.2no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Sep 2025line = 50Aug 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Aug 2026	64.3	no recorded release date	Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Jul 2026	55.1	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	56.2	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	58.2	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	57.7	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	49.7	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	56.6	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	50.9	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	51.9	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	48.4	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	52.4	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	59.8	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Ivey Business School

Technical details

Official title: S&P Global Canada Composite PMI Output Index (Ivey PMI conflict-only) (ivey sa diffusion)
What it measures: A business survey of activity. Readings above 50 mean more firms report expansion than contraction.
Series: Ivey_PMI_conflict
Transformation: ivey_sa_diffusion · ivey sa diffusion
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 969c98ffa84e86e60d3b962c836a9bdda90f3dc833fc4a98719a3e6167e27760

Alberta total crude oil and equivalent production (conventional crude… · level

21677452.50 cubic metres · Jul 2026 · Released 27 Aug 2026 · Context only · Ingested 29 Sep 2026 · Alberta

Alberta total crude oil and equivalent production (conventional crude… was 21677452.50 cubic metres in Jul 2026, +10.18% from Jun 2026.

21677452.50 cubic metres level+10.18% vs Jun 2026

Jul 202621677452.50 cubic metres27 Aug 2026Ingested 29 Sep 2026
Jun 202619675110.40 cubic metresno recorded release date
May 202619679887.20 cubic metresno recorded release date

History, source and limits

May 2026Jul 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Jul 2026	21677452.50 cubic metres	27 Aug 2026	Ingested 29 Sep 2026
Jun 2026	19675110.40 cubic metres	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	19679887.20 cubic metres	no recorded release date	—

Only 3 months of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Alberta Energy Regulator

Technical details

Official title: Alberta total crude oil and equivalent production (conventional crude + condensate + oil sands), monthly, cubic metres (monthly level)
What it measures: Physical energy supply, kept as context beside the scores.
Series: AER_ST3_OIL_TOTAL_PRODUCTION_M3
Transformation: monthly_level · monthly level
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: AB
Revision status: latest_available
Vintage: aer_st3_run_date:2026-08-27
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-27
Observation id: 9a0508aa4c6194695b741081811f10b3b1b7de310894356f26a4fb504a913759

Alberta total conventional crude oil production (light + medium + hea… · level

2801760.50 cubic metres · Jul 2026 · Released 27 Aug 2026 · Context only · Ingested 29 Sep 2026 · Alberta

Alberta total conventional crude oil production (light + medium + hea… was 2801760.50 cubic metres in Jul 2026, +3.87% from Jun 2026.

2801760.50 cubic metres level+3.87% vs Jun 2026

Jul 20262801760.50 cubic metres27 Aug 2026Ingested 29 Sep 2026
Jun 20262697477.90 cubic metresno recorded release date
May 20262815550.40 cubic metresno recorded release date

History, source and limits

May 2026Jul 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Jul 2026	2801760.50 cubic metres	27 Aug 2026	Ingested 29 Sep 2026
Jun 2026	2697477.90 cubic metres	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	2815550.40 cubic metres	no recorded release date	—

Only 3 months of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Alberta Energy Regulator

Technical details

Official title: Alberta total conventional crude oil production (light + medium + heavy + ultra-heavy), monthly, cubic metres (monthly level)
What it measures: Physical energy supply, kept as context beside the scores.
Series: AER_ST3_CONVENTIONAL_CRUDE_PRODUCTION_M3
Transformation: monthly_level · monthly level
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: AB
Revision status: latest_available
Vintage: aer_st3_run_date:2026-08-27
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-27
Observation id: 9a852b987491e7d807fb889eeb09aa113795625294616e3afacc3cf584d59ccd

Real GDP growth (monthly by industry and quarterly expenditure GDP) · m/m

+0.26% · Jun 2026 · Released 28 Aug 2026 · Context only · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

Real GDP growth (monthly by industry and quarterly expenditure GDP) rose 0.26% m/m in Jun 2026, after +0.33% in May 2026.

+0.26% m/m-0.07 pp vs May 2026

Jun 2026+0.26%28 Aug 2026Ingested 21 Sep 2026
May 2026+0.33%no recorded release date
Apr 2026+0.63%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Nov 2025Jun 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Jun 2026	+0.26%	28 Aug 2026	Ingested 21 Sep 2026
May 2026	+0.33%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	+0.63%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	-0.15%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	+0.16%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	-0.02%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	+0.11%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+0.08%	no recorded release date	—

Source: Statistics Canada

Technical details

Official title: Real GDP growth (monthly by industry and quarterly expenditure GDP) (monthly percent change)
What it measures: How fast the economy is growing.
Series: GDP_monthly_all_industries_v65201210
Transformation: mom_sa_pct · monthly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-28
Observation id: 9f4abeaef6aa88eca3acc86e4055454d1d06fd578e95cecffcfed7a260e7ae24

Exports of crude oil and crude bitumen · level

129.70 Laspeyres volume index (2017=100) · Jul 2026 · Released 3 Sep 2026 · Context only · Ingested 29 Sep 2026

Exports of crude oil and crude bitumen was 129.70 Laspeyres volume index (2017=100) in Jul 2026, -4.00% from Jun 2026.

129.70 Laspeyres volume index (2017=100) level-4.00% vs Jun 2026

Jul 2026129.70 Laspeyres volume index (2017=100)3 Sep 2026Ingested 29 Sep 2026
Jun 2026135.10 Laspeyres volume index (2017=100)no recorded release date
May 2026131.40 Laspeyres volume index (2017=100)no recorded release date

History, source and limits

May 2026Jul 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Jul 2026	129.70 Laspeyres volume index (2017=100)	3 Sep 2026	Ingested 29 Sep 2026
Jun 2026	135.10 Laspeyres volume index (2017=100)	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	131.40 Laspeyres volume index (2017=100)	no recorded release date	—

Only 3 months of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Statistics Canada

Technical details

Official title: Exports of crude oil and crude bitumen, Laspeyres fixed-weighted volume index (2017=100), balance of payments basis, seasonally adjusted (monthly level)
What it measures: Physical energy supply, kept as context beside the scores.
Series: v1566916256
Transformation: monthly_level · monthly level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available:6356f1bb9ed3
Release date on committed row: 2026-09-03
Observation id: abda52e3042881d2790ff6c0c64ebb4dea8e2d48e3a75a01a35185c2e1a27e40

Canada marketable natural gas production · calendar-day rate

566,735.80 thousand · Jul 2026 · Released 23 Sep 2026 · Context only · Ingested 29 Sep 2026

Canada marketable natural gas production was 566,735.80 thousand in Jul 2026, -0.45% from Jun 2026.

566,735.80 thousand calendar-day rate-0.45% vs Jun 2026

Jul 2026566,735.80 thousand23 Sep 2026Ingested 29 Sep 2026
Jun 2026569,269.41 thousandno recorded release date
May 2026557,124.68 thousandno recorded release date

History, source and limits

May 2026Jul 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Jul 2026	566,735.80 thousand	23 Sep 2026	Ingested 29 Sep 2026
Jun 2026	569,269.41 thousand	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	557,124.68 thousand	no recorded release date	—

Only 3 months of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Statistics Canada

Technical details

Official title: Canada marketable natural gas production, monthly, thousands of cubic metres (calendar-day rate)
What it measures: Physical energy supply, kept as context beside the scores.
Series: v1864626177
Transformation: calendar_day_rate · calendar-day rate
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonal adjustment (calendar-day rate)
Geography: CA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available:9c6715983ef8
Release date on committed row: 2026-09-23
Observation id: ade805bab9b9b6daa6348e297c15a30e051831dac3e694acadcc4eb2e46545be

Alberta condensate production, monthly, cubic metres · calendar-day rate

14581.90 cubic metres per calendar day · Jul 2026 · Released 27 Aug 2026 · Context only · Ingested 29 Sep 2026 · Alberta

Alberta condensate production, monthly, cubic metres was 14581.90 cubic metres per calendar day in Jul 2026, -5.74% from Jun 2026.

14581.90 cubic metres per calendar day calendar-day rate-5.74% vs Jun 2026

Jul 202614581.90 cubic metres per calendar day27 Aug 2026Ingested 29 Sep 2026
Jun 202615470.35 cubic metres per calendar dayno recorded release date
May 202614313.32 cubic metres per calendar dayno recorded release date

History, source and limits

May 2026Jul 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Jul 2026	14581.90 cubic metres per calendar day	27 Aug 2026	Ingested 29 Sep 2026
Jun 2026	15470.35 cubic metres per calendar day	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	14313.32 cubic metres per calendar day	no recorded release date	—

Only 3 months of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Alberta Energy Regulator

Technical details

Official title: Alberta condensate production, monthly, cubic metres (calendar-day rate)
What it measures: This series measures Alberta condensate production, monthly, cubic metres · calendar-day rate.
Series: AER_ST3_CONDENSATE_PRODUCTION_M3
Transformation: calendar_day_rate · calendar-day rate
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonal adjustment (calendar-day rate)
Geography: AB
Revision status: latest_available
Vintage: aer_st3_run_date:2026-08-27
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-27
Observation id: b062d1c10c1bdffcf2c9ee41405b973b09367f08cc3698192020c1b6756bd912

Consumer Price Index, all-items · y/y

+3.09% · Sep 2026 · Released 19 Oct 2026 · Inflation · Ingested 20 Oct 2026

Consumer Price Index, all-items was 3.09% y/y in Sep 2026, up from 3.03% in Aug 2026.

+3.09% y/y+0.06 pp vs Aug 2026

Sep 2026+3.09%19 Oct 2026Ingested 20 Oct 2026
Aug 2026+3.03%14 Sep 2026
Jul 2026+3.03%17 Aug 2026

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Sep 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Sep 2026	+3.09%	19 Oct 2026	Ingested 20 Oct 2026
Aug 2026	+3.03%	14 Sep 2026	—
Jul 2026	+3.03%	17 Aug 2026	—
Jun 2026	+2.80%	20 Jul 2026	—
May 2026	+3.23%	22 Jun 2026	—
Apr 2026	+2.82%	19 May 2026	—
Mar 2026	+2.39%	20 Apr 2026	—
Feb 2026	+1.78%	16 Mar 2026	—
Jan 2026	+2.29%	17 Feb 2026	—
Dec 2025	+2.36%	19 Jan 2026	—
Nov 2025	+2.22%	15 Dec 2025	—
Oct 2025	+2.16%	17 Nov 2025	—
Sep 2025	+2.36%	21 Oct 2025	—

Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Statistics Canada

Technical details

Official title: Consumer Price Index, all-items, 12-month percent change (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: CPI_all_items_index_v41690973
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available:89ca0df93f79
Release date on committed row: 2026-10-19
Observation id: bb5667a24b2a9cb70773973d60d741e1c66f97dd497d12296a8f354c57e537f8

Alberta total conventional crude oil production (light + medium + hea… · calendar-day rate

90379.37 cubic metres per calendar day · Jul 2026 · Released 27 Aug 2026 · Context only · Ingested 29 Sep 2026 · Alberta

Alberta total conventional crude oil production (light + medium + hea… was 90379.37 cubic metres per calendar day in Jul 2026, +0.52% from Jun 2026.

90379.37 cubic metres per calendar day calendar-day rate+0.52% vs Jun 2026

Jul 202690379.37 cubic metres per calendar day27 Aug 2026Ingested 29 Sep 2026
Jun 202689915.93 cubic metres per calendar dayno recorded release date
May 202690824.21 cubic metres per calendar dayno recorded release date

History, source and limits

May 2026Jul 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Jul 2026	90379.37 cubic metres per calendar day	27 Aug 2026	Ingested 29 Sep 2026
Jun 2026	89915.93 cubic metres per calendar day	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	90824.21 cubic metres per calendar day	no recorded release date	—

Only 3 months of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Alberta Energy Regulator

Technical details

Official title: Alberta total conventional crude oil production (light + medium + heavy + ultra-heavy), monthly, cubic metres (calendar-day rate)
What it measures: Physical energy supply, kept as context beside the scores.
Series: AER_ST3_CONVENTIONAL_CRUDE_PRODUCTION_M3
Transformation: calendar_day_rate · calendar-day rate
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonal adjustment (calendar-day rate)
Geography: AB
Revision status: latest_available
Vintage: aer_st3_run_date:2026-08-27
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-27
Observation id: be202198a5b75d84b844ec3680b17dab6c242424ba9bf025714044fdca01aeb0

Retail sales volume · level

60,501 · Jul 2026 · Released 24 Sep 2026 · Context only · Ingested 29 Sep 2026

Retail sales volume was 60,501 in Jul 2026, -1.10% from Jun 2026.

60,501 level-1.10% vs Jun 2026

Jul 202660,50124 Sep 2026Ingested 29 Sep 2026
Jun 202661,175no recorded release date
May 202660,220no recorded release date

History, source and limits

May 2026Jul 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Jul 2026	60,501	24 Sep 2026	Ingested 29 Sep 2026
Jun 2026	61,175	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	60,220	no recorded release date	—

Only 3 months of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Statistics Canada

Technical details

Official title: Retail sales volume, retail trade total, seasonally adjusted (WDS member 'Chained Fisher volume index', published in millions of chained 2017 dollars) (monthly level)
What it measures: How fast retail sales are growing.
Series: v1446870181
Transformation: monthly_level · monthly level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available:33790f822a23
Release date on committed row: 2026-09-24
Observation id: da393d98898d59cf55050414209db44513c8cbd48ba6501278101aef0ba56743

Alberta total crude oil and equivalent production (conventional crude… · calendar-day rate

699272.66 cubic metres per calendar day · Jul 2026 · Released 27 Aug 2026 · Context only · Ingested 29 Sep 2026 · Alberta

Alberta total crude oil and equivalent production (conventional crude… was 699272.66 cubic metres per calendar day in Jul 2026, +6.62% from Jun 2026.

699272.66 cubic metres per calendar day calendar-day rate+6.62% vs Jun 2026

Jul 2026699272.66 cubic metres per calendar day27 Aug 2026Ingested 29 Sep 2026
Jun 2026655837.01 cubic metres per calendar dayno recorded release date
May 2026634835.07 cubic metres per calendar dayno recorded release date

History, source and limits

May 2026Jul 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Jul 2026	699272.66 cubic metres per calendar day	27 Aug 2026	Ingested 29 Sep 2026
Jun 2026	655837.01 cubic metres per calendar day	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	634835.07 cubic metres per calendar day	no recorded release date	—

Only 3 months of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Alberta Energy Regulator

Technical details

Official title: Alberta total crude oil and equivalent production (conventional crude + condensate + oil sands), monthly, cubic metres (calendar-day rate)
What it measures: Physical energy supply, kept as context beside the scores.
Series: AER_ST3_OIL_TOTAL_PRODUCTION_M3
Transformation: calendar_day_rate · calendar-day rate
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonal adjustment (calendar-day rate)
Geography: AB
Revision status: latest_available
Vintage: aer_st3_run_date:2026-08-27
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-27
Observation id: f6b64cf527090114710b78e00a0c43420de7f74cf50d6ce06fa16ffe9acd92ed

Canada marketable natural gas production · level

17,568,809.80 thousand · Jul 2026 · Released 23 Sep 2026 · Context only · Ingested 29 Sep 2026

Canada marketable natural gas production was 17,568,809.80 thousand in Jul 2026, +2.87% from Jun 2026.

17,568,809.80 thousand level+2.87% vs Jun 2026

Jul 202617,568,809.80 thousand23 Sep 2026Ingested 29 Sep 2026
Jun 202617,078,082.20 thousandno recorded release date
May 202617,270,865.20 thousandno recorded release date

History, source and limits

May 2026Jul 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Jul 2026	17,568,809.80 thousand	23 Sep 2026	Ingested 29 Sep 2026
Jun 2026	17,078,082.20 thousand	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	17,270,865.20 thousand	no recorded release date	—

Only 3 months of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Statistics Canada

Technical details

Official title: Canada marketable natural gas production, monthly, thousands of cubic metres (monthly level)
What it measures: Physical energy supply, kept as context beside the scores.
Series: v1864626177
Transformation: monthly_level · monthly level
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available:9c6715983ef8
Release date on committed row: 2026-09-23
Observation id: f78c19c4a66383fe95cde0c47546dde17002bc1c91c837d52ded61a7817819e9

Household disposable income · q/q

+2.12% · Q2 2026 · Released 28 Aug 2026 · Consumer · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

Household disposable income rose 2.12% q/q in Q2 2026, after +1.12% in Q1 2026.

+2.12% q/q+1.00 pp vs Q1 2026

Q2 2026+2.12%28 Aug 2026Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026+1.12%no recorded release date
Q4 2025+0.62%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Q3 2025Q2 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Q2 2026	+2.12%	28 Aug 2026	Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026	+1.12%	no recorded release date	—
Q4 2025	+0.62%	no recorded release date	—
Q3 2025	+0.81%	no recorded release date	—

Only 4 quarters of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 8.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Statistics Canada

Technical details

Official title: Household disposable income, quarter-over-quarter percent change (qoq sa pct)
What it measures: How fast household income is growing.
Series: household_disposable_income_v62305981
Transformation: qoq_sa_pct · qoq sa pct
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-28
Observation id: fe1949cf94552ec5c59eb312187d0549852c3a9a8baa56e77dc524a6a8b307a3

Monthly industry GDP (m/m SA); quarterly expenditure GDP remains the… · m/m

-0.01% · Aug 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 2 Nov 2026

Monthly industry GDP (m/m SA); quarterly expenditure GDP remains the… fell 0.01% m/m in Aug 2026.

-0.01% m/m

History, source and limits

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Aug 2026	-0.01%	no recorded release date	Ingested 2 Nov 2026

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 1 period of this series is committed; the chart would normally show 12.

Source: Statistics Canada

Technical details

Official title: Monthly industry GDP (m/m SA); quarterly expenditure GDP remains the scored Activity input
What it measures: How fast the economy is growing.
Series: monthly_v65201210;quarterly_v1594571783
Transformation: mom_sa_pct_and_qoq_sa_pct · mom sa pct and qoq sa pct
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: CA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available:9cf2ba4177f9
Observation id: 99541288142ed887b50b6b6a210afdb9e6f1a355d3b21728c87fe3ab0572043f

Scores: calibration anchor 21 Sep 2026 · inputs last ingested 13 Nov 2026 · latest scored component period Nov 2026 · Coverage counts scored components only and is not a freshness claim.

LEVEL is the 1–100 score, where 50 is the structural/policy neutral point. IMPULSE is the latest print versus the prior print, in score points.

Australia: historical temperature trends

Nov 2026

Actual stored monthly dimension scores through Nov 2026.
Aggregate uses proposed 40/40/10/10 weights; not the existing production mean.

Aggregate54.69

Inflation67.25

Labor45.74

Activity45.79

Consumer49.10

Aggregate trajectory

Inflation

Labor

Activity

Consumer

The line at 50 is a structural neutral reference, not a claim of policy balance.

Reconstructed monthly replay of stored scores. Not a historical real-time published snapshot. A published snapshot is stored separately for cutoff Nov 2026 and is not drawn as the line.

InflationLevel 67.2/100 warmImpulse ↑ warming +1.50vs prior printInputs through Sep 2026 LaborLevel 45.7/100 neutralImpulse ↓ cooling -4.39vs prior printUnemployment through Sep 2026 · Wages through 2026 Q2 · Employment through Sep 2026 ActivityLevel 45.8/100 neutralImpulse ↑ warming +2.23vs prior printDomestic demand through 2026 Q2 · Business surveys through Aug 2026 ConsumerLevel 49.1/100 neutralImpulse ↓ cooling -1.87vs prior printIncome through 2026 Q2 · Spending through Aug 2026 · Confidence through Sep 2026

Monetary policy

Decision	Implied rate	Step bp	Cumulative bp	1d	1w	Method
2026-12-08	4.87%	+1.74	+1.74	+0.06	+0.74	identified
2027-02-09	4.92%	+5.23	+6.97	-0.71	-0.66	estimated
2027-03-23	4.91%	-0.71	+6.27	+2.18	+0.27	estimated
2027-05-04	4.88%	-2.84	+3.42	-0.85	-0.86	estimated
2027-06-22	4.82%	-6.12	-2.7	+0.62	-1.7	estimated

RBA cash rate target 4.85%; futures as of 2026-11-12; basis +0 bp; IB step is the change in the interbank overnight cash rate versus the prior-month forward average. It is not the RBA cash-rate target or the spot AONIA fixing.; calendar retrieved 2026-11-13.

RBA meeting prices use 30-day interbank cash-rate futures (AONIA/IB) only. 90-day bank bill futures (BBSW/IR) are a separate bank-funding curve and are not meeting odds.

What Matters Now

No finding clears the attention rules. 12 of 15 observations were eligible latest evidence and none qualified.

InflationLevel 67.2/100 warm

Impulse↑ warming +1.50vs prior print

Inputs through Sep 2026

Level 67.2 is driven mainly by Headline (+9.00 points, warming impulse +3.75) and Underlying (+8.25 points, static impulse +0.00); dimension impulse is warming (+1.50 vs prior print).

Hard score inputs

How the level adds up 67.25 = 50 +8.25 underlying +9.00 headline

Headline CPI year-ended inflation (all groups), Australia · y/y +9.00 points in Inflation

Score uses +4.30%: the Sep 2026 print.

Latest print +4.30% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 72.50
Component weight: 0.40
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Headline CPI year-ended inflation (all groups), Australia (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: A130393721F
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: AU
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-27
Observation id: 7f4fe4af464cb67fe621e7b9943eee93964815b7e4756198ddae3d7b32c09ec8
Scored series: A130393721F

Trimmed mean CPI year-ended inflation, Australia · y/y +8.25 points in Inflation

Score uses +3.60%: the Sep 2026 print.

Latest print +3.60% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 63.75
Component weight: 0.60
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Trimmed mean CPI year-ended inflation, Australia (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: A130400382R
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: AU
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-27
Observation id: ff54f4c9846d8047f74557186d32f9b79a82716749bfc789b36b2f87a551281c
Scored series: A130400382R

How to read: 50 = structural/policy neutral anchor. Points show how far each input pulls the stored level away from 50. Context rows below do not feed the score.

Context / corroboration · not score inputs

No context rows for this topic.

LaborLevel 45.7/100 neutral

Impulse↓ cooling -4.39vs prior print

Unemployment through Sep 2026 · Wages through 2026 Q2 · Employment through Sep 2026

Level 45.7 is driven mainly by Unemployment (-3.06 points, cooling impulse -5.13) and Employment (-0.60 points, cooling impulse -7.97); dimension impulse is cooling (-4.39 vs prior print).

Hard score inputs

How the level adds up 45.74 = 50 -3.06 unemployment -0.60 wages -0.60 employment

Unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted · level -3.06 points in Labor

Score uses 4.72%: the Sep 2026 print.

Latest print 4.72% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 45.63
Component weight: 0.70
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: A84423050A
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: AU
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-14
Observation id: 3ff0dd3de0e56bb4a6d9c1dd230d8750918880e81223f7509fc08a65dd678b30
Scored series: A84423050A

WPI total hourly rates (ex bonuses) · y/y -0.60 points in Labor

Score uses +3.20%: the Q2 2026 print.

Latest print +3.20% · Q2 2026 · Released 13 Aug 2026.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 47.00
Component weight: 0.20
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: WPI total hourly rates (ex bonuses), all sectors, y/y, seasonally adjusted (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast pay is growing.
Series: A83895396W
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: AU
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-13
Observation id: af0ccbc8c6b47b0d63624c333ebe46b7d601445b9811e614f5183301354555de
Scored series: A83895396W

Employment · monthly change -0.60 points in Labor

Score uses -5.21k: average of 3 months, Jul–Sep 2026: -15.80k, +39.49k, -39.33k.

Latest print -39.33k · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 43.96
Component weight: 0.10
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Monthly change in employed persons, seasonally adjusted (mom change thousands sa)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: A84423043C
Transformation: mom_change_thousands_sa · mom change thousands sa
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: AU
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-14
Observation id: d59340c83c258c1b0e37f75c64ed0af57f8d0dc43e021ca3837f61578d7b50a4
Scored series: A84423043C

How to read: 50 = structural/policy neutral anchor. Points show how far each input pulls the stored level away from 50. Context rows below do not feed the score.

Context / corroboration · not score inputs

Employment · monthly change Due 14,600.81 thousand · Aug 2025 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Monthly change in employed persons, seasonally adjusted (level thousands sa)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: A84423043C
Transformation: level_thousands_sa · level thousands sa
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: AU
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-14
Observation id: 2130579bea2bc9d1b4ce157c2193e0cc61cb5d46a033b922362d2657d39f4c3c

ActivityLevel 45.8/100 neutral

Impulse↑ warming +2.23vs prior print

Domestic demand through 2026 Q2 · Business surveys through Aug 2026

Level 45.8 is driven mainly by Domestic demand (-5.05 points, warming impulse +4.04) and Business surveys (+0.84 points, cooling impulse -0.50); dimension impulse is warming (+2.23 vs prior print).

Hard score inputs

How the level adds up 45.79 = 50 -5.05 domestic demand +0.84 business surveys

Real GDP and domestic final demand (chain volume, SA q/q) · q/q -5.05 points in Activity

Score uses +1.41%: average of Q1–Q2 2026 q/q, each at an annual rate (+0.30%, +0.40%).

Latest print +0.40% · Q2 2026 · Released 3 Sep 2026.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 41.58
Component weight: 0.60
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Real GDP and domestic final demand (chain volume, SA q/q) (quarterly percent change)
What it measures: How fast the economy is growing.
Series: A2304370T
Transformation: qoq_pct · quarterly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: AU
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-09-03
Observation id: a2e1715eac32eb588e9b6ed254ebfeb398de9db24495fdc02c2b92413f27d20a
Scored series: A2304370T

Composite PMI output +0.84 points in Activity

Score uses 52.1: average of 3 months, Jun–Aug 2026: 50.4, 53.2, 52.7.

Latest print 52.7 · Aug 2026 · Released 3 Sep 2026.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 52.10
Component weight: 0.40
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: S&P Global / Judo Bank Australia Composite PMI Output Index (diffusion index)
What it measures: A business survey of activity. Readings above 50 mean more firms report expansion than contraction.
Series: SP_GLOBAL_AU_COMPOSITE_PMI
Transformation: diffusion_index · diffusion index
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: AU
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-09-03
Observation id: a7eb74685b082089f9394060f078776ea284017bced78373d8997266b882f817
Scored series: SP_GLOBAL_AU_COMPOSITE_PMI

How to read: 50 = structural/policy neutral anchor. Points show how far each input pulls the stored level away from 50. Context rows below do not feed the score.

Context / corroboration · not score inputs

No context rows for this topic.

ConsumerLevel 49.1/100 neutral

Impulse↓ cooling -1.87vs prior print

Income through 2026 Q2 · Spending through Aug 2026 · Confidence through Sep 2026

Level 49.1 is driven mainly by Confidence (-5.20 points) and Spending (+4.33 points, cooling impulse -16.00); dimension impulse is cooling (-1.87 vs prior print).

Hard score inputs

How the level adds up 49.10 = 50 -0.04 income +4.33 spending -5.20 confidence (coverage 75%)

Household gross disposable income, seasonally adjusted q/q · q/q -0.04 points in Consumer

Score uses +1.12%: the Q2 2026 print.

Latest print +1.12% · Q2 2026 · Released 3 Sep 2026.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 49.89
Component weight: 0.25
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Household gross disposable income, seasonally adjusted q/q (quarterly percent change)
What it measures: How fast household income is growing.
Series: A2302939L
Transformation: qoq_pct · quarterly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: AU
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-09-03
Observation id: 3cc43d96ef16478a628046aa84db1ccf7eed4a5e838d2c42b3fa24ea9f7eb9b3
Scored series: A2302939L

Consumer sentiment -5.20 points in Consumer

Score uses 84.4: the Sep 2026 print.

Latest print 84.4 · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 34.40
Component weight: 0.25
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Westpac-Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment Index (index level)
What it measures: How households say they feel about the economy.
Series: AU.Consumer.confidence
Transformation: index_level · index level
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: AU
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-09-16
Observation id: bb98b6f9584115c0806b0a5c8d9e1f775d60cc3723ccedc7e202d9574c36e314

Monthly household spending indicator · m/m +4.33 points in Consumer

Score uses +0.70%: average of 3 months, Jun–Aug 2026: +1.00%, +1.10%, +0.00%.

Latest print +0.00% · Aug 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 63.00
Component weight: 0.25
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Monthly household spending indicator, total (current price), m/m, seasonally adjusted (monthly percent change)
What it measures: How fast household spending is growing.
Series: A130200586W
Transformation: mom_pct · monthly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: AU
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-28
Observation id: e5b666dccdd8d3048e2c7896dd7e228afc8efca71466b607f0c6d0bb8bcdbe9e
Scored series: A130200586W

Retail is not scored and its 25% weight is left out. ABS monthly retail trade ceased after 2025-06; omit from LEVEL and reduce coverage.

How to read: 50 = structural/policy neutral anchor. Points show how far each input pulls the stored level away from 50. Context rows below do not feed the score.

Context / corroboration · not score inputs

Consumer sentiment -5.20% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Westpac-Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment Index (monthly percent change)
What it measures: How households say they feel about the economy.
Series: AU.Consumer.confidence
Transformation: mom_pct · monthly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: AU
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-09-16
Observation id: 1d94f9963959efc3604e26ab37939fa854f8c74826915c0344f92fc1e753b252

AU household spending through-the-year percent · y/y Due +7.00% · Jul 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: AU household spending through-the-year percent
What it measures: How fast household spending is growing.
Series: A130200588A
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: AU
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 8426caae89e948a91a421cefbb8410c559afde0573c23a4988589d6bafebb854

Household gross disposable income, seasonally adjusted q/q · level 438,171 · Q2 2025 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Household gross disposable income, seasonally adjusted q/q (level sa)
What it measures: How fast household income is growing.
Series: A2302939L
Transformation: level_sa · level sa
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: AU
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-09-03
Observation id: c3d154e08a21133f1dadef9d6194813cfe22dc46ed959e811b8eaf61ec1d3c4a

Retail turnover, total industry, seasonally adjusted m/m · m/m +1.20% · Jun 2025 · Released 31 Jul 2025 View print

Technical details

Official title: Retail turnover, total industry, seasonally adjusted m/m (monthly percent change)
What it measures: How fast retail sales are growing.
Series: A3348586T
Transformation: mom_sa_pct · monthly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: AU
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2025-07-31
Observation id: cacde9db8940b9caaa177d891f3d72b23db7aa5dc241222e5f64a4105c6030df

September base-page snapshot — not refreshed; figures may be superseded by the dated evidence above

Temperature

AUSTRALIA

NEUTRAL

STATIC

ColdCoolNeutralWarmHot

Consumer / Demand

Headline CPI eased to 3.5% y/y, but trimmed mean is 3.6% and its trailing averages have been rising. July employment fell 15.8k and unemployment reached 4.5%. Q2 GDP rose only 0.4% q/q.

Headline CPI

3.5%

Trimmed CPI

3.6%

Unemployment

4.5%

Q2 GDP

+0.4%

Trimmed mean y/y trailing average

3.57%

3.45%

3.39%

12m

3.34%

Headline CPI trailing average

3.77%

3.97%

3.87%

12m

3.78%

Policy / Transmission

RBA cash rate: 4.85% (Reserve Bank of Australia policy decision, 4 Nov 2026, effective 4 Nov 2026). Underlying inflation is still hot enough to constrain policy, but labor and household demand argue that the direction is cooler than the temperature level.

Remaining Country Evidence

Consumer sentiment

-5.20% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

Consumer sentiment fell 5.20% m/m in Sep 2026, after +6.00% in Aug 2026.

-5.20% m/m-11.20 pp vs Aug 2026

Sep 2026-5.20%no recorded release dateIngested 21 Sep 2026
Aug 2026+6.00%1 Sep 2026

History, source and limits

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Sep 2026	-5.20%	no recorded release date	Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Aug 2026	+6.00%	1 Sep 2026	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 2 months of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Westpac-Melbourne Institute

Technical details

Official title: Westpac-Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment Index (monthly percent change)
What it measures: How households say they feel about the economy.
Series: AU.Consumer.confidence
Transformation: mom_pct · monthly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: AU
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-09-16
Observation id: 1d94f9963959efc3604e26ab37939fa854f8c74826915c0344f92fc1e753b252

Employment · monthly change

Due · 14,600.81 thousand · Aug 2025 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

Employment was 14,600.81 thousand in Aug 2025.

14,600.81 thousand level

History, source and limits

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Aug 2025	14,600.81 thousand	no recorded release date	Ingested 21 Sep 2026

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 1 month of this series is committed; the chart would normally show 12.

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics

Technical details

Official title: Monthly change in employed persons, seasonally adjusted (level thousands sa)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: A84423043C
Transformation: level_thousands_sa · level thousands sa
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: AU
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-14
Observation id: 2130579bea2bc9d1b4ce157c2193e0cc61cb5d46a033b922362d2657d39f4c3c

Household gross disposable income, seasonally adjusted q/q · q/q

+1.12% · Q2 2026 · Released 3 Sep 2026 · Consumer · Ingested 2 Oct 2026

Household gross disposable income, seasonally adjusted q/q rose 1.12% q/q in Q2 2026, after +0.30% in Q1 2026.

+1.12% q/q+0.82 pp vs Q1 2026

Q2 2026+1.12%3 Sep 2026Ingested 2 Oct 2026first recorded +1.10%
Q1 2026+0.30%no recorded release date
Q4 2025+2.30%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Q3 2025Q2 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Q2 2026	+1.12%	3 Sep 2026	Ingested 2 Oct 2026	first recorded +1.10%
Q1 2026	+0.30%	no recorded release date	—
Q4 2025	+2.30%	no recorded release date	—
Q3 2025	+1.60%	no recorded release date	—

Only 4 quarters of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 8.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics

Technical details

Official title: Household gross disposable income, seasonally adjusted q/q (quarterly percent change)
What it measures: How fast household income is growing.
Series: A2302939L
Transformation: qoq_pct · quarterly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: AU
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-09-03
Observation id: 3cc43d96ef16478a628046aa84db1ccf7eed4a5e838d2c42b3fa24ea9f7eb9b3

Unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted · level

4.72% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date · Labor · Ingested 15 Oct 2026

Unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted was 4.72% in Sep 2026, up 0.26 pp from Jul 2026.

4.72% level+0.26 pp vs Jul 2026

Sep 20264.72%no recorded release dateIngested 15 Oct 2026
Jul 20264.46%14 Aug 2026
Jun 20264.43%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Sep 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Sep 2026	4.72%	no recorded release date	Ingested 15 Oct 2026
Jul 2026	4.46%	14 Aug 2026	—
Jun 2026	4.43%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	4.38%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	4.49%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	4.28%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	4.31%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	4.08%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	4.12%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	4.32%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	4.33%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	4.44%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	4.24%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics

Technical details

Official title: Unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: A84423050A
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: AU
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-14
Observation id: 3ff0dd3de0e56bb4a6d9c1dd230d8750918880e81223f7509fc08a65dd678b30

Headline CPI year-ended inflation (all groups), Australia · y/y

+4.30% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date · Inflation · Ingested 28 Oct 2026

Headline CPI year-ended inflation (all groups), Australia was 4.30% y/y in Sep 2026, up from 4.00% in Aug 2026.

+4.30% y/y+0.30 pp vs Aug 2026

Sep 2026+4.30%no recorded release dateIngested 28 Oct 2026
Aug 2026+4.00%no recorded release date
Jul 2026+3.50%27 Aug 2026

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Sep 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Sep 2026	+4.30%	no recorded release date	Ingested 28 Oct 2026
Aug 2026	+4.00%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	+3.50%	27 Aug 2026	—
Jun 2026	+3.80%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+4.00%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	+4.20%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	+4.60%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	+3.70%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	+3.80%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	+3.80%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+3.40%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	+3.80%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+3.60%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	+3.20%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics

Technical details

Official title: Headline CPI year-ended inflation (all groups), Australia (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: A130393721F
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: AU
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-27
Observation id: 7f4fe4af464cb67fe621e7b9943eee93964815b7e4756198ddae3d7b32c09ec8

AU household spending through-the-year percent · y/y

Due · +7.00% · Jul 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 30 Sep 2026

AU household spending through-the-year percent rose 7.00% y/y in Jul 2026, after +6.10% in Jun 2026.

+7.00% y/y+0.90 pp vs Jun 2026

Jul 2026+7.00%no recorded release dateIngested 30 Sep 2026
Jun 2026+6.10%no recorded release date
May 2026+5.40%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2024Jul 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Jul 2026	+7.00%	no recorded release date	Ingested 30 Sep 2026
Jun 2026	+6.10%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+5.40%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	+5.00%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	+6.40%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	+4.70%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	+4.60%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	+5.00%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+5.80%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	+5.40%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+5.10%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	+4.60%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2025	+5.40%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2025	+4.90%	no recorded release date	—
May 2025	+4.60%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2025	+3.80%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2025	+4.10%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2025	+3.50%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2025	+2.90%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2024	+4.00%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2024	+3.00%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2024	+3.00%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2024	+0.80%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2024	+2.40%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics

Technical details

Official title: AU household spending through-the-year percent
What it measures: How fast household spending is growing.
Series: A130200588A
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: AU
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 8426caae89e948a91a421cefbb8410c559afde0573c23a4988589d6bafebb854

Real GDP and domestic final demand (chain volume, SA q/q) · q/q

+0.40% · Q2 2026 · Released 3 Sep 2026 · Activity · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

Real GDP and domestic final demand (chain volume, SA q/q) rose 0.40% q/q in Q2 2026, after +0.30% in Q1 2026.

+0.40% q/q+0.10 pp vs Q1 2026

Q2 2026+0.40%3 Sep 2026Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026+0.30%no recorded release date
Q4 2025+0.90%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Q3 2025Q2 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Q2 2026	+0.40%	3 Sep 2026	Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026	+0.30%	no recorded release date	—
Q4 2025	+0.90%	no recorded release date	—
Q3 2025	+0.50%	no recorded release date	—

Only 4 quarters of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 8.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics

Technical details

Official title: Real GDP and domestic final demand (chain volume, SA q/q) (quarterly percent change)
What it measures: How fast the economy is growing.
Series: A2304370T
Transformation: qoq_pct · quarterly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: AU
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-09-03
Observation id: a2e1715eac32eb588e9b6ed254ebfeb398de9db24495fdc02c2b92413f27d20a

Composite PMI output

Due · 52.7 · Aug 2026 · Released 3 Sep 2026 · Activity · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

Composite PMI output was 52.7 in Aug 2026, above the 50 no-change line: more respondents report increases than decreases; down 0.5 pts from Jul 2026.

52.7 diffusion-0.5 pts vs Jul 2026

Aug 202652.73 Sep 2026Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Jul 202653.2no recorded release date
Jun 202650.424 Jul 2026

History, source and limits

Sep 2025line = 50Aug 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Aug 2026	52.7	3 Sep 2026	Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Jul 2026	53.2	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	50.4	24 Jul 2026	—
May 2026	48.7	23 Jun 2026	—
Apr 2026	50.4	5 May 2026	—
Mar 2026	46.6	7 Apr 2026	—
Feb 2026	52.4	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	55.7	20 Feb 2026	—
Dec 2025	51.0	6 Jan 2026	—
Nov 2025	52.6	3 Dec 2025	—
Oct 2025	52.1	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	52.4	5 Nov 2025	—

Source: S&P Global

Technical details

Official title: S&P Global / Judo Bank Australia Composite PMI Output Index (diffusion index)
What it measures: A business survey of activity. Readings above 50 mean more firms report expansion than contraction.
Series: SP_GLOBAL_AU_COMPOSITE_PMI
Transformation: diffusion_index · diffusion index
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: AU
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-09-03
Observation id: a7eb74685b082089f9394060f078776ea284017bced78373d8997266b882f817

WPI total hourly rates (ex bonuses) · y/y

+3.20% · Q2 2026 · Released 13 Aug 2026 · Labor · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

WPI total hourly rates (ex bonuses) rose 3.20% y/y in Q2 2026, after +3.20% in Q1 2026.

+3.20% y/y+0.00 pp vs Q1 2026

Q2 2026+3.20%13 Aug 2026Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026+3.20%no recorded release date
Q4 2025+3.40%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Q3 2025Q2 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Q2 2026	+3.20%	13 Aug 2026	Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026	+3.20%	no recorded release date	—
Q4 2025	+3.40%	no recorded release date	—
Q3 2025	+3.30%	no recorded release date	—

Only 4 quarters of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 8.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics

Technical details

Official title: WPI total hourly rates (ex bonuses), all sectors, y/y, seasonally adjusted (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast pay is growing.
Series: A83895396W
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: AU
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-13
Observation id: af0ccbc8c6b47b0d63624c333ebe46b7d601445b9811e614f5183301354555de

Consumer sentiment

84.4 · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date · Consumer · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

Consumer sentiment was 84.4 in Sep 2026.

84.4 level

History, source and limits

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Sep 2026	84.4	no recorded release date	Ingested 21 Sep 2026

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 1 month of this series is committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Westpac-Melbourne Institute

Technical details

Official title: Westpac-Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment Index (index level)
What it measures: How households say they feel about the economy.
Series: AU.Consumer.confidence
Transformation: index_level · index level
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: AU
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-09-16
Observation id: bb98b6f9584115c0806b0a5c8d9e1f775d60cc3723ccedc7e202d9574c36e314

Household gross disposable income, seasonally adjusted q/q · level

438,171 · Q2 2025 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

Household gross disposable income, seasonally adjusted q/q was 438,171 in Q2 2025.

438,171 level

History, source and limits

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Q2 2025	438,171	no recorded release date	Ingested 21 Sep 2026

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 1 quarter of this series is committed; the chart would normally show 8.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics

Technical details

Official title: Household gross disposable income, seasonally adjusted q/q (level sa)
What it measures: How fast household income is growing.
Series: A2302939L
Transformation: level_sa · level sa
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: AU
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-09-03
Observation id: c3d154e08a21133f1dadef9d6194813cfe22dc46ed959e811b8eaf61ec1d3c4a

Retail turnover, total industry, seasonally adjusted m/m · m/m

+1.20% · Jun 2025 · Released 31 Jul 2025 · Context only · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

Retail turnover, total industry, seasonally adjusted m/m rose 1.20% m/m in Jun 2025.

+1.20% m/m

History, source and limits

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Jun 2025	+1.20%	31 Jul 2025	Ingested 21 Sep 2026

Only 1 month of this series is committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics

Technical details

Official title: Retail turnover, total industry, seasonally adjusted m/m (monthly percent change)
What it measures: How fast retail sales are growing.
Series: A3348586T
Transformation: mom_sa_pct · monthly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: AU
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2025-07-31
Observation id: cacde9db8940b9caaa177d891f3d72b23db7aa5dc241222e5f64a4105c6030df

Employment · monthly change

-39.33k · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date · Labor · Ingested 15 Oct 2026

Employment fell 39.33k in Sep 2026, after +39.49k in Aug 2026.

-39.33k monthly change-78.82k vs Aug 2026

Sep 2026-39.33kno recorded release dateIngested 15 Oct 2026
Aug 2026+39.49kno recorded release date
Jul 2026-15.80k14 Aug 2026

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Sep 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Sep 2026	-39.33k	no recorded release date	Ingested 15 Oct 2026
Aug 2026	+39.49k	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	-15.80k	14 Aug 2026	—
Jun 2026	+80.20k	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+38.20k	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	-34.90k	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	+20k	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	+22.10k	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	+36.10k	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	+57.30k	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	-39.20k	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	+33.20k	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+9.30k	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics

Technical details

Official title: Monthly change in employed persons, seasonally adjusted (mom change thousands sa)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: A84423043C
Transformation: mom_change_thousands_sa · mom change thousands sa
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: AU
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-14
Observation id: d59340c83c258c1b0e37f75c64ed0af57f8d0dc43e021ca3837f61578d7b50a4

Monthly household spending indicator · m/m

+0.00% · Aug 2026 · no recorded release date · Consumer · Ingested 2 Oct 2026

Monthly household spending indicator was flat m/m in Aug 2026, after +1.10% in Jul 2026.

+0.00% m/m-1.10 pp vs Jul 2026

Aug 2026+0.00%no recorded release dateIngested 2 Oct 2026
Jul 2026+1.10%28 Aug 2026
Jun 2026+1.00%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Aug 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Aug 2026	+0.00%	no recorded release date	Ingested 2 Oct 2026
Jul 2026	+1.10%	28 Aug 2026	—
Jun 2026	+1.00%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+1.20%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	-1.00%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	+1.70%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	+0.30%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	+0.30%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	-0.40%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+1.00%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	+1.30%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+0.40%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	+0.00%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics

Technical details

Official title: Monthly household spending indicator, total (current price), m/m, seasonally adjusted (monthly percent change)
What it measures: How fast household spending is growing.
Series: A130200586W
Transformation: mom_pct · monthly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: AU
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-28
Observation id: e5b666dccdd8d3048e2c7896dd7e228afc8efca71466b607f0c6d0bb8bcdbe9e

Trimmed mean CPI year-ended inflation, Australia · y/y

+3.60% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date · Inflation · Ingested 28 Oct 2026

Trimmed mean CPI year-ended inflation, Australia was 3.60% y/y in Sep 2026, unchanged from Aug 2026.

+3.60% y/y+0.00 pp vs Aug 2026

Sep 2026+3.60%no recorded release dateIngested 28 Oct 2026
Aug 2026+3.60%no recorded release date
Jul 2026+3.60%27 Aug 2026

History, source and limits

Aug 2025Sep 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Sep 2026	+3.60%	no recorded release date	Ingested 28 Oct 2026
Aug 2026	+3.60%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	+3.60%	27 Aug 2026	—
Jun 2026	+3.60%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+3.50%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	+3.40%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	+3.30%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	+3.30%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	+3.30%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	+3.30%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+3.20%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	+3.30%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+3.20%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	+3.10%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics

Technical details

Official title: Trimmed mean CPI year-ended inflation, Australia (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: A130400382R
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: AU
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-27
Observation id: ff54f4c9846d8047f74557186d32f9b79a82716749bfc789b36b2f87a551281c

Scores: calibration anchor 21 Sep 2026 · inputs last ingested 13 Nov 2026 · latest scored component period Nov 2026 · Coverage counts scored components only and is not a freshness claim.

LEVEL is the 1–100 score, where 50 is the structural/policy neutral point. IMPULSE is the latest print versus the prior print, in score points.

New Zealand: historical temperature trends

Nov 2026

Actual stored monthly dimension scores through Nov 2026.
Aggregate uses proposed 40/40/10/10 weights; not the existing production mean.

Aggregate50.32

Inflation64.25

Labor36.51

Activity51.87

Consumer48.26

Aggregate trajectory

Inflation

Labor

Activity

Consumer

The line at 50 is a structural neutral reference, not a claim of policy balance.

Reconstructed monthly replay of stored scores. Not a historical real-time published snapshot. A published snapshot is stored separately for cutoff Nov 2026 and is not drawn as the line.

InflationLevel 64.2/100 warmImpulse ↑ warming +4.25vs prior printInputs through 2026 Q2 LaborLevel 36.5/100 coolImpulse ↓ cooling -2.19vs prior printInputs through 2026 Q2 ActivityLevel 51.9/100 neutralImpulse ↓ cooling -16.88vs prior printDomestic demand through 2026 Q2 · Business surveys through Aug 2026 ConsumerLevel 48.3/100 neutralImpulse ↓ cooling -4.65vs prior printRetail through 2026 Q2 · Income through 2026 Q1 · Spending through 2026 Q2 · Confidence through Aug 2026

Monetary policy

No NZD short-rate futures strip

What Matters Now

No finding clears the attention rules. 6 of 13 observations were eligible latest evidence and none qualified.

InflationLevel 64.2/100 warm

Impulse↑ warming +4.25vs prior print

Inputs through 2026 Q2

Level 64.2 is driven mainly by Headline (+10.50 points, warming impulse +12.50) and Underlying (+3.75 points, cooling impulse -1.25); dimension impulse is warming (+4.25 vs prior print).

Hard score inputs

How the level adds up 64.25 = 50 +3.75 underlying +10.50 headline

CPI excluding food, household energy and vehicle fuels · y/y +3.75 points in Inflation

Score uses +2.50%: the Q2 2026 print.

Latest print +2.50% · Q2 2026 · Released 21 Jul 2026.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 56.25
Component weight: 0.60
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: CPI excluding food, household energy and vehicle fuels (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: CPIQ.SE9NS1450
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: NZ
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-07-21
Observation id: d1f65c033e67f1b3866e5a17fd09efdc6d5ffe1a8181eee6d69af371dfd4974b
Scored series: CPIQ.SE9NS1450

CPI all groups · y/y +10.50 points in Inflation

Score uses +4.10%: the Q2 2026 print.

Latest print +4.10% · Q2 2026 · Released 21 Jul 2026.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 76.25
Component weight: 0.40
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: CPI all groups (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: CPIQ.SE9A
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: NZ
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-07-21
Observation id: fd62197d12e345b49b556a4c077b325c3669e6954c3f4310206248d121c4e201
Scored series: CPIQ.SE9A

How to read: 50 = structural/policy neutral anchor. Points show how far each input pulls the stored level away from 50. Context rows below do not feed the score.

Context / corroboration · not score inputs

CPI all groups · q/q Due +1.50% · Q2 2026 · Released 21 Jul 2026 View print

Technical details

Official title: CPI all groups (quarterly percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: CPIQ.SE9A
Transformation: qoq_pct · quarterly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: NZ
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-07-21
Observation id: 07b13558d00b7b1f0396f0a4802bb67f5cb0a1b8b25fcb72ab8ff3cbee7cc4f2

CPI excluding food, household energy and vehicle fuels · q/q Due +0.40% · Q2 2026 · Released 21 Jul 2026 View print

Technical details

Official title: CPI excluding food, household energy and vehicle fuels (quarterly percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: CPIQ.SE9NS1450
Transformation: qoq_pct · quarterly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: NZ
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-07-21
Observation id: b2bc0d17b0b1f0a1b7a5461b965919dbc16147ab76b11e75af4754d6e40059ce

LaborLevel 36.5/100 cool

Impulse↓ cooling -2.19vs prior print

Inputs through 2026 Q2

Level 36.5 is driven mainly by Unemployment (-11.90 points, cooling impulse -4.00) and Wages (-2.09 points, cooling impulse -0.43); dimension impulse is cooling (-2.19 vs prior print).

Hard score inputs

How the level adds up 36.51 = 50 -11.90 unemployment -2.09 wages +0.50 employment

HLFS employed persons quarterly change · q/q +0.50 points in Labor

Score uses +13k: the Q2 2026 print.

Latest print +13k · Q2 2026 · Released 5 Aug 2026.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 55.00
Component weight: 0.10
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: HLFS employed persons quarterly change (qoq change thousands sa)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: HLFQ.S1A3S
Transformation: qoq_change_thousands_sa · qoq change thousands sa
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: NZ
Revision status: revised
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-05
Observation id: 6a10652e5ef2ebf8014bb707fcb4499483fbad79cc0ee9f54f9fdad7e58794a0
Scored series: HLFQ.S1A3S

Labour Cost Index – all salary and wage rates · y/y -2.09 points in Labor

Score uses +1.96%: the Q2 2026 print.

Latest print +1.96% · Q2 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 39.57
Component weight: 0.20
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Labour Cost Index – all salary and wage rates (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast pay is growing.
Series: LCIQ.SD53Z9
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: NZ
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 90f45a2c15586ed622bc0989e0154e4362fa05312783ef93762cd012d23f222d
Scored series: LCIQ.SD53Z9

HLFS unemployment rate (seasonally adjusted) · level -11.90 points in Labor

Score uses 5.60%: the Q2 2026 print.

Latest print 5.60% · Q2 2026 · Released 5 Aug 2026.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 33.00
Component weight: 0.70
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: HLFS unemployment rate (seasonally adjusted)
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: HLFQ.S1F3S
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: NZ
Revision status: revised
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-05
Observation id: 916c8a6eb4167b6f9858f9d64ab542a3698a3a797645e0fc4b1efef67589f648
Scored series: HLFQ.S1F3S

How to read: 50 = structural/policy neutral anchor. Points show how far each input pulls the stored level away from 50. Context rows below do not feed the score.

Context / corroboration · not score inputs

No context rows for this topic.

ActivityLevel 51.9/100 neutral

Impulse↓ cooling -16.88vs prior print

Domestic demand through 2026 Q2 · Business surveys through Aug 2026

Level 51.9 is driven mainly by Domestic demand (+1.36 points, cooling impulse -28.46) and Business surveys (+0.52 points, warming impulse +0.50); dimension impulse is cooling (-16.88 vs prior print).

Hard score inputs

How the level adds up 51.87 = 50 +1.36 domestic demand +0.52 business surveys

Composite PMI output +0.52 points in Activity

Score uses 51.3: average of 3 months, Jun–Aug 2026: 51.2, 51.1, 51.6.

Latest print 51.6 · Aug 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 51.30
Component weight: 0.40
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: BNZ-BusinessNZ Performance of Composite Index, GDP-weighted (diffusion index)
What it measures: A business survey of activity. Readings above 50 mean more firms report expansion than contraction.
Series: BUSINESSNZ_PCI_GDP_WEIGHTED
Transformation: diffusion_index · diffusion index
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: NZ
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-09
Observation id: 1e08278160d22638c05e1d7f02ddc259d3c86e636f926ae7fa8e0d9e6e389d0b
Scored series: BUSINESSNZ_PCI_GDP_WEIGHTED

Real GDP – production measure · q/q +1.36 points in Activity

Score uses +2.23%: average of Q1–Q2 2026 q/q, each at an annual rate (+0.90%, +0.20%).

Latest print +0.20% · Q2 2026 · Released 17 Sep 2026.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 52.26
Component weight: 0.60
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Real GDP – production measure (quarterly percent change)
What it measures: How fast the economy is growing.
Series: SNEQ.SG01RSC01B01PC
Transformation: qoq_pct · quarterly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: NZ
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-09-17
Other series under this indicator: SNEQ.SG02RSC31B15PC
Observation id: 7fb5f8c834b2dbe82a072c4b243cfff1ee3c300fbfb8cf6fee5488dbc05295db
Scored series: SNEQ.SG01RSC01B01PC

How to read: 50 = structural/policy neutral anchor. Points show how far each input pulls the stored level away from 50. Context rows below do not feed the score.

Context / corroboration · not score inputs

No context rows for this topic.

ConsumerLevel 48.3/100 neutral

Impulse↓ cooling -4.65vs prior print

Retail through 2026 Q2 · Income through 2026 Q1 · Spending through 2026 Q2 · Confidence through Aug 2026

Level 48.3 is driven mainly by Income (+4.12 points, warming impulse +16.50) and Retail (-3.86 points, cooling impulse -22.94); dimension impulse is cooling (-4.65 vs prior print).

Hard score inputs

How the level adds up 48.26 = 50 -3.86 retail +4.12 income -1.50 spending -0.50 confidence

Household net disposable income (experimental national accounts) · q/q +4.12 points in Consumer

Score uses +2.10%: the Q1 2026 print.

Latest print +2.10% · Q1 2026 · Released 2 Jul 2026.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 66.50
Component weight: 0.25
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Household net disposable income (experimental national accounts) (quarterly percent change)
What it measures: How fast household income is growing.
Series: household_net_disposable_income_sa
Transformation: qoq_pct · quarterly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: NZ
Revision status: preliminary
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-07-02
Observation id: 11ce4782e4e823d05799ab248b11506f0948c2bb245ab72e9403dd7ab0095c4f
Scored series: household_net_disposable_income_sa

Household final consumption expenditure · q/q -1.50 points in Consumer

Score uses +0.10%: the Q2 2026 print.

Latest print +0.10% · Q2 2026 · Released 17 Sep 2026.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 44.00
Component weight: 0.25
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Household final consumption expenditure (quarterly percent change)
What it measures: How fast household spending is growing.
Series: SG02RSC30P30E
Transformation: qoq_pct · quarterly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: NZ
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-09-17
Observation id: 1b8bb8c24d3d05db278b6c306ac69aba0ecdb5b7d3ae8b0cafd57059f8b1e0f4
Scored series: SG02RSC30P30E

Total retail sales volume (seasonally adjusted) · q/q -3.86 points in Consumer

Score uses -0.53%: the Q2 2026 print.

Latest print -0.53% · Q2 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 34.56
Component weight: 0.25
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Total retail sales volume (seasonally adjusted) (quarterly percent change)
What it measures: How fast retail sales are growing.
Series: SF91KS
Transformation: qoq_pct · quarterly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: NZ
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 83fd48d1345f9b03e9bffdb71b6dc1a6710a6dcc1743bfff6cf42d0147b15b32
Scored series: SF91KS

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence · level -0.50 points in Consumer

Score uses 98.0: the Aug 2026 print.

Latest print 98.0 · Aug 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 48.00
Component weight: 0.25
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence (index level)
What it measures: How households say they feel about the economy.
Series: NZ.Consumer.confidence
Transformation: index_level · index level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: NZ
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-01
Observation id: 8d6e26a406383aa8925ae124f2df245aa046f0c64de1d464d96229018e3fa242

How to read: 50 = structural/policy neutral anchor. Points show how far each input pulls the stored level away from 50. Context rows below do not feed the score.

Context / corroboration · not score inputs

No context rows for this topic.

September base-page snapshot — not refreshed; figures may be superseded by the dated evidence above

Temperature

NEW ZEALAND

NEUTRAL

COOLING

ColdCoolNeutralWarmHot

Consumer / Demand

Headline CPI rose to 4.1%, but CPI excluding vehicle fuel is 2.9%. Unemployment rose to 5.6% and the RBNZ still describes substantial spare capacity. The central bank says the recovery has likely resumed, creating a Cool-but-Warming setup.

Headline CPI

4.1%

CPI ex fuel

2.9%

Unemployment

5.6%

OCR

2.75%

Headline CPI · quarterly y/y average

4.10%

3.60%

3.43%

12m

3.33%

Unemployment · quarterly average

5.60%

5.45%

5.43%

12m

5.40%

Policy / Transmission

RBNZ official cash rate: unavailable, because the canonical policy state has no verified Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate and an older hard-coded rate is not shown. The policy response is aimed at second-round inflation risk even though labor and household spending remain weak.

Remaining Country Evidence

CPI all groups · q/q

Due · +1.50% · Q2 2026 · Released 21 Jul 2026 · Context only · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

CPI all groups was 1.50% q/q in Q2 2026, up from 0.90% in Q1 2026.

+1.50% q/q+0.60 pp vs Q1 2026

Q2 2026+1.50%21 Jul 2026Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026+0.90%no recorded release date
Q4 2025+0.60%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Q2 2025Q2 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Q2 2026	+1.50%	21 Jul 2026	Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026	+0.90%	no recorded release date	—
Q4 2025	+0.60%	no recorded release date	—
Q3 2025	+1.00%	no recorded release date	—
Q2 2025	+0.50%	no recorded release date	—

Only 5 quarters of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 8.

Source: Stats NZ

Technical details

Official title: CPI all groups (quarterly percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: CPIQ.SE9A
Transformation: qoq_pct · quarterly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: NZ
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-07-21
Observation id: 07b13558d00b7b1f0396f0a4802bb67f5cb0a1b8b25fcb72ab8ff3cbee7cc4f2

Household net disposable income (experimental national accounts) · q/q

Revised · +2.10% · Q1 2026 · Released 2 Jul 2026 · Consumer · Preliminary · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

Household net disposable income (experimental national accounts) rose 2.10% q/q in Q1 2026, after +1.00% in Q4 2025.

+2.10% q/q+1.10 pp vs Q4 2025

Q1 2026+2.10%2 Jul 2026Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q4 2025+1.00%2 Apr 2026
Q3 2025-0.70%15 Jan 2026

History, source and limits

Q2 2025Q1 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Q1 2026	+2.10%	2 Jul 2026	Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q4 2025	+1.00%	2 Apr 2026	—
Q3 2025	-0.70%	15 Jan 2026	—
Q2 2025	+1.90%	9 Oct 2025	—

Only 4 quarters of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 8.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Stats NZ

Technical details

Official title: Household net disposable income (experimental national accounts) (quarterly percent change)
What it measures: How fast household income is growing.
Series: household_net_disposable_income_sa
Transformation: qoq_pct · quarterly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: NZ
Revision status: preliminary
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-07-02
Observation id: 11ce4782e4e823d05799ab248b11506f0948c2bb245ab72e9403dd7ab0095c4f

Household final consumption expenditure · q/q

+0.10% · Q2 2026 · Released 17 Sep 2026 · Consumer · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

Household final consumption expenditure rose 0.10% q/q in Q2 2026, after +0.60% in Q1 2026.

+0.10% q/q-0.50 pp vs Q1 2026

Q2 2026+0.10%17 Sep 2026Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026+0.60%no recorded release date
Q4 2025+0.00%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Q2 2025Q2 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Q2 2026	+0.10%	17 Sep 2026	Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026	+0.60%	no recorded release date	—
Q4 2025	+0.00%	no recorded release date	—
Q3 2025	+0.30%	no recorded release date	—
Q2 2025	+0.60%	no recorded release date	—

Only 5 quarters of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 8.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Stats NZ

Technical details

Official title: Household final consumption expenditure (quarterly percent change)
What it measures: How fast household spending is growing.
Series: SG02RSC30P30E
Transformation: qoq_pct · quarterly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: NZ
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-09-17
Observation id: 1b8bb8c24d3d05db278b6c306ac69aba0ecdb5b7d3ae8b0cafd57059f8b1e0f4

Composite PMI output

51.6 · Aug 2026 · no recorded release date · Activity · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

Composite PMI output was 51.6 in Aug 2026, above the 50 no-change line: more respondents report increases than decreases; up 0.5 pts from Jul 2026.

51.6 diffusion+0.5 pts vs Jul 2026

Aug 202651.6no recorded release dateIngested 21 Sep 2026
Jul 202651.1no recorded release date
Jun 202651.2no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Sep 2025line = 50Aug 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Aug 2026	51.6	no recorded release date	Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Jul 2026	51.1	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	51.2	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	48.5	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	48.6	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	46.9	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	48.4	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	51.0	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	52.2	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	48.0	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	49.2	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	48.5	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: BNZ / BusinessNZ

Technical details

Official title: BNZ-BusinessNZ Performance of Composite Index, GDP-weighted (diffusion index)
What it measures: A business survey of activity. Readings above 50 mean more firms report expansion than contraction.
Series: BUSINESSNZ_PCI_GDP_WEIGHTED
Transformation: diffusion_index · diffusion index
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: NZ
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-09
Observation id: 1e08278160d22638c05e1d7f02ddc259d3c86e636f926ae7fa8e0d9e6e389d0b

HLFS employed persons quarterly change · q/q

Due · +13k · Q2 2026 · Released 5 Aug 2026 · Labor · Revised · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

HLFS employed persons rose 13k in Q2 2026, after +6k in Q1 2026.

+13k q/q+7.00k vs Q1 2026

Q2 2026+13k5 Aug 2026Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026+6kno recorded release date
Q4 2025+15kno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Q2 2025Q2 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Q2 2026	+13k	5 Aug 2026	Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026	+6k	no recorded release date	—
Q4 2025	+15k	no recorded release date	—
Q3 2025	-1k	no recorded release date	—
Q2 2025	-6k	no recorded release date	—

Only 5 quarters of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 8.

Source: Stats NZ

Technical details

Official title: HLFS employed persons quarterly change (qoq change thousands sa)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: HLFQ.S1A3S
Transformation: qoq_change_thousands_sa · qoq change thousands sa
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: NZ
Revision status: revised
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-05
Observation id: 6a10652e5ef2ebf8014bb707fcb4499483fbad79cc0ee9f54f9fdad7e58794a0

Real GDP – production measure · q/q

+0.20% · Q2 2026 · Released 17 Sep 2026 · Activity · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

Real GDP – production measure rose 0.20% q/q in Q2 2026, after +0.90% in Q1 2026.

+0.20% q/q-0.70 pp vs Q1 2026

Q2 2026+0.20%17 Sep 2026Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026+0.90%no recorded release date
Q4 2025+0.50%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Q2 2025Q2 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Q2 2026	+0.20%	17 Sep 2026	Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026	+0.90%	no recorded release date	—
Q4 2025	+0.50%	no recorded release date	—
Q3 2025	+0.90%	no recorded release date	—
Q2 2025	-0.60%	no recorded release date	—

Only 5 quarters of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 8.
This card shows one published series; 1 other series is stored under the same indicator and not shown here.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Stats NZ

Technical details

Official title: Real GDP – production measure (quarterly percent change)
What it measures: How fast the economy is growing.
Series: SNEQ.SG01RSC01B01PC
Transformation: qoq_pct · quarterly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: NZ
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-09-17
Other series under this indicator: SNEQ.SG02RSC31B15PC
Observation id: 7fb5f8c834b2dbe82a072c4b243cfff1ee3c300fbfb8cf6fee5488dbc05295db

Total retail sales volume (seasonally adjusted) · q/q

-0.53% · Q2 2026 · no recorded release date · Consumer · Ingested 30 Oct 2026

Total retail sales volume (seasonally adjusted) fell 0.53% q/q in Q2 2026, after +1.00% in Q1 2026.

-0.53% q/q-1.53 pp vs Q1 2026

Q2 2026-0.53%no recorded release dateIngested 30 Oct 2026first recorded -0.50%
Q1 2026+1.00%no recorded release date
Q4 2025+0.80%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Q2 2025Q2 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Q2 2026	-0.53%	no recorded release date	Ingested 30 Oct 2026	first recorded -0.50%
Q1 2026	+1.00%	no recorded release date	—
Q4 2025	+0.80%	no recorded release date	—
Q3 2025	+2.00%	no recorded release date	—
Q2 2025	+0.70%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 5 quarters of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 8.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Stats NZ

Technical details

Official title: Total retail sales volume (seasonally adjusted) (quarterly percent change)
What it measures: How fast retail sales are growing.
Series: SF91KS
Transformation: qoq_pct · quarterly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: NZ
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 83fd48d1345f9b03e9bffdb71b6dc1a6710a6dcc1743bfff6cf42d0147b15b32

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence · level

98.0 · Aug 2026 · no recorded release date · Consumer · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence was 98.0 in Aug 2026.

98.0 level

History, source and limits

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Aug 2026	98.0	no recorded release date	Ingested 21 Sep 2026

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 1 month of this series is committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: ANZ

Technical details

Official title: ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence (index level)
What it measures: How households say they feel about the economy.
Series: NZ.Consumer.confidence
Transformation: index_level · index level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: NZ
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-01
Observation id: 8d6e26a406383aa8925ae124f2df245aa046f0c64de1d464d96229018e3fa242

Labour Cost Index – all salary and wage rates · y/y

Due · +1.96% · Q2 2026 · no recorded release date · Labor · Ingested 30 Oct 2026

Labour Cost Index – all salary and wage rates rose 1.96% y/y in Q2 2026, after +2.00% in Q1 2026.

+1.96% y/y-0.04 pp vs Q1 2026

Q2 2026+1.96%no recorded release dateIngested 30 Oct 2026first recorded +2.00%
Q1 2026+2.00%no recorded release date
Q4 2025+2.00%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Q2 2025Q2 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Q2 2026	+1.96%	no recorded release date	Ingested 30 Oct 2026	first recorded +2.00%
Q1 2026	+2.00%	no recorded release date	—
Q4 2025	+2.00%	no recorded release date	—
Q3 2025	+2.10%	no recorded release date	—
Q2 2025	+2.40%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 5 quarters of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 8.

Source: Stats NZ

Technical details

Official title: Labour Cost Index – all salary and wage rates (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast pay is growing.
Series: LCIQ.SD53Z9
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: NZ
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 90f45a2c15586ed622bc0989e0154e4362fa05312783ef93762cd012d23f222d

HLFS unemployment rate (seasonally adjusted) · level

Due · 5.60% · Q2 2026 · Released 5 Aug 2026 · Labor · Revised · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

HLFS unemployment rate (seasonally adjusted) was 5.60% in Q2 2026, up 0.20 pp from Q1 2026.

5.60% level+0.20 pp vs Q1 2026

Q2 20265.60%5 Aug 2026Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 20265.40%no recorded release date
Q4 20255.40%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Q2 2025Q2 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Q2 2026	5.60%	5 Aug 2026	Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026	5.40%	no recorded release date	—
Q4 2025	5.40%	no recorded release date	—
Q3 2025	5.30%	no recorded release date	—
Q2 2025	5.20%	no recorded release date	—

Only 5 quarters of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 8.

Source: Stats NZ

Technical details

Official title: HLFS unemployment rate (seasonally adjusted)
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: HLFQ.S1F3S
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: NZ
Revision status: revised
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-08-05
Observation id: 916c8a6eb4167b6f9858f9d64ab542a3698a3a797645e0fc4b1efef67589f648

CPI excluding food, household energy and vehicle fuels · q/q

Due · +0.40% · Q2 2026 · Released 21 Jul 2026 · Context only · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

CPI excluding food, household energy and vehicle fuels was 0.40% q/q in Q2 2026, down from 0.50% in Q1 2026.

+0.40% q/q-0.10 pp vs Q1 2026

Q2 2026+0.40%21 Jul 2026Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026+0.50%no recorded release date
Q4 2025+0.80%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Q2 2025Q2 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Q2 2026	+0.40%	21 Jul 2026	Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026	+0.50%	no recorded release date	—
Q4 2025	+0.80%	no recorded release date	—
Q3 2025	+0.80%	no recorded release date	—
Q2 2025	+0.40%	no recorded release date	—

Only 5 quarters of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 8.

Source: Stats NZ

Technical details

Official title: CPI excluding food, household energy and vehicle fuels (quarterly percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: CPIQ.SE9NS1450
Transformation: qoq_pct · quarterly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: NZ
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-07-21
Observation id: b2bc0d17b0b1f0a1b7a5461b965919dbc16147ab76b11e75af4754d6e40059ce

CPI excluding food, household energy and vehicle fuels · y/y

Due · +2.50% · Q2 2026 · Released 21 Jul 2026 · Inflation · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

CPI excluding food, household energy and vehicle fuels was 2.50% y/y in Q2 2026, down from 2.60% in Q1 2026.

+2.50% y/y-0.10 pp vs Q1 2026

Q2 2026+2.50%21 Jul 2026Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026+2.60%no recorded release date
Q4 2025+2.50%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Q2 2025Q2 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Q2 2026	+2.50%	21 Jul 2026	Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026	+2.60%	no recorded release date	—
Q4 2025	+2.50%	no recorded release date	—
Q3 2025	+2.50%	no recorded release date	—
Q2 2025	+2.70%	no recorded release date	—

Only 5 quarters of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 8.

Source: Stats NZ

Technical details

Official title: CPI excluding food, household energy and vehicle fuels (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: CPIQ.SE9NS1450
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: NZ
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-07-21
Observation id: d1f65c033e67f1b3866e5a17fd09efdc6d5ffe1a8181eee6d69af371dfd4974b

CPI all groups · y/y

Due · +4.10% · Q2 2026 · Released 21 Jul 2026 · Inflation · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

CPI all groups was 4.10% y/y in Q2 2026, up from 3.10% in Q1 2026.

+4.10% y/y+1.00 pp vs Q1 2026

Q2 2026+4.10%21 Jul 2026Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026+3.10%no recorded release date
Q4 2025+3.10%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Q2 2025Q2 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Q2 2026	+4.10%	21 Jul 2026	Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026	+3.10%	no recorded release date	—
Q4 2025	+3.10%	no recorded release date	—
Q3 2025	+3.00%	no recorded release date	—
Q2 2025	+2.70%	no recorded release date	—

Only 5 quarters of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 8.

Source: Stats NZ

Technical details

Official title: CPI all groups (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: CPIQ.SE9A
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: NZ
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-07-21
Observation id: fd62197d12e345b49b556a4c077b325c3669e6954c3f4310206248d121c4e201

Scores: calibration anchor 21 Sep 2026 · inputs last ingested 13 Nov 2026 · latest scored component period Nov 2026 · Coverage counts scored components only and is not a freshness claim.

LEVEL is the 1–100 score, where 50 is the structural/policy neutral point. IMPULSE is the latest print versus the prior print, in score points.

Euro Area: historical temperature trends

Nov 2026

Actual stored monthly dimension scores through Nov 2026.
Aggregate uses proposed 40/40/10/10 weights; not the existing production mean.

Aggregate54.96

Inflation64.50

Labor49.02

Activity54.57

Consumer40.92

Aggregate trajectory

Inflation

Labor

Activity

Consumer

The line at 50 is a structural neutral reference, not a claim of policy balance.

Reconstructed monthly replay of stored scores. Not a historical real-time published snapshot. A published snapshot is stored separately for cutoff Nov 2026 and is not drawn as the line.

InflationLevel 64.5/100 warmImpulse ↑ warming +1.75vs prior printInputs through Oct 2026 LaborLevel 49/100 neutralImpulse → static +0.16vs prior printUnemployment through Sep 2026 · Wages through 2026 Q2 · Employment through 2026 Q2 ActivityLevel 54.6/100 neutralImpulse ↓ cooling -4.31vs prior printDomestic demand through 2026 Q3 · Business surveys through Sep 2026 ConsumerLevel 40.9/100 neutralImpulse ↓ cooling -2.72vs prior printRetail through Sep 2026 · Income through 2026 Q2 · Spending through 2026 Q2 · Confidence through Oct 2026

Monetary policy

Decision	Implied rate	Step bp	Cumulative bp	1d	1w	Method
2026-12-17	—	—	—	—	—	unavailable
2027-02-04	—	—	—	—	—	unavailable
2027-03-18	—	—	—	—	—	unavailable
2027-04-29	—	—	—	—	—	unavailable
2027-06-10	—	—	—	—	—	unavailable

ECB deposit facility rate 2.50%; futures as of 2026-11-13; basis -5.7 bp; CME ESR compound accrual (ACT/360, weekday business days; Friday's rate covers Saturday/Sunday via di); no TARGET holiday calendar on the accrual path; calendar retrieved 2026-11-13.

What Matters Now

No finding clears the attention rules. 22 of 22 observations were eligible latest evidence and none qualified.

InflationLevel 64.5/100 warm

Impulse↑ warming +1.75vs prior print

Inputs through Oct 2026

Level 64.5 is driven mainly by Headline (+10.00 points, warming impulse +2.50) and Underlying (+4.50 points, warming impulse +1.25); dimension impulse is warming (+1.75 vs prior print).

Hard score inputs

How the level adds up 64.50 = 50 +4.50 underlying +10.00 headline

HICP excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco (ECOICOP v2) · y/y +4.50 points in Inflation

Score uses +2.60%: the Oct 2026 print.

Latest print +2.60% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 57.50
Component weight: 0.60
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: HICP excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, 12-month rate of change (ECOICOP v2) (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: PRC_HICP_MINR.M.RCH_A.TOT_X_NRG_FOOD.EA21
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 38783b6ecae22b5d7261ced60f2fc94d9d2bc8368041f6ff7970002bb1f5bd58
Scored series: PRC_HICP_MINR.M.RCH_A.TOT_X_NRG_FOOD.EA21

HICP all-items (ECOICOP v2 TOTAL) · y/y +10.00 points in Inflation

Score uses +4.00%: the Oct 2026 print.

Latest print +4.00% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 75.00
Component weight: 0.40
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: HICP all-items, 12-month rate of change (ECOICOP v2 TOTAL) (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: PRC_HICP_MINR.M.RCH_A.TOTAL.EA21
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: d1fa93adbb3ccb72c37e58370a32358dc726086f8a81e20b46236fed63e8472b
Scored series: PRC_HICP_MINR.M.RCH_A.TOTAL.EA21

How to read: 50 = structural/policy neutral anchor. Points show how far each input pulls the stored level away from 50. Context rows below do not feed the score.

Context / corroboration · not score inputs

HICP all-items, Spain (context; not in the EA21 score) · y/y +4.90% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: HICP all-items, 12-month rate of change, Spain (context; not in the EA21 score) (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: PRC_HICP_MINR.M.RCH_A.TOTAL.ES
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: eurostat_final
Observation id: 363fe2dd092c1a714f49401c677e628aabe64377bfdf804da8cc9f154a84f154

HICP all-items, Italy (context; not in the EA21 score) · y/y +5.60% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: HICP all-items, 12-month rate of change, Italy (context; not in the EA21 score) (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: PRC_HICP_MINR.M.RCH_A.TOTAL.IT
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: eurostat_final
Observation id: 458fa624cdf465f8bfdb99a65fad178f210e65f7babf9afa7e63a115b54c1672

HICP all-items, Portugal (context; not in the EA21 score) · y/y +3.90% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: HICP all-items, 12-month rate of change, Portugal (context; not in the EA21 score) (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: PRC_HICP_MINR.M.RCH_A.TOTAL.PT
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: eurostat_final
Observation id: 7f5580a512c87dafb9c25496d1a7fc4a163d62cfdafe0863e7d7dca46c8e2fdc

HICP all-items, France (context; not in the EA21 score) · y/y +3.80% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: HICP all-items, 12-month rate of change, France (context; not in the EA21 score) (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: PRC_HICP_MINR.M.RCH_A.TOTAL.FR
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: eurostat_final
Observation id: 88b281ebffd2ae3977a6774e0b1b622e6f462d35781ea7a58fabef3bbe380aff

Industrial producer prices · y/y +11.10% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Industrial producer prices (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: This series measures Industrial producer prices · y/y.
Series: STS_INPPD_M.M.PRC_PRR_DOM.NSA.PCH_SM.B-E36.EA21
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: d29105ec0ffa5eea0948312f44df39509c071b712810ffd5af0db9c396044e7f

HICP all-items, Germany (context; not in the EA21 score) · y/y +2.80% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: HICP all-items, 12-month rate of change, Germany (context; not in the EA21 score) (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: PRC_HICP_MINR.M.RCH_A.TOTAL.DE
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: eurostat_final
Observation id: f47e1095d5a79915da34cacd596e960b4a9dcdf1e34280b8dae1a68f25d5b6bb

LaborLevel 49/100 neutral

Impulse→ static +0.16vs prior print

Unemployment through Sep 2026 · Wages through 2026 Q2 · Employment through 2026 Q2

Level 49.0 is driven mainly by Wages (-1.10 points, cooling impulse -1.10) and Employment (+0.12 points, warming impulse +3.80); dimension impulse is static (+0.16 vs prior print).

Hard score inputs

How the level adds up 49.02 = 50 +0.00 unemployment -1.10 wages +0.12 employment

Unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted (LFS) · level +0.00 points in Labor

Score uses 6.50%: the Sep 2026 print.

Latest print 6.50% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 50.00
Component weight: 0.70
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted (LFS)
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: UNE_RT_M.M.SA.TOTAL.PC_ACT.T.EA21
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: cbb6d852b7a80097e4239abd909ab50ef185bb02a90619ce52feef73a6fe6cee
Scored series: UNE_RT_M.M.SA.TOTAL.PC_ACT.T.EA21

Employment (LFS) +0.12 points in Labor

Score uses +162k: the Q2 2026 print.

Latest print +162k · Q2 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 51.20
Component weight: 0.10
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Employment (LFS), quarter-over-quarter change in thousands (derived from SA levels) (qq change thousands)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: LFSI_EMP_Q.Q.SA.EMP_LFS.T.Y15-74.THS_PER.EA21_derived_qq_thousands
Transformation: qq_change_thousands · qq change thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: cdfbe666961f9be108d5f0c7df9d0fa70845917b0cc4938421d97a1108a70b98
Scored series: LFSI_EMP_Q.Q.SA.EMP_LFS.T.Y15-74.THS_PER.EA21_derived_qq_thousands

ECB indicator of negotiated wage rates · y/y -1.10 points in Labor

Score uses +2.45%: the Q2 2026 print.

Latest print +2.45% · Q2 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 44.50
Component weight: 0.20
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: ECB indicator of negotiated wage rates, annual rate of change (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast pay is growing.
Series: INW.Q.I10.N.INWR.000000.4F0.GY.IX
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: f8ef42524110fac91425cea380a570fcf9015545e9cbb3d960a42c5ae2e2d5ad
Scored series: INW.Q.I10.N.INWR.000000.4F0.GY.IX

How to read: 50 = structural/policy neutral anchor. Points show how far each input pulls the stored level away from 50. Context rows below do not feed the score.

Context / corroboration · not score inputs

No context rows for this topic.

ActivityLevel 54.6/100 neutral

Impulse↓ cooling -4.31vs prior print

Domestic demand through 2026 Q3 · Business surveys through Sep 2026

Level 54.6 is driven mainly by Domestic demand (+3.70 points, cooling impulse -8.12) and Business surveys (+0.88 points, warming impulse +1.40); dimension impulse is cooling (-4.31 vs prior print).

Hard score inputs

How the level adds up 54.57 = 50 +3.70 domestic demand +0.88 business surveys

Composite PMI output +0.88 points in Activity

Score uses 52.2: average of 3 months, Jul–Sep 2026: 52.0, 51.6, 53.0.

Latest print 53.0 · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 52.20
Component weight: 0.40
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: S&P Global Eurozone Composite PMI Output Index (diffusion index)
What it measures: A business survey of activity. Readings above 50 mean more firms report expansion than contraction.
Series: SP_GLOBAL_EA_COMPOSITE_PMI
Transformation: diffusion_index · diffusion index
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: revised
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: c568da6ea49fe8afcf90ba51bf6e0be1571a72c04e58597fed170582b8a2b8fd
Scored series: SP_GLOBAL_EA_COMPOSITE_PMI

Real GDP, chain-linked volumes, q/q % change (SCA) · q/q +3.70 points in Activity

Score uses +2.02%: average of Q2–Q3 2026 q/q, each at an annual rate (+0.60%, +0.40%).

Latest print +0.40% · Q3 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 56.16
Component weight: 0.60
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Real GDP, chain-linked volumes, q/q % change (SCA) (qoq sa pct)
What it measures: How fast the economy is growing.
Series: NAMQ_10_GDP.Q.CLV_PCH_PRE.SCA.B1GQ.EA21
Transformation: qoq_sa_pct · qoq sa pct
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: fe1827e6b94371d1e433a7786ba66b944914cf16d7d710b15bc7a27db18f873e
Scored series: NAMQ_10_GDP.Q.CLV_PCH_PRE.SCA.B1GQ.EA21

How to read: 50 = structural/policy neutral anchor. Points show how far each input pulls the stored level away from 50. Context rows below do not feed the score.

Context / corroboration · not score inputs

Eurozone ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment (expectations balance) 18.5 · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Eurozone ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment (expectations balance)
What it measures: How households say they feel about the economy.
Series: ZEW_EA_EXPECTATIONS
Transformation: balance · balance
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 08c688794783905555dc149b8ad794864bb37682fc3bfb4536c363693e4d3aaa

Germany ZEW assessment of the current economic situation -35.9 · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Germany ZEW assessment of the current economic situation (balance)
What it measures: This series measures Germany ZEW assessment of the current economic situation.
Series: ZEW_DE_CURRENT_SITUATION
Transformation: balance · balance
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 557fee827983146e696c12fb162ff11a497af28b57d8a0854e6a269fb375ad96

S&P Global Flash Eurozone PMI · diffusion 51.9 · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: S&P Global Flash Eurozone PMI (diffusion index)
What it measures: A business survey of activity. Readings above 50 mean more firms report expansion than contraction.
Series: SP_GLOBAL_EA_COMPOSITE_PMI_FLASH
Transformation: diffusion_index · diffusion index
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: flash
Vintage: flash
Release date on committed row: 2026-10-23
Observation id: 7161ed473d506f77a5225669670e878af5277818f478b0b431931efceb3f9fb7

Household consumption is already scored as Consumer.spending; this ro… · q/q +0.40% · Q2 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Household consumption is already scored as Consumer.spending; this row is the domestic-demand component set (gross capital formation, government, net exports) as context (qoq sa pct)
What it measures: How fast household spending is growing.
Series: NAMQ_10_GDP.Q.CLV_PCH_PRE.SCA.P31_S14.EA21
Transformation: qoq_sa_pct · qoq sa pct
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 786da3fb410e0affa94eddb9e64a14dcf06c7f7d12459f0809480f90d0089527

Germany ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment (expectations balance) 28.1 · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date View print

Technical details

Official title: Germany ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment (expectations balance)
What it measures: How households say they feel about the economy.
Series: ZEW_DE_EXPECTATIONS
Transformation: balance · balance
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: e053dd992b779b99c548a0064b996b73331e0bc02e9c6b0e1787269d23ea6507

ConsumerLevel 40.9/100 neutral

Impulse↓ cooling -2.72vs prior print

Retail through Sep 2026 · Income through 2026 Q2 · Spending through 2026 Q2 · Confidence through Oct 2026

Level 40.9 is driven mainly by Retail (-5.00 points, cooling impulse -10.67) and Confidence (-1.97 points, cooling impulse -1.10); dimension impulse is cooling (-2.72 vs prior print).

Hard score inputs

How the level adds up 40.92 = 50 -5.00 retail -1.35 income -0.75 spending -1.97 confidence

Retail trade volume of sales, m/m % (SCA) · m/m -5.00 points in Consumer

Score uses -0.33%: average of 3 months, Jul–Sep 2026: -0.70%, +0.40%, -0.70%.

Latest print -0.70% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 30.00
Component weight: 0.25
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Retail trade volume of sales, m/m % (SCA) (monthly percent change)
What it measures: How fast retail sales are growing.
Series: STS_TRTU_M.M.SCA.VOL_SLS.G47.PCH_PRE.EA21
Transformation: mom_sa_pct · monthly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 2a2672bc3f34802247a0cc2ff7b64c27cd4358b38f5c2834b9fcdc6c813fcd74
Scored series: STS_TRTU_M.M.SCA.VOL_SLS.G47.PCH_PRE.EA21

European Commission consumer confidence indicator (balance) · level -1.97 points in Consumer

Score uses -17.9: the Oct 2026 print.

Latest print -17.9 · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 42.10
Component weight: 0.25
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: European Commission consumer confidence indicator (balance) (index level)
What it measures: How households say they feel about the economy.
Series: EI_BSCO_M.M.SA.BS-CSMCI.BAL.EA21
Transformation: index_level · index level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 3f56ef71c003132f464e02327e9f41721441951db41f7791b3cb5cd283478bc4
Scored series: EI_BSCO_M.M.SA.BS-CSMCI.BAL.EA21

Household final consumption expenditure (P31_S15) · q/q -0.75 points in Consumer

Score uses +0.30%: the Q2 2026 print.

Latest print +0.30% · Q2 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 47.00
Component weight: 0.25
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Household final consumption expenditure (P31_S15), real q/q % (SCA) (qoq sa pct)
What it measures: How fast household spending is growing.
Series: NAMQ_10_GDP.Q.CLV_PCH_PRE.SCA.P31_S15.EA21
Transformation: qoq_sa_pct · qoq sa pct
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 61b3c738c32d7be0356858c14de7b4be1b455bc3a8de3537ea34151525ff2f5d
Scored series: NAMQ_10_GDP.Q.CLV_PCH_PRE.SCA.P31_S15.EA21

Adjusted gross disposable income of households · q/q -1.35 points in Consumer

Score uses +0.14%: the Q2 2026 print.

Latest print +0.14% · Q2 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 44.60
Component weight: 0.25
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Adjusted gross disposable income of households, real per capita q/q % (SCA) (qoq sa pct)
What it measures: How fast household income is growing.
Series: NASQ_10_KI.Q.PC.SCA.S14_S15.B7G_R_HAB_GR.EA21
Transformation: qoq_sa_pct · qoq sa pct
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: f13c4d8caed44c5472a6f555f5653de36f152bc4be71e80ff9d83979debc5eff
Scored series: NASQ_10_KI.Q.PC.SCA.S14_S15.B7G_R_HAB_GR.EA21

How to read: 50 = structural/policy neutral anchor. Points show how far each input pulls the stored level away from 50. Context rows below do not feed the score.

Context / corroboration · not score inputs

No context rows for this topic.

September base-page snapshot — not refreshed; figures may be superseded by the dated evidence above

Temperature

EURO AREA

NEUTRAL

COOLING

Remaining Country Evidence

Eurozone ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment (expectations balance)

18.5 · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 30 Oct 2026

Eurozone ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment (expectations balance) was 18.5 in Oct 2026, down 7.3 pts from Sep 2026.

18.5-7.3 pts vs Sep 2026

Oct 202618.5no recorded release dateIngested 30 Oct 2026
Sep 202625.8no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Oct 2026	18.5	no recorded release date	Ingested 30 Oct 2026
Sep 2026	25.8	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 2 months of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: ZEW — Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research

Technical details

Official title: Eurozone ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment (expectations balance)
What it measures: How households say they feel about the economy.
Series: ZEW_EA_EXPECTATIONS
Transformation: balance · balance
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 08c688794783905555dc149b8ad794864bb37682fc3bfb4536c363693e4d3aaa

Retail trade volume of sales, m/m % (SCA) · m/m

-0.70% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date · Consumer · Ingested 6 Nov 2026

Retail trade volume of sales, m/m % (SCA) fell 0.70% m/m in Sep 2026, after +0.40% in Aug 2026.

-0.70% m/m-1.10 pp vs Aug 2026

Sep 2026-0.70%no recorded release dateIngested 6 Nov 2026
Aug 2026+0.40%no recorded release datefirst recorded +0.10%
Jul 2026-0.70%no recorded release datefirst recorded -0.60%

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Sep 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Sep 2026	-0.70%	no recorded release date	Ingested 6 Nov 2026
Aug 2026	+0.40%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.10%
Jul 2026	-0.70%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded -0.60%
Jun 2026	+0.10%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.20%
May 2026	+0.20%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.30%
Apr 2026	-0.30%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded -0.40%
Mar 2026	+0.80%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.90%
Feb 2026	-0.40%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	+0.20%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	+0.10%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.00%
Nov 2025	+0.10%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	+0.30%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.40%
Sep 2025	+0.20%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.10%

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Eurostat

Technical details

Official title: Retail trade volume of sales, m/m % (SCA) (monthly percent change)
What it measures: How fast retail sales are growing.
Series: STS_TRTU_M.M.SCA.VOL_SLS.G47.PCH_PRE.EA21
Transformation: mom_sa_pct · monthly percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 2a2672bc3f34802247a0cc2ff7b64c27cd4358b38f5c2834b9fcdc6c813fcd74

HICP all-items, Spain (context; not in the EA21 score) · y/y

+4.90% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 4 Nov 2026

HICP all-items, Spain (context; not in the EA21 score) was 4.90% y/y in Oct 2026, down from 5.00% in Sep 2026.

+4.90% y/y-0.10 pp vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026+4.90%no recorded release dateIngested 4 Nov 2026
Sep 2026+5.00%no recorded release date
Aug 2026+4.60%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Nov 2024Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	+4.90%	no recorded release date	Ingested 4 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	+5.00%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	+4.60%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	+3.90%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	+3.60%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+3.60%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	+3.50%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	+3.40%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	+2.50%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	+2.40%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	+3.00%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+3.20%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	+3.20%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+3.00%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	+2.70%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2025	+2.70%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2025	+2.30%	no recorded release date	—
May 2025	+2.00%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2025	+2.20%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2025	+2.20%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2025	+2.90%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2025	+2.90%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2024	+2.80%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2024	+2.40%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Eurostat

Technical details

Official title: HICP all-items, 12-month rate of change, Spain (context; not in the EA21 score) (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: PRC_HICP_MINR.M.RCH_A.TOTAL.ES
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: eurostat_final
Observation id: 363fe2dd092c1a714f49401c677e628aabe64377bfdf804da8cc9f154a84f154

HICP excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco (ECOICOP v2) · y/y

+2.60% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Inflation · Ingested 4 Nov 2026

HICP excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco (ECOICOP v2) was 2.60% y/y in Oct 2026, up from 2.50% in Sep 2026.

+2.60% y/y+0.10 pp vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026+2.60%no recorded release dateIngested 4 Nov 2026
Sep 2026+2.50%no recorded release date
Aug 2026+2.40%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	+2.60%	no recorded release date	Ingested 4 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	+2.50%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	+2.40%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	+2.50%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	+2.40%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+2.60%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	+2.20%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	+2.30%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	+2.40%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	+2.20%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	+2.30%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+2.40%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	+2.40%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+2.40%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Eurostat

Technical details

Official title: HICP excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, 12-month rate of change (ECOICOP v2) (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: PRC_HICP_MINR.M.RCH_A.TOT_X_NRG_FOOD.EA21
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 38783b6ecae22b5d7261ced60f2fc94d9d2bc8368041f6ff7970002bb1f5bd58

European Commission consumer confidence indicator (balance) · level

-17.9 · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Consumer · Ingested 4 Nov 2026

European Commission consumer confidence indicator (balance) was -17.9 in Oct 2026, down 1.1 pts from Sep 2026.

-17.9 level-1.1 pts vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026-17.9no recorded release dateIngested 4 Nov 2026
Sep 2026-16.8no recorded release date
Aug 2026-15.6no recorded release datefirst recorded -15.5

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Oct 2026	-17.9	no recorded release date	Ingested 4 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	-16.8	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	-15.6	no recorded release date	—	first recorded -15.5
Jul 2026	-15.9	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	-17.7	no recorded release date	—	first recorded -17.6
May 2026	-18.9	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	-20.5	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	-16.3	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	-12.3	no recorded release date	—	first recorded -12.4
Jan 2026	-12.5	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	-13.2	no recorded release date	—	first recorded -13.3
Nov 2025	-12.9	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	-12.6	no recorded release date	—	first recorded -12.7
Sep 2025	-13.4	no recorded release date	—	first recorded -13.5

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: European Commission (DG ECFIN)

Technical details

Official title: European Commission consumer confidence indicator (balance) (index level)
What it measures: How households say they feel about the economy.
Series: EI_BSCO_M.M.SA.BS-CSMCI.BAL.EA21
Transformation: index_level · index level
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 3f56ef71c003132f464e02327e9f41721441951db41f7791b3cb5cd283478bc4

HICP all-items, Italy (context; not in the EA21 score) · y/y

+5.60% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 4 Nov 2026

HICP all-items, Italy (context; not in the EA21 score) was 5.60% y/y in Oct 2026, up from 4.20% in Sep 2026.

+5.60% y/y+1.40 pp vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026+5.60%no recorded release dateIngested 4 Nov 2026
Sep 2026+4.20%no recorded release date
Aug 2026+3.20%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Nov 2024Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	+5.60%	no recorded release date	Ingested 4 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	+4.20%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	+3.20%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	+2.90%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	+3.00%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+3.20%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	+2.80%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	+1.60%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	+1.50%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	+1.00%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	+1.20%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+1.10%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	+1.30%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+1.70%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	+1.60%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2025	+1.70%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2025	+1.70%	no recorded release date	—
May 2025	+1.70%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2025	+2.00%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2025	+2.10%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2025	+1.70%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2025	+1.70%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2024	+1.30%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2024	+1.40%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Eurostat

Technical details

Official title: HICP all-items, 12-month rate of change, Italy (context; not in the EA21 score) (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: PRC_HICP_MINR.M.RCH_A.TOTAL.IT
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: eurostat_final
Observation id: 458fa624cdf465f8bfdb99a65fad178f210e65f7babf9afa7e63a115b54c1672

Germany ZEW assessment of the current economic situation

-35.9 · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 30 Oct 2026

Germany ZEW assessment of the current economic situation was -35.9 in Oct 2026, up 11.2 pts from Sep 2026.

-35.9+11.2 pts vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026-35.9no recorded release dateIngested 30 Oct 2026
Sep 2026-47.1no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Oct 2026	-35.9	no recorded release date	Ingested 30 Oct 2026
Sep 2026	-47.1	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 2 months of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: ZEW — Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research

Technical details

Official title: Germany ZEW assessment of the current economic situation (balance)
What it measures: This series measures Germany ZEW assessment of the current economic situation.
Series: ZEW_DE_CURRENT_SITUATION
Transformation: balance · balance
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 557fee827983146e696c12fb162ff11a497af28b57d8a0854e6a269fb375ad96

Household final consumption expenditure (P31_S15) · q/q

+0.30% · Q2 2026 · no recorded release date · Consumer · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

Household final consumption expenditure (P31_S15) rose 0.30% q/q in Q2 2026, after +0.30% in Q1 2026.

+0.30% q/q+0.00 pp vs Q1 2026

Q2 2026+0.30%no recorded release dateIngested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026+0.30%no recorded release datefirst recorded +0.50%
Q4 2025+0.80%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Q3 2025Q2 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Q2 2026	+0.30%	no recorded release date	Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026	+0.30%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.50%
Q4 2025	+0.80%	no recorded release date	—
Q3 2025	+0.60%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 4 quarters of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 8.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Eurostat

Technical details

Official title: Household final consumption expenditure (P31_S15), real q/q % (SCA) (qoq sa pct)
What it measures: How fast household spending is growing.
Series: NAMQ_10_GDP.Q.CLV_PCH_PRE.SCA.P31_S15.EA21
Transformation: qoq_sa_pct · qoq sa pct
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 61b3c738c32d7be0356858c14de7b4be1b455bc3a8de3537ea34151525ff2f5d

S&P Global Flash Eurozone PMI · diffusion

51.9 · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Flash estimate · Ingested 2 Nov 2026

S&P Global Flash Eurozone PMI was 51.9 in Oct 2026, above the 50 no-change line: more respondents report increases than decreases.

51.9 diffusion

History, source and limits

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Oct 2026	51.9	no recorded release date	Ingested 2 Nov 2026

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 1 month of this series is committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: S&P Global

Technical details

Official title: S&P Global Flash Eurozone PMI (diffusion index)
What it measures: A business survey of activity. Readings above 50 mean more firms report expansion than contraction.
Series: SP_GLOBAL_EA_COMPOSITE_PMI_FLASH
Transformation: diffusion_index · diffusion index
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: flash
Vintage: flash
Release date on committed row: 2026-10-23
Observation id: 7161ed473d506f77a5225669670e878af5277818f478b0b431931efceb3f9fb7

Household consumption is already scored as Consumer.spending; this ro… · q/q

+0.40% · Q2 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 30 Oct 2026

Household consumption is already scored as Consumer.spending; this ro… rose 0.40% q/q in Q2 2026, after +0.00% in Q1 2026.

+0.40% q/q+0.40 pp vs Q1 2026

Q2 2026+0.40%no recorded release dateIngested 30 Oct 2026
Q1 2026+0.00%no recorded release date
Q4 2025+0.60%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Q3 2024Q2 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Q2 2026	+0.40%	no recorded release date	Ingested 30 Oct 2026
Q1 2026	+0.00%	no recorded release date	—
Q4 2025	+0.60%	no recorded release date	—
Q3 2025	+0.20%	no recorded release date	—
Q2 2025	+0.20%	no recorded release date	—
Q1 2025	+0.30%	no recorded release date	—
Q4 2024	+0.50%	no recorded release date	—
Q3 2024	+0.60%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.

Source: S&P Global

Technical details

Official title: Household consumption is already scored as Consumer.spending; this row is the domestic-demand component set (gross capital formation, government, net exports) as context (qoq sa pct)
What it measures: How fast household spending is growing.
Series: NAMQ_10_GDP.Q.CLV_PCH_PRE.SCA.P31_S14.EA21
Transformation: qoq_sa_pct · qoq sa pct
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 786da3fb410e0affa94eddb9e64a14dcf06c7f7d12459f0809480f90d0089527

HICP all-items, Portugal (context; not in the EA21 score) · y/y

+3.90% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 4 Nov 2026

HICP all-items, Portugal (context; not in the EA21 score) was 3.90% y/y in Oct 2026, up from 3.60% in Sep 2026.

+3.90% y/y+0.30 pp vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026+3.90%no recorded release dateIngested 4 Nov 2026
Sep 2026+3.60%no recorded release date
Aug 2026+3.60%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Nov 2024Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	+3.90%	no recorded release date	Ingested 4 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	+3.60%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	+3.60%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	+3.10%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	+3.10%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+3.10%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	+3.30%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	+2.70%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	+2.10%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	+1.90%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	+2.40%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+2.10%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	+2.00%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+1.90%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	+2.50%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2025	+2.50%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2025	+2.10%	no recorded release date	—
May 2025	+1.70%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2025	+2.10%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2025	+1.90%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2025	+2.50%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2025	+2.70%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2024	+3.10%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2024	+2.70%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Eurostat

Technical details

Official title: HICP all-items, 12-month rate of change, Portugal (context; not in the EA21 score) (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: PRC_HICP_MINR.M.RCH_A.TOTAL.PT
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: eurostat_final
Observation id: 7f5580a512c87dafb9c25496d1a7fc4a163d62cfdafe0863e7d7dca46c8e2fdc

HICP all-items, France (context; not in the EA21 score) · y/y

+3.80% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 4 Nov 2026

HICP all-items, France (context; not in the EA21 score) was 3.80% y/y in Oct 2026, up from 3.40% in Sep 2026.

+3.80% y/y+0.40 pp vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026+3.80%no recorded release dateIngested 4 Nov 2026
Sep 2026+3.40%no recorded release date
Aug 2026+2.60%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Nov 2024Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	+3.80%	no recorded release date	Ingested 4 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	+3.40%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	+2.60%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	+2.40%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	+2.00%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+2.80%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	+2.50%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	+2.00%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	+1.10%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	+0.40%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	+0.70%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+0.80%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	+0.80%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+1.10%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	+0.80%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2025	+0.90%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2025	+0.90%	no recorded release date	—
May 2025	+0.60%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2025	+0.90%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2025	+0.90%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2025	+0.90%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2025	+1.80%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2024	+1.80%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2024	+1.70%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Eurostat

Technical details

Official title: HICP all-items, 12-month rate of change, France (context; not in the EA21 score) (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: PRC_HICP_MINR.M.RCH_A.TOTAL.FR
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: eurostat_final
Observation id: 88b281ebffd2ae3977a6774e0b1b622e6f462d35781ea7a58fabef3bbe380aff

Composite PMI output

Revised · 53.0 · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date · Activity · Revised · Ingested 13 Nov 2026

Composite PMI output was 53.0 in Sep 2026, above the 50 no-change line: more respondents report increases than decreases; up 1.4 pts from Aug 2026.

53.0 diffusion+1.4 pts vs Aug 2026

Sep 202653.0no recorded release dateIngested 13 Nov 2026first recorded 53.1
Aug 202651.65 Oct 2026first recorded 52.0
Jul 202652.0no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Sep 2025line = 50Sep 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Sep 2026	53.0	no recorded release date	Ingested 13 Nov 2026	first recorded 53.1
Aug 2026	51.6	5 Oct 2026	—	first recorded 52.0
Jul 2026	52.0	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	50.0	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	48.5	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	48.8	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	50.7	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	51.9	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	51.3	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	51.5	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	52.8	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	52.5	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	51.2	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: S&P Global

Technical details

Official title: S&P Global Eurozone Composite PMI Output Index (diffusion index)
What it measures: A business survey of activity. Readings above 50 mean more firms report expansion than contraction.
Series: SP_GLOBAL_EA_COMPOSITE_PMI
Transformation: diffusion_index · diffusion index
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: revised
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: c568da6ea49fe8afcf90ba51bf6e0be1571a72c04e58597fed170582b8a2b8fd

Unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted (LFS) · level

6.50% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date · Labor · Ingested 30 Oct 2026

Unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted (LFS) was 6.50% in Sep 2026, unchanged from Aug 2026.

6.50% level+0.00 pp vs Aug 2026

Sep 20266.50%no recorded release dateIngested 30 Oct 2026
Aug 20266.50%no recorded release datefirst recorded 6.40%
Jul 20266.50%no recorded release datefirst recorded 6.40%

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Sep 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Sep 2026	6.50%	no recorded release date	Ingested 30 Oct 2026
Aug 2026	6.50%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded 6.40%
Jul 2026	6.50%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded 6.40%
Jun 2026	6.40%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	6.40%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded 6.30%
Apr 2026	6.40%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	6.40%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	6.40%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	6.30%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	6.30%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	6.30%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	6.30%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	6.30%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Eurostat

Technical details

Official title: Unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted (LFS)
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: UNE_RT_M.M.SA.TOTAL.PC_ACT.T.EA21
Transformation: percent · percent
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: cbb6d852b7a80097e4239abd909ab50ef185bb02a90619ce52feef73a6fe6cee

Employment (LFS)

+162k · Q2 2026 · no recorded release date · Labor · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

Employment (LFS) rose 162k in Q2 2026, after +124k in Q1 2026.

+162k+38.00k vs Q1 2026

Q2 2026+162kno recorded release dateIngested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026+124kno recorded release date
Q4 2025+481kno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Q3 2025Q2 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Q2 2026	+162k	no recorded release date	Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026	+124k	no recorded release date	—
Q4 2025	+481k	no recorded release date	—
Q3 2025	-21k	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 4 quarters of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 8.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Eurostat

Technical details

Official title: Employment (LFS), quarter-over-quarter change in thousands (derived from SA levels) (qq change thousands)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: LFSI_EMP_Q.Q.SA.EMP_LFS.T.Y15-74.THS_PER.EA21_derived_qq_thousands
Transformation: qq_change_thousands · qq change thousands
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: cdfbe666961f9be108d5f0c7df9d0fa70845917b0cc4938421d97a1108a70b98

HICP all-items (ECOICOP v2 TOTAL) · y/y

+4.00% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Inflation · Ingested 4 Nov 2026

HICP all-items (ECOICOP v2 TOTAL) was 4.00% y/y in Oct 2026, up from 3.80% in Sep 2026.

+4.00% y/y+0.20 pp vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026+4.00%no recorded release dateIngested 4 Nov 2026
Sep 2026+3.80%no recorded release date
Aug 2026+3.20%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	+4.00%	no recorded release date	Ingested 4 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	+3.80%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	+3.20%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	+3.00%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	+2.80%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+3.20%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	+3.00%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	+2.60%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	+1.90%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	+1.70%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	+2.00%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+2.10%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	+2.10%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+2.20%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Eurostat

Technical details

Official title: HICP all-items, 12-month rate of change (ECOICOP v2 TOTAL) (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: PRC_HICP_MINR.M.RCH_A.TOTAL.EA21
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: d1fa93adbb3ccb72c37e58370a32358dc726086f8a81e20b46236fed63e8472b

Industrial producer prices · y/y

+11.10% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 6 Nov 2026

Industrial producer prices rose 11.10% y/y in Sep 2026, after +8.30% in Aug 2026.

+11.10% y/y+2.80 pp vs Aug 2026

Sep 2026+11.10%no recorded release dateIngested 6 Nov 2026
Aug 2026+8.30%no recorded release datefirst recorded +8.20%
Jul 2026+5.80%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Oct 2024Sep 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Sep 2026	+11.10%	no recorded release date	Ingested 6 Nov 2026
Aug 2026	+8.30%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +8.20%
Jul 2026	+5.80%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	+4.60%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+5.90%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	+4.90%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	+2.00%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	-3.00%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	-2.10%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	-2.00%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	-1.30%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	-0.40%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	-0.10%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	-0.60%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2025	+0.30%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2025	+0.60%	no recorded release date	—
May 2025	+0.30%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2025	+0.70%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2025	+2.10%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2025	+3.30%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2025	+1.80%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2024	+0.10%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2024	-1.10%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2024	-3.20%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: S&P Global

Technical details

Official title: Industrial producer prices (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: This series measures Industrial producer prices · y/y.
Series: STS_INPPD_M.M.PRC_PRR_DOM.NSA.PCH_SM.B-E36.EA21
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonal adjustment unknown
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: d29105ec0ffa5eea0948312f44df39509c071b712810ffd5af0db9c396044e7f

Germany ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment (expectations balance)

28.1 · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 30 Oct 2026

Germany ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment (expectations balance) was 28.1 in Oct 2026, down 6.6 pts from Sep 2026.

28.1-6.6 pts vs Sep 2026

Oct 202628.1no recorded release dateIngested 30 Oct 2026
Sep 202634.7no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Oct 2026	28.1	no recorded release date	Ingested 30 Oct 2026
Sep 2026	34.7	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 2 months of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: ZEW — Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research

Technical details

Official title: Germany ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment (expectations balance)
What it measures: How households say they feel about the economy.
Series: ZEW_DE_EXPECTATIONS
Transformation: balance · balance
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: e053dd992b779b99c548a0064b996b73331e0bc02e9c6b0e1787269d23ea6507

Adjusted gross disposable income of households · q/q

+0.14% · Q2 2026 · no recorded release date · Consumer · Ingested 29 Oct 2026

Adjusted gross disposable income of households rose 0.14% q/q in Q2 2026, after +0.08% in Q1 2026.

+0.14% q/q+0.06 pp vs Q1 2026

Q2 2026+0.14%no recorded release dateIngested 29 Oct 2026
Q1 2026+0.08%no recorded release datefirst recorded +0.00%
Q4 2025+0.17%no recorded release datefirst recorded +0.21%

History, source and limits

Q3 2025Q2 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Q2 2026	+0.14%	no recorded release date	Ingested 29 Oct 2026
Q1 2026	+0.08%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.00%
Q4 2025	+0.17%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +0.21%
Q3 2025	-0.07%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded -0.11%

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 4 quarters of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 8.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Eurostat

Technical details

Official title: Adjusted gross disposable income of households, real per capita q/q % (SCA) (qoq sa pct)
What it measures: How fast household income is growing.
Series: NASQ_10_KI.Q.PC.SCA.S14_S15.B7G_R_HAB_GR.EA21
Transformation: qoq_sa_pct · qoq sa pct
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: f13c4d8caed44c5472a6f555f5653de36f152bc4be71e80ff9d83979debc5eff

HICP all-items, Germany (context; not in the EA21 score) · y/y

+2.80% · Oct 2026 · no recorded release date · Context only · Ingested 4 Nov 2026

HICP all-items, Germany (context; not in the EA21 score) was 2.80% y/y in Oct 2026, down from 3.30% in Sep 2026.

+2.80% y/y-0.50 pp vs Sep 2026

Oct 2026+2.80%no recorded release dateIngested 4 Nov 2026
Sep 2026+3.30%no recorded release date
Aug 2026+2.90%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Nov 2024Oct 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Oct 2026	+2.80%	no recorded release date	Ingested 4 Nov 2026
Sep 2026	+3.30%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2026	+2.90%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	+2.80%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	+2.40%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+2.70%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	+2.90%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	+2.80%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	+2.00%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	+2.10%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	+2.00%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+2.50%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	+2.30%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+2.30%	no recorded release date	—
Aug 2025	+2.00%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2025	+1.90%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2025	+2.00%	no recorded release date	—
May 2025	+2.10%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2025	+2.20%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2025	+2.30%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2025	+2.60%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2025	+2.80%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2024	+2.80%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2024	+2.40%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Eurostat

Technical details

Official title: HICP all-items, 12-month rate of change, Germany (context; not in the EA21 score) (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: PRC_HICP_MINR.M.RCH_A.TOTAL.DE
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: eurostat_final
Observation id: f47e1095d5a79915da34cacd596e960b4a9dcdf1e34280b8dae1a68f25d5b6bb

ECB indicator of negotiated wage rates · y/y

+2.45% · Q2 2026 · no recorded release date · Labor · Ingested 2 Oct 2026

ECB indicator of negotiated wage rates rose 2.45% y/y in Q2 2026, after +2.56% in Q1 2026.

+2.45% y/y-0.11 pp vs Q1 2026

Q2 2026+2.45%no recorded release dateIngested 2 Oct 2026first recorded +2.44%
Q1 2026+2.56%no recorded release date
Q4 2025+2.91%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Q3 2025Q2 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Q2 2026	+2.45%	no recorded release date	Ingested 2 Oct 2026	first recorded +2.44%
Q1 2026	+2.56%	no recorded release date	—
Q4 2025	+2.91%	no recorded release date	—
Q3 2025	+1.95%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 4 quarters of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 8.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: European Central Bank

Technical details

Official title: ECB indicator of negotiated wage rates, annual rate of change (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast pay is growing.
Series: INW.Q.I10.N.INWR.000000.4F0.GY.IX
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: f8ef42524110fac91425cea380a570fcf9015545e9cbb3d960a42c5ae2e2d5ad

Real GDP, chain-linked volumes, q/q % change (SCA) · q/q

+0.40% · Q3 2026 · no recorded release date · Activity · Ingested 30 Oct 2026

Real GDP, chain-linked volumes, q/q % change (SCA) rose 0.40% q/q in Q3 2026, after +0.60% in Q2 2026.

+0.40% q/q-0.20 pp vs Q2 2026

Q3 2026+0.40%no recorded release dateIngested 30 Oct 2026
Q2 2026+0.60%no recorded release date
Q1 2026+0.00%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Q3 2025Q3 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Q3 2026	+0.40%	no recorded release date	Ingested 30 Oct 2026
Q2 2026	+0.60%	no recorded release date	—
Q1 2026	+0.00%	no recorded release date	—
Q4 2025	+0.20%	no recorded release date	—
Q3 2025	+0.30%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 5 quarters of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 8.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Eurostat

Technical details

Official title: Real GDP, chain-linked volumes, q/q % change (SCA) (qoq sa pct)
What it measures: How fast the economy is growing.
Series: NAMQ_10_GDP.Q.CLV_PCH_PRE.SCA.B1GQ.EA21
Transformation: qoq_sa_pct · qoq sa pct
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: EA
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: fe1827e6b94371d1e433a7786ba66b944914cf16d7d710b15bc7a27db18f873e

Scores: calibration anchor 21 Sep 2026 · inputs last ingested 13 Nov 2026 · latest scored component period Nov 2026 · Coverage counts scored components only and is not a freshness claim.

LEVEL is the 1–100 score, where 50 is the structural/policy neutral point. IMPULSE is the latest print versus the prior print, in score points.

Japan: historical temperature trends

Nov 2026

Actual stored monthly dimension scores through Nov 2026.
Aggregate uses proposed 40/40/10/10 weights; not the existing production mean.

Aggregate51.58

Inflation52.50

Labor53.78

Activity57.46

Consumer33.22

Aggregate trajectory

Inflation

Labor

Activity

Consumer

The line at 50 is a structural neutral reference, not a claim of policy balance.

Reconstructed monthly replay of stored scores. Not a historical real-time published snapshot. A published snapshot is stored separately for cutoff Nov 2026 and is not drawn as the line.

InflationLevel 52.5/100 neutralImpulse ↑ warming +4.75vs prior printInputs through Sep 2026 LaborLevel 53.8/100 neutralImpulse ↑ warming +2.93vs prior printUnemployment through Sep 2026 · Wages through Aug 2026 · Employment through Sep 2026 ActivityLevel 57.5/100 neutralImpulse ↓ cooling -2.68vs prior printDomestic demand through 2026 Q2 · Business surveys through Aug 2026 ConsumerLevel 33.2/100 coolImpulse ↑ warming +3.66vs prior printInputs through Sep 2026

Monetary policy

Decision	Implied rate	Step bp	Cumulative bp	1d	1w	Method
2026-12-18	—	—	—	—	—	unavailable
2027-01-22	—	—	—	—	—	unavailable
2027-03-18	—	—	—	—	—	unavailable
2027-04-28	—	—	—	—	—	unavailable
2027-06-11	—	—	—	—	—	unavailable

calendar retrieved 2026-11-13.

What Matters Now

No finding clears the attention rules. 11 of 11 observations were eligible latest evidence and none qualified.

InflationLevel 52.5/100 neutral

Impulse↑ warming +4.75vs prior print

Inputs through Sep 2026

Level 52.5 is driven mainly by Underlying (+1.50 points, warming impulse +6.25) and Headline (+1.00 points, warming impulse +2.50); dimension impulse is warming (+4.75 vs prior print).

Hard score inputs

How the level adds up 52.50 = 50 +1.50 underlying +1.00 headline

Consumer Price Index, all items (2025 base) · y/y +1.00 points in Inflation

Score uses +2.20%: the Sep 2026 print.

Latest print +2.20% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 52.50
Component weight: 0.40
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Consumer Price Index, all items, 12-month percent change (2025 base) (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: CPI_2025BASE_ALL_ITEMS_YOY
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: JP
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 5a120c88e3af54cca48511ae027ad08f99d84eb6c7577e8489a02df42afd8bae
Scored series: CPI_2025BASE_ALL_ITEMS_YOY

CPI less fresh food and energy (2025 base; BOJ core-core style) · y/y +1.50 points in Inflation

Score uses +2.20%: the Sep 2026 print.

Latest print +2.20% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 52.50
Component weight: 0.60
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: CPI less fresh food and energy, 12-month percent change (2025 base; BOJ core-core style) (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: CPI_2025BASE_LESS_FRESH_FOOD_ENERGY_YOY
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: JP
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 8c319a7508201b99aae2072e9204be33b35c538ec0834844ddfa6ba7b05c6de9
Scored series: CPI_2025BASE_LESS_FRESH_FOOD_ENERGY_YOY

How to read: 50 = structural/policy neutral anchor. Points show how far each input pulls the stored level away from 50. Context rows below do not feed the score.

Context / corroboration · not score inputs

No context rows for this topic.

LaborLevel 53.8/100 neutral

Impulse↑ warming +2.93vs prior print

Unemployment through Sep 2026 · Wages through Aug 2026 · Employment through Sep 2026

Level 53.8 is driven mainly by Wages (+1.80 points, cooling impulse -4.00) and Unemployment (+1.40 points, warming impulse +2.00); dimension impulse is warming (+2.93 vs prior print).

Hard score inputs

How the level adds up 53.78 = 50 +1.40 unemployment +1.80 wages +0.58 employment

Total cash earnings · y/y +1.80 points in Labor

Score uses +3.90%: the Aug 2026 print.

Latest print +3.90% · Aug 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 59.00
Component weight: 0.20
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Total cash earnings, year-on-year percent change, establishments with 5+ employees (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast pay is growing.
Series: MLS_TOTAL_CASH_EARNINGS_YOY_5PLUS
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: JP
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 36c43009db67e47d4acf8e596c194c3bab0e7fc63f9d8eeb1438868c61826ade
Scored series: MLS_TOTAL_CASH_EARNINGS_YOY_5PLUS

Unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted, whole Japan +1.40 points in Labor

Score uses 2.40%: the Sep 2026 print.

Latest print 2.40% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 52.00
Component weight: 0.70
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted, whole Japan (rate pct)
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: LFS_1A1_UNEMPLOYMENT_RATE_SA
Transformation: rate_pct · rate pct
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: JP
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 4b9b2c8043ded7b733cf8c9821fc781e8f42f438b4288d6b1318738f29a31230
Scored series: LFS_1A1_UNEMPLOYMENT_RATE_SA

Employment · monthly change +0.58 points in Labor

Score uses +73.33k: average of 3 months, Jul–Sep 2026: -150k, +30k, +340k.

Latest print +340k · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 55.83
Component weight: 0.10
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Month-on-month change in employed persons (seasonally adjusted), derived from LFS 1-a-1 (mom change thousands sa)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: LFS_1A1_EMPLOYED_PERSONS_SA
Transformation: mom_change_thousands_sa · mom change thousands sa
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: JP
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: e0901e8bf7eaa821d9e2ffab143ed15c588030590d6a0dc62ece5c3ae9797a07
Scored series: LFS_1A1_EMPLOYED_PERSONS_SA

How to read: 50 = structural/policy neutral anchor. Points show how far each input pulls the stored level away from 50. Context rows below do not feed the score.

Context / corroboration · not score inputs

No context rows for this topic.

ActivityLevel 57.5/100 neutral

Impulse↓ cooling -2.68vs prior print

Domestic demand through 2026 Q2 · Business surveys through Aug 2026

Level 57.5 is driven mainly by Domestic demand (+6.30 points, cooling impulse -5.00) and Business surveys (+1.16 points, warming impulse +0.80); dimension impulse is cooling (-2.68 vs prior print).

Hard score inputs

How the level adds up 57.46 = 50 +6.30 domestic demand +1.16 business surveys

Composite PMI output +1.16 points in Activity

Score uses 52.9: average of 3 months, Jun–Aug 2026: 52.5, 52.7, 53.5.

Latest print 53.5 · Aug 2026 · Released 3 Sep 2026.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 52.90
Component weight: 0.40
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: au Jibun Bank / S&P Global Japan Composite PMI Output Index (diffusion index)
What it measures: A business survey of activity. Readings above 50 mean more firms report expansion than contraction.
Series: SP_GLOBAL_JP_COMPOSITE_PMI
Transformation: diffusion_index · diffusion index
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: JP
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-09-03
Observation id: 4990be1316f3cc10132b9b2bd5e38bcee2d68eec381886c40dc12b607fd31960
Scored series: SP_GLOBAL_JP_COMPOSITE_PMI

Real GDP · q/q annualised +6.30 points in Activity

Score uses +1.65%: average of 2 quarters, Q1–Q2 2026: +1.90%, +1.40%.

Latest print +1.40% · Q2 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 60.50
Component weight: 0.60
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Real GDP, seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter annualized rate (expenditure approach) (qoq pct saar)
What it measures: How fast the economy is growing.
Series: ESRI_REAL_GDP_QOQ_SAAR
Transformation: qoq_pct_saar · qoq pct saar
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: JP
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: ca7168b1f3db58e3516d5edfab045f50729323b5104afa6016fbf34a9be11be5
Scored series: ESRI_REAL_GDP_QOQ_SAAR

How to read: 50 = structural/policy neutral anchor. Points show how far each input pulls the stored level away from 50. Context rows below do not feed the score.

Context / corroboration · not score inputs

No context rows for this topic.

ConsumerLevel 33.2/100 cool

Impulse↑ warming +3.66vs prior print

Inputs through Sep 2026

Level 33.2 is driven mainly by Spending (-12.25 points, cooling impulse -4.00) and Income (-5.00 points, warming impulse +26.25); dimension impulse is warming (+3.66 vs prior print).

Hard score inputs

How the level adds up 33.22 = 50 +1.14 retail -5.00 income -12.25 spending -0.68 confidence

Consumer sentiment -0.68 points in Consumer

Score uses 35.4: the Sep 2026 print.

Latest print 35.4 · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 47.30
Component weight: 0.25
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Consumer Sentiment Index (seasonally adjusted), two-or-more-person households (diffusion index)
What it measures: How households say they feel about the economy.
Series: CO_CONSUMER_SENTIMENT_INDEX_SA
Transformation: diffusion_index · diffusion index
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: JP
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 01ba84b983b7671771b07efe64d3e83d4bd4078a9f8c71b716679dc34f3616fd
Scored series: CO_CONSUMER_SENTIMENT_INDEX_SA

Retail sales value · y/y +1.14 points in Consumer

Score uses +2.97%: average of 3 months, Jul–Sep 2026: +3.70%, +2.90%, +2.30%.

Latest print +2.30% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 54.58
Component weight: 0.25
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Retail sales value, year-on-year percent change (Current Survey of Commerce) (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast retail sales are growing.
Series: METI_CSC_RETAIL_SALES_YOY
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: JP
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 52c62bc178690e397d36b52728a31f23ac8116b397665c0d919cf8fc71094f06
Scored series: METI_CSC_RETAIL_SALES_YOY

Real income · y/y -5.00 points in Consumer

Score uses +1.00%: average of 3 months, Jul–Sep 2026: -1.70%, +1.30%, +3.40%.

Latest print +3.40% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 30.00
Component weight: 0.25
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Real income, nominal year-on-year percent change, worker households (two-or-more-person) (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast household income is growing.
Series: FIES_WORKER_HH_REAL_INCOME_NOMINAL_YOY
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: JP
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: c28c7247ae51bff8d791c84c7dc43b3d108026f41d02f37a4c39dbf5187dbc73
Scored series: FIES_WORKER_HH_REAL_INCOME_NOMINAL_YOY

Consumption expenditure · y/y -12.25 points in Consumer

Score uses -2.33%: average of 3 months, Jul–Sep 2026: -1.50%, -1.00%, -4.50%.

Latest print -4.50% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date.

History and source

Score detail

Component level: 1.00
Component weight: 0.25
Points: weight ÷ observed coverage × (component level − 50)
Official title: Consumption expenditure, nominal year-on-year percent change, two-or-more-person households (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast household spending is growing.
Series: FIES_TWO_PLUS_HH_CONSUMPTION_NOMINAL_YOY
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: JP
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: e25d08b324e657cdad6971bcdf6b095876f0394b0b5aaaccb213eaf87abcaa6a
Scored series: FIES_TWO_PLUS_HH_CONSUMPTION_NOMINAL_YOY

How to read: 50 = structural/policy neutral anchor. Points show how far each input pulls the stored level away from 50. Context rows below do not feed the score.

Context / corroboration · not score inputs

No context rows for this topic.

September base-page snapshot — not refreshed; figures may be superseded by the dated evidence above

Temperature

JAPAN

NEUTRAL

WARMING

Remaining Country Evidence

Consumer sentiment

35.4 · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date · Consumer · Ingested 5 Oct 2026

Consumer sentiment was 35.4 in Sep 2026, down 0.1 pts from Aug 2026.

35.4 diffusion-0.1 pts vs Aug 2026

Sep 202635.4no recorded release dateIngested 5 Oct 2026
Aug 202635.5no recorded release date
Jul 202634.9no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Sep 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Sep 2026	35.4	no recorded release date	Ingested 5 Oct 2026
Aug 2026	35.5	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	34.9	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	33.8	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	33.6	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	32.2	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	33.3	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	39.7	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	37.6	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	36.9	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	37.2	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	35.9	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	35.4	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Cabinet Office

Technical details

Official title: Consumer Sentiment Index (seasonally adjusted), two-or-more-person households (diffusion index)
What it measures: How households say they feel about the economy.
Series: CO_CONSUMER_SENTIMENT_INDEX_SA
Transformation: diffusion_index · diffusion index
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: JP
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 01ba84b983b7671771b07efe64d3e83d4bd4078a9f8c71b716679dc34f3616fd

Total cash earnings · y/y

+3.90% · Aug 2026 · no recorded release date · Labor · Ingested 23 Oct 2026

Total cash earnings rose 3.90% y/y in Aug 2026, after +4.30% in Jul 2026.

+3.90% y/y-0.40 pp vs Jul 2026

Aug 2026+3.90%no recorded release dateIngested 23 Oct 2026
Jul 2026+4.30%no recorded release date
Jun 2026+4.00%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Aug 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Aug 2026	+3.90%	no recorded release date	Ingested 23 Oct 2026
Jul 2026	+4.30%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	+4.00%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+3.30%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	+3.60%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	+3.10%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	+3.40%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	+2.50%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	+2.40%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+1.70%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	+2.50%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+2.10%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare

Technical details

Official title: Total cash earnings, year-on-year percent change, establishments with 5+ employees (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast pay is growing.
Series: MLS_TOTAL_CASH_EARNINGS_YOY_5PLUS
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: JP
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 36c43009db67e47d4acf8e596c194c3bab0e7fc63f9d8eeb1438868c61826ade

Composite PMI output

53.5 · Aug 2026 · Released 3 Sep 2026 · Activity · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

Composite PMI output was 53.5 in Aug 2026, above the 50 no-change line: more respondents report increases than decreases; up 0.8 pts from Jul 2026.

53.5 diffusion+0.8 pts vs Jul 2026

Aug 202653.53 Sep 2026Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Jul 202652.7no recorded release date
Jun 202652.5no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Jan 2026line = 50Aug 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Aug 2026	53.5	3 Sep 2026	Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Jul 2026	52.7	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	52.5	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	51.1	23 Jun 2026	—
Apr 2026	52.2	21 May 2026	—
Mar 2026	53.0	23 Apr 2026	—
Feb 2026	53.9	24 Mar 2026	—
Jan 2026	53.1	20 Feb 2026	—

Only 8 months of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: S&P Global

Technical details

Official title: au Jibun Bank / S&P Global Japan Composite PMI Output Index (diffusion index)
What it measures: A business survey of activity. Readings above 50 mean more firms report expansion than contraction.
Series: SP_GLOBAL_JP_COMPOSITE_PMI
Transformation: diffusion_index · diffusion index
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: JP
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Release date on committed row: 2026-09-03
Observation id: 4990be1316f3cc10132b9b2bd5e38bcee2d68eec381886c40dc12b607fd31960

Unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted, whole Japan

2.40% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date · Labor · Ingested 30 Oct 2026

Unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted, whole Japan was 2.40% in Sep 2026, down 0.10 pp from Aug 2026.

2.40%-0.10 pp vs Aug 2026

Sep 20262.40%no recorded release dateIngested 30 Oct 2026
Aug 20262.50%no recorded release date
Jul 20262.40%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Sep 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Sep 2026	2.40%	no recorded release date	Ingested 30 Oct 2026
Aug 2026	2.50%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	2.40%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	2.50%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	2.50%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	2.50%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	2.70%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	2.60%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	2.60%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	2.60%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	2.60%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	2.60%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Statistics Bureau of Japan

Technical details

Official title: Unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted, whole Japan (rate pct)
What it measures: The share of the labor force that is unemployed.
Series: LFS_1A1_UNEMPLOYMENT_RATE_SA
Transformation: rate_pct · rate pct
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: JP
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 4b9b2c8043ded7b733cf8c9821fc781e8f42f438b4288d6b1318738f29a31230

Retail sales value · y/y

+2.30% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date · Consumer · Ingested 30 Oct 2026

Retail sales value rose 2.30% y/y in Sep 2026, after +2.90% in Aug 2026.

+2.30% y/y-0.60 pp vs Aug 2026

Sep 2026+2.30%no recorded release dateIngested 30 Oct 2026
Aug 2026+2.90%no recorded release datefirst recorded +2.70%
Jul 2026+3.70%no recorded release datefirst recorded +4.00%

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Sep 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion	Revision
Sep 2026	+2.30%	no recorded release date	Ingested 30 Oct 2026
Aug 2026	+2.90%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +2.70%
Jul 2026	+3.70%	no recorded release date	—	first recorded +4.00%
Jun 2026	+0.60%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+5.00%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	+2.80%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	+1.40%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	-0.10%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	+1.80%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	-0.90%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+1.10%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	+1.70%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+0.20%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry

Technical details

Official title: Retail sales value, year-on-year percent change (Current Survey of Commerce) (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast retail sales are growing.
Series: METI_CSC_RETAIL_SALES_YOY
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: JP
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 52c62bc178690e397d36b52728a31f23ac8116b397665c0d919cf8fc71094f06

Consumer Price Index, all items (2025 base) · y/y

+2.20% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date · Inflation · Ingested 26 Oct 2026

Consumer Price Index, all items (2025 base) was 2.20% y/y in Sep 2026, up from 2.00% in Aug 2026.

+2.20% y/y+0.20 pp vs Aug 2026

Sep 2026+2.20%no recorded release dateIngested 26 Oct 2026
Aug 2026+2.00%no recorded release date
Jul 2026+2.00%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Sep 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Sep 2026	+2.20%	no recorded release date	Ingested 26 Oct 2026
Aug 2026	+2.00%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	+2.00%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	+1.70%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+1.50%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	+1.40%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	+1.50%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	+1.30%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	+1.50%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	+2.10%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+2.90%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	+3.00%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+2.90%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Statistics Bureau of Japan

Technical details

Official title: Consumer Price Index, all items, 12-month percent change (2025 base) (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: CPI_2025BASE_ALL_ITEMS_YOY
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: JP
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 5a120c88e3af54cca48511ae027ad08f99d84eb6c7577e8489a02df42afd8bae

CPI less fresh food and energy (2025 base; BOJ core-core style) · y/y

+2.20% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date · Inflation · Ingested 23 Oct 2026

CPI less fresh food and energy (2025 base; BOJ core-core style) was 2.20% y/y in Sep 2026, up from 1.70% in Aug 2026.

+2.20% y/y+0.50 pp vs Aug 2026

Sep 2026+2.20%no recorded release dateIngested 23 Oct 2026
Aug 2026+1.70%no recorded release date
Jul 2026+1.40%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Sep 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Sep 2026	+2.20%	no recorded release date	Ingested 23 Oct 2026
Aug 2026	+1.70%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	+1.40%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	+1.20%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+1.10%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	+1.10%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	+1.40%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	+1.40%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	+1.30%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	+1.50%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+1.60%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	+1.60%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+1.30%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Statistics Bureau of Japan

Technical details

Official title: CPI less fresh food and energy, 12-month percent change (2025 base; BOJ core-core style) (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast prices are rising.
Series: CPI_2025BASE_LESS_FRESH_FOOD_ENERGY_YOY
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: JP
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: 8c319a7508201b99aae2072e9204be33b35c538ec0834844ddfa6ba7b05c6de9

Real income · y/y

+3.40% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date · Consumer · Ingested 10 Nov 2026

Real income rose 3.40% y/y in Sep 2026, after +1.30% in Aug 2026.

+3.40% y/y+2.10 pp vs Aug 2026

Sep 2026+3.40%no recorded release dateIngested 10 Nov 2026
Aug 2026+1.30%no recorded release date
Jul 2026-1.70%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Sep 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Sep 2026	+3.40%	no recorded release date	Ingested 10 Nov 2026
Aug 2026	+1.30%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	-1.70%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	+3.90%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+2.40%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	+3.80%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	+6.40%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	+3.00%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	+3.00%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	+2.40%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+1.00%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	+3.30%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+3.40%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Statistics Bureau of Japan

Technical details

Official title: Real income, nominal year-on-year percent change, worker households (two-or-more-person) (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast household income is growing.
Series: FIES_WORKER_HH_REAL_INCOME_NOMINAL_YOY
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: JP
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: c28c7247ae51bff8d791c84c7dc43b3d108026f41d02f37a4c39dbf5187dbc73

Real GDP · q/q annualised

+1.40% · Q2 2026 · no recorded release date · Activity · Ingested 21 Sep 2026

Real GDP rose 1.40% q/q annualised in Q2 2026, after +1.90% in Q1 2026.

+1.40% q/q annualised-0.50 pp vs Q1 2026

Q2 2026+1.40%no recorded release dateIngested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026+1.90%no recorded release date
Q4 2025+1.10%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Q3 2025Q2 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Q2 2026	+1.40%	no recorded release date	Ingested 21 Sep 2026
Q1 2026	+1.90%	no recorded release date	—
Q4 2025	+1.10%	no recorded release date	—
Q3 2025	-1.50%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 4 quarters of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 8.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Cabinet Office (ESRI)

Technical details

Official title: Real GDP, seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter annualized rate (expenditure approach) (qoq pct saar)
What it measures: How fast the economy is growing.
Series: ESRI_REAL_GDP_QOQ_SAAR
Transformation: qoq_pct_saar · qoq pct saar
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: JP
Revision status: unknown
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: ca7168b1f3db58e3516d5edfab045f50729323b5104afa6016fbf34a9be11be5

Employment · monthly change

+340k · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date · Labor · Ingested 30 Oct 2026

Employment rose 340k in Sep 2026, after +30k in Aug 2026.

+340k monthly change+310.00k vs Aug 2026

Sep 2026+340kno recorded release dateIngested 30 Oct 2026
Aug 2026+30kno recorded release date
Jul 2026-150kno recorded release date

History, source and limits

Oct 2025Sep 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Sep 2026	+340k	no recorded release date	Ingested 30 Oct 2026
Aug 2026	+30k	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	-150k	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	-360k	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+60k	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	+610k	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	-120k	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	-190k	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	0k	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+20k	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	+90k	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Only 11 months of this series are committed; the chart would normally show 12.
Comparable history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Statistics Bureau of Japan

Technical details

Official title: Month-on-month change in employed persons (seasonally adjusted), derived from LFS 1-a-1 (mom change thousands sa)
What it measures: How many jobs were added or lost over the period.
Series: LFS_1A1_EMPLOYED_PERSONS_SA
Transformation: mom_change_thousands_sa · mom change thousands sa
Seasonal adjustment: seasonally adjusted
Geography: JP
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: e0901e8bf7eaa821d9e2ffab143ed15c588030590d6a0dc62ece5c3ae9797a07

Consumption expenditure · y/y

-4.50% · Sep 2026 · no recorded release date · Consumer · Ingested 10 Nov 2026

Consumption expenditure fell 4.50% y/y in Sep 2026, after -1.00% in Aug 2026.

-4.50% y/y-3.50 pp vs Aug 2026

Sep 2026-4.50%no recorded release dateIngested 10 Nov 2026
Aug 2026-1.00%no recorded release date
Jul 2026-1.50%no recorded release date

History, source and limits

Sep 2025Sep 2026

Period	Value	Release	Ingestion
Sep 2026	-4.50%	no recorded release date	Ingested 10 Nov 2026
Aug 2026	-1.00%	no recorded release date	—
Jul 2026	-1.50%	no recorded release date	—
Jun 2026	-1.50%	no recorded release date	—
May 2026	+1.30%	no recorded release date	—
Apr 2026	+1.00%	no recorded release date	—
Mar 2026	-1.30%	no recorded release date	—
Feb 2026	-0.40%	no recorded release date	—
Jan 2026	+0.70%	no recorded release date	—
Dec 2025	-0.30%	no recorded release date	—
Nov 2025	+6.30%	no recorded release date	—
Oct 2025	+0.30%	no recorded release date	—
Sep 2025	+5.30%	no recorded release date	—

no recorded release date. The source link has the publisher's calendar.
Same-season history is too short to rank this against a long sample.

Source: Statistics Bureau of Japan

Technical details

Official title: Consumption expenditure, nominal year-on-year percent change, two-or-more-person households (through-the-year percent change)
What it measures: How fast household spending is growing.
Series: FIES_TWO_PLUS_HH_CONSUMPTION_NOMINAL_YOY
Transformation: yoy_pct · through-the-year percent change
Seasonal adjustment: not seasonally adjusted
Geography: JP
Revision status: final
Vintage: latest_available
Observation id: e25d08b324e657cdad6971bcdf6b095876f0394b0b5aaaccb213eaf87abcaa6a

Market News · 7-day window

Purpose: fast macro tape for headlines that can change rates, FX, commodities or country risk. This layer mixes financial press, mainstream reporting and verified X posts, but separates confirmed reporting from social signal.

Priority: central-bank reaction function · labor/inflation/growth surprises · leaders and fiscal/trade actions · geopolitical/energy shocks · cross-asset transmission.

Last scanned: 13 Nov 2026· Sources include Reuters, ABC, AP, FT and verified public X feeds.

Current tape

curated market-relevant stories in the 6–13 November 2026 window, ranked by expected rates/FX significance rather than headline volume.

Last 24 Hours · Desk Summary

Top Pension Fund to Buy More India State Bonds on High Yields

2 dated market-relevant developments in the exact rolling window.

Window12 Nov 06:22 ET → 13 Nov 06:22 ET
Last refreshed 13 Nov 2026 · 06:22 ET

Desk read: U.S. rates led the session. Two-year through ten-year yields rose 12 to 14 basis points, the ten-year is back above 5 at 5.1, and those yields sit in the top decile of the past year's levels. SOFR futures still price policy well above cash SOFR of 3.89, after October consumer prices rose 0.4 percent and Fed commentary turned toward another inflation fight. The dollar firmed with that move. Dollar-Canada and dollar-Swiss are near the top of their one-year ranges, while the euro, sterling, the Australian dollar, and the New Zealand dollar weakened. Canada's yields rose with Treasuries. Australia's cash rate and forward path are flat to easier, not the same further-hike path. Euro-area and Japanese long yields barely moved. Brent is 95.82 and WTI is 88.74. Equities are still high and the VIX is 17.5, so this is a rates and dollar story rather than an equity break. Today's U.S. producer prices and the euro-area GDP flash are the next test, with Canada CPI and Japan GDP on Monday.

GLOBAL · MACRO · MED/10 · BLOOMBERG 12 NOV

Top Pension Fund to Buy More India State Bonds on High Yields India’s largest pension fund plans to step up purchases of state debt, expecting their yield premium over the federal government bonds will widen further.

GLOBAL · MACRO · MED/10 · BLOOMBERG 12 NOV

AI ‘Supply Shock’ Pushes Bond Market to Limit, Wells Fargo Says Technology giants racing to build artificial intelligence infrastructure are hitting the limit of how much they can raise in global bond markets, according to Wells Fargo & Co.

Top Market Drivers

HIGHGLOBAL · MACRO

Falling US Bond Futures Offer No Relief as Fed Hike Bets GrowDerivatives trading suggests a retreat in US Treasuries is set to continue as faster-than-expected inflation data cemented the prospects for more aggressive interest-rate hikes from the Federal ...

HIGHGLOBAL · MACRO

Bonds reel as hot inflation fuels jumbo Fed hike fearsGlobal bonds tumbled and the dollar stayed firm after a hot US inflation print and hawkish central bank rhetoric raised the risk of an outsized half-point rate hike from the Federal Reserve next ...

MEDGLOBAL · MACRO

Top Pension Fund to Buy More India State Bonds on High YieldsIndia’s largest pension fund plans to step up purchases of state debt, expecting their yield premium over the federal government bonds will widen further.

7-Day Quick Digest

Accepted overnight research that still matters to the current macro and rates setup.

Window: 6 Nov 06:22 ET → 13 Nov 06:22 ET

MEDTop Pension Fund to Buy More India State Bonds on High YieldsGLOBAL · MACRO · 12 Nov · Bloomberg

What happened: India’s largest pension fund plans to step up purchases of state debt, expecting their yield premium over the federal government bonds will widen further.

MEDAI ‘Supply Shock’ Pushes Bond Market to Limit, Wells Fargo SaysGLOBAL · MACRO · 12 Nov · Bloomberg

What happened: Technology giants racing to build artificial intelligence infrastructure are hitting the limit of how much they can raise in global bond markets, according to Wells Fargo & Co.

MEDForget Nvidia. Anthropic Is the AI Trade’s Litmus TestGLOBAL · MACRO · 11 Nov · Bloomberg

What happened: For an industry that needs to spend at least $30 billion just to build a data center that handles one gigawatt of computing power, access to financing is key.

MEDAlphabet Kicks Off Asia Bond Sale as AI Firms Face ScrutinyGLOBAL · MACRO · 11 Nov · Bloomberg

What happened: Alphabet Inc. began marketing its inaugural Hong Kong and Singapore dollar bond sale, testing investor interest at a time of increasing volatility for companies focused on artificial intelligence.

HIGHFalling US Bond Futures Offer No Relief as Fed Hike Bets GrowGLOBAL · MACRO · 10 Nov · Bloomberg

What happened: Derivatives trading suggests a retreat in US Treasuries is set to continue as faster-than-expected inflation data cemented the prospects for more aggressive interest-rate hikes from the Federal ...

HIGHBonds reel as hot inflation fuels jumbo Fed hike fearsGLOBAL · MACRO · 10 Nov · Reuters

What happened: Global bonds tumbled and the dollar stayed firm after a hot US inflation print and hawkish central bank rhetoric raised the risk of an outsized half-point rate hike from the Federal Reserve next ...

X Signal

Fast signal only. Official accounts can stand as primary statements; media/reporter posts require corroboration before promotion.

18 SEP SCAN

NO FRESH PROMOTION

Public-web X scanNo qualifying public X post added a material USD/CAD/AUD/NZD fact beyond the confirmed official/Reuters tape. The personalized X source universe remains pending the requested archive, so this remains a bounded public-web scan.

Refreshed Sep 18 · no score impact

official central-bank research below

Central Bank Research · 30-day window

Window: 20 Aug–18 Sep 2026. Official central-bank publications only. The feed prioritizes macro, rates and cross-asset relevance; administrative, personnel and narrow regulatory notices are excluded unless they change the macro transmission read.

Tagging: country · institution · date/type · one primary data category plus secondary tags. “NEW” means published since 1 September. Staff research is evidence, not an official policy view.

Last scanned: 18 Sep 2026 · Rolling 30-day refresh

In scope now

curated official macro/market publications across the Fed Board, all 12 regional Federal Reserve Banks and selected G10 central banks.

High-signal for rates / FX

US · Sep 1 · Rates / Expectations

How Markets React to the FOMC Dot PlotMarkets move toward SEP dots only partially and gradually — useful for sizing the information content of dot surprises.

US · Sep 4 · FX / GDP

Exchange Rate Transmission through Multinational FirmsDepreciation can shift adjustment toward foreign affiliate income instead of domestic output.

US · Aug 31 · FX / Risk

Pricing Risk GloballyU.S. uncertainty shocks widen global credit spreads, lift the dollar and increase currency risk premia.

NZ · Sep 7 · Policy / Inflation

RBNZ September MPSOCR +25bp to 2.75%; headline inflation is fuel-heavy while domestic demand and labor remain soft.

EA · Sep 10 · Inflation / Growth

ECB September Staff ProjectionsEnergy pressure lifts the baseline to 3.0% HICP in 2026, 2.5% in 2027 and 2.1% in 2028, while growth is projected at 0.9%, 1.4% and 1.5%.

US · Sep 2 · GDP / Jobs / Prices

September Beige BookActivity modestly higher, employment barely rising and tariff/energy input pressures still widespread.

AllUnited StatesCanadaAustraliaNew ZealandBroader G10

NZ · RBNZSep 17 · Research / Financial Stability

The Future of Banking Study: Future banking scenarios for NZ in 2035

RBNZ develops three plausible scenarios for how technology, competition, consumer expectations and regulation could reshape New Zealand banking through 2035. This is forward-looking financial-stability research, not a monetary-policy signal.

Financial StabilityBankingNEW

Open official source ↗

UK · Bank of EnglandSep 17 · Policy / QT

September 2026 Monetary Policy Summary and Minutes

The MPC held Bank Rate at 3.75% by 6–3, with three members preferring a 25bp hike, and judged inflation risks more tilted to the upside. It also adopted a multi-year plan to unwind the remaining monetary-policy gilt stock.

Monetary PolicyQTInflationNEW

Open official source ↗

US · Federal ReserveSep 16 · Policy Decision

FOMC raises the federal funds target range to 3.75–4.00%

The Committee voted unanimously for a 25bp increase, describing activity as solid, domestic spending as resilient and inflation as elevated. This is a policy decision, not research.

Monetary PolicyInflationRatesNEW

Open official source ↗

US · Federal ReserveSep 16 · Economic Projections

September 2026 Summary of Economic Projections

The Federal Reserve released the September projections alongside the FOMC decision. Treat the distribution of participant projections as policy-path evidence, not a Committee commitment.

Rates / ExpectationsForecastsNEW

Open official source ↗

EA · European Central BankSep 11 · Survey / Expectations

ECB Survey of Monetary Analysts — September 2026, Aggregate Results

The official aggregate results capture market participants’ policy, money-market and macro expectations from the survey round conducted before the September Governing Council meeting. Use it as an expectations cross-check, not as a post-meeting policy signal.

Rates / ExpectationsMonetary PolicyMarketsNEW

Open official source ↗

EA · European Central BankSep 10 · Staff Projections

ECB Staff Macroeconomic Projections — September 2026

The baseline puts headline inflation at 3.0% in 2026, 2.5% in 2027 and 2.1% in 2028, with real GDP growth at 0.9%, 1.4% and 1.5%. Energy remains the central inflation risk and the staff scenarios show a wide adverse tail if the shock persists.

InflationGDPEnergyNEW

Open official source ↗

EA · European Central BankSep 10 · Policy Decision

ECB raises its three key policy rates by 25 basis points

The deposit rate rises to 2.50%, the main refinancing rate to 2.65% and the marginal lending rate to 2.90% effective September 16. The Governing Council cited Middle East energy pressure and inflation remaining above target for an extended period.

Monetary PolicyInflationRatesNEW

Open official source ↗

NZ · RBNZSep 9 · Speech / Bulletin

The repo market: global trends and a New Zealand perspective

RBNZ says repo is increasingly important for liquidity management and monetary-policy implementation. Weekly repo operations now sit at the centre of the Bank’s liquidity framework, while deeper private repo markets can reduce the settlement-cash footprint required from the central bank.

Liquidity / RepoMonetary PolicyFinancial ConditionsNEW

Open official source ↗

US · Richmond FedSep 9 · Research / Labor

Measuring AI Adoption

New firm-and-worker measurement work finds AI adoption is high in some large firms and sectors but far from ubiquitous across the economy. Current use is predominantly task augmentation rather than substitution, making the evidence more relevant to productivity and task redesign than broad near-term job displacement.

AI / ProductivityJobsBusinessNEW

Open official source ↗

US · Richmond FedSep 4 · Economic Brief

How Prevalent Is Holding Multiple Jobs in the Postpandemic Labor Market?

Multiple-jobholding eased to 5.5% in July after peaking at 6.0% late last year. Second jobs matter materially to individual income but explain less than 1% of aggregate consumption growth; official data likely miss informal/gig work.

JobsConsumerIncome / MeasurementNEW

Open official source ↗

US · Richmond FedSep 3 · Working Paper

The Diffusion of Bank Reserves in the U.S.

Reserve distribution is highly persistent when reserves are abundant and redistributes more as the system approaches lower-but-still-ample levels. Trapped reserves can therefore raise the aggregate quantity needed for an ample-reserves regime.

Liquidity / ReservesMonetary PolicyFinancial ConditionsNEW

Open official source ↗

US · New York FedSep 1 · Staff Report

How Do Market Expectations React to the FOMC Dot Plot?

Markets move expected future rates toward the dots only partially and gradually. The result is directly relevant to reading SEP shocks: investors treat dots as conditional forecasts, not commitments, and learn about the reaction function over time.

Rates / ExpectationsMonetary PolicyForward GuidanceNEW

Open official source ↗

US · New York FedSep 1 · Staff Report

The Implied Equity Term Structure

A new ex-ante measure finds the average equity risk-premium term structure slopes upward but flattens in recessions, with flatter or inverted structures for value and speculative-grade firms. Useful for cross-asset risk-premium and recession-state work.

Markets / Risk PremiaEquitiesFinancial ConditionsNEW

Open official source ↗

US · New York FedSep 1 · Liberty Street Economics

Businesses Are Using AI to Transform Work, Not Cut Jobs

AI use has spread to 61% of surveyed service firms and 51% of manufacturers, but usage within firms is still concentrated and layoffs remain uncommon. Near-term evidence points more to task redesign and retraining than broad labor displacement.

JobsAI / ProductivityBusiness SurveysNEW

Open official source ↗

US · St. Louis FedSep 1 · On the Economy

What Work Does Generative AI Do?

AI adoption is broad across occupations but still shallow across tasks. The distinction matters for labor displacement: exposure alone overstates current substitution when only a small share of tasks see intensive use.

JobsAI / ProductivityLabor StructureNEW

Open official source ↗

US · Dallas FedSep 1 · Dallas Fed Economics

Job Postings Show Early Signs of AI Automation Impact

More AI-automatable occupations have seen weaker job-posting demand since ChatGPT. Dallas Fed estimates AI exposure reduced Texas Lightcast postings about 1.8% in 2024 and 2.6% in 2025, with larger effects in highly exposed jobs.

JobsAI / ProductivityLabor DemandNEW

Open official source ↗

US · Kansas City FedSep 1 · Charting the Economy

The Rising Popularity of Stablecoins Could Reinforce the Global Role of the U.S. Dollar

Dollar-backed stablecoins can lower cross-border payment frictions and may reinforce global dollar usage as adoption expands. The counterweight is liquidity/backing risk during stress.

FX / DollarGlobal FinancePaymentsNEW

Open official source ↗

US · Kansas City FedSep 1 · Working Paper

Fixed Costs in the U.S. Banking System

Estimated fixed costs rose from 37% to 62% of noninterest expense since 1995 even as marginal and average operating costs fell. The model implies more competition can expand credit supply while reducing lending efficiency and increasing risk-taking.

Credit / BankingFinancial ConditionsMacro StructureNEW

Open official source ↗

US · Dallas FedAug 25 · Dallas Fed Economics

Tokenized Deposits Could Affect Bank Liquidity, Maturity Transformation

Large-scale tokenized-deposit adoption could shorten effective deposit duration, raise deposit betas and increase demand for liquid assets. That would reduce banks’ capacity to fund long-duration loans and alter credit transmission.

Financial ConditionsLiquidity / BankingCredit

Open official source ↗

Coverage Check

Federal Reserve Board7 macro/market-relevant items scanned

New York Fedexpectations · tariffs · rates

Boston Fedregional labor / activity

Philadelphia Fedforecasts · inflation expectations · credit

Cleveland Fedprices · wages · sentiment

Richmond Fedjob finding · AI exposure

Atlanta Fedpolicy transmission / conditions

Chicago Fedwage-measurement research

St. Louis Fedlabor · tariffs · productivity

Minneapolis Fedtariffs · employment · costs

Kansas City Feddual mandate · jobs · AI

Dallas Fedjobs · wages · regional growth

San Francisco Fedgrowth · inflation · r*

Bank of CanadaAI / labor + policy research

Reserve Bank of Australiainflation decomposition · China/FX

RBNZpolicy outlook · repo / liquidity

Bank of Englandproductivity / inflation

ECBpolicy · projections · expectations

Bank of Japanwages · productivity · supply chains

Swiss National Bankfinancial conditions · policy transmission

Norges Bankinflation · policy · FX

Sveriges Riksbankinflation · jobs · fiscal-policy interaction

This page does not treat central-bank staff research as official policy views unless the source itself is a policy statement.

Market Data · official snapshot

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Trader Book · paper P&L

14 Traders + 4 Portfolio Managers

Fourteen specialist trader books feed a separate four-PM layer. Traders have a $10m risk limit per 1% standard move; PMs have a $100m risk limit per 1% standard move. Hard drawdown stops are separate. Paper only; not executable pricing.

14 Traders · Total P&L—

4 PMs · Total P&L—

View research debate

Research archive tr-20260920T193935Z-ondemand, evidence 2026-09-20T19:39:35Z. Separate from accepted Trader Book decisions. Not a book instruction.

carry-is-king

CORRA_2027-03 long · 3-6 months (through the 2027-03 CORRA window)

Why The Fed hike is now realized (SOFR 3.85% on 2026-09-17) and a broader global tightening impulse (BoJ to 1.25%, hawkish BoE split) can keep leaking into CA term rates even though Canadian overnight remains 2.29%. BoC minutes make energy pass-through a flagged risk rather than a delivered hiking cycle; core stays near 2%, so the 84bp Mar-27 gap is still a paid-to-wait receive. Sidecar already owns long CORRA_2027-03…

Mispricing The 84bp of tightening priced into CORRA_2027-03 (3.13% versus 2.29% overnight) overpays for a Canadian hiking cycle while overnight has not moved and underlying inflation stays near 2%. Carry is the implied-minus-realized gap, not a bet that Canada immediately eases.

Rebuttal unchanged

Confidence 61

catalyst-junkie

AONIA_2026-10 long · through the October AONIA averaging window and the next RBA decision

Why September IB is already at the overnight fixing, so the live fight is the October averaging window and the next RBA decision — a dated mechanism, not a valuation slogan. The 16 Sep housing print arrived after that hold and has not cheapened October IB, which still marks 4.565, identical to the existing entry. Fed and BoJ hikes since then are a plausible spillover keeping AU hike odds rich; that spillover is unwound…

Mispricing October IB prices +21.5bp versus overnight AONIA 4.35 (~86% of 25bp) after a September hold and after documented housing-channel damage. That is too much October hike for a cash-rate decision that must confront an already-open tightening channel.

Rebuttal unchanged

Confidence 58

cross-merchant

AUDCAD short · 1-3 months through the next RBA/BoC and housing/energy prints

Why Australian housing transmission is now in the prints (NSW stamp duty -24% y/y, volumes -18%, Sydney/Melbourne >7% off peak) while AONIA still prices +21.5bp by October and +51bp by March 2027 — known tightness with a new channel. Canada CPI 3%/core near 2% plus BoC minutes on energy pass-through leave a remaining CORRA hike path (+84bp by Mar-27 from 2.29) that USD-pair trades mix with the Fed's already-delivered…

Mispricing The USD legs are not similarly extreme, so the mispricing is the cross, not AUDUSD or USDCAD.

Rebuttal unchanged

Confidence 61

dollar-king

USDCAD long · 4-8 weeks, through the next BoC/Fed data cluster and CORRA/SOFR path revisions

Why The Sep 16 hike is no longer a probability; it is in the funds range 3.75-4.00 and in SOFR 3.85, while SR3 still prices further tightening into 2027. Canada's August CPI (3% / core near 2%) plus labor 38 and BoC energy-pass-through minutes create a two-sided BoC story that spot at 1.40 treats as CAD-stable; the rates gap says otherwise. Desk thesis: energy shock constrains the global easing impulse and keeps…

Mispricing CA-US 2Y at -140bp (1y percentile 3.77) and a ~156bp overnight SOFR-CORRA gap say USD should command a high CAD price; USDCAD at only the 74th 1y percentile (5y 87th) after a still-negative 3m return has not fully paid that premium. CORRA catch-up into 3.13/3.65 does not close the USD advantage while US SR3 peaks near…

Rebuttal unchanged

Confidence 63

mean-reverter

SOFR_2027-03 long · 1-3 months

Why Overnight SOFR has printed the hike (3.85); the residual SR3H7 premium is now a pure extra-path claim rather than event risk into 16 Sep. Saudi workaround is a documented offset to the energy tail that justified extra hikes, even as shock-absorber warnings remain. US 2s10s at 0.20th percentile 1y after a fully priced hike is a reversal condition, not merely a large price move. Existing position still marks at entry…

Mispricing The extra 73bp in SOFR_2027-03 versus overnight 3.85 is the overshoot. The 25bp hike is already in the overnight benchmark; the residual path treats a priced meeting as the start of a new hiking cycle. 99th-percentile yields and a 0.2nd-percentile 2s10s are the distributional signature of that extrapolation, not…

Rebuttal unchanged

Confidence 57

no-trade-skeptic

No trade

Why NO TRADE. The Sep-16 Fed hike to 3.75-4.00% and the Sep-17 official SOFR print of 3.85% are delivered; SR3 already prices +15bp (SR3U6 4.00) to +90.5bp (SR3U7 4.755) versus that overnight fixing, so both paying and receiving the US strip are either late or fighting still-hot US gauges (inflation 72, labor 75). Canada looks like the closest discrepancy—CORRA 2.29 versus CRAH27 3.13 (+84bp) and CRAM28 3.65 (+136bp)…

Confidence 73

perma-bear

AONIA_2027-06 long · 1–4 months, through the next RBA decision cluster into the 2027 H1 IB window

Why Housing-slump evidence (16-Sep) is contemporaneous with an unchanged ~59bp IB hike path into 2027-06, so the discrepancy is live rather than already faded. September Westpac-MI sentiment drop to 84.4 is a new demand-side confirmation after July spending had still been firm.

Mispricing IB 2027-06 implied 4.94 is +59bp versus overnight AONIA 4.35, and AU 2Y 4.999 sits at the 99th 1y/5y percentile, after NSW housing volumes and stamp duty have already collapsed. The market is pricing hike-through-housing; the bear disagreement is that the extra tightening will not be locked in as the 2027 H1 terminal.

Rebuttal unchanged

Confidence 62

perma-bull

CORRA_2027-03 short · 1-3 months, through the 2026Q4-2027Q1 BoC hike window priced in the CORRA strip

Why The September 16 Fed hike is now delivered, converting a >90% priced event into a live higher US overnight (SOFR 3.85) that Canada has not matched. Last-24h desk thesis and BoC minutes transmit the same energy/global-tightening constraint on easing; that is the new mechanism for a known easy Canadian setting.

Mispricing March 2027 CORRA at 3.13 still treats the BoC as a shallow follower. That mark is too low if activity stays mid-60s, headline stays at 3%, and the global tightening/energy impulse the desk thesis describes remains binding. The CA-US 2Y gap of -140bp is the statistical fingerprint of that underpricing; the executable…

Rebuttal unchanged

Confidence 64

positioning-cynic

AONIA_2027-03 short · 1-4 months, through the next RBA path into 2027 H1 AONIA

Why Housing-stops-RBA is dual-headline consensus, not a new shock, while AU inflation remains the hottest four-country gauge. CFTC AUD open interest is at a 1y/3y extreme with leveraged funds still net long; AUDCAD is at a 5y extreme — the long-AUD complex is owned. AONIA open interest is concentrated in October; Mar-27 is an ownership vacuum with a live implied-rate mark. Desk thesis plus BoJ 1.25% and a delivered Fed…

Mispricing Mar-27 AONIA implied 4.86 versus cash 4.35 (+51bp) and versus AU 2Y 4.999. the back of the AONIA curve still treats housing as a hard cap after two hikes, while inflation, global policy, and AUD ownership argue that cap is the consensus, not an edge. The October contract is the wrong place to pay (21.5bp of a 25bp…

Rebuttal unchanged

Confidence 57

rate-dove

CORRA_2027H-Z long · 1-4 months

Why August jobs -42k and wage deceleration to 2.0 percent are contemporaneous; the 2027 strip has not marked that softness (still 3.40). Headline 3.0 percent with trim 1.9 / median 2.0 keeps the BoC energy story in the minutes without giving it a core inflation mandate. The 2026-09-16 Saudi workaround reduces the extreme oil-supply tail that was supporting hike-cycle pricing even as a separate energy-absorber warning…

Mispricing The 2027H-Z average of 3.40 requires the BoC to deliver roughly four 25bp hikes from 2.29 into 2027. Near-term 1m pricing only has +29bp by Dec 2026, so the mispricing is concentrated in 2027 delivery, not in the next two announcements. That 2027 premium is the energy-pass-through assumption, not the labor/core state.

Rebuttal unchanged

Confidence 61

rate-hawk

SOFR_2027-09 short · 1-3 months, through remaining 2026 US CPI/labor prints and post-16-Sep FOMC communications

Why Overnight SOFR has printed the hike at 3.85% (17-Sep), but the 3m strip still peaks at 4.755% in Sep-2027 and then eases — the terminal/easing assumption is now cleanly visible against the new cash benchmark. August CPI kept the Fed tightening bias intact; 6m core PCE ~3.0% and August retail +1.2% keep demand-side inflation risk alive after the meeting. Desk thesis: the Fed hawkish turn is now reinforced by BoJ…

Mispricing SR3U7 at 4.755% (+90.5bp vs 3.85% overnight) plus subsequent easing prices a completed-enough US hiking cycle. Sticky 6m core PCE near 3% with labor score 75 and ISM services 55.4 is a higher-terminal or delayed-easing distribution, not a 4.75% peak and cuts.

Rebuttal unchanged

Confidence 61

trend-follower

SOFR_2027-03 short · 1-4 months, through the next two US CPI/labor prints and the remaining 2026 FOMC meetings into 2027H1

Why The September hike is now in cash (SOFR 3.85) and in the strip, but 1d US 2Y/5Y/10Y prints on 18 Sep are still higher — the trend did not die on announcement. Independent confirmation from BoJ 1.25% and BoE three hike votes that the global easing impulse is blocked. Existing short pos-662bff0986be is already the right instrument at an unchanged 4.58 mark; the job is to refuse the fade, not to duplicate the line.

Mispricing The market is treating a delivered, >90%-priced 25bp hike plus 99th-percentile 1y yields as terminal for 2027H1 SOFR. That underweights the still-hot US gauges, the still-positively-sloped SR3 strip into Sep-27, and the 1d continuation in sovereigns. Fading Mar-27 at 4.58 because later contracts already print…

Rebuttal unchanged

Confidence 64

value-guy

SOFR-CORRA_2Y_2027H1 long · 1-3 months, through the next BoC energy-pass-through and residual Canada hike window versus a post-hike US path

Why The September Fed hike that was greater-than-90% priced has been delivered; the incremental US hawkish-surprise channel is used up while the CA-US 2Y cheapness still printed a 5d -15bp extension (z about -2.17). Known US information is producing a new cross-market move: US 2Y +13bp over 5d versus CA 2Y -4bp, pushing an already 4th-percentile discount to -140bp. BoC minutes now flag energy pass-through against core…

Mispricing Valuation anchor is the comparable-country 2Y/policy spread, not a down-move in Canada yields. A 140bp Canada discount versus the US at the 4th percentile of both 1y and 5y history is too wide once the Fed hike is delivered and Canada is already priced to hike more than the US into 2027 H1. Convergence is a lower…

Rebuttal unchanged

Confidence 60

vol-convexity

AUDNZD 3M OTM put short AUDNZD via long 3M put · 3 months (event window through next RBA/housing/NZ prints)

Why AUDNZD added +0.65% on 18 Sep and +1.19% over 5 days after NZ GDP and the India FTA, extending a 5-year extreme rather than mean-reverting. AONIA October still prices +21.5bp (volume 4450) into documented housing damage; that is live two-way event risk, not a settled path. Delivered Fed/BoJ hikes plus a VIX crush to 15.44 did not lift AUD-cross realized vol, which is when spot expressions look safest and options…

Mispricing Compressed ~5% realized vol at a 5-year AUDNZD extreme is being treated as evidence that event risk is small. It is a claim that linear spot understates two-way policy/housing risk and that a long put is the expression that owns the left tail without uncapped squeeze risk.

Rebuttal unchanged

Confidence 47

Loading overnight trader books…

Releases · next 14 days

Window 13 Nov 2026 through 26 Nov 2026 (America/New_York). Calibration anchor 21 Sep 2026. Score inputs last ingested 13 Nov 2026.

Window, score inputs and schedule fetch

Cadence is not a date. A missing official timestamp stays TBA / date unavailable. Actual values appear only when the score ledger holds that reference period.

Live official schedule fetch at 2026-11-13T15:04:31Z: 21 page(s) read, 5 failed. Failed pages add no newly parsed dates. US partial · CA ok 28 · EA ok 9 · AU ok 6 · NZ partial · JP ok 5. Gaps: US: Chicago Fed national economic activity and related releases are parsed by official_schedule, not us.py.; CA: ca_boc:no_bank_of_canada_html; EA: EA euro-area unemployment: no printed next-release date in the captured official excerpt.; AU: ABS retail trade is not on the November 2026 future-release calendar; household spending is the consumer release when printed.; NZ: No future Stats NZ labour market statistics date was printed on the release calendar.; JP: Skipped dated Services Producer Price Index row (series_ids empty policy). Failures: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/empsit.htm (HTTPError: HTTP Error 403: Forbidden); https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/cpi.htm (HTTPError: HTTP Error 403: Forbidden); https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/ppi.htm (HTTPError: HTTP Error 403: Forbidden); https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/jolts.htm (HTTPError: HTTP Error 403: Forbidden)

Upcoming

13 Nov 2026 · Friday · ET time TBA

13 Nov 2026Friday

GDP and employment flash estimateEurostat

Local 2026-11-13ET ET time TBA

Scored and contextActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: Eurostat QNA release calendar PDF: 2026Q3 EMP and GDP flash release printed for 13.11.2026; no release clock on this row. PDF states dates are PROVISIONAL until confirmed in the weekly calendar..

Time is TBA. No ET hour is shown.

Reference period: 2026-Q3. Publisher: Eurostat. Official source

Scored input: EA Activity · gdp_domestic_demand · weight 0.6.
Context only / zero score weight. Does not by itself move the EA Activity level.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Released before the latest score-input ingestion; see the country's score inputs for whether this period is scored.

15 Nov 2026 · Sunday

15 Nov 2026Sunday

Quarterly GDP first preliminaryCabinet Office

Local 2026-11-16 08:50 JSTET 2026-11-15 18:50 ET

Scored and contextActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: Cabinet Office GDP schedule row: Jul.-Sep. 2026 (The First Preliminary) / Monday, November 16, 2026 / 8:50AM (JST).

Reference period: 2026-Q3. Publisher: Cabinet Office. Official source

Scored input: JP Activity · gdp_domestic_demand · weight 0.6.
Context only / zero score weight. Does not by itself move the JP Activity level.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

16 Nov 2026 · Monday

16 Nov 2026Monday

Consumer Price IndexStatistics Canada

Local 2026-11-16 08:30 ESTET 2026-11-16 08:30 ET

Feeds score: CA InflationActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: Consumer Price Index — release date 2026-11-16, reference period 'October 2026' (Statistics Canada 2026–2027 major economic releases table)..

Clock is the standing publisher time, not a time reprinted on the future-date line.

Reference period: 2026-10. Publisher: Statistics Canada. Official source

Scored input: CA Inflation · headline · weight 0.4.
Scored input: CA Inflation · underlying · weight 0.6.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

17 Nov 2026 · Tuesday

17 Nov 2026Tuesday

Wage Price IndexAustralian Bureau of Statistics

Local 2026-11-18 11:30 AEDTET 2026-11-17 19:30 ET

Feeds score: AU LaborActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: ABS WPI product page (trimmed): Wage Price Index, Australia, September 2026 | 18/11/2026 11:30am AEDT.

Reference period: 2026-Q3. Publisher: Australian Bureau of Statistics. Official source

Scored input: AU Labor · wages · weight 0.2.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

18 Nov 2026 · Wednesday

18 Nov 2026Wednesday

Labour Force, AustraliaAustralian Bureau of Statistics

Local 2026-11-19 11:30 UTC+11:00ET 2026-11-18 19:30 ET

Scored and contextActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: Pinned from the captured official schedule. Cadence was not used..

Series Employed persons, full-time, seasonally adjusted; Employed persons, part-time, seasonally adjusted; Employed persons, total, seasonally adjusted (stock level); Employment to population ratio, seasonally adjusted; Labour force, total persons, seasonally adjusted; Labour underutilisation rate, seasonally adjusted; Monthly change in employed persons, seasonally adjusted; Monthly hours worked in all jobs, persons, seasonally adjusted; Participation rate; Underemployed persons, total, seasonally adjusted; Underemployment rate, seasonally adjusted; Unemployed persons, seasonally adjusted; Unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted

Reference period: 2026-10. Publisher: Australian Bureau of Statistics. Official source

Context only / zero score weight. Does not by itself move the AU Labor level.
Scored input: AU Labor · employment · weight 0.1.
Scored input: AU Labor · unemployment · weight 0.7.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

18 Nov 2026 · Wednesday · ET time TBA

18 Nov 2026Wednesday

Euro area HICPEuropean Central Bank

Local 2026-11-18ET ET time TBA

Feeds score: EA InflationActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: ECB HICP statistical calendar row: Euro area seasonally adjusted HICP (Dataset: HICP) Reference period: Oct-2026 — page prints 12:00 without a timezone (excerpt does not name CET/CEST/Central European Time or Frankfurt time)..

Time is TBA. No ET hour is shown.

Reference period: 2026-10. Publisher: European Central Bank. Official source

Scored input: EA Inflation · headline · weight 0.4.
Scored input: EA Inflation · underlying · weight 0.6.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

19 Nov 2026 · Thursday

19 Nov 2026Thursday

Consumer Price Index, nationalStatistics Bureau of Japan

Local 2026-11-20 08:30 JSTET 2026-11-19 18:30 ET

Feeds score: JP InflationActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: e-Stat release calendar segment: 2026-11-20 08:30 総務省消費者物価指数全国(2026年10月分).

Reference period: 2026-10. Publisher: Statistics Bureau of Japan. Official source

Scored input: JP Inflation · headline · weight 0.4.
Scored input: JP Inflation · underlying · weight 0.6.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

20 Nov 2026 · Friday

20 Nov 2026Friday

Retail tradeStatistics Canada

Local 2026-11-20 08:30 ESTET 2026-11-20 08:30 ET

Scored and contextActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: Retail trade — release date 2026-11-20, reference period 'September 2026' (Statistics Canada 2026–2027 major economic releases table)..

Clock is the standing publisher time, not a time reprinted on the future-date line.

Reference period: 2026-09. Publisher: Statistics Canada. Official source

Scored input: CA Consumer · retail · weight 0.25.
Context only / zero score weight. Does not by itself move the CA Consumer level.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

24 Nov 2026 · Tuesday

24 Nov 2026Tuesday

Consumer Price Index, Australia (headline and trimmed-mean inflation)Australian Bureau of Statistics

Local 2026-11-25 11:30 UTC+11:00ET 2026-11-24 19:30 ET

Feeds score: AU InflationActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: Archived August 2026 page future releases: 'Next Release 25/11/2026 Consumer Price Index, Australia, October 2026'. The future-releases line on the archived August 2026 page prints the calendar date without a separate clock. 11:30 Australia/Sydney is the standing CPI release time printed on that page for the August 2026 release ('30/09/2026 11:30am AEST'). The UTC offset is Australia/Sydney civil time on the release date..

Clock is the standing publisher time, not a time reprinted on the future-date line.

Series Headline CPI year-ended inflation (all groups), Australia; Trimmed mean CPI year-ended inflation, Australia

Reference period: 2026-10. Publisher: Australian Bureau of Statistics. Official source

Scored input: AU Inflation · headline · weight 0.4.
Scored input: AU Inflation · underlying · weight 0.6.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

24 Nov 2026Tuesday

Chicago Fed Labor Market Indicators (unemployment nowcast and flows)Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Local 2026-11-24 08:30 ESTET 2026-11-24 08:30 ET

Context onlyActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: Parsed from the live Chicago Fed LMI release-schedule table (HTML comments excluded). 8:30 a.m. Eastern as published..

Series Chicago Fed flow-consistent unemployment rate; Chicago Fed hiring rate for unemployed workers (job-finding rate); Chicago Fed layoffs and other separations rate; Chicago Fed real-time unemployment rate forecast, advance 50th percentile; Chicago Fed real-time unemployment rate forecast, final 50th percentile; Chicago Fed unemployment nowcast, advance-to-final revision

Reference period: 2026-11. Publisher: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Official source

Context only / zero score weight. Does not by itself move the US Labor level.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

25 Nov 2026 · Wednesday

25 Nov 2026Wednesday

GDP (Second Estimate) and Corporate Profits, 3rd Quarter 2026U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

Local 2026-11-25 08:30 ESTET 2026-11-25 08:30 ET

Scored and contextActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: 2026-11-25 8:30 AM — GDP (Second Estimate) and Corporate Profits, 3rd Quarter 2026.

Reference period: 2026-Q3. Publisher: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Official source

Scored input: US Activity · gdp_domestic_demand · weight 0.6.
Context only / zero score weight. Does not by itself move the US Activity level.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

25 Nov 2026Wednesday

Personal Income and Outlays, October 2026U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

Local 2026-11-25 08:30 ESTET 2026-11-25 08:30 ET

Scored and contextActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: 2026-11-25 8:30 AM — Personal Income and Outlays, October 2026.

Reference period: 2026-10. Publisher: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Official source

Scored input: US Inflation · core_pce · weight 1.
Context only / zero score weight. Does not by itself move the US Inflation level.
Scored input: US Consumer · income · weight 0.25.
Scored input: US Consumer · spending · weight 0.25.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

Just released

6 Nov 2026 · Friday

6 Nov 2026Friday

Labour Force SurveyStatistics Canada

Local 2026-11-06 08:30 ESTET 2026-11-06 08:30 ET

Scored and contextActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: Labour Force Survey — release date 2026-11-06, reference period 'October 2026' (Statistics Canada 2026–2027 major economic releases table)..

Clock is the standing publisher time, not a time reprinted on the future-date line.

Reference period: 2026-10. Publisher: Statistics Canada. Official source

Scored input: CA Labor · unemployment · weight 0.7.
Scored input: CA Labor · wages · weight 0.2.
Scored input: CA Labor · employment · weight 0.1.
Context only / zero score weight. Does not by itself move the CA Labor level.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Released before the latest score-input ingestion; see the country's score inputs for whether this period is scored.

6 Nov 2026Friday

US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) — BLS Employment SituationBLSScored: All Employees, Total Nonfarm, Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private · Context: Labor force participation rate · Derived household context

Local 2026-11-06 08:30 ESTET 2026-11-06 08:30 ET

Scored and contextActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: Parsed from blsmon1.bls.gov monthly schedule pages linked by the Employment Situation schedule index. Not a single hard-coded month..

Series Accounting imbalance (employment change minus labor-force change); All Employees, Total Nonfarm; All employees, total nonfarm (CES level); Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private; CPS gross flow employed to not in labor force; CPS gross flow employed to unemployed; CPS gross flow not in labor force to employed; CPS gross flow not in labor force to unemployed; CPS gross flow unemployed to employed; CPS gross flow unemployed to not in labor force; Civilian employment (household survey); Civilian labor force; Civilian labor force, foreign born; Civilian labor force, native born; Civilian noninstitutional population; Civilian noninstitutional population, foreign born; Civilian noninstitutional population, native born; Diagnostic: change in job losers; Diagnostic: entrants and reentrants; Diagnostic: weak job finding; Employment level, foreign born; Employment level, native born; Employment-population ratio; Labor force participation rate; Labor-force absorption; Monthly change in civilian noninstitutional population; Monthly change in household employment; Monthly change in the civilian labor force; Monthly change in the labor force (supply); Monthly change in the unemployed level; Payroll change minus sourced structural breakeven; Prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate; Unemployed job leavers; Unemployed job losers and persons who completed temporary jobs; Unemployed job losers on temporary layoff; Unemployed level (household survey); Unemployed new entrants; Unemployed reentrants; Unemployment Rate; Unemployment identity residual; Unrounded U-3 minus final Chicago Fed nowcast; Unrounded U-3 unemployment rate

Reference period: 2026-10. Publisher: BLS. Official source

Context only / zero score weight. Does not by itself move the US Labor level.
Scored input: US Labor · payrolls · weight 0.1.
Scored input: US Labor · wages · weight 0.2.
Scored input: US Labor · unemployment · weight 0.7.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Released before the latest score-input ingestion; see the country's score inputs for whether this period is scored.

10 Nov 2026 · Tuesday

10 Nov 2026Tuesday

Consumer Price IndexBLS

Local 2026-11-10 08:30 ESTET 2026-11-10 08:30 ET

Context onlyActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: Parsed from the same blsmon1.bls.gov monthly schedule pages as Employment Situation..

Series CPI All Items, seasonally adjusted; Consumer Price Index

Reference period: 2026-10. Publisher: BLS. Official source

Bridge input only when mapped to Core PCE components; not a standalone US score. Context only / zero score weight.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Released before the latest score-input ingestion; see the country's score inputs for whether this period is scored.

13 Nov 2026 · Friday

13 Nov 2026Friday

Producer Price IndexBureau of Labor Statistics

Local 2026-11-13 08:30 ESTET 2026-11-13 08:30 ET

Context onlyActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: October 2026 -> 2026-11-13 08:30 (BLS schedule table). Retained from committed cache fetched 2026-11-06T18:00:00Z because the live fetch failed or returned no dates..

Reference period: 2026-10. Publisher: Bureau of Labor Statistics. Official source

Bridge input only when mapped to Core PCE components; not a standalone US score. Context only / zero score weight.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Released before the latest score-input ingestion; see the country's score inputs for whether this period is scored.

Later verified dates

Outside this 14-day window. Still not estimated from cadence.

29 Nov 2026 · Sunday

29 Nov 2026Sunday

Monthly Household Spending IndicatorAustralian Bureau of Statistics

Local 2026-11-30 11:30 AEDTET 2026-11-29 19:30 ET

Feeds score: AU ConsumerActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: ABS November 2026 future-release calendar (trimmed): Monthly Household Spending Indicator | reference October 2026 | time cell: 11:30am.

Reference period: 2026-10. Publisher: Australian Bureau of Statistics. Official source

Scored input: AU Consumer · spending · weight 0.25.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

30 Nov 2026 · Monday

30 Nov 2026Monday

Gross domestic product, income and expenditureStatistics Canada

Local 2026-11-30 08:30 ESTET 2026-11-30 08:30 ET

Feeds score: CA ActivityActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: Gross domestic product, income and expenditure — release date 2026-11-30, reference period 'Third quarter 2026' (Statistics Canada 2026–2027 major economic releases table)..

Clock is the standing publisher time, not a time reprinted on the future-date line.

Reference period: 2026-Q3. Publisher: Statistics Canada. Official source

Scored input: CA Activity · gdp_domestic_demand · weight 0.6.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

3 Dec 2026 · Thursday

3 Dec 2026Thursday

Chicago Fed Labor Market Indicators (unemployment nowcast and flows)Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Local 2026-12-03 08:30 ESTET 2026-12-03 08:30 ET

Context onlyActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: Parsed from the live Chicago Fed LMI release-schedule table (HTML comments excluded). 8:30 a.m. Eastern as published..

Series Chicago Fed real-time unemployment rate forecast, final 50th percentile; Chicago Fed real-time unemployment rate forecast, advance 50th percentile; Chicago Fed hiring rate for unemployed workers (job-finding rate); Chicago Fed layoffs and other separations rate; Chicago Fed flow-consistent unemployment rate; Chicago Fed unemployment nowcast, advance-to-final revision

Reference period: 2026-11. Publisher: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Official source

Context only / zero score weight. Does not by itself move the US Labor level.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

3 Dec 2026Thursday

Labour Force SurveyStatistics Canada

Local 2026-12-03 08:30 ESTET 2026-12-03 08:30 ET

Scored and contextActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: Labour Force Survey — release date 2026-12-03, reference period 'Third quarter 2026' (Statistics Canada 2026–2027 major economic releases table)..

Clock is the standing publisher time, not a time reprinted on the future-date line.

Reference period: 2026-Q3. Publisher: Statistics Canada. Official source

Scored input: CA Labor · unemployment · weight 0.7.
Scored input: CA Labor · wages · weight 0.2.
Scored input: CA Labor · employment · weight 0.1.
Context only / zero score weight. Does not by itself move the CA Labor level.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

4 Dec 2026 · Friday

4 Dec 2026Friday

Local 2026-12-04 08:30 ESTET 2026-12-04 08:30 ET

Scored and contextActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: Parsed from blsmon1.bls.gov monthly schedule pages linked by the Employment Situation schedule index. Not a single hard-coded month..

Series Unemployment Rate; Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private; All Employees, Total Nonfarm; Labor force participation rate; Civilian noninstitutional population; Civilian labor force; Civilian employment (household survey); Unemployed level (household survey); Employment-population ratio; Prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate; Unemployed job losers and persons who completed temporary jobs; Unemployed job losers on temporary layoff; Unemployed job leavers; Unemployed reentrants; Unemployed new entrants; CPS gross flow employed to unemployed; CPS gross flow unemployed to employed; CPS gross flow not in labor force to unemployed; CPS gross flow unemployed to not in labor force; CPS gross flow not in labor force to employed; CPS gross flow employed to not in labor force; Civilian noninstitutional population, foreign born; Civilian noninstitutional population, native born; Civilian labor force, foreign born; Civilian labor force, native born; Employment level, foreign born; Employment level, native born; All employees, total nonfarm (CES level); Unrounded U-3 unemployment rate; Monthly change in the civilian labor force; Monthly change in household employment; Monthly change in the unemployed level; Labor-force absorption; Monthly change in civilian noninstitutional population; Monthly change in the labor force (supply); Payroll change minus sourced structural breakeven; Unrounded U-3 minus final Chicago Fed nowcast; Diagnostic: change in job losers; Diagnostic: weak job finding; Diagnostic: entrants and reentrants; Accounting imbalance (employment change minus labor-force change); Unemployment identity residual

Reference period: 2026-11. Publisher: BLS. Official source

Scored input: US Labor · unemployment · weight 0.7.
Scored input: US Labor · wages · weight 0.2.
Scored input: US Labor · payrolls · weight 0.1.
Context only / zero score weight. Does not by itself move the US Labor level.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

7 Dec 2026 · Monday

7 Dec 2026Monday

Quarterly GDP second preliminaryCabinet Office

Local 2026-12-08 08:50 JSTET 2026-12-07 18:50 ET

Scored and contextActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: Cabinet Office GDP schedule row: Jul.-Sep. 2026 (The Second Preliminary) / Tuesday, December 8, 2026 / 8:50AM (JST).

Reference period: 2026-Q3. Publisher: Cabinet Office. Official source

Scored input: JP Activity · gdp_domestic_demand · weight 0.6.
Context only / zero score weight. Does not by itself move the JP Activity level.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

8 Dec 2026 · Tuesday

8 Dec 2026Tuesday

Official Cash Rate decisionReserve Bank of New Zealand

Local 2026-12-09 14:00 NZDTET 2026-12-08 20:00 ET

Context onlyActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: RBNZ statistics page: Official Cash Rate line with Next update and date as printed. Extracted clock 14:00. Retained from committed cache fetched 2026-11-06T18:00:00Z because the live fetch failed or returned no dates..

Reference period: 2026-12-09. Publisher: Reserve Bank of New Zealand. Official source

Context only / zero score weight. Does not by itself move the NZ level.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

10 Dec 2026 · Thursday

10 Dec 2026Thursday

Consumer Price IndexBLS

Local 2026-12-10 08:30 ESTET 2026-12-10 08:30 ET

Context onlyActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: Parsed from the same blsmon1.bls.gov monthly schedule pages as Employment Situation..

Series CPI All Items, seasonally adjusted; Consumer Price Index

Reference period: 2026-11. Publisher: BLS. Official source

Bridge input only when mapped to Core PCE components; not a standalone US score. Context only / zero score weight.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

14 Dec 2026 · Monday

14 Dec 2026Monday

Consumer Price IndexStatistics Canada

Local 2026-12-14 08:30 ESTET 2026-12-14 08:30 ET

Feeds score: CA InflationActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: Consumer Price Index — release date 2026-12-14, reference period 'November 2026' (Statistics Canada 2026–2027 major economic releases table)..

Clock is the standing publisher time, not a time reprinted on the future-date line.

Reference period: 2026-11. Publisher: Statistics Canada. Official source

Scored input: CA Inflation · headline · weight 0.4.
Scored input: CA Inflation · underlying · weight 0.6.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

15 Dec 2026 · Tuesday

15 Dec 2026Tuesday

Producer Price IndexBureau of Labor Statistics

Local 2026-12-15 08:30 ESTET 2026-12-15 08:30 ET

Context onlyActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: November 2026 -> 2026-12-15 08:30 (BLS schedule table). Retained from committed cache fetched 2026-11-06T18:00:00Z because the live fetch failed or returned no dates..

Reference period: 2026-11. Publisher: Bureau of Labor Statistics. Official source

Bridge input only when mapped to Core PCE components; not a standalone US score. Context only / zero score weight.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

16 Dec 2026 · Wednesday

16 Dec 2026Wednesday

Labour Force, AustraliaAustralian Bureau of Statistics

Local 2026-12-17 11:30 UTC+11:00ET 2026-12-16 19:30 ET

Scored and contextActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: Pinned from the captured official schedule. Cadence was not used..

Series Unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted; Monthly change in employed persons, seasonally adjusted; Participation rate; Employed persons, full-time, seasonally adjusted; Employed persons, part-time, seasonally adjusted; Employed persons, total, seasonally adjusted (stock level); Unemployed persons, seasonally adjusted; Labour force, total persons, seasonally adjusted; Employment to population ratio, seasonally adjusted; Underemployment rate, seasonally adjusted; Labour underutilisation rate, seasonally adjusted; Underemployed persons, total, seasonally adjusted; Monthly hours worked in all jobs, persons, seasonally adjusted

Reference period: 2026-11. Publisher: Australian Bureau of Statistics. Official source

Scored input: AU Labor · unemployment · weight 0.7.
Scored input: AU Labor · employment · weight 0.1.
Context only / zero score weight. Does not by itself move the AU Labor level.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

18 Dec 2026 · Friday

18 Dec 2026Friday

Retail tradeStatistics Canada

Local 2026-12-18 08:30 ESTET 2026-12-18 08:30 ET

Scored and contextActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: Retail trade — release date 2026-12-18, reference period 'October 2026' (Statistics Canada 2026–2027 major economic releases table)..

Clock is the standing publisher time, not a time reprinted on the future-date line.

Reference period: 2026-10. Publisher: Statistics Canada. Official source

Scored input: CA Consumer · retail · weight 0.25.
Context only / zero score weight. Does not by itself move the CA Consumer level.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

23 Dec 2026 · Wednesday

23 Dec 2026Wednesday

GDP (Third Estimate), Industries, Corporate Profits, State GDP, and State Personal Income, 3rd Quarter 2026U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

Local 2026-12-23 08:30 ESTET 2026-12-23 08:30 ET

Scored and contextActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: 2026-12-23 8:30 AM — GDP (Third Estimate), Industries, Corporate Profits, State GDP, and State Personal Income, 3rd Quarter 2026.

Reference period: 2026-Q3. Publisher: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Official source

Scored input: US Activity · gdp_domestic_demand · weight 0.6.
Context only / zero score weight. Does not by itself move the US Activity level.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

23 Dec 2026Wednesday

Personal Income and Outlays, November 2026U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

Local 2026-12-23 08:30 ESTET 2026-12-23 08:30 ET

Scored and contextActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: 2026-12-23 8:30 AM — Personal Income and Outlays, November 2026.

Reference period: 2026-11. Publisher: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Official source

Scored input: US Inflation · core_pce · weight 1.
Context only / zero score weight. Does not by itself move the US Inflation level.
Scored input: US Consumer · income · weight 0.25.
Scored input: US Consumer · spending · weight 0.25.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

5 Jan 2027 · Tuesday

5 Jan 2027Tuesday

Consumer Price Index, Australia (headline and trimmed-mean inflation)Australian Bureau of Statistics

Local 2027-01-06 11:30 UTC+11:00ET 2027-01-05 19:30 ET

Feeds score: AU InflationActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: Archived August 2026 page future releases: 'Next Release 6/01/2027 Consumer Price Index, Australia, November 2026'. Holiday exception, not the last Wednesday of December 2026. The future-releases line on the archived August 2026 page prints the calendar date without a separate clock. 11:30 Australia/Sydney is the standing CPI release time printed on that page for the August 2026 release ('30/09/2026 11:30am AEST'). The UTC offset is Australia/Sydney civil time on the release date..

Clock is the standing publisher time, not a time reprinted on the future-date line.

Series Trimmed mean CPI year-ended inflation, Australia; Headline CPI year-ended inflation (all groups), Australia

Reference period: 2026-11. Publisher: Australian Bureau of Statistics. Official source

Scored input: AU Inflation · underlying · weight 0.6.
Scored input: AU Inflation · headline · weight 0.4.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

22 Feb 2027 · Monday

22 Feb 2027Monday

Wage Price IndexAustralian Bureau of Statistics

Local 2027-02-23 11:30 AEDTET 2027-02-22 19:30 ET

Feeds score: AU LaborActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: ABS WPI product page (trimmed): Wage Price Index, Australia, December 2026 | 23/02/2027 11:30am AEDT.

Reference period: 2026-Q4. Publisher: Australian Bureau of Statistics. Official source

Scored input: AU Labor · wages · weight 0.2.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

1 Dec 2026 · Tuesday · ET time TBA

1 Dec 2026Tuesday

Euro area HICP flash estimateEuropean Central Bank

Local 2026-12-01ET ET time TBA

Scored and contextActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: ECB HICP statistical calendar row: Euro area seasonally adjusted HICP flash estimate (Dataset: HICP) Reference period: Nov-2026 — page prints 15:00 without a timezone (excerpt does not name CET/CEST/Central European Time or Frankfurt time)..

Time is TBA. No ET hour is shown.

Reference period: 2026-11. Publisher: European Central Bank. Official source

Context only / zero score weight. Does not by itself move the EA Inflation level.
Scored input: EA Inflation · headline · weight 0.4.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

7 Dec 2026 · Monday · ET time TBA

7 Dec 2026Monday

GDP and main aggregatesEurostat

Local 2026-12-07ET ET time TBA

Scored and contextActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: Eurostat QNA release calendar PDF: 2026Q3 GDP, EMP and main aggregates release printed for 07.12.2026; no release clock on this row. PDF states dates are PROVISIONAL until confirmed in the weekly calendar..

Time is TBA. No ET hour is shown.

Reference period: 2026-Q3. Publisher: Eurostat. Official source

Scored input: EA Activity · gdp_domestic_demand · weight 0.6.
Context only / zero score weight. Does not by itself move the EA Activity level.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

17 Dec 2026 · Thursday · ET time TBA

17 Dec 2026Thursday

Euro area HICPEuropean Central Bank

Local 2026-12-17ET ET time TBA

Feeds score: EA InflationActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: ECB HICP statistical calendar row: Euro area seasonally adjusted HICP (Dataset: HICP) Reference period: Nov-2026 — page prints 12:00 without a timezone (excerpt does not name CET/CEST/Central European Time or Frankfurt time)..

Time is TBA. No ET hour is shown.

Reference period: 2026-11. Publisher: European Central Bank. Official source

Scored input: EA Inflation · headline · weight 0.4.
Scored input: EA Inflation · underlying · weight 0.6.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

27 Jan 2027 · Wednesday · ET time TBA

27 Jan 2027Wednesday

Consumers price indexStats NZ

Local 2027-01-27ET ET time TBA

Feeds score: NZ InflationActual not yet in score ledger

Provenance and score context

Verification: Next release sentence from latest Consumers price index information release page (2027-01-27). Sentence did not print a clock; time TBA..

Time is TBA. No ET hour is shown.

Reference period: 2026-Q4. Publisher: Stats NZ. Official source

Scored input: NZ Inflation · headline · weight 0.4.
Scored input: NZ Inflation · underlying · weight 0.6.

not observed in the score ledger. Prior: not in this read-model. No consensus is published here.

Upcoming; not in the 1–100 levels yet.

Scored series with no verified future date

US · 4 scored series with no verified future date

ISM Services PMI · Activity · Scored input: US Activity · services_surveys · weight 0.28. · date unavailable
ISM Manufacturing PMI · Activity · Scored input: US Activity · manufacturing_surveys · weight 0.12. · date unavailable
Advance Retail Sales: Retail Trade and Food Services, Total · Consumer · Scored input: US Consumer · retail · weight 0.25. · date unavailable
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment · Consumer · Scored input: US Consumer · confidence · weight 0.25. · date unavailable

CA · 4 scored series with no verified future date

S&P Global Canada Composite PMI Output Index (Ivey PMI conflict-only) · Activity · Scored input: CA Activity · business_surveys · weight 0.4. · date unavailable
Household disposable income, quarter-over-quarter percent change · Consumer · Scored input: CA Consumer · income · weight 0.25. · date unavailable
Household final consumption expenditure, real q/q percent change · Consumer · Scored input: CA Consumer · spending · weight 0.25. · date unavailable
Bank of Canada Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations · Consumer · Scored input: CA Consumer · confidence · weight 0.25. · date unavailable

AU · 5 scored series with no verified future date

Real GDP and domestic final demand (chain volume, SA q/q) · Activity · Scored input: AU Activity · gdp_domestic_demand · weight 0.6. · date unavailable
S&P Global / Judo Bank Australia Composite PMI Output Index · Activity · Scored input: AU Activity · business_surveys · weight 0.4. · date unavailable
Retail turnover, total industry, seasonally adjusted m/m · Consumer · Scored input: AU Consumer · retail · weight 0.25. · date unavailable
Household gross disposable income, seasonally adjusted q/q · Consumer · Scored input: AU Consumer · income · weight 0.25. · date unavailable
Westpac-Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment Index · Consumer · Scored input: AU Consumer · confidence · weight 0.25. · date unavailable

NZ · 9 scored series with no verified future date

HLFS unemployment rate (seasonally adjusted) · Labor · Scored input: NZ Labor · unemployment · weight 0.7. · date unavailable
Labour Cost Index – all salary and wage rates · Labor · Scored input: NZ Labor · wages · weight 0.2. · date unavailable
HLFS employed persons quarterly change · Labor · Scored input: NZ Labor · employment · weight 0.1. · date unavailable
Real GDP – production measure · Activity · Scored input: NZ Activity · gdp_domestic_demand · weight 0.6. · date unavailable
BNZ-BusinessNZ Performance of Composite Index, GDP-weighted · Activity · Scored input: NZ Activity · business_surveys · weight 0.4. · date unavailable
Total retail sales volume (seasonally adjusted) · Consumer · Scored input: NZ Consumer · retail · weight 0.25. · date unavailable
Household net disposable income (experimental national accounts) · Consumer · Scored input: NZ Consumer · income · weight 0.25. · date unavailable
Household final consumption expenditure · Consumer · Scored input: NZ Consumer · spending · weight 0.25. · date unavailable
ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence · Consumer · Scored input: NZ Consumer · confidence · weight 0.25. · date unavailable

EA · 8 scored series with no verified future date

Unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted (LFS) · Labor · Scored input: EA Labor · unemployment · weight 0.7. · date unavailable
ECB indicator of negotiated wage rates, annual rate of change · Labor · Scored input: EA Labor · wages · weight 0.2. · date unavailable
Employment (LFS), quarter-over-quarter change in thousands (derived from SA levels) · Labor · Scored input: EA Labor · employment · weight 0.1. · date unavailable
S&P Global Eurozone Composite PMI Output Index · Activity · Scored input: EA Activity · business_surveys · weight 0.4. · date unavailable
Retail trade volume of sales, m/m % (SCA) · Consumer · Scored input: EA Consumer · retail · weight 0.25. · date unavailable
Adjusted gross disposable income of households, real per capita q/q % (SCA) · Consumer · Scored input: EA Consumer · income · weight 0.25. · date unavailable
Household final consumption expenditure (P31_S15), real q/q % (SCA) · Consumer · Scored input: EA Consumer · spending · weight 0.25. · date unavailable
European Commission consumer confidence indicator (balance) · Consumer · Scored input: EA Consumer · confidence · weight 0.25. · date unavailable

JP · 8 scored series with no verified future date

Unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted, whole Japan · Labor · Scored input: JP Labor · unemployment · weight 0.7. · date unavailable
Total cash earnings, year-on-year percent change, establishments with 5+ employees · Labor · Scored input: JP Labor · wages · weight 0.2. · date unavailable
Month-on-month change in employed persons (seasonally adjusted), derived from LFS 1-a-1 · Labor · Scored input: JP Labor · employment · weight 0.1. · date unavailable
au Jibun Bank / S&P Global Japan Composite PMI Output Index · Activity · Scored input: JP Activity · business_surveys · weight 0.4. · date unavailable
Retail sales value, year-on-year percent change (Current Survey of Commerce) · Consumer · Scored input: JP Consumer · retail · weight 0.25. · date unavailable
Real income, nominal year-on-year percent change, worker households (two-or-more-person) · Consumer · Scored input: JP Consumer · income · weight 0.25. · date unavailable
Consumption expenditure, nominal year-on-year percent change, two-or-more-person households · Consumer · Scored input: JP Consumer · spending · weight 0.25. · date unavailable
Consumer Sentiment Index (seasonally adjusted), two-or-more-person households · Consumer · Scored input: JP Consumer · confidence · weight 0.25. · date unavailable

Sources & Issues

Issues

51 active · 1 critical · 34 warning · 16 info · 0 resolved

SeverityCategorySearch

critical market_data NZ market_state:NZ_rates Indicative closing government-bond yields with a one-day publication lag. RBNZ official B2 workbook was blocked or unusable (browser-ua: RB…

Details

Impact Published FX and rate marks may be missing or stale.

Last verified vintage not recorded

Source not recorded

Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch not recorded · phase final

Occurrences 1

Indicative closing government-bond yields with a one-day publication lag.
RBNZ official B2 workbook was blocked or unusable (browser-ua: RBNZ official B2 workbook returned HTTP 403 from https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/-/media/project/sites/rbnz/files/statistics/series/b/b2/hb2-daily-close.xlsx. Refusing to substitute a third-party or vendor feed.; default-ua: RBNZ official B2 workbook returned HTTP 403 from https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/-/media/project/sites/rbnz/files/statistics/series/b/b2/hb2-daily-close.xlsx. Refusing to substitute a third-party or vendor feed.; curl_cffi: official B2 workbook still blocked). Refusing to substitute a third-party or vendor feed.; official RBNZ HTML fallback also failed: RBNZ official B2 HTML table was blocked or unusable (urllib: RBNZ official page returned HTTP 403 from https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/statistics/series/exchange-and-interest-rates/wholesale-interest-rates. Refusing to substitute a third-party or vendor feed.; curl_cffi: official B2 page still blocked). Refusing to substitute a third-party or vendor feed. No preselected distributor was verified to republish the same RBNZ B2 government-bond closing yields (2Y/5Y/10Y); packet NZ rates stay unavailable.

warning market_data market_state:CME_positioning CME volume/open-interest fetch returned HTTP 403 for G10 products

Details

Impact This market-data source is not fully current on the page.

Last verified vintage not recorded

Source not recorded

Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch not recorded · phase final

Occurrences 1

CME LastTotals returned no mapped G10 FX products; errors={'EUR': 'failed to fetch https://www.cmegroup.com/CmeWS/mvc/Volume/LastTotals/58?days=30&isProtected: HTTP Error 403: Forbidden', 'GBP': 'failed to fetch https://www.cmegroup.com/CmeWS/mvc/Volume/LastTotals/42?days=30&isProtected: HTTP Error 403: Forbidden', 'JPY': 'failed to fetch https://www.cmegroup.com/CmeWS/mvc/Volume/LastTotals/69?days=30&isProtected: HTTP Error 403: Forbidden', 'CHF': 'failed to fetch https://www.cmegroup.com/CmeWS/mvc/Volume/LastTotals/86?days=30&isProtected: HTTP Error 403: Forbidden', 'CAD': 'failed to fetch https://www.cmegroup.com/CmeWS/mvc/Volume/LastTotals/48?days=30&isProtected: HTTP Error 403: Forbidden', 'AUD': 'failed to fetch https://www.cmegroup.com/CmeWS/mvc/Volume/LastTotals/37?days=30&isProtected: HTTP Error 403: Forbidden', 'NZD': 'failed to fetch https://www.cmegroup.com/CmeWS/mvc/Volume/LastTotals/78?days=30&isProtected: HTTP Error 403: Forbidden', 'NOK': 'failed to fetch https://www.cmegroup.com/CmeWS/mvc/Volume/LastTotals/825?days=30&isProtected: HTTP Error 403: Forbidden', 'SEK': 'failed to fetch https://www.cmegroup.com/CmeWS/mvc/Volume/LastTotals/826?days=30&isProtected: HTTP Error 403: Forbidden'}

warning source AU source:AU.Consumer.confidence Fetch failed at the stage check. westpac_unverified_no_primary_adapter
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage 2026-09
Source Westpac-Melbourne Institute
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
westpac_unverified_no_primary_adapter
```
warning source AU source:AU.Labor.jsa_ivi_national_sa Fetch failed at the stage check. transport_error:The read operation timed out
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source Jobs and Skills Australia
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
transport_error:The read operation timed out
```
warning source AU source:AU.Labor.jsa_reos_hiring_intent Fetch failed at the stage check. transport_error:The read operation timed out
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source Jobs and Skills Australia
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
transport_error:The read operation timed out
```
warning source AU source:AU.Labor.jsa_reos_recruiting_share Fetch failed at the stage check. transport_error:The read operation timed out
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source Jobs and Skills Australia
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
transport_error:The read operation timed out
```
warning source AU source:AU.Labor.jsa_reos_recruitment_difficulty Fetch failed at the stage check. transport_error:The read operation timed out
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source Jobs and Skills Australia
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
transport_error:The read operation timed out
```
warning source AU source:AU.Labor.seek_job_ad_trend Fetch failed at the stage check. period or release date missing on https://au.seek.com/about/news/article/seek-employment-report-september26/
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source SEEK
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
period or release date missing on https://au.seek.com/about/news/article/seek-employment-report-september26/
```
warning source CA source:CA.Activity.real_manufacturing_sales Fetch failed at the stage check. HTTP Error 409:
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage 2026-08
Source Statistics Canada
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
HTTP Error 409: 
```
warning source CA source:CA.Activity.wholesale_sales_volume Fetch failed at the stage check. HTTP Error 409:
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage 2026-08
Source Statistics Canada
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
HTTP Error 409: 
```
warning source CA source:CA.Inflation.import_export_price_indexes Fetch failed at the stage check. CA.Inflation.import_export_price_indexes: vector id unpinned in catalog fragment
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source Statistics Canada
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
CA.Inflation.import_export_price_indexes: vector id unpinned in catalog fragment
```
warning source CA source:CA.Labor.participation Fetch failed at the stage check. CA.Labor.participation: vector id unpinned in catalog fragment
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source Statistics Canada
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
CA.Labor.participation: vector id unpinned in catalog fragment
```
warning source JP source:JP.Activity.industrial_production Fetch failed at the stage check. meti_iip_page_unparsed
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source METI
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
meti_iip_page_unparsed
```
warning source JP source:JP.Activity.tankan_large_manufacturing Fetch failed at the stage check. tankan_zip_unparsed
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source Bank of Japan
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
tankan_zip_unparsed
```
warning source JP source:JP.Inflation.cgpi_ppi Fetch failed at the stage check. cgpi_index_level_only_in_official_pdf_no_pinned_csv
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source Bank of Japan
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
cgpi_index_level_only_in_official_pdf_no_pinned_csv
```
warning source JP source:JP.Inflation.export_price_index Fetch failed at the stage check. cgpi_index_level_only_in_official_pdf_no_pinned_csv
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source Bank of Japan
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
cgpi_index_level_only_in_official_pdf_no_pinned_csv
```
warning source JP source:JP.Inflation.import_price_index Fetch failed at the stage check. cgpi_index_level_only_in_official_pdf_no_pinned_csv
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source Bank of Japan
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
cgpi_index_level_only_in_official_pdf_no_pinned_csv
```
warning source NZ source:NZ.Consumer.confidence Fetch failed at the stage check. anz_confidence_ambiguous
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage 2026-10
Source ANZ
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
anz_confidence_ambiguous
```
warning source NZ source:NZ.Consumer.income Fetch failed at the stage check. experimental_income_unparsed
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage 2025-Q2
Source Stats NZ
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
experimental_income_unparsed
```
warning source NZ source:NZ.Inflation.export_price_index Fetch failed at the stage check. HTTP 404
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source Stats NZ
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
HTTP 404
```
warning source NZ source:NZ.Inflation.import_price_index Fetch failed at the stage check. HTTP 404
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source Stats NZ
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
HTTP 404
```
warning source NZ source:NZ.Inflation.ppi Fetch failed at the stage check. HTTP 404
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source Stats NZ
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
HTTP 404
```
warning source US source:US.Activity.flash_pmi Fetch failed at the stage check. flash_pmi_primary_pdf_not_parsed
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source S&P Global
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
flash_pmi_primary_pdf_not_parsed
```
warning source US source:US.Activity.gdp_domestic_demand Fetch failed at the stage check. The read operation timed out
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage 2026-Q2
Source BEA
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
The read operation timed out
```
warning source US source:US.Activity.gdp_level Fetch failed at the stage check. host_deferred
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source BEA
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
host_deferred
```
warning source US source:US.Consumer.confidence Fetch failed at the stage check. The read operation timed out
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage 2026-07
Source University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
The read operation timed out
```
warning source US source:US.Consumer.income Fetch failed at the stage check. The read operation timed out
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage 2026-07
Source BEA
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
The read operation timed out
```
warning source US source:US.Consumer.retail Fetch failed at the stage check. The read operation timed out
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage 2026-08
Source U.S. Census Bureau
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
The read operation timed out
```
warning source US source:US.Consumer.spending Fetch failed at the stage check. The read operation timed out
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage 2026-07
Source BEA
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
The read operation timed out
```
warning source US source:US.Credit.mortgage_30y Fetch failed at the stage check. host_deferred
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source Freddie Mac
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
host_deferred
```
warning source US source:US.Housing.fhfa_purchase_only Fetch failed at the stage check. host_deferred
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source FHFA
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
host_deferred
```
warning source US source:US.Housing.housing_starts Fetch failed at the stage check. host_deferred
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source U.S. Census Bureau / HUD
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
host_deferred
```
warning source US source:US.Inflation.core_pce Fetch failed at the stage check. The read operation timed out
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage 2026-07
Source BEA
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
The read operation timed out
```
warning source US source:US.Inflation.mapped_bridge Fetch failed at the stage check. mapped_bridge_transform_not_wired
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage 2026-08
Source BEA / BLS
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
mapped_bridge_transform_not_wired
```
warning source US source:US.Inflation.pce_headline Fetch failed at the stage check. host_deferred
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source BEA
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
host_deferred
```
info source AU source:AU.Activity.business_surveys Publisher blocks automated access.
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage 2026-08
Source S&P Global / Judo Bank
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
pmi_listing_challenge
```
info source AU source:AU.Activity.flash_composite_pmi Publisher blocks automated access.
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source S&P Global / Judo Bank
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
pmi_listing_challenge
```
info source AU source:AU.Labor.nab_employment_subindex Publisher blocks automated access.
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage 2026-09
Source NAB
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
info source AU sources:not_checked 1 series were not checked on the latest Stage 01 ledger.
Details
Impact Those series are listed without a fresh verification time.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source not recorded
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
AU.Housing.dwelling_values_and_approvals
```
info source CA source:CA.Consumer.confidence Publisher blocks automated access.
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source Bank of Canada
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
bank_of_canada_csce_no_machine_readable_series
```
info source CA source:CA.Housing.existing_home_sales Publisher blocks automated access.
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source Canadian Real Estate Association
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
crea_existing_home_sales_no_stable_lawful_machine_readable_primary_series
```
info source EA source:EA.Activity.flash_composite_pmi Publisher blocks automated access.
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage 2026-10
Source S&P Global
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
info source JP source:JP.Activity.business_surveys Publisher blocks automated access.
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage 2026-08
Source S&P Global / au Jibun Bank
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
pmi_listing_blocked
```
info source JP sources:not_checked 1 series were not checked on the latest Stage 01 ledger.
Details
Impact Those series are listed without a fresh verification time.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source not recorded
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
JP.Activity.flash_composite_pmi
```
info source NZ sources:not_checked 5 series were not checked on the latest Stage 01 ledger.
Details
Impact Those series are listed without a fresh verification time.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source not recorded
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 5
```
NZ.Inflation.headline, NZ.Inflation.underlying, NZ.Labor.employment, NZ.Labor.unemployment, NZ.Labor.wages
```
info source US source:US.Consumer.confidence_conference_board Publisher blocks automated access.
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source The Conference Board
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
proprietary_blocked
```
info source US source:US.Labor.adp_employment Publisher blocks automated access.
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source not recorded
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
proprietary_blocked
```
info source US source:US.Labor.challenger_job_cuts Publisher blocks automated access.
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source not recorded
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
proprietary_blocked
```
info source US source:US.Labor.conference_board_jobs_hard_to_get Publisher blocks automated access.
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source not recorded
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
proprietary_blocked
```
info source US source:US.Labor.conference_board_jobs_plentiful Publisher blocks automated access.
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source not recorded
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
proprietary_blocked
```
info source US source:US.Labor.conference_board_labor_differential Publisher blocks automated access.
Details
Impact Last verified value stays dated; it is not shown as fresh.
Last verified vintage not recorded
Source not recorded
Run launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · ingest launch mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b · phase final
Occurrences 1
```
proprietary_blocked
```

Sources · provenance and freshness

Stage check 13 Nov 2026 11:22 UTC. Ledger dates are observation vintages, not check times; failed or blocked rows are not treated as healthy.

Stage ledger notes

Stage 01 ingest mwl-20261113T112215Z-72ba187b ran at 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check applies only to new_observation, checked_unchanged, or revision_applied. Ledger retrieval is the observation vintage, not the check. source_failed, license_gap, and rows missing from the ledger are not healthy. data/temperature_history/macro_source_audit.json is not published; this snapshot is the Stage 01 ingest ledger.

158 of 223 series checked at the 13 Nov 2026 stage check.

Checked · 158

New observation or confirmed unchanged at the stage check.

Carried forward · 6

Latest verified vintage reused; no new release due at this check.

Failure · 33

Fetch failed; last good value is not shown as fresh.

Blocked · 13

Publisher blocks automated access.

Partial · 0

Stage check completed with gaps for this series.

Not applicable · 12

Outside the Stage 01 check scope for this row.

Not checked · 7

No succeeded stage check recorded for this series.

Market-state packet generated 2026-11-13T15:04:16Z. Bucket rows total 223 of 223.

Filter sources

US · 93 seriesChecked 74 Failure 13 Blocked 6

Personal Consumption Expenditures: Chain-type Price Index, Excluding Food and Energy US.Inflation.core_pceFailureObs 2026-07BEA
The read operation timed out
```
The read operation timed out
```
Row metadata
Series id US.Inflation.core_pce. Weight 1.0 · scored. Publisher series PCEPILFE. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:41:19Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next 2026-11-25 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward yes.
BEA-mapped Core PCE PPI bridge component table (Aug 2026 documentation) US.Inflation.mapped_bridgeFailureObs 2026-08BEA / BLS
mapped_bridge_transform_not_wired
```
mapped_bridge_transform_not_wired
```
Row metadata
Series id US.Inflation.mapped_bridge. Weight 0.0 · registry_unweighted. Publisher series none. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:41:19Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Unemployment Rate US.Labor.unemploymentCheckedObs 2026-10BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.unemployment. Weight 0.7 · scored. Publisher series UNRATE. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:41:19Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private US.Labor.wagesCheckedObs 2026-10BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.wages. Weight 0.2 · scored. Publisher series CES0500000003. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:41:19Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
All Employees, Total Nonfarm US.Labor.payrollsCheckedObs 2026-10BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.payrolls. Weight 0.1 · scored. Publisher series PAYEMS. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:41:19Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Real Gross Domestic Product, Percent Change from Preceding Period, Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate US.Activity.gdp_domestic_demandFailureObs 2026-Q2BEA
The read operation timed out
```
The read operation timed out
```
Row metadata
Series id US.Activity.gdp_domestic_demand. Weight 0.6 · scored. Publisher series A191RL1Q225SBEA. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:41:19Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next 2026-11-25 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward yes.
ISM Services PMI US.Activity.services_surveysCheckedObs 2026-10ISM
Row metadata
Series id US.Activity.services_surveys. Weight 0.28 · scored. Publisher series NMFBAI. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T16:30:00Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
ISM Manufacturing PMI US.Activity.manufacturing_surveysCheckedObs 2026-10ISM
Row metadata
Series id US.Activity.manufacturing_surveys. Weight 0.12 · scored. Publisher series NAPM. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T16:30:00Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Advance Retail Sales: Retail Trade and Food Services, Total US.Consumer.retailFailureObs 2026-08U.S. Census Bureau
The read operation timed out
```
The read operation timed out
```
Row metadata
Series id US.Consumer.retail. Weight 0.25 · scored. Publisher series RSAFS. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:41:19Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward yes.
Disposable Personal Income US.Consumer.incomeFailureObs 2026-07BEA
The read operation timed out
```
The read operation timed out
```
Row metadata
Series id US.Consumer.income. Weight 0.25 · scored. Publisher series DSPI. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:41:19Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next 2026-11-25 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward yes.
Real Personal Consumption Expenditures US.Consumer.spendingFailureObs 2026-07BEA
The read operation timed out
```
The read operation timed out
```
Row metadata
Series id US.Consumer.spending. Weight 0.25 · scored. Publisher series PCEC96. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:41:19Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next 2026-11-25 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward yes.
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment US.Consumer.confidenceFailureObs 2026-07University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers
The read operation timed out
```
The read operation timed out
```
Row metadata
Series id US.Consumer.confidence. Weight 0.25 · scored. Publisher series UMCSENT. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:41:19Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward yes.
CPI All Items, seasonally adjusted US.Inflation.cpi_headlineCheckedObs 2026-10BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Inflation.cpi_headline. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series CPIAUCSL. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-10 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
CPI less food and energy, SA US.Inflation.cpi_coreCheckedObs 2026-10BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Inflation.cpi_core. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series CPILFESL. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-10 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
PPI Final Demand US.Inflation.ppi_final_demandCheckedObs 2026-09BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Inflation.ppi_final_demand. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series WPSFD49207. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-15 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Import Price Index (End Use): All commodities US.Inflation.import_price_indexCheckedObs 2026-09BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Inflation.import_price_index. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series IR. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Export Price Index (End Use): All commodities US.Inflation.export_price_indexCheckedObs 2026-09BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Inflation.export_price_index. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series IQ. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
PCE price index headline US.Inflation.pce_headlineFailureObs noneBEA
host_deferred
```
host_deferred
```
Row metadata
Series id US.Inflation.pce_headline. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series PCEPI. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next 2026-11-25 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Labor force participation rate US.Labor.participationCheckedObs 2026-10BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.participation. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series LNS11300000. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Real GDP level US.Activity.gdp_levelFailureObs noneBEA
host_deferred
```
host_deferred
```
Row metadata
Series id US.Activity.gdp_level. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series GDPC1. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next 2026-11-25 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
S&P Global Flash US PMI US.Activity.flash_pmiFailureObs noneS&P Global
flash_pmi_primary_pdf_not_parsed
```
flash_pmi_primary_pdf_not_parsed
```
Row metadata
Series id US.Activity.flash_pmi. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series none. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Conference Board Consumer Confidence US.Consumer.confidence_conference_boardBlockedObs noneThe Conference Board
proprietary_blocked
```
proprietary_blocked
```
Row metadata
Series id US.Consumer.confidence_conference_board. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series CONCCONF. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
FHFA Purchase-Only House Price Index US.Housing.fhfa_purchase_onlyFailureObs noneFHFA
host_deferred
```
host_deferred
```
Row metadata
Series id US.Housing.fhfa_purchase_only. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series HPIPONM226S. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Housing starts US.Housing.housing_startsFailureObs noneU.S. Census Bureau / HUD
host_deferred
```
host_deferred
```
Row metadata
Series id US.Housing.housing_starts. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series HOUST. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
30-year fixed mortgage rate US.Credit.mortgage_30yFailureObs noneFreddie Mac
host_deferred
```
host_deferred
```
Row metadata
Series id US.Credit.mortgage_30y. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series MORTGAGE30US. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Chicago Fed real-time unemployment rate forecast, final 50th percentile US.Labor.chicago_fed_u3_nowcast_finalCheckedObs 2026-10Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.chicago_fed_u3_nowcast_final. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series CFLMIFORECASTFIN50. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-24 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Chicago Fed real-time unemployment rate forecast, advance 50th percentile US.Labor.chicago_fed_u3_nowcast_advanceCheckedObs 2026-10Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.chicago_fed_u3_nowcast_advance. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series CFLMIFORECASTADV50. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-24 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Chicago Fed hiring rate for unemployed workers (job-finding rate) US.Labor.chicago_fed_hiring_rateCheckedObs 2026-10Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.chicago_fed_hiring_rate. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series CFLMIHIRINGRATEUW. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-24 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Chicago Fed layoffs and other separations rate US.Labor.chicago_fed_separation_rateCheckedObs 2026-10Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.chicago_fed_separation_rate. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series CFLMILAYOFFSOTHERSEPSRATE. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-24 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Chicago Fed flow-consistent unemployment rate US.Labor.chicago_fed_flow_consistent_u3CheckedObs 2026-10Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.chicago_fed_flow_consistent_u3. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series CFLMIFCR. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-24 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Chicago Fed unemployment nowcast, advance-to-final revision US.Labor.chicago_fed_nowcast_revisionCheckedObs 2026-10Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.chicago_fed_nowcast_revision. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series CFLMI_NOWCAST_ADVANCE_TO_FINAL. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-24 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Civilian noninstitutional population US.Labor.populationCheckedObs 2026-10BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.population. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series LNU00000000. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Civilian labor force US.Labor.labor_forceCheckedObs 2026-10BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.labor_force. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series LNS11000000. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Civilian employment (household survey) US.Labor.household_employmentCheckedObs 2026-10BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.household_employment. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series LNS12000000. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Unemployed level (household survey) US.Labor.unemployedCheckedObs 2026-10BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.unemployed. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series LNS13000000. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Employment-population ratio US.Labor.employment_population_ratioCheckedObs 2026-10BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.employment_population_ratio. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series LNS12300000. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate US.Labor.prime_age_participationCheckedObs 2026-10BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.prime_age_participation. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series LNS11300060. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Unemployed job losers and persons who completed temporary jobs US.Labor.unemployed_job_losersCheckedObs 2026-10BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.unemployed_job_losers. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series LNS13023621. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Unemployed job losers on temporary layoff US.Labor.unemployed_on_layoffCheckedObs 2026-10BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.unemployed_on_layoff. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series LNS13023705. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Unemployed job leavers US.Labor.unemployed_job_leaversCheckedObs 2026-10BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.unemployed_job_leavers. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series LNS13023653. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Unemployed reentrants US.Labor.unemployed_reentrantsCheckedObs 2026-10BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.unemployed_reentrants. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series LNS13023557. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Unemployed new entrants US.Labor.unemployed_new_entrantsCheckedObs 2026-10BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.unemployed_new_entrants. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series LNS13023569. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
CPS gross flow employed to unemployed US.Labor.flow_euCheckedObs 2026-10BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.flow_eu. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series LNS17400000. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
CPS gross flow unemployed to employed US.Labor.flow_ueCheckedObs 2026-10BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.flow_ue. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series LNS17100000. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
CPS gross flow not in labor force to unemployed US.Labor.flow_nuCheckedObs 2026-10BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.flow_nu. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series LNS17600000. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
CPS gross flow unemployed to not in labor force US.Labor.flow_unCheckedObs 2026-10BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.flow_un. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series LNS17900000. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
CPS gross flow not in labor force to employed US.Labor.flow_neCheckedObs 2026-10BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.flow_ne. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series LNS17200000. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
CPS gross flow employed to not in labor force US.Labor.flow_enCheckedObs 2026-10BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.flow_en. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series LNS17800000. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Civilian noninstitutional population, foreign born US.Labor.population_foreign_bornCheckedObs 2026-10BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.population_foreign_born. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series LNU00073395. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Civilian noninstitutional population, native born US.Labor.population_native_bornCheckedObs 2026-10BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.population_native_born. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series LNU00073413. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Civilian labor force, foreign born US.Labor.labor_force_foreign_bornCheckedObs 2026-10BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.labor_force_foreign_born. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series LNU01073395. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Civilian labor force, native born US.Labor.labor_force_native_bornCheckedObs 2026-10BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.labor_force_native_born. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series LNU01073413. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Employment level, foreign born US.Labor.employment_foreign_bornCheckedObs 2026-10BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.employment_foreign_born. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series LNU02073395. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Employment level, native born US.Labor.employment_native_bornCheckedObs 2026-10BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.employment_native_born. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series LNU02073413. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Initial unemployment insurance claims, seasonally adjusted, advance US.Labor.initial_claimsCheckedObs 2026-11-07U.S. Department of Labor
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.initial_claims. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series ETA538_INITIAL_CLAIMS_SA. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Initial claims, 4-week moving average, seasonally adjusted, advance US.Labor.initial_claims_4wCheckedObs 2026-11-07U.S. Department of Labor
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.initial_claims_4w. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series ETA538_INITIAL_CLAIMS_SA4WK. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Continued unemployment insurance claims, seasonally adjusted, advance US.Labor.continuing_claimsCheckedObs 2026-10-31U.S. Department of Labor
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.continuing_claims. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series ETA538_CONTINUED_CLAIMS_SA. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Insured unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted, advance US.Labor.insured_unemployment_rateCheckedObs 2026-10-31U.S. Department of Labor
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.insured_unemployment_rate. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series ETA538_IUR_SA. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Insured unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted, revised US.Labor.insured_unemployment_rate_revisedCheckedObs 2026-10-17U.S. Department of Labor
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.insured_unemployment_rate_revised. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series ETA539_IUR_SA. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Initial unemployment insurance claims, seasonally adjusted, revised US.Labor.initial_claims_revisedCheckedObs 2026-10-17U.S. Department of Labor
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.initial_claims_revised. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series ETA539_INITIAL_CLAIMS_SA. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Initial claims, 4-week moving average, seasonally adjusted, revised US.Labor.initial_claims_4w_revisedCheckedObs 2026-10-17U.S. Department of Labor
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.initial_claims_4w_revised. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series ETA539_INITIAL_CLAIMS_SA4WK. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Continued unemployment insurance claims, seasonally adjusted, revised US.Labor.continuing_claims_revisedCheckedObs 2026-10-17U.S. Department of Labor
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.continuing_claims_revised. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series ETA539_CONTINUED_CLAIMS_SA. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
JOLTS hires, total nonfarm US.Labor.jolts_hiresCheckedObs 2026-09BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.jolts_hires. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series JTS000000000000000HIL. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
JOLTS hires rate, total nonfarm US.Labor.jolts_hires_rateCheckedObs 2026-09BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.jolts_hires_rate. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series JTS000000000000000HIR. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
JOLTS layoffs and discharges, total nonfarm US.Labor.jolts_layoffsCheckedObs 2026-09BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.jolts_layoffs. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series JTS000000000000000LDL. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
JOLTS layoffs and discharges rate, total nonfarm US.Labor.jolts_layoffs_rateCheckedObs 2026-09BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.jolts_layoffs_rate. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series JTS000000000000000LDR. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
JOLTS quits, total nonfarm US.Labor.jolts_quitsCheckedObs 2026-09BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.jolts_quits. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series JTS000000000000000QUL. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
JOLTS quits rate, total nonfarm US.Labor.jolts_quits_rateCheckedObs 2026-09BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.jolts_quits_rate. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series JTS000000000000000QUR. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
JOLTS job openings, total nonfarm US.Labor.jolts_openingsCheckedObs 2026-09BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.jolts_openings. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series JTS000000000000000JOL. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
JOLTS job openings rate, total nonfarm US.Labor.jolts_openings_rateCheckedObs 2026-09BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.jolts_openings_rate. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series JTS000000000000000JOR. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
All employees, total nonfarm (CES level) US.Labor.payroll_level_cesCheckedObs 2026-10BLS
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.payroll_level_ces. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series CES0000000001. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Unrounded U-3 unemployment rate US.Labor.unrounded_u3CheckedObs 2026-10Market Watch
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.unrounded_u3. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series UNROUNDED_U3. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Monthly change in the civilian labor force US.Labor.delta_labor_forceCheckedObs 2026-10Market Watch
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.delta_labor_force. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series DELTA_LABOR_FORCE. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Monthly change in household employment US.Labor.delta_household_employmentCheckedObs 2026-10Market Watch
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.delta_household_employment. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series DELTA_HOUSEHOLD_EMPLOYMENT. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Monthly change in the unemployed level US.Labor.delta_unemployedCheckedObs 2026-10Market Watch
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.delta_unemployed. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series DELTA_UNEMPLOYED. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Labor-force absorption US.Labor.labor_force_absorptionCheckedObs 2026-10Market Watch
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.labor_force_absorption. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series LABOR_FORCE_ABSORPTION. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Monthly change in civilian noninstitutional population US.Labor.population_changeCheckedObs 2026-10Market Watch
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.population_change. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series POPULATION_CHANGE. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Monthly change in the labor force (supply) US.Labor.labor_force_changeCheckedObs 2026-10Market Watch
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.labor_force_change. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series LABOR_FORCE_CHANGE. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Revised initial claims as a percent of UI-covered employment US.Labor.initial_claims_normalizedCheckedObs 2026-10-17Market Watch
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.initial_claims_normalized. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series INITIAL_CLAIMS_NORMALIZED. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Payroll change minus sourced structural breakeven US.Labor.payroll_vs_breakevenCheckedObs 2026-10Market Watch
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.payroll_vs_breakeven. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series PAYROLL_VS_BREAKEVEN. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Unrounded U-3 minus final Chicago Fed nowcast US.Labor.chicago_fed_errorCheckedObs 2026-10Market Watch
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.chicago_fed_error. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series CHICAGO_FED_ERROR. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Diagnostic: change in job losers US.Labor.attr_job_lossCheckedObs 2026-10Market Watch
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.attr_job_loss. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series ATTR_JOB_LOSS. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Diagnostic: weak job finding US.Labor.attr_weak_job_findingCheckedObs 2026-10Market Watch
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.attr_weak_job_finding. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series ATTR_WEAK_JOB_FINDING. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Diagnostic: entrants and reentrants US.Labor.attr_entrant_reentrantCheckedObs 2026-10Market Watch
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.attr_entrant_reentrant. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series ATTR_ENTRANT_REENTRANT. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Accounting imbalance (employment change minus labor-force change) US.Labor.attr_labor_force_expansionCheckedObs 2026-10Market Watch
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.attr_labor_force_expansion. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series ATTR_LABOR_FORCE_EXPANSION. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Unemployment identity residual US.Labor.attr_labor_force_exitCheckedObs 2026-10Market Watch
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.attr_labor_force_exit. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series ATTR_LABOR_FORCE_EXIT. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-04 08:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Structural breakeven employment, Board FEDS Note upper bound US.Labor.breakeven_employmentCheckedObs 2026-04Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.breakeven_employment. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series FEDS_2026_04_02_BREAKEVEN_UPPER_BOUND. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Conference Board jobs plentiful US.Labor.conference_board_jobs_plentifulBlockedObs noneConference
proprietary_blocked
```
proprietary_blocked
```
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.conference_board_jobs_plentiful. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series CONFERENCE_BOARD_JOBS_PLENTIFUL. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Conference Board jobs hard to get US.Labor.conference_board_jobs_hard_to_getBlockedObs noneConference
proprietary_blocked
```
proprietary_blocked
```
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.conference_board_jobs_hard_to_get. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series CONFERENCE_BOARD_JOBS_HARD_TO_GET. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Conference Board labor differential US.Labor.conference_board_labor_differentialBlockedObs noneConference
proprietary_blocked
```
proprietary_blocked
```
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.conference_board_labor_differential. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series CONFERENCE_BOARD_LABOR_DIFFERENTIAL. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Challenger job-cut announcements US.Labor.challenger_job_cutsBlockedObs noneChallenger
proprietary_blocked
```
proprietary_blocked
```
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.challenger_job_cuts. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series CHALLENGER_JOB_CUTS. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
ADP national employment US.Labor.adp_employmentBlockedObs noneADP
proprietary_blocked
```
proprietary_blocked
```
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.adp_employment. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series ADP_EMPLOYMENT. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
ISM manufacturing employment index US.Labor.ism_manufacturing_employmentCheckedObs 2026-10ISM
Row metadata
Series id US.Labor.ism_manufacturing_employment. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series ISM_MANUFACTURING_EMPLOYMENT. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.

CA · 29 seriesChecked 21 Failure 4 Blocked 2 Not applicable 2

BoC core CPI measures (CPI-trim and CPI-median, year-over-year) CA.Inflation.underlyingCheckedObs 2026-09Statistics Canada
Row metadata
Series id CA.Inflation.underlying. Weight 0.6 · scored. Publisher series CPI_trim_and_median_yoy. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:45:36Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-16 08:30 ET if the standing clock holds (standing). Carried forward no.
Consumer Price Index, all-items, 12-month percent change CA.Inflation.headlineCheckedObs 2026-09Statistics Canada
Row metadata
Series id CA.Inflation.headline. Weight 0.4 · scored. Publisher series v41690973_derived_yoy. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:45:36Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-16 08:30 ET if the standing clock holds (standing). Carried forward no.
Labour force survey unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted CA.Labor.unemploymentCheckedObs 2026-10Statistics Canada
Row metadata
Series id CA.Labor.unemployment. Weight 0.7 · scored. Publisher series v2062815. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:45:36Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-03 08:30 ET if the standing clock holds (standing). Carried forward no.
Average hourly wages, employees, year-over-year change CA.Labor.wagesCheckedObs 2026-10Statistics Canada
Row metadata
Series id CA.Labor.wages. Weight 0.2 · scored. Publisher series v105812645_derived_yoy. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:45:36Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-03 08:30 ET if the standing clock holds (standing). Carried forward no.
Employment monthly change, seasonally adjusted CA.Labor.employmentCheckedObs 2026-10Statistics Canada
Row metadata
Series id CA.Labor.employment. Weight 0.1 · scored. Publisher series v2062811_derived_mom_change. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:45:36Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-12-03 08:30 ET if the standing clock holds (standing). Carried forward no.
Real GDP growth (monthly by industry and quarterly expenditure GDP) CA.Activity.gdp_domestic_demandCheckedObs 2026-Q2Statistics Canada
Row metadata
Series id CA.Activity.gdp_domestic_demand. Weight 0.6 · scored. Publisher series monthly_v65201210;quarterly_v1594571783. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:45:36Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-30 08:30 ET if the standing clock holds (standing). Carried forward no.
S&P Global Canada Composite PMI Output Index (Ivey PMI conflict-only) CA.Activity.business_surveysCheckedObs 2026-10S&P Global
Row metadata
Series id CA.Activity.business_surveys. Weight 0.4 · scored. Publisher series SP_GLOBAL_CA_COMPOSITE. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T18:30:00Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Total retail trade sales, seasonally adjusted, month-over-month CA.Consumer.retailCheckedObs 2026-08Statistics Canada
Row metadata
Series id CA.Consumer.retail. Weight 0.25 · scored. Publisher series v1446859483. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:45:36Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-20 08:30 ET if the standing clock holds (standing). Carried forward no.
Household disposable income, quarter-over-quarter percent change CA.Consumer.incomeCheckedObs 2026-Q2Statistics Canada
Row metadata
Series id CA.Consumer.income. Weight 0.25 · scored. Publisher series v62305981_derived_qq. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:45:36Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Household final consumption expenditure, real q/q percent change CA.Consumer.spendingCheckedObs 2026-Q2Statistics Canada
Row metadata
Series id CA.Consumer.spending. Weight 0.25 · scored. Publisher series v1594571755. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:45:36Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Bank of Canada Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations CA.Consumer.confidenceBlockedObs noneBank of Canada
bank_of_canada_csce_no_machine_readable_series
```
bank_of_canada_csce_no_machine_readable_series
```
Row metadata
Series id CA.Consumer.confidence. Weight 0.25 · scored. Publisher series none. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:45:36Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Industrial Product Price Index (PPI analog) CA.Inflation.ippiCheckedObs 2026-09Statistics Canada
Row metadata
Series id CA.Inflation.ippi. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series v1230995983. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Raw Materials Price Index CA.Inflation.rmpiCheckedObs 2026-09Statistics Canada
Row metadata
Series id CA.Inflation.rmpi. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series v1230998135. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
International merchandise trade price indexes (import and export) CA.Inflation.import_export_price_indexesFailureObs noneStatistics Canada
CA.Inflation.import_export_price_indexes: vector id unpinned in catalog fragment
```
CA.Inflation.import_export_price_indexes: vector id unpinned in catalog fragment
```
Row metadata
Series id CA.Inflation.import_export_price_indexes. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series none. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Labour force participation rate CA.Labor.participationFailureObs noneStatistics Canada
CA.Labor.participation: vector id unpinned in catalog fragment
```
CA.Labor.participation: vector id unpinned in catalog fragment
```
Row metadata
Series id CA.Labor.participation. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series none. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next 2026-12-03 08:30 ET if the standing clock holds (standing). Carried forward no.
Ivey PMI SA CA.Activity.ivey_pmiNot applicableObs noneIvey Business School
ivey_pmi_conflict_only_weight_zero_not_fetched
```
ivey_pmi_conflict_only_weight_zero_not_fetched
```
Row metadata
Series id CA.Activity.ivey_pmi. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series Ivey_PMI_conflict. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
S&P Global Canada flash composite, if a public primary release exists CA.Activity.flash_composite_pmiNot applicableObs noneS&P Global
flash_composite_context_only_no_public_primary_pinned
```
flash_composite_context_only_no_public_primary_pinned
```
Row metadata
Series id CA.Activity.flash_composite_pmi. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series SP_GLOBAL_CA_COMPOSITE_FLASH. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
NHPI already collected by scripts/canada_housing_data.py CA.Housing.new_housing_price_indexCheckedObs 2026-09Statistics Canada
Row metadata
Series id CA.Housing.new_housing_price_index. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series none. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Alberta total crude oil and equivalent production (conventional crude + condensate + oil sands), monthly, cubic metres CA.Energy.ab_oil_total_productionCheckedObs 2026-09Alberta Energy Regulator
Row metadata
Series id CA.Energy.ab_oil_total_production. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series AER_ST3_OIL_TOTAL_PRODUCTION_M3. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Alberta total oil sands production (nonupgraded total + upgraded), monthly, cubic metres CA.Energy.ab_oil_sands_productionCheckedObs 2026-09Alberta Energy Regulator
Row metadata
Series id CA.Energy.ab_oil_sands_production. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series AER_ST3_OIL_SANDS_TOTAL_PRODUCTION_M3. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Alberta total conventional crude oil production (light + medium + heavy + ultra-heavy), monthly, cubic metres CA.Energy.ab_conventional_crude_productionCheckedObs 2026-09Alberta Energy Regulator
Row metadata
Series id CA.Energy.ab_conventional_crude_production. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series AER_ST3_CONVENTIONAL_CRUDE_PRODUCTION_M3. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Alberta condensate production, monthly, cubic metres CA.Energy.ab_condensate_productionCheckedObs 2026-09Alberta Energy Regulator
Row metadata
Series id CA.Energy.ab_condensate_production. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series AER_ST3_CONDENSATE_PRODUCTION_M3. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Canada marketable natural gas production, monthly, thousands of cubic metres CA.Energy.gas_marketable_productionCheckedObs 2026-08Statistics Canada
Row metadata
Series id CA.Energy.gas_marketable_production. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series v1864626177. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Real manufacturing sales of goods manufactured (shipments), total, 2017 dollars, seasonally adjusted CA.Activity.real_manufacturing_salesFailureObs 2026-08Statistics Canada
HTTP Error 409:
```
HTTP Error 409: 
```
Row metadata
Series id CA.Activity.real_manufacturing_sales. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series v123263908. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Retail sales volume, retail trade total, seasonally adjusted (WDS member 'Chained Fisher volume index', published in millions of chained 2017 dollars) CA.Consumer.retail_sales_volumeCheckedObs 2026-08Statistics Canada
Row metadata
Series id CA.Consumer.retail_sales_volume. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series v1446870181. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-20 08:30 ET if the standing clock holds (standing). Carried forward no.
Wholesale sales volume, wholesale trade total, seasonally adjusted (WDS member 'Chained Fisher volume index', published in millions of chained 2012 dollars) CA.Activity.wholesale_sales_volumeFailureObs 2026-08Statistics Canada
HTTP Error 409:
```
HTTP Error 409: 
```
Row metadata
Series id CA.Activity.wholesale_sales_volume. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series v120586538. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Investment in building construction, total residential and non-residential, all work types, seasonally adjusted, constant (2017) dollars CA.Activity.real_building_investmentCheckedObs 2026-08Statistics Canada
Row metadata
Series id CA.Activity.real_building_investment. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series v1705315927. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Exports of crude oil and crude bitumen, Laspeyres fixed-weighted volume index (2017=100), balance of payments basis, seasonally adjusted CA.Activity.crude_export_volumeCheckedObs 2026-09Statistics Canada
Row metadata
Series id CA.Activity.crude_export_volume. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series v1566916256. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Existing (resale) home sales, national, seasonally adjusted (CREA MLS) CA.Housing.existing_home_salesBlockedObs noneCanadian Real Estate Association
crea_existing_home_sales_no_stable_lawful_machine_readable_primary_series
```
crea_existing_home_sales_no_stable_lawful_machine_readable_primary_series
```
Row metadata
Series id CA.Housing.existing_home_sales. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series none. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.

AU · 37 seriesChecked 25 Failure 6 Blocked 3 Not applicable 2 Not checked 1

Trimmed mean CPI year-ended inflation, Australia AU.Inflation.underlyingCheckedObs 2026-09Australian Bureau of Statistics
Row metadata
Series id AU.Inflation.underlying. Weight 0.6 · scored. Publisher series A130400382R. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:49:33Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-24 19:30 ET if the standing clock holds (standing). Carried forward no.
Headline CPI year-ended inflation (all groups), Australia AU.Inflation.headlineCheckedObs 2026-09Australian Bureau of Statistics
Row metadata
Series id AU.Inflation.headline. Weight 0.4 · scored. Publisher series A130393721F. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:49:33Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-24 19:30 ET if the standing clock holds (standing). Carried forward no.
Unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted AU.Labor.unemploymentCheckedObs 2026-09Australian Bureau of Statistics
Row metadata
Series id AU.Labor.unemployment. Weight 0.7 · scored. Publisher series A84423050A. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:49:33Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-18 19:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
WPI total hourly rates (ex bonuses), all sectors, y/y, seasonally adjusted AU.Labor.wagesCheckedObs 2026-Q2Australian Bureau of Statistics
Row metadata
Series id AU.Labor.wages. Weight 0.2 · scored. Publisher series A83895396W. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:49:33Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-17 19:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Monthly change in employed persons, seasonally adjusted AU.Labor.employmentCheckedObs 2026-09Australian Bureau of Statistics
Row metadata
Series id AU.Labor.employment. Weight 0.1 · scored. Publisher series A84423043C. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:49:33Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-18 19:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Real GDP and domestic final demand (chain volume, SA q/q) AU.Activity.gdp_domestic_demandCheckedObs 2026-Q2Australian Bureau of Statistics
Row metadata
Series id AU.Activity.gdp_domestic_demand. Weight 0.6 · scored. Publisher series A2304370T;A2304183K. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:49:33Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
S&P Global / Judo Bank Australia Composite PMI Output Index AU.Activity.business_surveysBlockedObs 2026-08S&P Global / Judo Bank
pmi_listing_challenge
```
pmi_listing_challenge
```
Row metadata
Series id AU.Activity.business_surveys. Weight 0.4 · scored. Publisher series SP_GLOBAL_AU_COMPOSITE_PMI. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T17:20:30Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Retail turnover, total industry, seasonally adjusted m/m AU.Consumer.retailCheckedObs 2025-06Australian Bureau of Statistics
Row metadata
Series id AU.Consumer.retail. Weight 0.25 · scored. Publisher series A3348586T. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:49:33Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Household gross disposable income, seasonally adjusted q/q AU.Consumer.incomeCheckedObs 2026-Q2Australian Bureau of Statistics
Row metadata
Series id AU.Consumer.income. Weight 0.25 · scored. Publisher series A2302939L. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:49:33Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Monthly household spending indicator, total (current price), m/m, seasonally adjusted AU.Consumer.spendingCheckedObs 2026-08Australian Bureau of Statistics
Row metadata
Series id AU.Consumer.spending. Weight 0.25 · scored. Publisher series A130200586W. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:49:33Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-29 19:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Westpac-Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment Index AU.Consumer.confidenceFailureObs 2026-09Westpac-Melbourne Institute
westpac_unverified_no_primary_adapter
```
westpac_unverified_no_primary_adapter
```
Row metadata
Series id AU.Consumer.confidence. Weight 0.25 · scored. Publisher series none. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:49:33Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Trimmed mean already scored as Inflation.underlying AU.Inflation.cpi_core_trimmed_already_scored_noteNot applicableObs 2026-09Australian Bureau of Statistics
explanatory_alias
```
explanatory_alias
```
Row metadata
Series id AU.Inflation.cpi_core_trimmed_already_scored_note. Weight 0.0 · explanatory_alias. Publisher series A130400382R. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Producer Price Indexes AU.Inflation.ppiCheckedObs 2026-Q2Australian Bureau of Statistics
Row metadata
Series id AU.Inflation.ppi. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series A2314865F. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
International Trade Price Index, import AU.Inflation.import_price_indexCheckedObs 2026-Q2Australian Bureau of Statistics
Row metadata
Series id AU.Inflation.import_price_index. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series A2295765J. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
International Trade Price Index, export AU.Inflation.export_price_indexCheckedObs 2026-Q2Australian Bureau of Statistics
Row metadata
Series id AU.Inflation.export_price_index. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series A2294886K. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Participation rate AU.Labor.participationCheckedObs 2026-09Australian Bureau of Statistics
Row metadata
Series id AU.Labor.participation. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series A84423051C. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-18 19:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Domestic final demand (already stored as context beside scored GDP A2304370T) AU.Activity.domestic_final_demandCheckedObs 2026-Q2Australian Bureau of Statistics
Row metadata
Series id AU.Activity.domestic_final_demand. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series A2304183K. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Flash Australia composite PMI AU.Activity.flash_composite_pmiBlockedObs noneS&P Global / Judo Bank
pmi_listing_challenge
```
pmi_listing_challenge
```
Row metadata
Series id AU.Activity.flash_composite_pmi. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series SP_GLOBAL_AU_COMPOSITE_PMI_FLASH. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Dwelling values, building approvals, lending indicators AU.Housing.dwelling_values_and_approvalsNot checkedObs noneAustralian Bureau of Statistics
Row metadata
Series id AU.Housing.dwelling_values_and_approvals. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series none. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Retail Trade monthly series ceased after June 2025 AU.Consumer.retail_ceasedNot applicableObs 2025-06Australian Bureau of Statistics
explanatory_alias
```
explanatory_alias
```
Row metadata
Series id AU.Consumer.retail_ceased. Weight 0.0 · explanatory_alias. Publisher series A3348586T. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Employed persons, full-time, seasonally adjusted AU.Labor.full_timeCheckedObs 2026-09Australian Bureau of Statistics
Row metadata
Series id AU.Labor.full_time. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series A84423041X. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-18 19:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Employed persons, part-time, seasonally adjusted AU.Labor.part_timeCheckedObs 2026-09Australian Bureau of Statistics
Row metadata
Series id AU.Labor.part_time. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series A84423042A. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-18 19:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Employed persons, total, seasonally adjusted (stock level) AU.Labor.employment_levelCheckedObs 2026-09Australian Bureau of Statistics
Row metadata
Series id AU.Labor.employment_level. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series A84423043C. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-18 19:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Unemployed persons, seasonally adjusted AU.Labor.unemployed_personsCheckedObs 2026-09Australian Bureau of Statistics
Row metadata
Series id AU.Labor.unemployed_persons. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series A84423046K. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-18 19:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Labour force, total persons, seasonally adjusted AU.Labor.labour_forceCheckedObs 2026-09Australian Bureau of Statistics
Row metadata
Series id AU.Labor.labour_force. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series A84423047L. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-18 19:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Employment to population ratio, seasonally adjusted AU.Labor.employment_to_populationCheckedObs 2026-09Australian Bureau of Statistics
Row metadata
Series id AU.Labor.employment_to_population. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series A84423054K. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-18 19:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Underemployment rate, seasonally adjusted AU.Labor.underemployment_rateCheckedObs 2026-09Australian Bureau of Statistics
Row metadata
Series id AU.Labor.underemployment_rate. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series A85255725J. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-18 19:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Labour underutilisation rate, seasonally adjusted AU.Labor.underutilisation_rateCheckedObs 2026-09Australian Bureau of Statistics
Row metadata
Series id AU.Labor.underutilisation_rate. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series A85255726K. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-18 19:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Underemployed persons, total, seasonally adjusted AU.Labor.underemployed_personsCheckedObs 2026-09Australian Bureau of Statistics
Row metadata
Series id AU.Labor.underemployed_persons. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series A85255719L. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-18 19:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Monthly hours worked in all jobs, persons, seasonally adjusted AU.Labor.hours_workedCheckedObs 2026-09Australian Bureau of Statistics
Row metadata
Series id AU.Labor.hours_worked. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series A84426277X. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-18 19:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Internet Vacancy Index, Australian total, seasonally adjusted AU.Labor.jsa_ivi_national_saFailureObs noneJobs and Skills Australia
transport_error:The read operation timed out
```
transport_error:The read operation timed out
```
Row metadata
Series id AU.Labor.jsa_ivi_national_sa. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series AUSTRALIAN_TOTAL. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
ANZ-Indeed Australian job advertisements, seasonally adjusted AU.Labor.anz_indeed_job_ads_saCheckedObs 2026-09ANZ-Indeed
Row metadata
Series id AU.Labor.anz_indeed_job_ads_sa. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series ANZ_INDEED_JOB_ADS_SA. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
NAB Monthly Business Survey employment sub-index AU.Labor.nab_employment_subindexBlockedObs 2026-09NAB
Row metadata
Series id AU.Labor.nab_employment_subindex. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series NAB_EMPLOYMENT_SUBINDEX. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
SEEK job advertisement trend, month-on-month percent AU.Labor.seek_job_ad_trendFailureObs noneSEEK
period or release date missing on https://au.seek.com/about/news/article/seek-employment-report-september26/
```
period or release date missing on https://au.seek.com/about/news/article/seek-employment-report-september26/
```
Row metadata
Series id AU.Labor.seek_job_ad_trend. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series SEEK_JOB_AD_TREND. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
REOS recruiting share (employers recruiting) AU.Labor.jsa_reos_recruiting_shareFailureObs noneJobs and Skills Australia
transport_error:The read operation timed out
```
transport_error:The read operation timed out
```
Row metadata
Series id AU.Labor.jsa_reos_recruiting_share. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series AU.Labor.jsa_reos_recruiting_share. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
REOS recruitment difficulty share AU.Labor.jsa_reos_recruitment_difficultyFailureObs noneJobs and Skills Australia
transport_error:The read operation timed out
```
transport_error:The read operation timed out
```
Row metadata
Series id AU.Labor.jsa_reos_recruitment_difficulty. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series AU.Labor.jsa_reos_recruitment_difficulty. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
REOS hiring intent share (expect to increase staff) AU.Labor.jsa_reos_hiring_intentFailureObs noneJobs and Skills Australia
transport_error:The read operation timed out
```
transport_error:The read operation timed out
```
Row metadata
Series id AU.Labor.jsa_reos_hiring_intent. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series AU.Labor.jsa_reos_hiring_intent. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.

NZ · 17 seriesChecked 6 Failure 5 Not applicable 1 Not checked 5

CPI excluding food, household energy and vehicle fuels NZ.Inflation.underlyingNot checkedObs 2026-Q2Stats NZ
Row metadata
Series id NZ.Inflation.underlying. Weight 0.6 · scored. Publisher series CPIQ.SE9NS1450. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:51:02Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next ET time TBA (tba). Carried forward no.
CPI all groups NZ.Inflation.headlineNot checkedObs 2026-Q2Stats NZ
Row metadata
Series id NZ.Inflation.headline. Weight 0.4 · scored. Publisher series CPIQ.SE9A. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:51:02Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next ET time TBA (tba). Carried forward no.
HLFS unemployment rate (seasonally adjusted) NZ.Labor.unemploymentNot checkedObs 2026-Q2Stats NZ
Row metadata
Series id NZ.Labor.unemployment. Weight 0.7 · scored. Publisher series HLFQ.S1F3S. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:51:02Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Labour Cost Index – all salary and wage rates NZ.Labor.wagesNot checkedObs 2026-Q2Stats NZ
Row metadata
Series id NZ.Labor.wages. Weight 0.2 · scored. Publisher series LCIQ.SD53Z9. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:51:02Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
HLFS employed persons quarterly change NZ.Labor.employmentNot checkedObs 2026-Q2Stats NZ
Row metadata
Series id NZ.Labor.employment. Weight 0.1 · scored. Publisher series HLFQ.S1A3S. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:51:02Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Real GDP – production measure NZ.Activity.gdp_domestic_demandCheckedObs 2026-Q2Stats NZ
Row metadata
Series id NZ.Activity.gdp_domestic_demand. Weight 0.6 · scored. Publisher series SNEQ.SG01RSC01B01PC. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:51:02Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
BNZ-BusinessNZ Performance of Composite Index, GDP-weighted NZ.Activity.business_surveysCheckedObs 2026-07BusinessNZ / BNZ
Row metadata
Series id NZ.Activity.business_surveys. Weight 0.4 · scored. Publisher series BUSINESSNZ_PCI_GDP_WEIGHTED. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T17:06:39Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Total retail sales volume (seasonally adjusted) NZ.Consumer.retailCheckedObs 2026-Q2Stats NZ
Row metadata
Series id NZ.Consumer.retail. Weight 0.25 · scored. Publisher series SF91KS. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:51:02Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Household net disposable income (experimental national accounts) NZ.Consumer.incomeFailureObs 2025-Q2Stats NZ
experimental_income_unparsed
```
experimental_income_unparsed
```
Row metadata
Series id NZ.Consumer.income. Weight 0.25 · scored. Publisher series household_net_disposable_income_sa. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:51:02Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Household final consumption expenditure NZ.Consumer.spendingCheckedObs 2026-Q2Stats NZ
Row metadata
Series id NZ.Consumer.spending. Weight 0.25 · scored. Publisher series SG02RSC30P30E. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:51:02Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence NZ.Consumer.confidenceFailureObs 2026-10ANZ
anz_confidence_ambiguous
```
anz_confidence_ambiguous
```
Row metadata
Series id NZ.Consumer.confidence. Weight 0.25 · scored. Publisher series none. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T14:51:02Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Business price indexes (PPI outputs/inputs) NZ.Inflation.ppiFailureObs noneStats NZ
HTTP 404
```
HTTP 404
```
Row metadata
Series id NZ.Inflation.ppi. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series none. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Overseas trade index, import prices NZ.Inflation.import_price_indexFailureObs noneStats NZ
HTTP 404
```
HTTP 404
```
Row metadata
Series id NZ.Inflation.import_price_index. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series none. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Overseas trade index, export prices NZ.Inflation.export_price_indexFailureObs noneStats NZ
HTTP 404
```
HTTP 404
```
Row metadata
Series id NZ.Inflation.export_price_index. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series none. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Labour force participation rate NZ.Labor.participationCheckedObs noneStats NZ
Row metadata
Series id NZ.Labor.participation. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series HLFQ.S1E3S. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Expenditure-measure GDP q/q already stored as secondary context NZ.Activity.gdp_expenditureNot applicableObs noneStats NZ
context_expenditure_gdp_not_primary
```
context_expenditure_gdp_not_primary
```
Row metadata
Series id NZ.Activity.gdp_expenditure. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series SNEQ.SG02RSC31B15PC. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
BNZ-BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing NZ.Activity.manufacturing_pmiCheckedObs 2026-07BusinessNZ / BNZ
Row metadata
Series id NZ.Activity.manufacturing_pmi. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series BUSINESSNZ_PMI. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.

EA · 28 seriesChecked 21 Blocked 1 Not applicable 6

HICP excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, 12-month rate of change (ECOICOP v2) EA.Inflation.underlyingCheckedObs 2026-10Eurostat
Row metadata
Series id EA.Inflation.underlying. Weight 0.6 · scored. Publisher series PRC_HICP_MINR.M.RCH_A.TOT_X_NRG_FOOD.EA21. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T20:51:07Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next ET time TBA (tba). Carried forward no.
HICP all-items, 12-month rate of change (ECOICOP v2 TOTAL) EA.Inflation.headlineCheckedObs 2026-10Eurostat
Row metadata
Series id EA.Inflation.headline. Weight 0.4 · scored. Publisher series PRC_HICP_MINR.M.RCH_A.TOTAL.EA21. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T20:51:07Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next ET time TBA (tba). Carried forward no.
Unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted (LFS) EA.Labor.unemploymentCheckedObs 2026-09Eurostat
Row metadata
Series id EA.Labor.unemployment. Weight 0.7 · scored. Publisher series UNE_RT_M.M.SA.TOTAL.PC_ACT.T.EA21. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T20:24:59Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
ECB indicator of negotiated wage rates, annual rate of change EA.Labor.wagesCheckedObs 2026-Q2European Central Bank
Row metadata
Series id EA.Labor.wages. Weight 0.2 · scored. Publisher series INW.Q.I10.N.INWR.000000.4F0.GY.IX. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T20:24:59Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Employment (LFS), quarter-over-quarter change in thousands (derived from SA levels) EA.Labor.employmentCheckedObs 2026-Q2Eurostat
Row metadata
Series id EA.Labor.employment. Weight 0.1 · scored. Publisher series LFSI_EMP_Q.Q.SA.EMP_LFS.T.Y15-74.THS_PER.EA21_derived_qq_thousands. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T20:24:59Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Real GDP, chain-linked volumes, q/q % change (SCA) EA.Activity.gdp_domestic_demandCheckedObs 2026-Q3Eurostat
Row metadata
Series id EA.Activity.gdp_domestic_demand. Weight 0.6 · scored. Publisher series NAMQ_10_GDP.Q.CLV_PCH_PRE.SCA.B1GQ.EA21. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T20:24:59Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next ET time TBA (tba). Carried forward no.
S&P Global Eurozone Composite PMI Output Index EA.Activity.business_surveysCheckedObs 2026-09S&P Global
Row metadata
Series id EA.Activity.business_surveys. Weight 0.4 · scored. Publisher series SP_GLOBAL_EA_COMPOSITE_PMI. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T22:21:07Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Retail trade volume of sales, m/m % (SCA) EA.Consumer.retailCheckedObs 2026-09Eurostat
Row metadata
Series id EA.Consumer.retail. Weight 0.25 · scored. Publisher series STS_TRTU_M.M.SCA.VOL_SLS.G47.PCH_PRE.EA21. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T20:24:59Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Adjusted gross disposable income of households, real per capita q/q % (SCA) EA.Consumer.incomeCheckedObs 2026-Q2Eurostat
Row metadata
Series id EA.Consumer.income. Weight 0.25 · scored. Publisher series NASQ_10_KI.Q.PC.SCA.S14_S15.B7G_R_HAB_GR.EA21. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T20:24:59Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Household final consumption expenditure (P31_S15), real q/q % (SCA) EA.Consumer.spendingCheckedObs 2026-Q2Eurostat
Row metadata
Series id EA.Consumer.spending. Weight 0.25 · scored. Publisher series NAMQ_10_GDP.Q.CLV_PCH_PRE.SCA.P31_S15.EA21. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T20:24:59Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
European Commission consumer confidence indicator (balance) EA.Consumer.confidenceCheckedObs 2026-10European Commission (DG ECFIN)
Row metadata
Series id EA.Consumer.confidence. Weight 0.25 · scored. Publisher series EI_BSCO_M.M.SA.BS-CSMCI.BAL.EA21. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T20:24:59Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
HICP flash estimate EA.Inflation.hicp_flashNot applicableObs noneEurostat
Distinct HICP flash vintage not pinned from Eurostat statistics API (checked https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/hicp)
```
Distinct HICP flash vintage not pinned from Eurostat statistics API (checked https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/hicp)
```
Row metadata
Series id EA.Inflation.hicp_flash. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series none. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next ET time TBA (tba). Carried forward no.
Industrial producer prices EA.Inflation.ppiCheckedObs 2026-09Eurostat
Row metadata
Series id EA.Inflation.ppi. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series STS_INPPD_M.M.PRC_PRR_DOM.NSA.PCH_SM.B-E36.EA21. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Import price index, industry EA.Inflation.import_price_indexNot applicableObs noneEurostat
No EA21 import-price index in Eurostat STS API (checked https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/api/dissemination/statistics/1.0/…
```
No EA21 import-price index in Eurostat STS API (checked https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/api/dissemination/statistics/1.0/data/STS_INPPD_M?geo=EA21&sinceTimePeriod=2025-01)
```
Row metadata
Series id EA.Inflation.import_price_index. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series none. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Export / output price index analog EA.Inflation.export_price_indexNot applicableObs noneEurostat
No EA21 export-price index distinct from domestic PPI in Eurostat STS API (checked https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/api/di…
```
No EA21 export-price index distinct from domestic PPI in Eurostat STS API (checked https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/api/dissemination/statistics/1.0/data/STS_INPPD_M?geo=EA21&sinceTimePeriod=2025-01)
```
Row metadata
Series id EA.Inflation.export_price_index. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series none. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Labour force participation, EA EA.Labor.participationNot applicableObs noneEurostat
EA21 quarterly participation series not exposed on checked Eurostat LFS API (checked https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/…
```
EA21 quarterly participation series not exposed on checked Eurostat LFS API (checked https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/lfs)
```
Row metadata
Series id EA.Labor.participation. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series none. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Household consumption is already scored as Consumer.spending; this row is the domestic-demand component set (gross capital formation, government, net exports) as context EA.Activity.gdp_componentsCheckedObs 2026-Q2Eurostat
Row metadata
Series id EA.Activity.gdp_components. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series NAMQ_10_GDP.Q.CLV_PCH_PRE.SCA.P31_S14.EA21. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next ET time TBA (tba). Carried forward no.
S&P Global Flash Eurozone PMI EA.Activity.flash_composite_pmiBlockedObs 2026-10S&P Global
Row metadata
Series id EA.Activity.flash_composite_pmi. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series SP_GLOBAL_EA_COMPOSITE_PMI_FLASH. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Eurozone manufacturing PMI final EA.Activity.manufacturing_pmi_finalNot applicableObs noneS&P Global
Sector PMI PDF parser not implemented; composite scored series uses business_surveys (checked https://www.pmi.spglobal.…
```
Sector PMI PDF parser not implemented; composite scored series uses business_surveys (checked https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Release/PressReleases)
```
Row metadata
Series id EA.Activity.manufacturing_pmi_final. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series SP_GLOBAL_EA_MANUFACTURING_PMI. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Eurozone services PMI final EA.Activity.services_pmi_finalNot applicableObs noneS&P Global
Sector PMI PDF parser not implemented; composite scored series uses business_surveys (checked https://www.pmi.spglobal.…
```
Sector PMI PDF parser not implemented; composite scored series uses business_surveys (checked https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Release/PressReleases)
```
Row metadata
Series id EA.Activity.services_pmi_final. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series SP_GLOBAL_EA_SERVICES_PMI. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
HICP all-items, 12-month rate of change, Germany (context; not in the EA21 score) EA.Inflation.hicp_deCheckedObs 2026-10Eurostat
Row metadata
Series id EA.Inflation.hicp_de. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series PRC_HICP_MINR.M.RCH_A.TOTAL.DE. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
HICP all-items, 12-month rate of change, France (context; not in the EA21 score) EA.Inflation.hicp_frCheckedObs 2026-10Eurostat
Row metadata
Series id EA.Inflation.hicp_fr. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series PRC_HICP_MINR.M.RCH_A.TOTAL.FR. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
HICP all-items, 12-month rate of change, Italy (context; not in the EA21 score) EA.Inflation.hicp_itCheckedObs 2026-10Eurostat
Row metadata
Series id EA.Inflation.hicp_it. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series PRC_HICP_MINR.M.RCH_A.TOTAL.IT. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
HICP all-items, 12-month rate of change, Spain (context; not in the EA21 score) EA.Inflation.hicp_esCheckedObs 2026-10Eurostat
Row metadata
Series id EA.Inflation.hicp_es. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series PRC_HICP_MINR.M.RCH_A.TOTAL.ES. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
HICP all-items, 12-month rate of change, Portugal (context; not in the EA21 score) EA.Inflation.hicp_ptCheckedObs 2026-10Eurostat
Row metadata
Series id EA.Inflation.hicp_pt. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series PRC_HICP_MINR.M.RCH_A.TOTAL.PT. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Germany ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment (expectations balance) EA.Activity.zew_expectations_deCheckedObs 2026-10ZEW — Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research
Row metadata
Series id EA.Activity.zew_expectations_de. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series ZEW_DE_EXPECTATIONS. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Germany ZEW assessment of the current economic situation (balance) EA.Activity.zew_current_deCheckedObs 2026-10ZEW — Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research
Row metadata
Series id EA.Activity.zew_current_de. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series ZEW_DE_CURRENT_SITUATION. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Eurozone ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment (expectations balance) EA.Activity.zew_expectations_eaCheckedObs 2026-10ZEW — Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research
Row metadata
Series id EA.Activity.zew_expectations_ea. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series ZEW_EA_EXPECTATIONS. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.

JP · 19 seriesChecked 11 Failure 5 Blocked 1 Not applicable 1 Not checked 1

CPI less fresh food and energy, 12-month percent change (2025 base; BOJ core-core style) JP.Inflation.underlyingCheckedObs 2026-09Statistics Bureau of Japan
Row metadata
Series id JP.Inflation.underlying. Weight 0.6 · scored. Publisher series CPI_2025BASE_LESS_FRESH_FOOD_ENERGY_YOY. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T22:23:30Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-19 18:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Consumer Price Index, all items, 12-month percent change (2025 base) JP.Inflation.headlineCheckedObs 2026-09Statistics Bureau of Japan
Row metadata
Series id JP.Inflation.headline. Weight 0.4 · scored. Publisher series CPI_2025BASE_ALL_ITEMS_YOY. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T22:23:30Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-19 18:30 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted, whole Japan JP.Labor.unemploymentCheckedObs 2026-09Statistics Bureau of Japan
Row metadata
Series id JP.Labor.unemployment. Weight 0.7 · scored. Publisher series LFS_1A1_UNEMPLOYMENT_RATE_SA. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T22:23:30Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Total cash earnings, year-on-year percent change, establishments with 5+ employees JP.Labor.wagesCheckedObs 2026-08Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare
Row metadata
Series id JP.Labor.wages. Weight 0.2 · scored. Publisher series MLS_TOTAL_CASH_EARNINGS_YOY_5PLUS. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T22:23:30Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Month-on-month change in employed persons (seasonally adjusted), derived from LFS 1-a-1 JP.Labor.employmentCheckedObs 2026-09Statistics Bureau of Japan
Row metadata
Series id JP.Labor.employment. Weight 0.1 · scored. Publisher series LFS_1A1_EMPLOYED_PERSONS_SA. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T22:23:30Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Real GDP, seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter annualized rate (expenditure approach) JP.Activity.gdp_domestic_demandCheckedObs 2026-Q2Cabinet Office (ESRI)
Row metadata
Series id JP.Activity.gdp_domestic_demand. Weight 0.6 · scored. Publisher series ESRI_REAL_GDP_QOQ_SAAR. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T22:23:30Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-15 18:50 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
au Jibun Bank / S&P Global Japan Composite PMI Output Index JP.Activity.business_surveysBlockedObs 2026-08S&P Global / au Jibun Bank
pmi_listing_blocked
```
pmi_listing_blocked
```
Row metadata
Series id JP.Activity.business_surveys. Weight 0.4 · scored. Publisher series SP_GLOBAL_JP_COMPOSITE_PMI. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T22:23:58Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Retail sales value, year-on-year percent change (Current Survey of Commerce) JP.Consumer.retailCheckedObs 2026-09Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry
Row metadata
Series id JP.Consumer.retail. Weight 0.25 · scored. Publisher series METI_CSC_RETAIL_SALES_YOY. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T22:23:30Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Real income, nominal year-on-year percent change, worker households (two-or-more-person) JP.Consumer.incomeCheckedObs 2026-09Statistics Bureau of Japan
Row metadata
Series id JP.Consumer.income. Weight 0.25 · scored. Publisher series FIES_WORKER_HH_REAL_INCOME_NOMINAL_YOY. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T22:23:30Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Consumption expenditure, nominal year-on-year percent change, two-or-more-person households JP.Consumer.spendingCheckedObs 2026-09Statistics Bureau of Japan
Row metadata
Series id JP.Consumer.spending. Weight 0.25 · scored. Publisher series FIES_TWO_PLUS_HH_CONSUMPTION_NOMINAL_YOY. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T22:23:30Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Consumer Sentiment Index (seasonally adjusted), two-or-more-person households JP.Consumer.confidenceCheckedObs 2026-09Cabinet Office
Row metadata
Series id JP.Consumer.confidence. Weight 0.25 · scored. Publisher series CO_CONSUMER_SENTIMENT_INDEX_SA. Ledger retrieval 2026-09-21T22:23:30Z. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Corporate Goods Price Index, domestic (PPI analog) JP.Inflation.cgpi_ppiFailureObs noneBank of Japan
cgpi_index_level_only_in_official_pdf_no_pinned_csv
```
cgpi_index_level_only_in_official_pdf_no_pinned_csv
```
Row metadata
Series id JP.Inflation.cgpi_ppi. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series BOJ_CGPI_DOMESTIC. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
BOJ Import Price Index (yen basis) JP.Inflation.import_price_indexFailureObs noneBank of Japan
cgpi_index_level_only_in_official_pdf_no_pinned_csv
```
cgpi_index_level_only_in_official_pdf_no_pinned_csv
```
Row metadata
Series id JP.Inflation.import_price_index. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series BOJ_CGPI_IMPORT. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
BOJ Export Price Index (yen basis) JP.Inflation.export_price_indexFailureObs noneBank of Japan
cgpi_index_level_only_in_official_pdf_no_pinned_csv
```
cgpi_index_level_only_in_official_pdf_no_pinned_csv
```
Row metadata
Series id JP.Inflation.export_price_index. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series BOJ_CGPI_EXPORT. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Labour force participation rate JP.Labor.participationNot applicableObs noneStatistics Bureau of Japan
participation_rate_not_in_lfs_1a1_major_items_table
```
participation_rate_not_in_lfs_1a1_major_items_table
```
Row metadata
Series id JP.Labor.participation. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series none. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Domestic demand contribution / component in the same sokuhou table as scored real GDP JP.Activity.domestic_demandCheckedObs 2026-Q2Cabinet Office (ESRI)
Row metadata
Series id JP.Activity.domestic_demand. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series ESRI_DOMESTIC_DEMAND_QOQ_SAAR. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Expected next 2026-11-15 18:50 ET (verified). Carried forward no.
Flash Japan PMI JP.Activity.flash_composite_pmiNot checkedObs noneS&P Global / au Jibun Bank
Row metadata
Series id JP.Activity.flash_composite_pmi. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series SP_GLOBAL_JP_COMPOSITE_PMI_FLASH. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Tankan large-manufacturing business conditions DI JP.Activity.tankan_large_manufacturingFailureObs noneBank of Japan
tankan_zip_unparsed
```
tankan_zip_unparsed
```
Row metadata
Series id JP.Activity.tankan_large_manufacturing. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series BOJ_TANKAN_LARGE_MFG_BUSINESS_CONDITIONS_DI. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.
Indices of industrial production JP.Activity.industrial_productionFailureObs noneMETI
meti_iip_page_unparsed
```
meti_iip_page_unparsed
```
Row metadata
Series id JP.Activity.industrial_production. Weight 0.0 · context. Publisher series none. Ledger retrieval not recorded. Stage attempt 2026-11-13T11:22:15Z. Successful check none. Expected next date unavailable. Carried forward no.

Market prices and FX origins

Australia government bond yields (RBA F2) AU_rates · status ok · observation 2026-11-11 · source. RBA assessed closing yields; research context only; not a financial benchmark; typically weekly with a two-business-day lag.
Canada government bond yields CA_rates · status ok · observation 2026-11-12 · source. Bank of Canada Valet selected benchmark bond yields are prior mid-market closing yields published once each Canadian business day at 09:30–10:00 ET, with a one Canadian business-day publication lag. Weekends and Bank publication holidays do not age the series. Observation dates are the printed session and are never rewritten forward. A missing Friday print is not evidence the Friday session was a holiday.
CFTC positioning CFTC_positioning · status ok · observation 2026-11-03 · source.

CME FX futures volume / open interest CME_positioning · status unavailable · observation none · source. CME volume/open-interest fetch returned HTTP 403 for G10 products

CME volume/open-interest fetch returned HTTP 403 for G10 products

CME LastTotals returned no mapped G10 FX products; errors={'EUR': 'failed to fetch https://www.cmegroup.com/CmeWS/mvc/Volume/LastTotals/58?days=30&isProtected: HTTP Error 403: Forbidden', 'GBP': 'failed to fetch https://www.cmegroup.com/CmeWS/mvc/Volume/LastTotals/42?days=30&isProtected: HTTP Error 403: Forbidden', 'JPY': 'failed to fetch https://www.cmegroup.com/CmeWS/mvc/Volume/LastTotals/69?days=30&isProtected: HTTP Error 403: Forbidden', 'CHF': 'failed to fetch https://www.cmegroup.com/CmeWS/mvc/Volume/LastTotals/86?days=30&isProtected: HTTP Error 403: Forbidden', 'CAD': 'failed to fetch https://www.cmegroup.com/CmeWS/mvc/Volume/LastTotals/48?days=30&isProtected: HTTP Error 403: Forbidden', 'AUD': 'failed to fetch https://www.cmegroup.com/CmeWS/mvc/Volume/LastTotals/37?days=30&isProtected: HTTP Error 403: Forbidden', 'NZD': 'failed to fetch https://www.cmegroup.com/CmeWS/mvc/Volume/LastTotals/78?days=30&isProtected: HTTP Error 403: Forbidden', 'NOK': 'failed to fetch https://www.cmegroup.com/CmeWS/mvc/Volume/LastTotals/825?days=30&isProtected: HTTP Error 403: Forbidden', 'SEK': 'failed to fetch https://www.cmegroup.com/CmeWS/mvc/Volume/LastTotals/826?days=30&isProtected: HTTP Error 403: Forbidden'}

Euro area / Bund reference yields EA_rates · status ok · observation 2026-11-13 · source. Germany is the EUR cash-rates benchmark only; EA temperature is euro-area macro/policy.
ECB FX reference rates FX · status ok · observation 2026-11-13 · source. Information/reference rates, not executable prices. All 45 G10 crosses are deterministic ratios of the same ECB EUR fixing date.
Japan government bond yields (MOF JGB) JP_rates · status ok · observation 2026-11-12 · source.

New Zealand government bond yields (RBNZ) NZ_rates · status unavailable · observation none · source. Indicative closing government-bond yields with a one-day publication lag. RBNZ official B2 workbook was blocked or unusable (browser-ua: RB…

Indicative closing government-bond yields with a one-day publication lag. RBNZ official B2 workbook was blocked or unusable (browser-ua: RB…

Indicative closing government-bond yields with a one-day publication lag.
RBNZ official B2 workbook was blocked or unusable (browser-ua: RBNZ official B2 workbook returned HTTP 403 from https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/-/media/project/sites/rbnz/files/statistics/series/b/b2/hb2-daily-close.xlsx. Refusing to substitute a third-party or vendor feed.; default-ua: RBNZ official B2 workbook returned HTTP 403 from https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/-/media/project/sites/rbnz/files/statistics/series/b/b2/hb2-daily-close.xlsx. Refusing to substitute a third-party or vendor feed.; curl_cffi: official B2 workbook still blocked). Refusing to substitute a third-party or vendor feed.; official RBNZ HTML fallback also failed: RBNZ official B2 HTML table was blocked or unusable (urllib: RBNZ official page returned HTTP 403 from https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/statistics/series/exchange-and-interest-rates/wholesale-interest-rates. Refusing to substitute a third-party or vendor feed.; curl_cffi: official B2 page still blocked). Refusing to substitute a third-party or vendor feed. No preselected distributor was verified to republish the same RBNZ B2 government-bond closing yields (2Y/5Y/10Y); packet NZ rates stay unavailable.

U.S. Treasury par yield curve US_rates · status ok · observation 2026-11-12 · source.